Friday MorningJanuary 16th, 2014 at 1:27 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
The heaviest snow Thursday was in Muskegon and Oceana Counties where 3-6″ of snow was reported. Roads have slick spots, esp. in the lakeshore counties. We’ll still have a few snow showers and flurries around today. Check out the coming cold on the GFS. It has the coldest air relative to average in S. Wisconsin, close to 20 degrees below average! How much ice do you think there will be on the Great Lakes by Feb. 10?
For the 2nd day in a row, check the Daily Climate Report. Note that the high temperature yesterday (1/16) was 1 degree warmer than average, the low temperature was 1 degree cooler than average. So…you would think that average would be zero degrees from average…but no, the average is +1 degree. Global warming with a mouse click!
The models take the Saturday PM system across N. Illnois southeast into Indiana. The European model gives G.R. just 0.02″ precipitation, the GFS plot has 0.07″ for G.R….so we may get a dusting up to G.R. and a couple inches in Berrien Co. The models are very cold
Previous: Note the difference from 3:54 pm to 4:54 pm Weds. at Monterrey, California (with hardly any wind! Note the dewpoint rise with the temperature drop). The 83-degree temperature in Monterrey was warmer than ANY DAY they had in July or August last year…in fact only May 2 (87), June 28 (84), Oct. 5 (86) and Oct. 6 (85) were warmer. Regarding the Weather Channel being dropped by DirectTV: “DIRECTV tells WSJ that it has only lost 20 subscribers since the blackout”. The temperature rose 56 deg,. at Grand Forks ND on Weds….from a low of -17 to a high of 39. WOW, GFS Meteogram for Chicago…look out daughter #1 that is COLD!! The Australian Tennis Open has been delayed by record heat. The high temperatures in Melbourne the past couple days have been 110 and 109. The average high is 78. However, despite these 2 days, Melbourne is only 3.7 deg. warmer than avg. for January – a week ago, they had 2 days with highs in the 60s.
Also: Most East Pacific Blocking Ever since 1948, Forced By Warm SST Pool for OctNovDec 2013. In general, when the EPO is positive, you usually get troughing in the Western U.S. (or at least zonal flow). This tends to keep the coldest air bottled up in N. Canada in the winter. When the EPO is negative, you tend to get a ridge in the West and a trough in the East. This allows cold air to flow south into the Great Lakes and Eastern U.S. The ridge also produces dry conditions in the Western U.S. This year the EPO has been strongly negative…and we’ve had a big ridge in the West (and a big drought in California) and a trough and cold weather in most areas east of the Rockies. Sukayu, Japan has 134″ of snow on the ground! That’s over 11 feet!
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers as the cold air continues. Here’s some river water temps. Check out our new Lakes and Rivers Webpage.