Friday

January 30th, 2014 at 2:47 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

LocalFriday morning:  The snow and the few pockets of freezing drizzle ended by 4 am and even though we could see a few snowflakes today, but bulk of the day will be dry and cool with temperatures much of the day in the low-mid 20s.   It’s was windy Thursday.   Peak gusts:  Muskegon beach 44 mph, Hart 39 mph,  Allendale 38 mph, Battle Creek 36 mph.  Winds will be much lighter this Friday, much of the day just 5-10 mph.  There will likely be a band of 5-9″ of new snow across S. Lower Michigan late Friday night and Saturday.  We have a Winter Storm Watch south of Holland to Lansing for that event.  It’ll be quiet and cool Sunday-Monday.  More snow, perhaps another 3-6″ for Tues. night into Weds….then another Arctic blast with highs only in the low-mid teens next Thurs./Fri.

Models:  The first thing to note is that I am very confident that February is a cold month in the Great Lakes.  It may try and climb back to average temps. at the end of the month (“may”, not “will”), but early and mid-February continue the cold and snowy pattern.  March gets stormy as the SE/S ridge and warming bump the storm track north.  There will be more severe weather this spring than last spring (maybe back to average levels) and hopefully, the bulk of the damaging stuff stays to our south.  This snow for this PM and tonight won’t be a lot – 2-3″ north of aline from Saugatuck to Mt. Pleasant…an inch along I-94 and south), but we’ll continue to have strong winds into this evening that will will cause drifting and snow-covered and slippery roads overnight.  The wind calms down to 6-12 mph tomorrow…so, no drifting tomorrow and the snow plowers can catch up.  Saturday’s storm will bring more snow with the heaviest (maybe 5-10″) south of a line from Holland to Saginaw.  There could be a brief period of mixed precipitation from the Indiana border around Sturgis over to the Detroit area.  Detroit is going to see 6-8″ of snow from this…and maybe the entire I-94 corridor.  It’ll be a significant snow.  Partly sunny, maybe a few flakes on Sunday, Dry and probably partly sunny on Monday.  Then more snow Tues. PM into Weds. and that’s probably another another 4-8″ or 3-6″ storm…slightly heavier southeast again…then a shot of Arctic air with snow showers Thurs./Fri.  The GFS-plot has the temperature most of Thursday at only 10° above.  The period from Feb. 9-17 looks like below to much-below average temperatures.  Right now, I’d say we’re looking at February being about 4° colder than average, with March maybe closer to average.  That’s just an educated guess this far out.  I remain very concerned about late winter/spring flooding.

Season Snowfall as of early Thurs. morning (1/30): Grand Rapids 77.3″, Muskegon 95.3″, Holland 96.5″, Lansing 39.7, Kalamazoo (WMU) 75.5 (41.6″ in Jan. – most in Jan. the 16-year history of the WMU station and 3rd snowiest month in the last 16 years – thanks to Dr. Bob Ruhf at WMU for his snow measurements), Oshtemo 84″. Snow cover: 24″ Muskegon, 23″ Kalamazoo, 17″ Grand Rapids, 11″ Lansing.

InterestingIncredible cold across parts of Russia….Low temps this AM:  0 Rome GA, -3 Tri Cities TN, 2 Asheville NC, 6 Norfolk, VA, 13 Macon GA, 2 Knoxville TN, 6 Meridian MS, 16 Mobile AL, -11 Elkins W VA, 13 ESF LA, some of these temps. coldest since 1994…cold continues over much of the country in the first week of Feb…most of Florida and the SW U.S. stays mild.

GREAT LAKES ICE:  61% of Great Lakes are covered in ice, the second highest coverage for the end of January in 30 years, Canadian Ice Service says.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.

366 Responses to “Friday”

  1. Getting some light freezing drizzle here in Byron Center.

  2. Brett says:

    If we get freezing rain we will have multiple school CLOSINGS

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      It shouldn’t amount to much.

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Remember though Brian it doesn’t take much to ice things up, I’m not saying you will have a snow day tomorrow Brett, just saying a little freezing drizzle can really ice things up and we have to remember that

  3. mr. negative says:

    Just back from Logan’s…all roads are lousy.

  4. dereks says:

    Heavy snow sitting on Montcalm county!

  5. steven (Derby Lake) says:

    Hart and Shelby closed. Here they come!!!!!!!!!

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Walkerville is also closed and there will be more.

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Hey Bill do you expect any Muskegon county schools to close tomorrow?

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Hard to say…it depends on outlying roads in the northern part of the county.

        2. John (Norton Shores) says:

          Okay thanks! just wondering if the road conditions tonight contribute to any closings! Thank you again! :)

      2. Brett says:

        Bill, do you expect any kent county schools to close? Like rockford, Sparta, cedar

    2. John (Norton Shores) says:

      My friend told me they are closed due to severe back road conditions, he told me that their road commission won’t even be out on the roads to plow tonight, that is why all of Oceana county is closed, Mason County central and eastern as well as Ludington are closed tomorrow too because of severe back road conditions

  6. John (Grand Rapids) says:

    Light freezing drizzle… Should ice things up pretty quick.

  7. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Coon school is closed, here comes the rest of Iona county again ahahahaha, they’ve been closed all week is that really necessarily?

    1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      I think some of them are on Mid-Winter Break as well, so some wont show as closed.

    2. Jean (S of Portland) says:

      Last night a gentleman that works for Portland Schools came in the hardware store and I got the scoop. Yesterday the big issue was the backroads are packed down and icey and there was a big concern with the busses sliding, getting stuck and making turns.

  8. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Lakewood public in Ionia is closed tomorrow

    1. Rats! Lol…I almost went to that school for this school year since my dads house is in that districts boundaries

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Lol, and since your a senior you wouldn’t have had to make them up

        1. Ik! lol it would have been great!

        2. John (Norton Shores) says:

          Ionia is also closed tomorrow

  9. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    No Kent County schools will be closed tomorrow!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Im so sick of snow days. Just lets get back into the groove and enjoy our education!

    2. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      I agree unless this becomes a freezing rain event.

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        If I were to have a snow day (which I won’t because it is cancer awareness day) then I would go to school anyways lol

        1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

          lol

  10. Jeff (Portland) says:

    Our ride home from Ionia to Portland on grand river .. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=10152238957398112&set=vb.618428111&type=2&theater

    1. Jeff (Portland) says:

      tonight*

  11. John (Grand Rapids) says:

    Ionia Public Schools closed… here we go again!

  12. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Up to 3 inches of fresh SNOW and still snowing lightly!!

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Great spirit, keep it up! :)

    2. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      :)

  13. Brett says:

    Rocky if we get more freezing rain then there will be Closings. In kent

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      The freezing drizzle is about done in GR!

      1. Steven(DerbyLake) says:

        Fo shizzle

    1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      Sure looks like GR will be hammered on Saturday.

    2. WswPlz says:

      Just a little nudge north, but I would take that graphic and bank it now if I could…lol

  14. Technically, Byron Center got a 2 hour delay today lol our power was out for two hours

  15. WswPlz says:

    Can you post videos on this site? That was a nice little snow….keep the snow comin!!

  16. John (Grand Rapids) says:

    Lol everything in Ionia will be closed again… What is so different in Ionia than the other counties like Kent?

    1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      I suppose there are more rural roads but not much more than Lowell.

    2. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Better road commission in Kent county, more roads get plowed, I’ve been to Ionia county in the winter and I know there road commission works hard to get the roads plowed and they do a great job but much of their back roads are never plowed

      1. Its quite amazing. Ive been on 96 in Ionia County numerous times and it was solid snow and ice through the whole county..then up ahead I saw the Entering Clinton County sign and as soon as you went passed that sign it went to pure water on the road. Ionia County may not get as much funding or taxes may not go much towards it

        1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

          Crazy.

    3. marianne says:

      The back roads are terrible. I have a friend who cannot get down her road all week, and there is extensive drifting every night. Even m-66 is messy, especially in the morning. Almost all of the students are bused, I have friends who drive bus who are so glad they aren’t driving kids around in this. The plowing budget is lower, since the general income is lower, due to fewer residents with a lower average income. I would rather go to school a week longer than to a funeral.

  17. Hey Nathan, I do agree with you that the snowdays became annoying now. The ones we get one after another get boring because 2/3 snowdays I just sat home bored! haha thats why I just track weather

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Yes, snow days are fun if we are getting a storm or something… But cold and ice days are very boring.

  18. Brett says:

    Belding will be closed tonight as we’ll

    1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      As will Greenville and any other Ionia schools, however unless roads really deteriorate everything in Kent will be open. I don’t know what is so incredibly different about Ionia though.

      1. Clint (Cedar Springs) says:

        I’m no accountant, but a quick web search shows a large difference in road commission budgets for Ionia County and Kent County. Ionia budgets $12 million and Kent budgets $50 million for roads.

      2. Michael McGee says:

        Our East West roads are drifted in.

  19. John (Grand Rapids) says:

    Grand Ledge Public Schools in Eaton is closed, as well as Hesperia Community Schools in Newaygo.

  20. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The 00Z NAM is farther north on the heavier snow now! :)

    1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

      :) :) :)

    2. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

      Any further north, and I might end up missing on the bullseye. Here is the 00Z run.

      http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014013100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=048

  21. DrJ (Kalamazoo) says:

    Link?

  22. For those wondering about why some districts close…look at some of their boundaries!

    Here is a good site to see district boundaries by county: http://www.michigan.gov/cgi/0,4548,7-158-52927_53037_12540_13084—,00.html

  23. WswPlz says:

    Just drove back to Cedar from Holton area via the back roads….some roads are completely drifted over…saw a few cars being towed out from the drifts and still on the road…..21 mile road as you cross Kenowa heading east before you get to Peach Ridge…I would say its impassible, but some how I waded through 2-3 feet of snow….actually have it on video….be careful on the rural roads, they pretty nasty….snow just makes my day…

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      How are the back roads in Holton?

      1. WswPlz says:

        I’m not to familiar with the roads there, however the ones I remember, Sweeter Rd, and parts of River Rd had quite a bit of snow, and drifting was happening on both North South and East West roads….. 120 was not to,bad however, just snow covered…..I would say I encountered some of the worst drifts on east and west roads, but the open roads regardless of direction are pretty bad. Near town the roads were fair…..even Maple Island was pretty thick, glad I had AWD on many of the less traveled roads…

        1. John (Norton Shores) says:

          Okay thank you! :)

  24. John (Grand Rapids) says:

    Anyone think they will extend the WWA for the counties ending at 10PM?

    1. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

      I think they will…they may wait for the GFS to come out.

      1. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

        I misread..thought you meant the winter storm watch for Sat.

    2. Brett says:

      Why would they?

      1. John (Grand Rapids) says:

        I didn’t think so, just wondering if anyone thought differently.

    3. yooper4021 says:

      Good call John….WWA extended…

      UPDATE
      ISSUED AT 945 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014

      WILL EXTEND THE ADVISORY FOR A FEW MORE HOURS OVERNIGHT DUE TO FREEZING DRIZZLE. THE MOISTURE HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY SHALLOW THIS EVENING AND THE DGZ IS NO LONGER SATURATED. SOME LIGHT OMEGA REMAINS WITHIN THE CLOUD LEVEL AND WAS PRODUCING THE FZDZ. THE MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE AND MORE SHALLOW AND THE LIFT ALSO DIMINISHES SO FEEL THE FZDZ WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT LIVED…BUT IT SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A LIGHT GLAZE IN MANY AREAS. MODEL DATA SHOWS THE CLOUD LAYER LIFT PERSISTING THE LONGEST OVER THE SW CWA…SO WILL GO WITH THE ADVISORY THROUGH 6 AM THERE…AND WILL HAVE AN END TIME OF 2 AM ELSEWHERE.

  25. Ej in Portland says:

    This is why Ionia County is so bad. When it snows a significant amount, such as last weekend, they DO NOT plow back roads at all. The snow sits for several days, vehicles drive over it compacting it into solid ice, and it is too cold for it to melt. Then, snow drifts back in plugging up the roads. Many of the roads near open fields will blow shut within an hour of being plowed on very windy nights.

  26. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Fremont is closed tomorrow

    1. WswPlz says:

      I wouldn’t be surprised, I was pretty close to there and the back roads would be to risky, to take a chance…I’m thinking that will be the deciding factor in most school closings…these poor plow guys have been hammered…they just can’t keep up..soon they won’t have anywhere to put the snow, especially residential, with all the restrictions from the city….

  27. deb says:

    Hubby leaving GR about 5am heading to Warren for the day for class. Any idea on how bad roads will be to and from. Heading home between 3-5pm. Sorry I worry tons. Esp will all these multi car wrecks in the highways lately

    1. Ryan (Rockford) says:

      Most of the main roads shouldn’t be too bad in my opinion, because the temperature sits at 31 degrees at my house and MOST (not all) of the precipitation is gone. The salt SHOULD get most main roads in business by tomorrow morning, and snow shouldn’t be an issue. His ride home should be just fine as well.

    2. WswPlz says:

      I think the roads would be in fair condition by then, and of course depending on what route he took…but if he stays on the interstate,…should be smooth sailing

      1. deb says:

        Thank you both!

  28. gostateorgohome (zeeland) says:

    I’m thinking maybe a few schools closed or delayed in Ottawa and allegan county due to all the blowing and drifting that has happened and the freezing drizzle possibly

  29. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Cantore posted this on Facebook: http://grib2.com/gfs/CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_144HR.gif

    1. Steven(DerbyLake) says:

      Seen that earlier, dont remember who posted that here. Seems like it could be a little off

  30. Brian(Grandville) says:

    Up to 31*, plows and salt trucks should have no problem getting nice clean roads by the morning. At least in Kent county. Also, anyone else see FOX 17 forecast with Rick M. He says the latest models have shifted the most snow for saturday to the south. Huh? Looks like the opposite to me.

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Not seeing a southern turn, I wonder where he see’s that at?

      1. Brian(Grandville) says:

        He just said that was using the FOX 17 future track model. He showed all other models that completely disagreed. LOL!

  31. Steven(DerbyLake) says:

    GO BLUE!!!!!!!

  32. Tyler says:

    Gaylord and Petoskey have had more snow then Marquette this year. Is that even possible? Wow.

  33. Tyler says:

    We must have got 5 inches of snow here today. Came down hard for awhile. I bet Lake Michigan gets close to freezing over this year. Chicago is supposed to get 8 inches of snow on Saturday so we will miss out on that storm but G.R. might get some of it. I just looked at the snow cover map and it looks like there is a lot of snow cover from Traverse City all the way down to the Indiana border. It is all shaded pink which means 16-24 inches of snow depth. With how cold it is this year every little snowfall we get stays.

  34. tinainvbcounty says:

    Van Buren Road commission states 110″ of snowfall so far this winter at the Bloomingdale station, more at lakeshore than that. Via an mlive interview….

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