TuesdayJanuary 28th, 2014 at 2:42 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Tuesday: Look at the 6-hour satellite loop for Lower Michigan here – you can see it’s clear south of a line from Benton Harbor to Lansing with clouds and some lake-effect flurries to the north. You can see the ice on the west side of the lake (seems to be moving east a little) that is shortening the distance that the air is over open water by about 15-20 miles.
We continue both the Winter Weather Advisory (for the lakeshore counties and the next set of counties inland – Kalamazoo Co. was dropped from the Advisory) and the Wind Chill Warning (for all areas) until 7 am Weds. Snow flurries have been confined mainly to the lakeshore counties into W. Kent and Newaygo Counties. Most areas won’t be quite as cold tonight as last night.
Models: WOW…just saw the morning run of the Japanese model for next Tues. – Thurs…it says: “Winter? You ain’t seen NUTHIN’ yet!” Heckuva storm…biggest at least since the Groundhog Day Storm. We’ll see afternoon temps. from 5-10 above today. It’ll be back to 17 Weds. PM, but it’s windy on Weds. The NAM model takes winds back to 15-20 mph today and 15-25 mph on Weds. and Thurs. Snowfall forecasts off the NAM (caribou) for Thurs. PM/night: 2.4″ G.R., 3.4″ MKG, 5.1″ Ludington, 1.5″ LAN, 1.9″ Kalamazoo, 1.1″ Pontiac, 3.1″ Big Rapids, 1.8″ Mt. Pleasant, 3″ Cadillac, 1.9″ S. Haven and 2.5″ Holland. The GFS plot has 2.8″ for G.R., 1.8″ Kalamazoo, 3″ Muskegon, 3.6″ Ludington, 1.6″ Lansing. It prints out 0.13″ for Saturday, or about 2″ of snow and it gives high temps. of 9 today, 18 on Weds., 26 on Thurs…steady mid teens on Fri., low-mid 20s Sat., 21 Sun, 24 Mon, 21 Tues…and it stays chill up to 2/12. The European gives us a snowstorm on Saturday with a little over 1/2″ liquid equivalent or about 8″ of snow. It also gives G.R. 2-3″ Thurs. PM/Night.
Season Snowfall as of early Tues. morning (1/28): Grand Rapids 75.0″, Muskegon 93.0″, Holland 95.8″, Lansing 39.7, Kalamazoo (WMU) 75.5 (41.6″ in Jan. – most in Jan. the 16-year history of the WMU station), Oshtemo 84″. Snow cover: 23″ Muskegon, 23″ Kalamazoo, 22″ Grand Rapids, 18″ Lansing.
There’s a Winter Storm Warning for the coastal Carolinas for “over 3″ of snow plus significant freezing rain and ice accumulations. 3-4″ of snow is forecast for central Georgia…the same for NW Florida and the coastline Alabama, where they expect “significant freezing rain and up to 1-3″ of snow”. GFS point forecast (probably overdone) gives 13″ of snow to Myrtle Beach SC. Check out the NATIONAL HAZARDS MAP…and the MODIS Lake Michigan Satellite Picture from Mon. PM.
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.