Stupendous Snow, Colossal Cold!January 5th, 2014 at 2:59 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
1 AM – Band of heavy snow from Silver Lake, Oceana Co…offshore and then inland near Holland down to Sturgis – the band is strong 100 miles south into Indiana…snowing at the rate of 1-2″ an hour under the band. Gust to 35 mph at S. Haven and 38 mph at Benton Harbor with the band. Still snowing lightly elsewhere. Reports of 12-20″ south of a line from S. Haven to St. Johns. Winds will inc. to 15-25 mph. Blizzard Warning issued for Berrien and Cass Counties and much of Northern Indiana. Most schools will be closed tomorrow and Tuesday…GVSU and Western closed for Monday. National Weather Service Discussion: “I EXPECT NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WEST OF US-131 MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY”. Biggest snow in our area since the Groundhog Day Storm (we had a gust here to 49 mph with that storm) and a few spots have exceeded the Groundhog Day accumulations. This is all really going to blow around tomorrow with bitter cold wind chills.
Tennessee has declared a State of Emergency due to cold and snow. Parts of I-94 and I-65 have been closed in Northern Indiana. Over 10″ in Chicago and St. Louis. Rockin’ cold Monday from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to the Gulf of Mexico.
The GRR NWS added Montcalm Co. to the Winter Storm Warning, which is in effect until 1 am Monday (remains in effect thru Monday for the lakeshore counties plus the next set of counties inland, which includes Kent, Barry and Kalamazoo Counties and we have a Wind Chill Warning and will be in effect from 7 am Monday to 7 pm Tuesday. The heaviest snow will probably be from Allegan, Van Buren and Berrien Counties ENE to the Thumb. Drifts go to 3 feet.
Overnight model data: The European model prints out 0.50″ precipitation for G.R. in 18 hours – at a 15-1 ratio, that’s 7.5″ of snow…at a 20-1 ratio, that’s 10″. Inch an hour snowfalls are likely in the heaviest bands. The European also has 0.18″ for Monday and 0.07″ for Tuesday…that’s got to be an additional 4-5″ of that’s right. The Euro’s coldest temp. for G.R. is -6 Monday evening with an 850 mb temp. of -30C (-22F). Even colder temps. are likely Monday night and Tuesday south of a line from Benton Harbor to Lansing where a WSW wind will miss Lake Michigan. The Euro. has the coldest temp. at Kalamazoo at -11. With a 17 mph wind, that’s a wind chill of -35. For Jackson it has a low of -16 and with a 17 mph wind, that’s a wind chill of -41. The Euro. would also have a touch (only a little) of freezing rain in G. R. next Sat. am. The GFS (caribou) snowfall totals: Grand Rapids 9.3″, Kalamazoo 13.5″, Jackson 15.8″, Muskegon 6.8″, Lansing 13.3″, Big Rapids 4.1″, Mt. Pleasant 6.7″, Ludington 5.5″ (some lake-effect Sun. night-Tue.), Cadillac 3.5″ The GFS (caribou) has the coldest temp. in G.R. at -2 late Mon. with a 22 mph wind. The NAM (caribou) has the highest snow totals: Grand Rapids 11.3″ (plus another 2.4″ by Tues. even). The lowest temp. is +1 Monday evening. Other snow totals: Kalamazoo 20.2″ (yikes!), S. Haven 18.6″, Lansing 16.3″, Jackson 15.2″, Pontiac 14.9″, Holland 14.2″, Mt. Pleasant 11.2″, Muskegon 7.7″, Big Rapids 6.5″ (thru Tue.), Ludington 5.3″ and Cadillac 4.7″. Stay warm and keep coming back to the blog for updates…links are below in the radar thread. Lots of things to check out on the links. (pic. from NBC – click on the pic. to enlarge). See the radar thread below for lots of useful links.
The first 4 days of Jan. averaged 13.1 deg. colder than average in G.R. Also, it’s going to be an early freeze-over for Lake Erie.