WeekendJanuary 11th, 2014 at 1:43 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
SUN. Early AM - Breezy and cool this Sunday with temps. in the mid-upper 30s during the PM (a little below freezing in the AM, so watch for icy spots on lesser traveled roads, driveways, sidewalks and parking lots). BTW, Sat. was a big day for wind damage from t-storms from SE Alabama and N. Florida to far SE Virginia. There were nearly 200 reports of wind damage, inc. an 86 mph wind gust at the Raleigh NC airport and an 82 mph gust at Toano VA. A school building sustained significant damage in Hampton VA. Today may be the only dry day of the week. Monday we get a light mix with temps. reaching the mid-upper 30s…Tuesday we get snow…a couple inches perhaps (the European would give us 3-4″, the GFS maybe 2″)…Weds. is chilly with snow showers, low 20s most of the PM, Thursday it’s a windy low 30s, Friday, Saturday and Sunday look chilly with daytime temps. in the low 20s and snow showers. No big storms this week, but it’ll be back to winter with several days of accumulating snow and slick spots on the roads. The European prints out a total of 0.45″ precipitation from Tue. to Sat. and that would be pretty much all snow…that would be a good 6-10″ for G.R. total and could even be more than that if the lake-effect gets going with the cold air coming in this week. It also looks like a rather breezy week. This batch of cold air coming for Weds. and the end of the week won’t be as cold as the Jan. 5-6 blast, but it’ll still bring us high temps. about 5-10 deg. colder than average. Also, some warm high temps. Sat.: 50 Augusta ME, 59 Boston, 73 Norfolk VA, 76 Wilmington NC, 84 Daytona Beach, 85 McAllen TX. Rainfall: 3.39″ Quillayute WA, 3.06 Athens Ga, 2.36″ Atlanta.
Over an inch of rain fell Friday night in Grand Haven, Muskegon (1.02″), Fremont (1.16″) and )Big Rapids 1.03″) and 3/4″ here in G.R. Kalamazoo and Battle Creek were just shy of 1/2″. There is a concern that the additional runoff into area rivers will cause the ice to break up, leading to possible ice jams. We’ll all see icy spots as temps. fall below freezing Sat. night. With the thaw, watch out for falling icicles. Observe odd/even parking applicable. Clear fire hydrants, drains and downspouts. While we got rain, the U.P. got snow. Here’s the GRR NWS forecast discussion, current Michigan temperatures, and a national weather map. Here’s the NAM model 84-hour snowfall and GFS model snowfall thru 120-hours . Ice has been expanding rapidly on the Great Lakes. Tropical Storm Ian is a Category 4 hurricane in the South Pacific. Global snow cover in December has been increasing over the last 30 years. Week 50 in 2013 Northern Hemisphere snow cover 3rd highest on record, and increasing since 1966. More record high temperatures were set in the 1930s than any other decade. Lots of ice on Lake Michigan. WOW! Look at the rain they got in Palm Beach Co. Florida Thurs./Thurs. night! Wow again! Check out the Northern Lights in Norway (the CME did ramp up the auroras in the Arctic, but they never reached down to the Lower 48 this week. Here’s a pic. from northern Canada. Friday was a relatively warm day for January in the U.S.
NFL games: New Orleans at Seattle (4:30 Sat. on FOX) – rain, windy, mid-upper 40s. update – Seattle wins INDY at New England (8:15 pm Sat. on CBS – showers, windy, upper 40s). update – New England wins. San Francisco at Carolina (1:05 pm – FOX) – mostly sunny, low-mid 50s. San Diego at Denver (4:40 pm on CBS) – partly cloudy, breezy low 40s. The last 4 Super Bowl winners have been the visiting team playing the Philadelphia Eagles for their home opener…weird…that would mean the Chargers win this one.
Model update from Friday night’s data: Winter’s coming back. First we see a few lingering rain showers today (Sat.) changing to flurries before ending. FREEZE-UP Saturday night…all the puddles – the slush – is going to freeze…so slippery spots on the roads Sat. night thru the morning Sunday, mainly side streets, rural roads, sidewalks, parking lots and driveways. Sunday PM we get a little above freezing and we’re into the upper 30s on Monday. The NAM has a couple light rain showers on Mon., but the GFS and Euro. are dry. Snow comes earlier on the GFS with 0.24″ precip. for G.R. (that could be 3-4″ of snow) Tues. The Euro. has 0.33″ coming late Tues. into Tues. night…that’s a solid 4″ of snow. Weds. is snow showers and cold – low 20s (mid 20s tops) Weds. PM. Thurs. we briefly head back to 33-35 with a strong SW wind…then it’s back to cold with highs in the low 20s Fri. and Sat. at best. Sunday (the 19th) is only 25 on the Euro., but back to 30 on the GFS. The Euro. has another 2-3″ of snow Thurs. night to Sat. AM. This cold air won’t be as cold as the Jan. 6-8 batch, but it’ll make for a great next weekend for winter sports with fresh snow and cool, but not brutally cold temps.
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers as the cold air continues. Here’s some river water temps. Check out our new Lakes and Rivers Webpage.