FridayJanuary 30th, 2014 at 2:47 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
Friday morning: The snow and the few pockets of freezing drizzle ended by 4 am and even though we could see a few snowflakes today, but bulk of the day will be dry and cool with temperatures much of the day in the low-mid 20s. It’s was windy Thursday. Peak gusts: Muskegon beach 44 mph, Hart 39 mph, Allendale 38 mph, Battle Creek 36 mph. Winds will be much lighter this Friday, much of the day just 5-10 mph. There will likely be a band of 5-9″ of new snow across S. Lower Michigan late Friday night and Saturday. We have a Winter Storm Watch south of Holland to Lansing for that event. It’ll be quiet and cool Sunday-Monday. More snow, perhaps another 3-6″ for Tues. night into Weds….then another Arctic blast with highs only in the low-mid teens next Thurs./Fri.
Models: The first thing to note is that I am very confident that February is a cold month in the Great Lakes. It may try and climb back to average temps. at the end of the month (“may”, not “will”), but early and mid-February continue the cold and snowy pattern. March gets stormy as the SE/S ridge and warming bump the storm track north. There will be more severe weather this spring than last spring (maybe back to average levels) and hopefully, the bulk of the damaging stuff stays to our south. This snow for this PM and tonight won’t be a lot – 2-3″ north of aline from Saugatuck to Mt. Pleasant…an inch along I-94 and south), but we’ll continue to have strong winds into this evening that will will cause drifting and snow-covered and slippery roads overnight. The wind calms down to 6-12 mph tomorrow…so, no drifting tomorrow and the snow plowers can catch up. Saturday’s storm will bring more snow with the heaviest (maybe 5-10″) south of a line from Holland to Saginaw. There could be a brief period of mixed precipitation from the Indiana border around Sturgis over to the Detroit area. Detroit is going to see 6-8″ of snow from this…and maybe the entire I-94 corridor. It’ll be a significant snow. Partly sunny, maybe a few flakes on Sunday, Dry and probably partly sunny on Monday. Then more snow Tues. PM into Weds. and that’s probably another another 4-8″ or 3-6″ storm…slightly heavier southeast again…then a shot of Arctic air with snow showers Thurs./Fri. The GFS-plot has the temperature most of Thursday at only 10° above. The period from Feb. 9-17 looks like below to much-below average temperatures. Right now, I’d say we’re looking at February being about 4° colder than average, with March maybe closer to average. That’s just an educated guess this far out. I remain very concerned about late winter/spring flooding.
Season Snowfall as of early Thurs. morning (1/30): Grand Rapids 77.3″, Muskegon 95.3″, Holland 96.5″, Lansing 39.7, Kalamazoo (WMU) 75.5 (41.6″ in Jan. – most in Jan. the 16-year history of the WMU station and 3rd snowiest month in the last 16 years – thanks to Dr. Bob Ruhf at WMU for his snow measurements), Oshtemo 84″. Snow cover: 24″ Muskegon, 23″ Kalamazoo, 17″ Grand Rapids, 11″ Lansing.
Interesting: Incredible cold across parts of Russia….Low temps this AM: 0 Rome GA, -3 Tri Cities TN, 2 Asheville NC, 6 Norfolk, VA, 13 Macon GA, 2 Knoxville TN, 6 Meridian MS, 16 Mobile AL, -11 Elkins W VA, 13 ESF LA, some of these temps. coldest since 1994…cold continues over much of the country in the first week of Feb…most of Florida and the SW U.S. stays mild.
GREAT LAKES ICE: 61% of Great Lakes are covered in ice, the second highest coverage for the end of January in 30 years, Canadian Ice Service says.
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.