Weekend

January 11th, 2014 at 1:43 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local SUN. Early AM  -  Breezy and cool this Sunday with temps. in the mid-upper 30s during the PM (a little below freezing in the AM, so watch for icy spots on lesser traveled roads, driveways, sidewalks and parking lots).  BTW, Sat. was a big day for wind damage from t-storms from SE Alabama and N. Florida to far SE Virginia.  There were nearly 200 reports of wind damage, inc. an 86 mph wind gust at the Raleigh NC airport and an 82 mph gust at Toano VA.  A school building sustained significant damage in Hampton VA.  Today may be the only dry day of the week.  Monday we get a light mix with temps. reaching the mid-upper 30s…Tuesday we get snow…a couple inches perhaps (the European would give us 3-4″, the GFS maybe 2″)…Weds. is chilly with snow showers, low 20s most of the PM, Thursday it’s a windy low 30s, Friday, Saturday and Sunday look chilly with daytime temps. in the low 20s and snow showers.   No big storms this week, but it’ll be back to winter with several days of accumulating snow and slick spots on the roads.  The European prints out a total of 0.45″ precipitation from Tue. to Sat. and that would be pretty much all snow…that would be a good 6-10″ for G.R. total and could even be more than that if the lake-effect gets going with the cold air coming in this week.   It also looks like a rather breezy week.  This batch of cold air coming for Weds. and the end of the week won’t be as cold as the Jan. 5-6 blast, but it’ll still bring us high temps. about 5-10 deg. colder than average.   Also, some warm high temps. Sat.:  50 Augusta ME, 59 Boston, 73 Norfolk VA, 76 Wilmington NC, 84 Daytona Beach, 85 McAllen TX.  Rainfall:  3.39″ Quillayute WA, 3.06 Athens Ga, 2.36″ Atlanta.

Over an inch of rain fell Friday night in Grand Haven, Muskegon (1.02″), Fremont (1.16″) and )Big Rapids 1.03″) and 3/4″ here in G.R.   Kalamazoo and Battle Creek were just shy of 1/2″. There is a concern that the additional runoff into area rivers will cause the ice to break up, leading to possible ice jams.  We’ll all see icy spots as temps. fall below freezing Sat. night. With the thaw, watch out for falling icicles. Observe odd/even parking  applicable.  Clear fire hydrants, drains and downspouts.  While we got rain, the U.P. got snow.   Here’s the GRR NWS forecast discussion, current Michigan temperatures, and a national weather map. Here’s the NAM model 84-hour snowfall and GFS model snowfall thru 120-hours . Ice has been expanding rapidly on the Great Lakes.   Tropical Storm Ian is a Category 4 hurricane in the South PacificGlobal snow cover in December has been increasing over the last 30 years.  Week 50 in 2013 Northern Hemisphere snow cover 3rd highest on record, and increasing since 1966.   More record high temperatures were set in the 1930s than any other decadeLots of ice on Lake Michigan.  WOW!  Look at the rain they got in Palm Beach Co. Florida Thurs./Thurs. night!  Wow again!  Check out the Northern Lights in Norway (the CME did ramp up the auroras in the Arctic, but they never reached down to the Lower 48 this week.  Here’s a pic. from northern Canada.   Friday was a relatively warm day for January in the U.S.

NFL games:  New Orleans at Seattle (4:30 Sat. on FOX) – rain, windy, mid-upper 40s.  update – Seattle wins   INDY at New England (8:15 pm Sat. on CBS – showers, windy, upper 40s).  update – New England wins.    San Francisco at Carolina (1:05 pm – FOX) – mostly sunny, low-mid 50s.   San Diego at Denver (4:40 pm on CBS) – partly cloudy, breezy low 40s.   The last 4 Super Bowl winners have been the visiting team playing the Philadelphia Eagles for their home opener…weird…that would mean the Chargers win this one.

Model update from Friday  night’s data:  Winter’s coming back.  First we see a few lingering rain showers today (Sat.) changing to flurries before ending.  FREEZE-UP Saturday night…all the puddles – the slush – is going to freeze…so slippery spots on the roads Sat. night thru the morning Sunday, mainly side streets, rural roads, sidewalks, parking lots and driveways.   Sunday PM we get a little above freezing and we’re into the upper 30s on Monday.  The NAM has a couple light rain showers on Mon., but the GFS and Euro. are dry.  Snow comes earlier on the GFS with 0.24″ precip. for G.R. (that could be 3-4″ of snow) Tues.  The Euro. has 0.33″ coming late Tues. into Tues. night…that’s a solid 4″ of snow.  Weds. is snow showers and cold – low 20s (mid 20s tops) Weds. PM.  Thurs. we briefly head back to 33-35 with a strong SW wind…then it’s back to cold with highs in the low 20s Fri. and Sat. at best.  Sunday (the 19th) is only 25 on the Euro., but back to 30 on the GFS.   The Euro. has another 2-3″ of snow Thurs. night to Sat. AM.   This cold air won’t be as cold as the Jan. 6-8 batch, but it’ll make for a great next weekend for winter sports with fresh snow and cool, but not brutally cold temps.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers as the cold air continues. Here’s some river water temps. Check out our new Lakes and Rivers Webpage.

134 Responses to “Weekend”

  1. Mike M. says:

    This weather sucks! Bring back the snow!

  2. WswPlz says:

    Now that’s a better headline then 100% rain, at least it has the word snow and the rain is defined as sprinkles. Thanks Bill for changing the bold print. Lol

  3. WswPlz says:

    Bill could you please go into your master weather control room and flip the switch to the LES machine back to the on position. I would for ever be in your debt. Thanks Bill you’re the best!! WSW….

  4. Jack says:

    Sports Note: Go INDY’S !!!!!! Colts !!!! ;-)

  5. WswPlz says:

    On that note que: Go Niners!! San Fran vs. Indy…… :)

  6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Imagine that! I still have about 10-12 inches of snow cover left!Who knew?

  7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    GR will be picking up 6-10 inches of SNOW next week! Mainly clippers and lake effect! The COLD and SNOW will be ROCKING! Remember GR will be seeing 100+ inches of SNOW this season! I love it!

    1. spoon (sunfield) says:

      Not a chance. I would be surprised if grand rapids made it to 75 inches total for the season

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        By the end of next week GR will already have over 60 inches of SNOW! We will have 75 inches by the end of end of January and a 100 inches by the end of February! Mark it down baby!

        1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

          Yea, winter isn’t even half way done and we have over 50 inches of snow, at this rate GR could see totals approach the 100 mark (that is if the pattern doesn’t break)

        2. INDYY says:

          lol!! INDYY!

      2. Ned S. (Now in South Holland) says:

        So Spoon, you don’t believe we’ll end up with 75 inches of snow, even though we’ve had over 50 inches so far? You don’t believe we’ll receive 25 inches during the next two months? I hope you’re not a betting man.

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          He is delusional like a few other people on the blog. They have a hard time facing reality! We are headed for a ton of COLD and SNOW so get used to it!

  8. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Have you heard – COLD and SNOW is coming next week and beyond!!!

  9. dj2450 says:

    Move any snow/snow banks that may be in your way. After this weekend you won’t be able to move it until it melts.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Good advice. I did it on Thursday before all of this mess. It is amazing to me how much snow actually builds up on the layer of your driveway that gets packed down on the driveway. I thought mine was pretty clear after snow blowing it on Thursday night. I got home last night during the rain, and there must have been several inches of slush that I stepped in to!

  10. Todd in Nunica says:

    Me personally I would like a return to early Dec weather, couple inches here, couple inches there not real cold, and all fluffy snow…Lol we had our late fall severe storms, early winter snow white Christmas, a bona fide ice storm, lots of lake effect, extreme cold, a monster synoptic storm, and a Jan thaw….seems this winter SHOULD have covered all the bases…..so let’s just finish Jan and Feb with 2-3……2″ snowfalls each week…..it’s not to much to ask…Lol and in the end if that happens GR well get 100″ and that seems to be the last of the”wish list” I see from others.

    1. dj2450 says:

      +1 I think the only thing left is thundersnow.

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      +2

    3. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Yes, please! So disappointing that right after we get an awesome snowpack the temps skyrocket and we don’t even get a chance to enjoy the fluff.

  11. SW Kent says:

    16 inches of snow on the ground Thursday. Just measued 7 inches this AM. More melting tomorrow with sun. More melting Monday. I still think my prediction of losing 80 percent of our snow on the ground will be accurate come Tuesday. Hoping we can get it all back.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      So far, your prediction is looking pretty good.

    2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Eh, as it freezes at night, it will slow down the melting process. We aren’t supposed to get much above freezing after this weekend, and the sun is at its lowest.

  12. BIG MAC says:

    sw kent says 5 more days till the green grass shows toke toke toke

    1. SW Kent says:

      yeah, that’s what I said…..

  13. INDYY says:

    DID IT EVEN RAIN LAST NIGHT ???? WE HAD 0.17 OF RAIN OUT AT THEE YARDofBRICKS!! BACK TO WINTER NOW!!!! INDYY……..

  14. Jim S (North of Parchment) says:

    Does anyone know to what extent the northern lower peninsula had freezing rain last night? I checked a couple of news sources but there wasn’t much mention of icing conditions.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      It looks like less than a quarter inch…

      Au sable got .2 and Manistee got .1 of an inch.

      http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=apx&product=lsr&issuedby=APX&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0

      1. Jim S (North of Parchment) says:

        Thanks.

    2. bluegill says:

      We had roughly a quarter inch in NE Grand Traverse County – started about 8pm. It sure made the back roads icy, but about noon today it started snowing and went below freezing. The fresh snow on top of the wet back roads provided some traction. Not much snow melted.

  15. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    The snow is disappearing fast. Pot holes are popping up. Big chunks of asphalt and concrete everywhere. Steady rain and fog.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Yep, it is making a dent that is for sure. Still complete coverage over here but down to about 5″ average. My shoveling piles are still about 4′ high. Christmas lights are coming down the second there is a rain break, I’ve been waiting for a warmer day.

  16. DF (SE Mich) says:

    The Detroit NWS updated their cold summery with all the record set this past week. Good info for the stat junkies.
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=dtx&storyid=99484&source=0

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      Nice info there
      SlimJim

    2. BigCountry(Wyoming, MI) says:

      Nice find DF, thanks for sharing.

  17. Dan says:

    Spoon even if we did not receive any other synoptic snows our chances for going above 75. are better then good! I know, Bill said due to the Lake freezing over LES would be less. Howvever, I’m thinking we receive 95 to 100 inches of snow this season!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Dan it is hard to use logic and facts with people that are delusional!

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Just so we’re straight, anyone that disagrees with you is automatically delusional?

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          No only the ones that do not face reality and look at the facts right in front of their face!

        2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Oh good. Otherwise, color me delusional. :-)

        3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          LOL

    2. John (Holland) says:

      According to Acculess, Holland will see another 45 inches before March. Caveats aside, I think it’s totally realistic to see 100+ inches by spring.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        That is the spirit – someone that is actually looking at reality!!

  18. Haanstar says:

    Anyone having issues with water getting into their homes with this rain?

  19. Dan says:

    My NFL pick for this weekend……San Diego over Denver! I know , Peyton is having a grat season! He has a bit of a history for flaming out. San Diego hasgot it going!

  20. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Good News – the rain is done and the COLD and SNOW is on the way!!!

    1. SW Kent says:

      We actually have 2 more days of above normal temp’s Rocky, then more snow and cold.

  21. Mike (southeast Berrien county) says:

    I have had between 55-60 inches so far this winter here. Last year my total was only around 65. At this rate 100″ or more is definitely reachable.

  22. Mike (southeast Berrien county) says:

    Also noticed South Haven already at 70″ for the season. Last yr they had 72″ total. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=grr

  23. Dan says:

    Rocky you have been 100% on the mark! Keep it going! Snow and more snow. I also read that we may have another polar vortex!

  24. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    41 degrees and rain. Grass starting to show here and there. Might as well melt it all now as the snow has become worthless for any type of winter activity really. Back roads are pretty much impassable right now. Solid ice.

    40 and sunny on Sunday should feel nice.

    1. dj2450 says:

      Actually a hard crusty base with several inches of powder snow on top makes good conditions for most outdoor activities. I snowboard and conditions should be great if we get more snow on top of what we have left. I would think this is also true for snowmobiles, X country skiing etc…

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        + one trillion and of course Travis has no idea what he is talking about!

      2. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Exactly. No difference between the condensed ice snow and the cold hard ground. We will need new snow before able to do anything. Perhaps Tuesday?

        1. dj2450 says:

          There is a difference if we get more snow on top of the condensed ice snow. When making a sharp turn on a snowboard it’s much better to hit a solid snow base underneath than hard ground. I think we all agree we need more snow before conditions will be good for anything.

        2. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

          Huge difference for snowmobiling between having an icy snow pack with fresh snow on top compared to just a hard ground with fresh snow on top.

  25. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Here we are on this morning of January 11th 2014. And one of the issues that have came up is just how much snow will Grand Rapids receive for the winter of 2013/14? Right now GR is around 53” so far this winter and there has been some discussion as to if GR will go over 100” of snow fall this winter. Looking back one can tell that Grand Rapids at is several reporting stations has only officially recorded over 100” of snow 7 times. And that’s going back to 1893/94. And while it has been a more common occurrence in the last 15 years its still is in reality not all that common (officially being recorded) looking ahead in the next 3 months or so lake effect is going to become less and less of a player and even when it is there will be less and less of it (as we move later into the season) that is unless we have a very long and very warm spell in the next two or three weeks. Now getting to how much snow well GR get? At this point over 75” looks like a very good bet. 85” in a good bet over 95” very reachable but much less of a sure thing and over 100” yes its reachable but we less lake effect that becomes less of a sure bet. So what is my guess? Right now I would guess some where between 85 and 95” of course a few big storms could put us over that amount and a cold dry or a warm rainy February and March very well put back in the 75” or less range.
    SlimJim

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Welcome to the wild side SlimJim! Even you with your conservative nature is now predicting 85 to 95 inches of SNOW for GR! I find that amazing and welcome news! It you are predicting 95 inches I like my prediction of 100+ for GR. Keep in mind I made this prediction before even one flake of SNOW had fallen! Your original prediction was from 50 to 75 inches! I will bet you any amount of money that GR will be over 75 inches of SNOW this season!!!!

      1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

        Guessing snow fall amounts for a winter season is almost impossible to forecast even harder then temperature trends. A lot of things still have to come together yet for Grand Rapids to get over that 100” mark. While right now my guess is in the 85 to 95” range we will have a better idea in about one more month. Remember as we lose lake effect the snow fall inches are harder to come by.
        SlimJim

        1. dj2450 says:

          On the other hand you can become a weather guru by predicting the 4th of July weather now. Here’s my official 4th of July forecast.

          Some sun with clouds. Highs will be from 79 to 85. Some areas may approach the upper 80′s to near 90. There is a slight chance of a thunderstorm.

          I think I got this idea from accuweather.

      2. WswPlz says:

        I hope you’re correct with 100+ Rocky. So I’m betting with my heart and saying we will. If it were cash it might be a different story unless I was working with odds on my wager.

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          I will give you 2 to 1 odds if you take the under 100 inches!

        2. WswPlz says:

          According to NWS percip values?

        3. WswPlz says:

          I hate betting on something I don’t want to happen lol.( unless I’m in Vegas )And I really don’t want to take your money… Lol

    2. mr. negative says:

      189″

  26. WswPlz says:

    Here is some snowfall Data to hedge your bets. Have fun!!!!!

    2013 / Recorded/ Average / Departure
    January: 17.0″ 20.8″ -3.8″
    February: 33.1″ 14.8″ -14.3″
    March: 7.7″ 8.3″ -0.6″
    April: 0.7. 1.8″. -1.1″
    May: Trace amounts

    1. WswPlz says:

      Just Grand Rapids since that’s the topic in question. See who has the edge at the end of each month. :)

      1. WswPlz says:

        Feb. should read + 18.3.

  27. Dan says:

    JEM still showing a synoptic snow event for the 18th ? How much?

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Bring it!

  28. The 12z ECMWF run would bring a solid 3-5 inches of snow for much of the lower Peninsula during the Wednesday-Thursday time period.

    1. I think it may even be a more impressive system than that so will want to watch this one.

      1. SW Kent says:

        Mark. How much snow did you lose?

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Keep the GREAT news coming!

    2. John says:

      Snowfall map?

      1. WswPlz says:

        I would think we ( cedar springs) have lost 35-50% of our snow pack depending where you go. Maybe a bit more in places that are totally exposed to the elements.

        1. SW Kent says:

          We are now down to 6 inches in BC

  29. John says:

    The NWS long term sounds good, Rocky you’ll like it!

    .LONG TERM…(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
    ISSUED AT 311 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

    TWO SYSTEMS TO CONTEND WITH IN THE LONG TERM. FIRST ONE COMES IN
    TUESDAY…WITH ANOTHER ONE THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT. BEHIND BOTH
    SYSTEMS WE WILL SEE A SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR MOVE IN…THE MOST
    SIGNIFICANT SURGE WILL BE LATE IN THE WEEK.

    THE TUESDAY SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOOK BETTER FOR A STRIPE OF SNOW
    ACROSS THE CWA. THERE REMAINS TIMING DIFFERENCE IN THE MODELS WITH
    THE EURO BEING SLOWER WITH A MORE INTENSE SURFACE LOW. THE UPPER
    PATTERN SEEMS TO BE MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE EURO WOULD SUGGEST…
    SO FEEL WE WILL SEE MOST OF THE SNOW ON TUESDAY. HAVE INCREASED
    POPS TO CATEGORICAL OR LIKELY ACROSS THE CWA. ALONG WITH A BIT OF
    LAKE EFFECT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT…WITH H8 TEMPS FALLING TO AROUND
    -14C… THIS LOOKS MORE LIKE A 3 TO 6 INCH SNOWFALL…HEAVIEST
    OCCURRING ALONG AND NORTH OF I-96.

    THE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN SHOULD PUT US BACK INTO WARM ADVECTION
    WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS A STRONG NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM
    MOVES ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. THIS LOOKS LIKE A VERY WINDY
    SYSTEM WITH AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
    WE SHOULD SEE SOME SNOW WITH THE FRONT…AND THEN AGAIN WITH THE
    LAKE EFFECT BEHIND THE FRONT FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE LAKE
    EFFECT POTENTIAL LOOKS MORE IMPRESSIVE THAN DOES THE FRONTAL SNOW.
    FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE A VERY BLUSTERY DAY WITH H8 TEMPS DROPPING TO
    AROUND -19C AND DAYTIME TEMPS MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 20. SURFACE
    RIDGING IS INDICATED FOR SATURDAY…SO THE LAKE EFFECT SHOULD
    DIMINISH TO FLURRIES.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      I like and it just confirms what I have already predicted. It is nice to see the NWS agree with me :)

    2. WswPlz says:

      I hope this holds true because it’s about time for the counties to the north to get the brunt of the snow. I’m a little tired of 96 to 94 corridor and the everything south of a line . How about gr and north of a line a few times. Seems like Kalamazoo gets all the good weather, in summer as well. I’m not complaining about this start, however I would just like to be in the cross hairs a couple of times this year.

  30. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    While on weekends this is a 100% automated version it still can show trends and according the today’s CPC long range guess there looks just like I had thought that some of that warmer air off to the west will work its way into our area.
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

    Also the next week has a good amount of up and downs to it almost what one would expect in late February leading into March. One has to wonder maybe, just maybe the worst of this winter may be behind us and the rest of the winter may be milder with less snow fall. And of course that could put the end to the dreams of some personas on the blog of their 100+ inches of snow fall this winter. Not saying that it will happen but there is a chance of it playing out that way. Stay tuned.
    SlimJim

    1. Jacob G says:

      GFS is the main culprit here. Looking at other model suites we continue with polar air and some artic air returning later this month into Feb. Everytime warm air comes the cold is right behind it and has been the case since last fall.

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      About time, I am ready.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        +1

      2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        -1

    3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      We will be seeing very few days with above average temps the rest of this month and I will take all bets concerning GR hitting 100+ inches of SNOW this season. It is almost a lock! COLD and SNOW Rocks!

    4. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Ripped straight from the GFS. Even now it is starting to see the error of it’s ways.

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        For example, GFS has COMPLETELY flipped from Thursday to today for the long range…

        http://t.co/oLNAcgtICe

  31. bluegill says:

    The Grand Traverse County Road Commission reported 105.3 inches of snow as of 8 a.m. on Jan. 8. Will be interesting to see if the pattern continues. The road commission measures in several locations whereas the NWS only measures at Munson Medical Center.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      NICE!

  32. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The SNOW track is headed right at us for the next month or so! Can you say SNOW, COLD and more SNOW!!!

    http://wxcaster4.com/cfs/NORTH-AMERICA_CFS-NODE1_SFC_45DAY-ACCUM-PRECIP_180HR.gif

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Your enthusiasm is admirable.

      1. WswPlz says:

        Very nice, now just add some yellow to our cwa and were in business.!!

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          We may pick up over 50 inches of SNOW by the end Feb! I love it!

  33. INDYY says:

    BILL INDY’S COLTS ARE READY TO ROLL!!! LIKE THEE SNOW !!! INDYY!!

    1. Jack says:

      GOOO NEFFUUU ” INDY’S “!!! Colts!! ..stayCued….says….Uncle JACK ;-) . ;-)

    2. Jack says:

      Here’ 2… INDY….. ” COLTS” at The YARDof BRICKS !!!! http://vantrading.weebly.com/uploads/5/9/9/4/5994333/3090966.jpg?490. Staycccuuuuueeedddd”"”"” INDY.. ;-)

      1. SW Kent says:

        Go Brady from Meeeeechigan.

  34. Dan says:

    Seattle is an excellent team!

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Yes they are. All 4 games this weekend should be awesome. Now GO PATRIOTS!!!

      1. WswPlz says:

        Seattle is a great team, that’s for sure. Now I just need the Niners to win and have our grudge match with Seattle. I’m most likely the only one on this blog who is San Fran. fan. Anyways back to the weather.

        1. Brian(Grandville) says:

          Seattle, and San Fran. WILL be a GREAT game.

      2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Wow they made light work of the colts.

  35. Dan says:

    Did you see those winds whipping in Seattle? That energy headed for us?

    1. Jack says:

      Dan, Here is a JEM Saturday UPDATE Re: Snow Storm Jan.18th !! STILL ON TRACK !!! ForYET ANOTHER JEM Bingo !! How many would that Be in a ROW!!! Stay Cued , Tuned…. And Get ready 2////////. ” Rock -~ N>>>> ROOOOLLLL. !!! ;-) . Go…colts !!! ;-)

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        The JEM is by far the best long range model in the world!! Bring on the storm!

        1. Jack says:

          http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0YAcoDkj_dI. Stay cued,,,Rocky,,,,, “The BIGGEYY of 2014 coming Up in Feb. As Well. Winter Folks think The JEM is SWELL !! If only I Could program The JEM , to predict SEVERE Weather!!!! I’d Be a MILLIONARE !!! ;-)

  36. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    This clipper is headed right at us! COLD, WIND and about 4 inches of SNOW is on the way! ROCK n ROLL will never die! The winter to remember is upon us! ENJOY!!

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        Looking good.

      2. Stevekentcity says:

        Dude give it a break! Wow!

        1. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

          He can’t. He’s gone off the deep end.
          Going nuts about 4 inches which will melt when the warm-up comes next week.

          Do what I do – just scroll by them everytime his name comes up.

        2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Then you must do a lot of scrolling.

        3. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

          Unfortunately, yes. I really come here to read some informative tidbits that a handful (who are smarter with weather than we are) can provide.

          It’s tiresome and annoying (as you know) to see it so cluttered with such repetitive nonsense.

        4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Just the facts boys! Get used to it!

        5. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          But is it necessary to post your “facts” over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over…

          Seriously, is there a reason? And we wonder why the blog crashed the other night.

        6. Dan says:

          TomKap if the comments bother you so much why keep on replying to them?

        7. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Why do you care that TomKap is sick of the constant trolling by Rocky and a few others. Alot of people are tired of it. It’s winter and we all know it. Nothing abnormal about it.

        8. Barry in Zeeland says:

          It’s the classic form of trolling. Keep throwing the same posts out there over and over and over and eventually someone will bite. Then you turn on them and bash them because their views may differ from yours. I’ve said this before, they’re like the weather “Hitlers” of the blog. Conform to their views and beliefs, or you will be persecuted for them.

        9. Dan says:

          Rodey you shouldn’t meddle. Tom Kap keeps making this point. Why not just scroll past without a comment?

  37. Mike (southeast Berrien county) says:

    Hoping the lake effect machine gets cranking this week as predicted. Any synoptic snowfall looks relatively light.

  38. kevin. w says:

    My gut feeling on this pattern. With the persistent western ridge this will allow more of a northwest flow I think through most of January and February. I also think will have alot of clipper type snow events ALTHOUGH I also feel that will get a couple two or three pretty big southwestern storms. My feeling once we get closer to March the south will have warmed up enough and the western ridge will flatten out and will have mostly a zonal to southwestern flow to allow more warmth (not alot) to come north and also bring more thundery and one synoptic snow event late in March and a bit more moisture north from the Gulf through the spring months. If you look at the pattern were in its definitely a northwest flow pattern but as time goes by will reverse this as we get into spring. MHO. :)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Keep it coming!

  39. Dan says:

    Its a weather blog for crying out loud! Some people just take this way too serious! Winter weather is always enjoyable to talk about. Will it be snow, ice, wind, freezing rain etc! Lake Michigan’s influence on our weather is incredible!

  40. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Hit 44 degrees here yesterday… +17 degrees above average.

    The rest of the snow left is hanging on for dear life. How’s the Tuesday storm looking? NWS seems to be taking only about a weak 1-3″ clipper now.

    Thaw #2 is coming:
    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      And four days prior you were -29.

      What’s truly amazing is that January will be the third straight month below average.

      Oh and your link shows you as “average.”

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        If that’s truly amazing to you, then what do you call the six consecutive above average months I had just this spring/summer? ha

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          An anomaly. I noticed you stressed “I” and not “we.”

        2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Ha

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      January 1-15 4.1 degrees colder than average for Flint and 5.9 deg. colder than average for Lansing.

  41. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Here is a really informative video from Joe Bastardi and WeatherBell of the possibility of our next cold outbreak in late January and through February.

    http://www.weatherbell.com/saturday-summary-january-11-2014

    1. WswPlz says:

      Thanks for the link, good vid for the most part.

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