ThursdayJanuary 9th, 2014 at 2:33 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Another fine photo from Jack Martin. Kudos to Matt Kirkwood, who made The Guardian (newspaper – online) in Great Britain! From Dr. Ryan Maue: At midnight Jan 9, Louisiana was completely above freezing — the only state out of 50 (Hawaii had temps. as cold as 18 on the high mountains of the Big Island). Since January 1, 1979 — Coldest day (on average) over Lower 48 since 1979 was December 22, 1989 at 10.1°F. From Accu-Weather: “Weds. it was 192 degrees warmer in Onslow, Australia (120F) than in Khabyardino, Russia (-72F)! I haven’t talked about the Northern Lights and the incoming CME (Coronal Mass Ejection). It takes about 3 days to travel to Earth…so far it’s been quiet this early morning (kp index at 3 as I write this). Thursday and Friday nights should be cloudy here. We’ve had just 16% of possible sunshine since Jan. 1. At midnight the temperature was 13 in Battle Creek and -9 in Marshall, +1 in Ionia and 13 in Grand Rapids. Tough to forecast that. International Falls MN has had high temps. below zero now four days in a row. For Jan. 1-8, the AVERAGE temperature at Intl. Falls has been -16.9. That’s 21.4 degrees colder than average.
Model update: NAM (caribou) has a whopping 1/10th inch of snow for G.R. Thurs. night, then rain starts Friday at around 6 pm with a temp. of 32.8. The ground will still be cold, so we certainly have a chance of icing Friday evening. The temperature goes up to a max of 37 and G.R. gets 0.66″ of rain. Temperatures fall Saturday from mid 30s to low 30s and we see the rain change to a very little light snow or drizzle/freezing drizzle. Now, we go down to 28 by Sun. am and all that rain and slush is going to freeze up – so Sunday am you could see some icy driving. The GFS plot also has a dusting of snow late Thurs. night -nothing much. It starts rain earlier, about mid-afternoon on Friday (the earlier start worked last time) and it also has the temp. about 32.5 as the rain starts (still cold enough for some icing, esp. on rural roads, gravel/dirt roads, parking lots and sidewalks). G.R. gets a total of 1.17″ with the last 1/10th inch or so coming as snow. The temperature peaks at 39 early Sat. morning and falls to 32 by mid afternoon. So…it could get real icy for Saturday evening with the temp. by Sunday am at 27 and some very icy spots on roads. Sunday afternoon is back to the mid-upper 30s, so conditions improve. It’s windy Saturday, maybe a gust or two to 30 mph. We get 1/10th inch of mixed precipitation Sunday night and temperatures fall to the mid 20s by Mon. PM. The model has an inch or two of light snow Tues. and snow showers Weds. and Thurs. Some colder air around the 17th-18th, but not as cold as this last batch. The Ruropean model takes the G.R. temp. to 41 Saturday am and gives G.R. 0.84″ of precipitation which would be almost all rain and maybe an inch of snow at the end. The Euro. takes G.R. to 32 Sun. AM. and back to 40 Sun. PM. The colder days are Weds. the 16th and then the following Sat. when the next Arctic blast arrives (the 18th).