Tuesday

January 28th, 2014 at 2:42 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local   Tuesday:   Look at the 6-hour satellite loop for Lower Michigan here – you can see it’s clear south of a line from Benton Harbor to Lansing with clouds and some lake-effect flurries to the north.  You can see the ice on the west side of the lake (seems to be moving east a little) that is shortening the distance that the air is over open water by about 15-20 miles.

We continue both the Winter Weather Advisory (for the lakeshore counties and the next set of counties inland – Kalamazoo Co. was dropped from the Advisory) and the Wind Chill Warning (for all areas) until 7 am Weds.   Snow flurries have been confined mainly to the lakeshore counties into W. Kent and Newaygo Counties.  Most areas won’t be quite as cold tonight as last night.

ModelsWOW…just saw the morning run of the  Japanese model for next Tues. – Thurs…it says:  “Winter?  You ain’t seen NUTHIN’ yet!”   Heckuva storm…biggest at least since the Groundhog Day Storm.     We’ll see afternoon temps. from 5-10 above today.  It’ll be back to 17 Weds. PM, but it’s windy on Weds.  The NAM model takes winds back to 15-20 mph today and 15-25 mph on Weds. and Thurs.  Snowfall forecasts off the NAM (caribou) for Thurs. PM/night:  2.4″ G.R., 3.4″ MKG, 5.1″ Ludington, 1.5″ LAN, 1.9″ Kalamazoo, 1.1″ Pontiac, 3.1″ Big Rapids, 1.8″ Mt. Pleasant, 3″ Cadillac, 1.9″ S. Haven and 2.5″ Holland.   The GFS plot has 2.8″ for G.R., 1.8″ Kalamazoo, 3″ Muskegon, 3.6″ Ludington, 1.6″ Lansing.  It prints out 0.13″ for Saturday, or about 2″ of snow and it gives high temps. of 9 today, 18 on Weds., 26 on Thurs…steady mid teens on Fri., low-mid 20s Sat., 21 Sun, 24 Mon, 21 Tues…and it stays chill up to 2/12.  The European gives us a snowstorm on Saturday with a little over 1/2″ liquid equivalent or about 8″ of snow.  It also gives G.R. 2-3″ Thurs. PM/Night.

Season Snowfall as of early Tues. morning (1/28):  Grand Rapids 75.0″, Muskegon 93.0″, Holland 95.8″, Lansing 39.7, Kalamazoo (WMU) 75.5 (41.6″ in Jan. – most in Jan.  the 16-year history of the WMU station), Oshtemo 84″.   Snow cover: 23″ Muskegon, 23″ Kalamazoo, 22″ Grand Rapids, 18″ Lansing.

There’s a Winter Storm Warning for the coastal Carolinas for “over 3″ of snow plus significant freezing rain and ice accumulations. 3-4″ of snow is forecast for central Georgia…the same for NW Florida and the coastline Alabama, where they expect “significant freezing rain and up to 1-3″ of snow”. GFS point forecast (probably overdone) gives 13″ of snow to Myrtle Beach SC.     Check out the NATIONAL HAZARDS MAP…and the MODIS Lake Michigan Satellite Picture from Mon. PM.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.

283 Responses to “Tuesday”

  1. Dikehopper (Fennville) says:

    Continuing on from my previous posts/comments.

    What saved us was a wood burning Heatilator fireplace.

    When we moved in, we added on to the living room (or, a “great room” of kitchen, dining area and living room). Including the Heatilator fireplace. And it really didn’t cost that much extra.

    Here is an illustration of how it works: http://toronto.kijiji.ca/c-buy-and-sell-home-renovation-materials-heating-cooling-air-Fireplace-Blower-Fan-Kit-NEW-OEM-Stay-Warm-This-Winter-W0QQAdIdZ543769452

    Since we had no electricity, the fan/blower in the fireplace didn’t work. But it still pumped out *lots* of heat. It kept the three bedroom, two story house relatively warm. We slept on the living room floor. Even though the furnace wouldn’t operate, we were never cold. We were cozy. It was a life-saver.

    We had the fireplace built outside the outside wall. We had it draw air from outside, not the living room. There was an adjustable vent for the outside air, so we could control the burn rate.

    We opened and closed the glass front doors as we wished.

    I split wood outside and brought it inside for the fireplace. Later, I wished we had added, what should I call it, a box so I could load wood from outside that was open to the inside. Two doors. Then I wouldn’t have had to carry wood through the house. Messy. (An idea I got earlier from my father.)

    We melted snow for drinking, cooking and the toilet. We cooked in the fireplace.

    The place was warm enough that I didn’t worry about frozen water pipes.

    My wife and I were isolated for six days, with none of the usual amenities. It was intimate, romantic. It was close, alone. No interference from the outside world. I loved it. I will never forget it.

    Anyways, what I have described is not hard nor expensive to do. You can do this with any outside wall. It may save you on your heating bill (the cost of wood vs natural gas). I have no doubt that it would pay for itself in resale value.

    You will have heat in an emergency.

    I now live in a mobile home. I see a window that would make a fine opening for a Heatilator type of fireplace. But I am too old and alone. I won’t do it.

    I can’t say for sure, but I think it would probably beat a pot-bellied stove.

    Some of you might want to look into this. Contact a building contractor for help and advice. *Get multiple bids.*

    In my next post, I will describe a double fireplace that my father built into our house maybe 55 years ago. It sure wasn’t cheap, but it sure as heck was fantastic. Heh, for those of you with money to burn.

    Maybe tomorrow.

  2. Brett says:

    Rocky and Indy what do you think for school CLOSINGS in kent

    1. yooper4021 says:

      And more importantly, who do you guys like in the Super Bowl?

    2. fixxxer says:

      I think brett should go to school.

  3. jtwolters Holland South says:

    We need to be in prayer that this weather subsides and that we get relief. I enjoy the weather, too, but this is devastating on people. My husband just got a call from a friend of ours who is a single mom and a bus driver and she hasn’t worked in a week. She doesn’t have money for food or gas. Our utility bills are going to be devastating as well. The effects this has on our local economy and people who live paycheck to paycheck is going to be brutal. My heart is breaking for those in need.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      +1

    2. Mike M. says:

      The One will help us. He will raise your utility rates AND make it colder than it is right now.

    3. Dikehopper (Fennville) says:

      Yes, jtwolters, you are right. I, too, worry about how some others can handle these things.

      But there are many support areas available. Be it federal, state, local gov’t… church, community, neighbors…

      Most *especially* in the Holland area. Hollanders (heh, “dikehoppers”) are very well known for being caring and generous.

      If in *true* need, just ask around. That is probably all it takes.

    4. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

      +50. But those common sense things fall on DEAF ears to most on this blog who pray for more devastation.

  4. INDY says:

    U know INDY still love’s Mr. Manning Go Broncos!! I said Sunday Schools would be closed Mon Tue And Most likely Wed. Sticking with my guns Brett most schools will be closed In west Michigan tomorrow….It’s still cold lots of roads are still full of ice!!! INDYY!!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Im positive most schools will be open.

  5. fixxxer says:

    I sense a little cold weather bias coming from woodtv. We all know this cold snap wont last too much longer.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Did you read the bold black text in the beginning of paragraph 3.

      1. Sandy(Hudsonville) says:

        Is this for this week or next??

        1. Brian (Grandville) says:

          Next week, it is a week out but something to keep an eye on for Tuesday/Wednesday.

        2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          Did you rad the big bold black text in the beginning of paragraph 3? :P just giving you a hard time, Sandy.

        3. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          Read :P

      2. Sandy(Hudsonville) says:

        I missed the word “next”. Oh well!

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      - one trillion!

  6. Glenn (Portage) says:

    so kzoo is in the warning until noon now? I would say that all schools here will be closed in that case!

  7. Ed (Coloma) says:

    The airport in Benton Harbor has measured 99 inches this winter.

    1. Brad (Van Buren) says:

      Nice!

  8. INDY says:

    I think fixer has a hard time reading bold print!! Just like getting warm going to be a hard time doing that in the next 3 months!!! Just facts!! INDYY…..

    1. Sandy(Hudsonville) says:

      LOL!! You are right!!

    2. fixxxer says:

      I read it. Still bias.

  9. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    About 2 months ago I made the prediction that GR would see 100+ inches of SNOW this season and of course most people said no way – it will not happen! As recently as a couple weeks ago there were still people on here saying that GR would not reach 100 inches this season! Is there still anyone out there that wants to say that GR will not see 100+ inches of SNOW this season? I am taking all bets and giving you 10 to 1 odds! I love it! Who knew baby?

    1. Brett says:

      You think schools in kent wil be closed tomorrow rocky?

  10. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    School closings in Kent County tomorrow? It is going to be a tough call. We need to get these kids back in school where they belong. Here are the challenges: -15 to -20 wind chills, icy roads, the GR area may be seeing a couple inches of SNOW tonight with drifted roads! My guess is that the major districts in and around GR will be open and the rural schools will be closed! Mark it down!

    1. Brian says:

      Knapp street between Ball and Dean’s Lake is a sheet of ice. Cars were getting stuck trying to go eastbound up that hill. That certainly won’t improve by tomorrow.

  11. gostateorgohome (zeeland) says:

    Possible Ottawa county and allegan county rural school closures or delays?

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Yes I feel that many schools in these two counties will be closed tomorrow!

  12. gostateorgohome (zeeland) says:

    I believe it depends how much snow and blowing we get with this lake effect…currently in holland/zeeland area all the roads are snow covered or glare ice.

  13. gostateorgohome (zeeland) says:

    Schools are saying they aren’t going to make the decision to close or stay open until tomorrow morning.

    1. Sandy(Hudsonville) says:

      How do you know this?

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        Makes sense. If they did not make the decision tonight, the only other time to make that decision is tomorrow morning.

      2. John (Grand Rapids) says:

        Superintendents sent out emails

  14. Brett says:

    Where did you see that gostateorgohome?

  15. Brent - Zeeland says:

    I hope the Japanese model is wrong. I have enough snow to last til April.

  16. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I am rooting the Japanese model!

  17. Brett says:

    Roads are getting Nast again I think 50/50 chance for kent to have closings

  18. tyler says:

    Omaha Nebraska has only 5 inches of snow for the season!

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      OMAHA!

    2. WswPlz says:

      Wow, that is really low… I’m sure my relatives are happy to not have it. Have seen some really nice thunder storms in Omaha during a few spring/ summer visiting family. Not sure how much snow Omaha gets during an average winter? The roads are definitely still very icy.

  19. WswPlz says:

    I’m also rooting for a kamikaze snow storm…. How were the trails today Rocky??

  20. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    Boy, oh boy…really snowin and a blowin again! Was at a meeting in Fruitport and on my home the roads and visibility were nasty.

  21. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

    So far no text from Cedar Springs Public Schools for any closings tomorrow, hopefully the remain open since they have early release on Friday and then probably another couple of snow days next week, way things are going our kids are going to be making up for these snow days until mid late June!!

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