Snow, Wind, Drifting, Very ColdJanuary 24th, 2014 at 2:09 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Friday 11:45 pm – Bands of heavier lake-enhanced snow amid with a general light snow. The heaviest snow has been north of a line from Saugatuck to Ionia. It’s still windy. Some rural roads are drifting shut. It stays windy with drifting snow all night, but we’ve already seen our fastest wind gusts. Peak gusts Friday: 59 mph Ludington beach, 59 mph Holland beach, 58 mph Muskegon beach, 58 mph Grand Haven channel, 53 mph Roosevelt Park near Muskegon, 52 mph Muskegon Airport, 51 mph Castle Park – Allegan Co., 49 mph GVSU at Muskegon Lake, 49 mph Cadillac, 48 mph Cadillac, 47 mph Ionia, 47 mph Weare – Oceana Co., 47 mph Hersey – Osceola Co., 47 mph Allendale, 47 mph GVSU downtown G.R., 46 mph Boatwerks on Lake Macatawa – Holland, 44 mph Fremont, 44 mph Battle Creek, 43 mphWoodland – Barry Co, 43 mph Ithaca – Gratioit Co., 41 mph Daybreak Church – Greenville, 40 mph Portage, 38 mph Lansing, 46 mph Holland Airport, 39 mph Jenison, 37 mph Grand Rapids airport, 37 mph Kalamazoo Airport, 38 mph S. Haven airport. Visibilities drop to 1/4 mile in the snow (and blowing snow) and it really gets nasty in the heavier snow. The wind is causing drifting across mainly rural roads. Coldest wind chills Friday morning: -28 Kalamazoo, -26 Benton Harbor and Marshall, -25 Battle Creek, Coldwater, -21 Grand Rapids, -20 S. Haven, Holland and Ionia, -9 Big Rapids, -7 Muskegon
Expect winds this morning of 20-25 mph with gusts of 30-35 mph. Gusts could top 45 mph at the Lake Michigan shoreline. The wind will cause considerable blowing and drifting snow. The coldest wind chill factors (mostly 0 to -10 this PM) There will be more snow going sideways than coming down at times. We’ll get more snow after sunset than before in areas southeast of G.R. Roads will get snow-covered and slippery. Visibilities will be quite low at times with the blowing snow.
Model update: NAM (caribou) for G.R. has only 1/4″ of snowfall this afternoon, but a total of 3.7″ by daybreak Saturday. The peak wind is 28 mph during the early-mid afternoon. The maximum temp. is 25 before daybreak Saturday with temps. falling to 9 by Sat. evening and 3 by daybreak Sunday. Then it has 7.7″ of snow from the 2nd system starting mid-morning Sunday thru Sunday night (the NAM (caribou is often too high with snowfall totals). The temperature rises to 29 Sunday PM. A cold front comes thru in the evening with the wind increasing to 25 mph. We’re back to +3 deg. by daybreak Monday. The GFS plot has a peak wind for G.R. today of 27 mph at 1-2 PM, snow starts about mid-afternoon in G.R. (earlier to the north and northwest) and 0.21 by Sat AM (most of the snow is Fri. night). The maximum temperature is 27 before daybreak Saturday with the temp. falling to +5 by Sat. evening. Snow starts to fall again Sunday AM and it snows, mostly lightly all the way into Weds. 0.13″ Sun./Sun. night (2″ snow) and an inch or two each for Mon. Tues. and maybe Weds., too. The GFS plot has a Monday afternoon temp. of +9 and a Tues. PM temp. of just +4 (that’s all). Weds. we’re back to 12 and Thurs. a balmy 23. It also shows several inches of snow around Groundhog Day. The European would give us close to 4″ of snow, mainly Friday evening and another 2-3″ Sunday PM/Night with perhaps an inch each day Mon-Weds. The European has the temperature peaking around 29 at daybreak Saturday down to 4 above Sun. AM, then up to 25 in the snow Sun. pm…Monday’s high is 19 at 12:01 am and it’s 6 above at mid-afternoon, Tuesday’s high temp. is 8, Wednesday 14, Thursday mid 20s and then only mid teens on Friday, back to the upper 20s on Sat. the 1st of Feb. We’re havin’ a winter!
Note on the high temperature map from Thursday that Lake Michigan had a very significant warming effect on our air. Muskegon had a high of 19 and Grand Rapids made 18. To find a temperature warmer than that, you would have had to go at least as far as Paducah, KY. The high temperature in Lafayette IN was only 3, Fort Wayne was 5, Dayton 6, Cincinnati 8, St. Louis 14. Other cold highs: 19 Denver CO and Amarillo TX, 17 Harrison AR, 22 Nashville TN, 21 New York City, -1 Dubuque, -5 Minneapolis and Duluth, -2 Sault Ste. Marie. There was snow down to S. Louisiana and one of our computer models is forecasting measurable snow for Talahassee FL with shovelable snow in E. Georgia and the coastal Carolinas! Core of the cold – N. Plains, Great Lakes and Northeast. Heavy snow possible in the Eastern U.P.
Also, the abandoned Ghost Ship. Cool rainbow pic. 24″ of snow in 36 hours on Beaver Is. Comparison of Great Lakes ice cover in 1993 and 2014. Green Bay has had 23 days below zero already this winter…5th most ever…2nd place assured, can they beat out 1976-77 for first place? 2nd highest ice cover on the Great Lakes for this date in the satellite era (since 1979). Ice cover is more than double average for 1/24.
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers