LOTS of Snow and ColdDecember 30th, 2013 at 1:09 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
This is the snow probability map for the next snowstorm from HPC. You can see the heaviest probability axis of snow across far N. Illinois, far S. Wisconsin, far N. Indiana and S. Lower Michigan. With the cold air, there will be a high snow to water ratio and we could easily see at least 4-8+” of snow centered around I-94 from late Tues. night into Weds. night. Here’s GFS 120-hour snowfall totals. The NAM model has the heaviest snow centered more to the north over Gr. Rapids. We could easily be below zero Friday morning. Then the Sun. night/Monday storm (mean trough centered right over Michigan) could give us another 4-8+ inches. That’ll be followed by a gigantic, bone-chilling Siberian high pressure center, so big that it may control the circulation over most all of North America! There’s more ice on the Great Lakes today than on any Dec. 30 since 1989. Arctic Oscillation goes negative (usually that means cold for the Great Lakes and East), PNA goes positive (usually that means ridge in the West and trough in the East).
Lake Michigan warming the air…at 4 PM, it’s -1 in Green Bay, +13 in Frankfort…+6 in Milwaukee (Mitchell Field) and +19 in Grand Rapids.
The overnight European model has it snowing more than not from Monday night thru Thurs. with 0.53″ for G.R. – which would be a good 10″ of snow. 10-day European snow forecast of a foot of snow south of I-96. European model forecasting near all-time record cold for Chicago. The GFS plot has low temperatures of -3 for G.R. next Fri. and -8 on 1/11. Monday am low temps in the U.P.: -14 Marquette NWS, -15 S. Ste. Marie, -25 Wakefield…-40 this am in Embarass MN. Lake Michigan really warming the air this morning (northwest wind). Milwaukee (Timmerman Arpt.) was -8 and Green Bay bottomed out at -16. Grand Rapids, on the other hand, had a low of 15 and Ludington +12. Check out the view from the Muskegon Channel and the beach at Holland. Also, Tropical Cyclone Christine comes ashore in NW Australia…and Tropical Cyclone Bejisa passes Madagascar to the east in the western Indian Ocean.
As of 11 AM – Consumers Energy reports only 122 customers statewide don’t have power. Most (83) are in Genesee Co. (Flint area) with 2 each in Kent, Kalamazoo and Barry Co. and 1 in Eaton Co. Let’s hope we don’t go thru this again in 2014.
DID YOU HEAR THE DETROIT LIONS ARE MOVING TO THE PHILIPPINES? They’re going to be called the Manila Folders!