Ice Reaching to Mid-Lake Michigan

February 10th, 2014 at 5:53 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

modis lake michigan   Here’s the afternoon MODIS satellite picture zoomed into Lake Michigan.  It was clear in Wisconsin and Indiana.  With a west wind, we had more clouds and a few flurries in West Michigan.  If you look at the picture, you can see ice extending almost to mid-lake.  The combination of the cold lake water (approaching 32°) and the shorter distance the cold air travels across the open water means that instead of heavier snow showers, we had just scattered flurries and some breaks in the clouds.  Also, the air isn’t warming up as much as it would early in the winter.  At 5 PM, the temperature was 7° in Milwaukee and 12° in Muskegon, a difference of only 5°.  Grand Rapids added another 1/10th inch of snow today, so the season snowfall total is up to 92.2″.   Muskegon added an inch today to bring their season total to 110.5″.  Lansing stands at 51.3″ and Kalamazoo as of late Sunday was at 88.5″.   Holland’s unofficial total is at 122.9″.  The unofficial record season snowfall for Holland is 159.9″ in 1969-70.  That record is not continuous (some months and years are missing).   Here’s a look at the afternoon picture of Lake SuperiorLake Huron…Lake Erie (+95% ice-covered…and Lake Ontario. Here’s a look at ice cover on Lakes Superior and Michigan, and on the Eastern Great Lakes.  Also, another windy storm headed toward NW Europe.   Here’s the 18Z (1am model run of the)  GFS snowfall forecast.  You can see the snow from NE Georgia up into Virginia and up into New England and the clipper snow across Northern Michigan.

29 Responses to “Ice Reaching to Mid-Lake Michigan”

  1. bluegill says:

    Joe Charlevoix mentioned that Feb 9, 1934 is when the coldest ever temp in Michigan was recorded – minus 51 F.

    http://www.upnorthlive.com/news/story.aspx?id=1005370#.UvlgQUJdV5A

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      That is even too COLD for me. Give me temps in the single digits and teens all WINTER long!

  2. Ken Hinchman says:

    Mr. Steffen, Starting with September through May what is the record for snow fall for each month? What would the total be is all those records were in the same season?

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Starting in order with Sept. for Grand Rapids: trace, 8.4″, 28.2″, 59.2″, 46.8″, 41.6″, 36.0″, 15.6″, 5.5″ (May). Total 241.3″

  3. fixxxer says:

    Ok bill enough with the cold weather posts. Almost think theres some serious cold weather bias going on to cater to the winter nuts on here. How about you post when we go back to normal high temps and what spring may be like.

    1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

      fixxxer the last 3 months have been below average and this month a lot of places are -10 degrees below average. No bias from Bill he is just stating the weather. Yes the 8-14 cpc is showing a warm up but it wont be for long then back to cold.

  4. Rob( Norton Shores) says:

    Say Please.

  5. Jen in Middleville says:

    I’m not looking forward to all the bugs from the melt and flooding. Might need to get serious about professional fogging. Thankfully there is…eventually…an end to the cold.

  6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    We have at least 5 more weeks of COLD and SNOW! No Spring weather in sight!

  7. Cort S. says:

    I gotta say, for 240 hours out, this is a pretty decent longwave signal showing up in the GFS spaghetti plot:

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gefs-spag/18/gefs-spag_namer_240_500_534_576_ht.gif

    Ignoring the shortwave noise, you can see solutions clustered around a longwave trough in the western US and a ridge in the eastern US. This correlates with the temporary warm up Bill has been talking about around 20 Feb.

    1. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

      It has GR getting up to 48 and 49 degrees. After weeks of well below average temp, our first 45 degree day is going to feel like 60.

  8. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    GREAT NEWS for the warm weather nuts! Nice WARM Spring like temperatures are on the way in about 8 weeks! Get Ready to ROCK!

  9. Kyle says:

    If this pans out we could be looking at max ice this week.

  10. on the Grand says:

    Just one day of no snow not a fleck and a nice bright blue sky with that old yellow ball of sun shining down so I can just remember what it looks and feels like not asking much.

  11. Bill, weather question, when we have this much ice on Lake Michigan or a cold winter, what were those summers like?

  12. John (Norton Shores) says:

    I like the looks of the 00Z GFS around the 23rd, shows a big snowstorm but of course lots of time for that to disappear or change it’s track…

    http://ggweather.com/loops/gfs_00z_slp_all.htm

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      and also it is not looking as warm for next week as in previous runs

  13. Tyler says:

    Somebody mentioned Joe Charlevoix. He is actually my cousin. It is cool sometimes I can pick up those lake inversions when Lower Michigan channels come in clear like a local station. I picked up 98.5 WUPS out of Houghton Lake and I hear Joe doing the forecast. It is really cool.

  14. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Weather.com lowered highs for next week from 34 down to 30 for me

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Keep it coming! Best winter ever, for those of us who enjoy it.

  15. Tyler says:

    This is the most severe winter Lower Michigan has had in a long time. You guys had 107 inches of snow in G.R. in 2007-2008 but that winter wasn’t nearly as cold as this one.

  16. Wswplz says:

    It’s going to be interesting to see when GR is going to break the 100 in mark for snow this year. We still need about 8 more inches put us over the mark… What happens with our possible Monday storm, could just be the one to put us past the century mark, of course all the same rules apply as to when, if , and how much…definitely a system to keep one eye on from time to time. Who thinks it will happen this month…over or under?? Hmm…

    1. Wswplz says:

      I think we will have 105.2 inches by End of February…

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      It would be hysterical if GR finished a few tenths shy of 100″.

      1. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

        all this 100″ nonsense. It’s just a frickin number..nothing more.

        1. Wswplz says:

          Yes Tomkap 100 is just a number, and so are the symbols you use to quantify your famous countdown to spring…..you really should take it easy…life is to short.

  17. Breckenridge snowfall
    February 8.7
    Season 49.8
    Snow depth 12.0 (7am Monday)

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