Morning Pictures and Long RangeJanuary 21st, 2014 at 12:20 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Here’s some pics. this AM from the GLERL cameras in S. Haven (see the 2 people walking out on the ice), the Muskegon Channel (some open water) and Chicago (where they had 7″ of new snow yesterday evening). Long-range outlook: All the models are colder than average for this week and next in Michigan. The CFSvf2 is cold for the next three weeks and pretty much thru most of February. The European model is cold for this week and next and is now trending colder for week 3. Hinting at a break in about 3 weeks is a ridge that is expected to form in the Bering Strait. Often a ridge in the Bering Strait corresponds to a ridge in the eastern U.S….but there’s more suggesting the cold sticks around than suggesting a pattern break to warm. From Joe Bastardi: “The 12z run of the GFS is as outrageous as I have ever seen for cold. I have a tough time believing it can stay that cold for that long.” Interesting low temp. tonight from the RUC model: +5 Muskegon, -7 for G.R. around midnight, -16 for Lansing and Mt. Pleasant. WOW, the morning run of the GFS plot doesn’t give G.R. anything warmer than 26 deg. in the next 15 days! It’s overdone, but still!! It’s not just the cold, it’s the length of time we sit in this Arctic air! It’s relentless. The 384-hr. GFS has a snowstorm for us…but way too far out (2/5-7) to get excited about. Here’s Chicago area snow totals.
In other news: Look at the difference in one hour as the snowstorm moves into New York. Huge storm w/ hurricane force winds north of Hawaii will bring some of the biggest waves in a decade, up to 50ft to Aloha state! Here’s the Hawaii surf forecast. The temperature could be 16-22 with a wind chill of 0 to +5 for the Super Bowl.