December 22nd, 2013 at 12:22 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  First, the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.  Many power outages, some large, some small.   We had as many as 160,000 customers without power in Michigan and 332,000 in the U.S. and Canada (over 100,000 in the Toronto area).   Three fatalities in flash flooding at New Hope, Kentucky.   The Bill Steffen Christmas road tour has landed in Traverse City today (after previous stops in Aurora, Illinois and Oak Ridge, Tennessee).  I’ll be here until about midday Monday.  It’s 6:30 am as I type this and moderate snowfall here in TVC.  The freezing rain/snow line continues to wobble over our area (for much of the time over N. Ottawa/N. Kent Counties.   We have a Winter Weather Advisory for most all of S. Lower Michigan for freezing drizzle and light snow and a Freezing Rain Advisory for the Indiana border counties from Berrien to Hillsdale until Noon.  There’s a Flood Warning for most of Indiana and Ohio.   The models have backed off a bit on precipitation amounts (activity to our south sucking up available moisture for one)   The difference across the front in Ohio was extraordinary Sat. night.  At midnight, it was 69 in Columbus with the wind south at 17 gusting to 30 mph.  At Cleveland (lakefront) it was 37 with the wind NE 21 G. 28 and light snow!  Rainfall totaled 4.5″ at Little Rock and 3.5″ at Evansville IN.  Record high temps. Sat:  75 Charlestown and Huntington W VA., 72 Washington D.C., 64 Central Park, NYC, 81 Columbia SC, 75 Knoxville TN.  On the cool side, high temps:  -8 Grand Forks ND, +1 Aberdeen SD, 48 El Paso TX, 54 Tucson AZ, 28 Dalhart TX, 54 Chihuahua, Mexico.    Grand Rapids is -3.8 deg. for the first 21 says of Dec. with 22.5″ of snow for the month.  There’s going to be some real icy spots on driveways, parking lots, sidewalks, side streets and rural roads.  Even main roads may be icy.   Here’s a few freezing rain and snow reports and local weather observations. Here’s a surface map. Our weekend system produced thunderstorms in the driest part of the U.S. (SW. Arizona), so we knew it was going to be a strong system.

No sports thread, but the Lions host the NY Giants on FOX at 4:05 PM – Da Bears take on the Eagles on Sunday Night Football on WOOD-TV at 8:30 pm.  Also – Nano-snowman – 1/5th the width of a human hair.  Here’s why the wind may read “calm” during an ice storm.

Here’s 120-hour snowfall from the GFS and 84-hour snowfall off the NAM model. Overnight model update: NAM (caribou) has freezing/rain drizzle until early Sunday afternoon (light snow to the north of a Muskegon – Big Rapids line.  It gives G.R. only about 1/2″ of snow Monday night, 1/4″ Tuesday and an inch on Weds.  The GFS plot has 1/2″ of snow for G.R. Sun. night, a good inch Monday night, 2″ Weds. and another 2-3″ on Friday.  It  also has nothing warmer than mid 30s for the next 16 days for G.R (36 on the 29th is the highest.  Looks like a great end of Dec. and start to Jan. for winter sports.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Rainfall (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy, the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy, the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agriculutural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations. Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 2 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge.

We’ll have to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers as the cold air settles in next week. Here’s some river water temps. Also, many inland lakes will be icing up in the next 10 days. Beware of early thin ice. Check out our new Lakes and Rivers Webpage.

232 Responses to “Sunday”

  1. Andy says:

    Funny…INDY seems to have vanished today!! Usually he has a million posts up right now screaming about the double digit snow coming and blah blah blah!! Must be trying to find out where he went so wrong!! Poor wittle guy!

    1. Jack says:

      INDY is Working !! Today !!! And Andy Griffith ….INDY is NOT a Wittle Guy !! Go…FIND Barney Fife…ANDY! Oh Yeah, STAY CUED…… ;-)

      1. haanstar says:

        I agree, Indy’s posted are always over done and he has twice the snow or temp anyone else does. I imagine him sitting in front of his PC slamming Red Bulls and yelling at the radar, ha-ha

        Atleast he adds some excitement to the blog

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          + 1 trillion!

  2. Jennifer K (NE GR) says:

    Any updates on road conditions?

    1. haanstar says:

      Roads are fine NW GR

      1. haanstar says:

        I just went to Home Depot on Alpine and they were sold out of Generators, glad I got mine in the summer

  3. Zach says:

    HEYYYY…Where did the HUGE snow event go ROCKY and INDY!?? Poor kids…they haven’t learned nothing can live up to that much hype and that wishing for a storm haha…doesn’t make it happen!! Sheesh…my kiddos learned that in like elementary school!! But you kids keep wishing…its kinda…cute!! ;) HAHAHA

  4. dylan says:

    The thing is…when you make such BOLD statements and cut people down when they say otherwise…when your so wrong…people WILL throw it back in your faces. Whether that be right or wrong…it WILL and IS happening!! You wanna dish it out…be prepared to take it.
    I never thought we would get that much snow…but it would have been fun! :) Anyway…YAY WHITE CHRISTMAS!!! Time for my moms Christmas party…should be fun other than a few people there. haha…every family has at least 1 or 2!! lol And the fun thing is it is ugly Christmas sweater this year!! :D I had to get a size bigger cause of tubes and IV’s sticking out of me…but I will ROCK this ugly thing!! hahaha :)
    MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE…and as Tiny Tim said, “God bless us, EVERYONE!!” (Even the ones that get the forecast so wrong!) ;) Sorry…but
    I had to! hahaha

  5. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    All I can say is that I’m glad we somewhat got dry slotted this AM, or else I would have well over an inch of ice. I still almost received an inch of precip from about 2PM of yesterday through this morning.

  6. kevin. w says:

    Just reading some of comments on here today bashing and hashing everyone and its only 3 days til Christmas, really. So some people got the forecast wrong and you never got a prediction wrong. I mean really Christmas is around the corner. I guess some people can’t look themselves in the mirror. Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to all no matter what the weather brings us. :)

    1. John says:

      Agreed! Some people just have nothing better to do than bash people around, really it’s Christmas time they need to be with their families!

      1. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

        Suck it Jonathan.

        1. John says:

          No comment

    2. Boris says:

      Well, when people constantly belittle people, call them names and tell them to shut up because they state a different opinion then people are going to lash out. It’s not like they didn’t bring it upon themselves.

      1. Cmon fixxxer…stop pretending to be somebody else… it’s really quite childish.

  7. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    The Johnny Come Lately Armchair Meteorologists are out today, right on schedule.

  8. SW Kent says:

    The week of December 30th looks VERY cold.

  9. Barry in Zeeland says:

    I see all the local mets have their winter forecast on the front page of the GR Press today. I’m rooting for Bill who has the lowest forecasted snowfall total of all of them.
    On a side note, I know this is way after the fact, but whatever happened to Peter Chan? Or that crazy Suzan Yeeha for that mattetr??

    1. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

      Geha got caught smokin the “Henry Erb”.

    2. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

      So what are the local mets. forecasts? Please?

      1. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

        Never mind. Found it on MLive.

  10. Jerrod (Hartford) says:

    Here in Hartford, we got a decent coating of ice, but most has melted off the trees and the roads are in ok shape. Better than last night. Still have power but Frontier internet is down and I’m using my internet phone hotspot and IPad. Very little in the way of significant damage or even power outages down this way. Stay safe everyone, have a good holiday and I hope that those with no electricity get it back soon.

  11. John says:

    If there is anyone bashing on here on Christmas day then you all don’t have a life, it’s Christmas time, need to spend it with your families!

  12. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    We have had a temp anywhere from a high of 31.1° on Saturday, to as low as 29.6° early this morning. During that time we received only freezing rain. Late this morning we had our warmest temp since Friday at 32.0°, and it snowed. Mother nature sure does play a dirty game with us! Our temp has since gone back down to 31.2°, and we haven’t had any melting of the ice. This week is going to be nasty here with the added weight of the snow, even colder temps, and any chances of wind. We have a power restoration time of 11:30PM on Christmas Eve. Hopefully we get it before that so my mom can prepare all the food for Christmas Day.

  13. Yup (Grandville) says:

    Advisories down south?

  14. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    How about that, now I’m in an advisory for 3-5″ of snow tomorrow.

    1. Yup (Grandville) says:

      Who knew right?

  15. John says:

    Winter weather advisory for tomorrow for Allegan, Van Buren, and Kalamazoo counties, Berrien, Cass and northwestern Indiana counties most likely will be added as well for 3-5″ possibly more of snow!

  16. Mike (Mattawan) says:

    WWA issued for 3-5 inches with “significantly more in spots near the lakeshore” in my area.

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      Looking like your area could get hammered. Sounding like there will be a convergence band somewhere between Allegan County and Berrien County.

      1. J-rod says:

        Latest models I can find seem to show the snow centered on Ottowa County… what models are you looking at?

        1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

          I took that from the GRR NWS update this afternoon.

  17. Paul (Yankee Springs-Barry State Game Area) says:

    Up to 33…heat wave with the trees still snapping all around. Hopefully we get a little melting before the snow adds weight…,power still out

    1. Jack says:

      Bummer about The POWER Paul….. Hope This Helps ..CUE::: ;-)

  18. Glenn (Portage) says:

    Thought the white christmas was in trouble down here…should get enough to have one tomorrow though!

  19. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    12Z GFS is going ballistic with snow through the whole 384 hours. Basically Friday and Saturday are the only days without snow forecasted. Looks to get really interesting starting next Sunday and on. 12Z NAM is snowy for us as well. Very active pattern with clippers/lake effect/lake enhancement. Might not be huge snows, but a bunch of small and medium snows will start adding up.

  20. John says:

    The NWS says 3-6″ of snow for my area on Christmas, that will feel good to have snow falling on Christmas day :)

  21. bluegill says:

    The snow ended in NE Grand Traverse County about 2:30pm. A total of about 7.5″. Added to the 5.5 from Friday night and an even foot of fresh snow the past 48 hours, 72″ YTD. Quite a dense snowpack here – knee deep and compacted.

  22. John says:

    After today’s snowfall I’m up to 25 and 1/2″ of snow so far this winter with more to come this week, defiantly a much better winter compared to the last 2

    1. John says:

      And also I have about 7″ on the ground right now, 4-5″ melted this past week

  23. Ben (Charlotte MI) says:

    This ice storm has ruined this winter for me. I went from being a cheerleader for a big snow storm to hating the forecast of snow and frigid temps. Just means the ice will stick around longer. I’m ready for spring now.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      I’m with you. Consumer’s estimated time to restore our power is Saturday afternoon.

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        Yikes… Sorry about that.

      2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        The amount of outages around here is incredible.

      3. Ben (Charlotte MI) says:

        That is awful. I know lots of people in your area and I’m sure I will hear stories at work.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Oh ya baby! Keep it coming!

  24. DF (SE Mich) says:

    My family in kentwood is without power until Thursday, not good.

  25. SS (Pwell Area) says:

    Let’s hope not.
    We had an extended one like that in the fall…it was a day or so!!!
    I worry about the pipes starting to freeze!!!

  26. Scott says:

    Decided to take a break from the weather watching – and came back to note a Winter Weather Advisory in my area (E. VB County) for 3-6″ + + . Possibly much more somewhere.

    That’s concerning. Apart from the slow melting of the tree near the house, which was due to building warming, there’s been no snow melt. Trees are still laden down. NWS says this will be a dense snow due to a synoptic element.

    That’s probably to likely going to bring down more tree limbs and branches should it really pile up. Doesn’t look like it’s going to be a typical fluff with this one. And then more snow and even more snow down the pike – and more snow. Then it’s SW flow where they get their share and even a Christmas Eve to Christmas day fluff event. That will be picture postcard perfect for snow and holiday lovers.

    This is going to be a winter we are not going to forget for a long time. Hey people who have only been around a few decades – mark this winter down and don’t forget it. You probably won’t see another like this — until next year. Somewhat kidding. But I’ve found winters like these tend to come in pairs, and then it’s decades until it happens again.

    1. SW Kent says:

      That’s a nice map Rocky.

    2. Ben (North Muskegon) says:

      Nice, there is suppose to be a southwest flow event tue/weds and sat so muskegon is in the sweet spot

      1. Ben (North Muskegon) says:

        Oh that’s an 84hr map so Saturday wouldn’t be on that

  27. Scott says:

    I guess Toronto got totally hammered with this Ice Storm, according to reports I’m looking at.

    250,000 are without power in Toronto. Wow.

  28. Yvonne (Caledonia) says:

    Power was out at 2 am but finally came back on an hour ago. We have 3/4 inch ice on our tree branches, lots of small branches and twigs broken off. It was actually weird, was outside taking photos and kept hearing cracking sounds all over our neighborhood and I realized it was the branches on peoples trees in their yards breaking..

  29. John says:

    The WPC gives me .7″ of QPF through Saturday, and most of which would come on Tuesday night-Wednesday that’s 9-10″ of snow for the week :) I’ll take that

  30. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    So thankful that the temperature was 34 degrees most of the day. It helped melt a lot of ice from the trees and power lines in Marshall today.

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