WeekendDecember 28th, 2013 at 1:51 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Click on the first and third images to enlarge. For the middle image go to this link. I’m working the evening shift today (Sat.). I would expect that our audience for the late news may be trimmed a bit by the Michigan/Kansas St. football game, which has a late 10:15 pm start. There are 4 bowl games today, all on ESPN starting with Notre Dame/Rutgers at Noon. It’ll be a mild day today, the warmest day since Dec. 5 and it’ll make a good dent in our snow cover and get the rest of the ice and snow off the trees and wires. As of 1:30 am, we’re down to 23, 854 Consumer’s Energy customers without power (1.3% of total customers). Barry Co. still tops the list with 3,781 customers without power or 13.9%. Eaton Co. is down to 1,135 without power (3.7% of county customers). Kent Co. still has 45 out and Kalamazoo County just 25 customers.
Friday was a mild day across the country (see the high temp. map on the left (from SUNY-Albany). It got to 40 in G.R…51 in Calgary, Canada…the 58 at Great Falls MT was 2 deg. warmer than McAllen at the southern tip of Texas…the 61 at Omaha was 3 deg. warmer than Jacksonville FL. Downtown Los Angeles reached 85 and San Diego was 79. Even Bismarck ND hit 44. We’ll be in the low-mid 40s today (the models are too low with temps.). If we can melt thru the snow…it could come close to 50 at the Indiana border. The colder air makes a return beginning Sun. midday/PM.
The middle image is 170 years of hurricane tracks from the NOAA Environmental Visualization Lab. Note the lack of hurricanes along and close to the Equator. This was a very quiet year for hurricanes in the Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico. The image on the right is temperature departure from average for December so far (from the High Plains Regional Climate Center) – showing the cold centered from the Upper Great Lakes to Montana and the warmth confined mainly to the Southeast and far Southwest U.S. Check out the snow rollers in northern Michigan (wind causes the snow to roll into balls, like when you build a snowman). Temps. above 100F have caused pavement to buckle in Argentina.
The overnight run of the GFS plot has highs Mon. to Fri. of 17, 18, 15, 20, and 17. That may be a couple deg. too cool, but today’s warm air is very temporary. We’ll get lake-effect snow showers and light snow from a couple clippers next week. The model also has a stormy period starting around 1/7. The European has lows for G.R. of -7 on 1/2 and -4 on 1/3. The coldest day is Thursday on the Euro. with highs in the low teens. Sat. midday update: Cold air coming – The temperature at Calgary, Alberta dropped from 45 to 7 in six hours. NAM a lake-enhanced period of snow Tues. with a 250-degree wind on Tuesday…so very little snow from AZO south…with up to several inches possible north of a line from Benton Harbor to just south of Hastings. Ice forming ahead of average in N. Lake Michigan. Check out the 10-foot hockey puck drop (and four other unique New Year’s Eve. events) to welcome 2014. Lake Effect Snow Advisory for up to 8″ of new snow in the U.P. Look at the cold shot coming into the N. Plains/Western Lakes on the Canadian model. The GFS has a stormy period from Jan 7-10 with the possibility of significant precipitation, which could be rain and some freezing rain/snow…we sure don’t need any more freezing rain.