Thursday AM – from Oak RidgeDecember 19th, 2013 at 12:13 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
It’s a little after midnight – I’m sitting by myself in a Krystal Burger in Oak Ridge. This place has WI-FI (and 3 small burgers, medium fries and a large decaf coffee for $2.99 plus tax!). The sky is clear with a full moon high overhead and Jupiter close to the moon, paralleling the moon on its nightly east to west journey across the sky. Today was a glorious, sunny day. We drove to Knoxville. The high in Knoxville was 47 and the average wind for the day was 2.9 mph. We usually take a day while we are hear and go to the Blue Plate Special. One of the local Knoxville radio stations (I think PBS) has a live concert from noon to 1 pm every weekday at their studios downtown. There is a place out front which is kind of a Chamber of Commerce welcome site, where they have everything from local jewelry to postcards and you can buy a sack lunch. They usually have two acts that split the time. Today we had trio (singer and two guitars) and the second act was Casey Jones. I thought our sportscaster was down here doing karaoke, but it turns out it was a singer/guitar player from Copenhagen, Denmark. After the concert, we did some shopping, checked out the city Christmas/Holiday tree and headed to Calhoun’s on the river for an early dinner. There were two guys at the table next to us who sure sounded like Univ. of Tennessee football coaches (the head coach does a Monday radio show from Calhoun’s Mondays during football season. I had catfish (so did my mother). We went back and spent the evening at my mother’s. The forecast down here is warm…upper 50s tomorrow…60s for Friday and the weekend. But, we’ll start for home, trying to dodge icy roads. Sorry, I haven’t been watching weather. It’s a vacation, a change of pace for me and I really want to spend the time being with and helping mom. My wife and I washed the outdoor light, raked the yard and cleaned the bathroom sink. Tomorrow night, I”ll probably have more time to look at weather. The storm is going to bring a nasty mix of precipitation to the southern Great Lakes, including some freezing rain. Have a wonderful day.
Here’s evening run of the GFS snow cover…heaviest snow north of G.R. 240 knot jet over eastern N. America. Quick flight from Detroit to Newfoundland! 20″ of rain fell in just 36 hours at Truong Sa Island, Vietnam. Jerusalem breaks 134-year-old snowfall record. Much of the Lower 48 States will see a cool Christmas. GFS – Christmas Day – Chilly. Here’s a shot of the Northern Lights from Norway. Check out the light pillars in Findland. Take a look at the six-sided polar jet pattern on Saturday…from the Cassini Spacecraft. While much of North America has been colder than average…the global average temperature remains slightly above average. Check out the heat in Australia.
The overnight NAM (caribou) has .05″ freezing rain for G.R. Thurs. night, 1/2″ snow Fri. PM/night and the main show starts shortly before midnight Sat night with a mix to rain at 32.3 deg. With the cold weather we’ve had, the ground is cold and I’d be wary of ice even at 36 or 37 degrees. The GFS plot has 0.32″ of rain at about 33 degrees for G.R. – could be a slick commute Friday AM – then 0.69″ of rain at about 32-33 degrees changing to snow. That model has highs of 21 and 20 on Monday and Tuesday and it keeps temperatures in the single figures on New Years Day. I won’t wait up for the European. Here’s the snowfall forecast from Earl Barker’s site from the GFS and NAM. The south edge of the heavier snow is a good place to expect some freezing rain. HPC freezing rain forecast for Day 2 and Day 3.