Low Temps. Weds. AM

February 12th, 2014 at 9:06 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

low temps suny  This is a map of low temperatures Weds. morning.  You can see the cold air from E. Montana across the northern U.S, Ohio Valley and into New England.  Grand Rapids bottomed out at -6, the sixth below zero morning of the winter.  Even more impressive was the -11 at Holland (Regional Airport) and -12 at S. Haven.   Holland did make -12 on 1/23/2011, but I looked back to 1994 and didn’t see a temp. as cold as -11 in any February.  Holland did have 3 consecutive days of -10 from Feb. 3-5, 1994.   In the eastern part of the Lower Peninsula, Ann Arbor dipped to -20 and LaPeer and Port Huron bottomed out at -18.  Even the usual warmest location of Flint fell to a double-digit below zero -11.  In West Michigan, Marshall had -17, Three Rivers stopped at -16, Charlotte’s weather station hit -15.  It was -14 in Coldwater, -13 in Algoma, -12 in S. Haven and Ionia, -10 at Kalamazoo, -9 Alma and Mt. Pleasant, -8 at Benton Harbor, -7 at both Jackson and Battle Creek, -6 at Sturgis, -5 at Big Rapids and Oshtemo, -3 in Lansing (which was a cold spot until they moved the weather station to a warmer location) and -2 in Muskegon.  Where the lake-effect clouds held all night it was warmer.  Frankfort never got lower than 14 (31 degrees warmer than Marshall), Ludington stopped at +10, Cadillac at +2 and Fremont’s low was +1.

You can really see the difference Lake Michigan makes.  Green Bay has had 40 mornings with low temperatures below zero this winter.  That’s the 6th highest number ever.  The record is 48 in the cold winter of 1976-77.  Chicago is in 4th place for most below zero mornings with 22.  Chicago’s record is 25 in 1884-85.

Other low temps. this morning:  -30 Saranac Lake NY, -20 Cheboygan and Petoskey, -18 Defiance, Ohio, -16 Aurora IL, -15 Fort Wayne and Goshen IN and -5 Chicago.   At the weather station at the Chicago water intake, 3 miles east of downtown out in the lake, the high/low on Feb. 11 was 14.3/4.4.  You can grow a lot of ice with temperatures like that and nearly calm winds.

February has been very cold east of the Rockies.  The temperature anomaly (difference from average) for Feb. 1-11 was -4.668C (more than 8 deg. F).   The U.S. is draggin’ down the whole planet.  The Feb. 1-11 temperature anomaly for the globe is -0.127C.  However, if you include January (and a very warm Australia), you get a global year-to-date anomaly of +0.037C.

52 Responses to “Low Temps. Weds. AM”

  1. kevin. w says:

    Just wondering Bill if will get that storm next weekend with 3 or 4 inches of rain. I see an awful lot of gulf moisture coming into play. I also think since we’ve been locked into such a cold pattern that we could see a major rain event coming. Just watched Bernadette Woods Placky on CNN and said that the great lakes and Ohio valley may see a big storm around the 22nd with heavy rains and thunderstorms and rapid melt.

    1. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

      Now that would make things interesting.

    2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      3 to 4 inches of rain? Lol

      Seriously, dude…we are not going to get 3 inches of rain. There is no tropical storm coming.

      1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

        CNN at it’s finest. ;)

        1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          Climate change! :P

    3. Jacob G. says:

      There very well could be a wet system before we transition back to late winter pattern for a few weeks after next week’s thaw. Let’s sure hope areas don’t get freezing rain out of this as it would be a major mess. Not to mention if we do get into the warm conveyor belt from the gulf there could be several inches of rain if things do line up. One to watch for sure as the Euro is printing out 1″+ for most of our area for that system.

  2. on the grand says:

    yea, if you like swimming

    1. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

      Grand river rapids. :)

  3. mr. negative says:

    Big warm-up:) Significant melting :)

  4. Michael g (se gr) says:

    Travis’ greatest hits, oh, and one from brad….
    Brad says:
    December 6, 2013 at 11:20 am
    It looks like a big warm-up after this stretch of cool air. There is some indication of a week or so of 50s and 60s towards the end of the month; it will be very interesting if that verifies.
    Reply

    1. Michael g (se gr) says:

      Travis (Oakland County) says:
      December 6, 2013 at 8:22 am
      Another day, another bump up of the Wood forecasted temps. We missed the coldest temperatures and definitely missing out on all the good snow.
      Granted, we’re coming off a pretty low base here, but this 30-day temperature plot is pretty unusual as we enter the heart of winter. It shows a gradual increase in temps even as the averages are falling.
      http://www.weathertrends360.com/Graph/30day/ST3676/20131206000000

      In other words, this will likely be the coldest air we see for a while around here.

      1. Michael g (se gr) says:

        Travis (Oakland County) says:
        December 5, 2013 at 8:38 am
        GR’s current snowfall deficit is almost 8″, so they need a huge storm just to get back to normal.
        It looks like Slim may prove to be right as models are currently showing a warming trend a week before Christmas.
        Reply

        1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          My electric heater says 68 degrees. Major thaw!

        2. Michael g (se gr) says:

          This is a good one…Travis (Oakland County) says:
          December 3, 2013 at 8:53 am
          WXYZ has 54 degrees tomorrow. Then, basically no snow all the way until December 13th.
          The coldest maximum temperature is 25 before warming back up to the 30′s.
          Contrast that with Minneapolis who is supposed to see at least 5 nights next week below zero and may even struggle to reach 5 degrees for a high next week.
          It’s weird the vastly different forecasts only a couple hundred miles apart. While lots could change, it looks like the brunt of the cold front is going to stall as it fails to fully dip south and east.

        3. Michael g (se gr) says:

          Nice too, still so cocky without all of the warmth knocked out of him….Travis (Oakland County) says:
          December 4, 2013 at 8:14 am
          You know the NWS write-up for my area is depressing when they are talking about the potential for a few tenths of an inch of snow in their extended write up.
          A balmy 40 degrees on my way to work this morning. Warm start to December like last year.
          DF, it looks like Accuweather got it wrong saying no cold was coming. They are now giving me two colder days before warming back up. Funny, isn’t that what WeatherTrends was showing a week ago?

      2. Michael g (se gr) says:

        Oh yes….the all knowing “model concert “…Travis (Oakland County) says:
        November 27, 2013 at 8:31 am
        Yep, temperatures do lag approximately about a month as Bill often states on here.
        Looking for my area, the collection of models show a short-lived blast with most of December hovering between 30 and 40 degrees – including a brief warm stretch around mid December.
        http://www.weathertrends360.com/Graph/30day/ST3585

        As I’ve said before, any one model is not a good indicator, especially when we’re talking almost 2 weeks. How many big snows have the long-term models inaccurately forecasted for GR already? Three? Instead, I look at the big picture and the models in concert.

        1. Michael g (se gr) says:

          Now we’re getting to prime time!

          Travis (Oakland County) says:
          November 5, 2013 at 12:28 pm
          Sounds about right. Another weak to almost normal winter snowfall. Backloaded just like last year.

        2. Dan says:

          Michael these posts are classics. WOW! Late Winter, just like last year, not a colder temp on the way, etc! SWING and a miss!

        3. Justin (Grand Haven) says:

          Get a life.

    2. Robert (Plainwell) says:

      Brad will probably be saying next week it will be 70 in Michigan.

      1. GB says:

        Wow that was a lot of work to bash on two guys…..not much to do huh?

        1. BlueRooster says:

          Who has the time or energy to go through posts like that and repost them? Wow. The blog has now hit a new low. Seems like the kids are taking things from random people on the internet a little too seriously.

  5. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    “the usual warmest location of Flint”… LOL, Bill!

  6. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    Wow, you warministas are worse than the extreme snow lovers…

    One inch of rain now equals several inches.
    40s now equals “60 degrees”
    Some melting now equals “green grass and flowers” by March 1
    A normal thaw now equals ” MAJOR LIFE THREATENING FLOODING APOCALYPTIC TROPICAL MONSOON OF A THAW STORM”

    Lol

  7. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Michigan technically has it’s own sub biome where we get less extreme temperatures as compared to surrounding states. Lake Michigan can be blamed for that, but definitely in a good way!

  8. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Yes we do have a warm up on the way with a potential rainstorm, but just how warm we get will mean a lot. If we do get into the 50′s and get over an inch of rain, yes there would be a big snowmelt (which at this point is unlikely with as much snow as we have) if we get into the lower mid 40′s it wold be more of a scenario related to the January 10-13 warm up, where the snow was compacted but none was lost (I believe that this scenario is more likely due to the excessive snow cover that we have, and snow to the south of us) therefor a soaking of rain will likely just be absorbed into the snow compacting it but little snowmelt. We shall see how things all play out

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      *would

    2. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Also to add still 10 days out, a lot can change and probably will change from now to then

    3. Paul m says:

      If we have strong southerly wind lower 50 temp with hvy rain it going to get ugly real quick!

  9. INDY says:

    Good Finds Michael!!!! I Drink To that !!!! INDYY…….

  10. Wswplz says:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/erf_info.php?outlook=610&var=t

    So last time I checked, this usually isn’t a good sign for snow pack preservation.

  11. Wswplz says:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif.

    Sorry, but now you also know how to properly read the outlook. Lol

  12. Wswplz says:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

    Well if you didn’t like that outlook, DONT open this link. I guess we shall put the snow cover theory and how they effect temps to test

  13. Wswplz says:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif

    And finally the last ingredient needed to either add to our snow totals or subtract..or dare I say “icing” on the cake. * cake= us

  14. Wswplz says:

    Enjoy all this snow through Sunday,( take those last pics )because it looks like our white and fluffy canvas is going to appear a bit different come next week..I do hope this does not turn out the way it seems, but one can’t ignore the strong possibility.

    1. Wswplz says:

      I don’t think a nice slow transition to spring is going to be the case…it would be nice if we could add to our snow pack through the end of February, and come March slowly moderate our temps…with some beautiful sunny days, but still cool out so we can enjoy the outdoors / snow and ever so carefully inch away our melt…no floods..no major mess. That’s something all could enjoy, and then we would have one happy blog. Right..? Mid – march que: thunderstorms..

  15. Brian (Grandville) says:

    00Z GFS doesn’t look too warm, and aslo doesn’t give us much in the way of several rain storms, which sonme are pionting to. We shall see.

    1. Wswplz says:

      From what I have read, I really don’t think anyone has a good idea as to what is going to happen past Sunday. The weather pattern is just starting to shift especially in the west, and the extreme cold seems to want to retreat back up into the north. It looks like we have a strong chance of seeing above normal temps early to the better part of next week, with a question mark as to what type of precip we could see around Monday.

    2. Wswplz says:

      I would think this time of year would be one of the most difficult times to forecast, especially given our surroundings, and not to mention we are by no means done with winter. As to how long we hold on to the warmer temps projected for next week around Tuesday Wednesday…I really would just be guessing.

      1. Wswplz says:

        I think I’ve hit my monthly post quota already…sorry

  16. Brian (Grandville) says:

    Luge doubles, I will never understand this one.

    1. Jack says:

      Hahaha, Agree Brian ! You ready for Tiger Baseball ? StayCued….. ;-)

      1. Brian (Grandville) says:

        Sping training gets started soon. Im ready for another great season of Tigers baseball.

    2. Wswplz says:

      Haha..lol. Yes me neither.. I think a German May have been drunk and thought Da we must go faster..so.i geta.top..of..you..ya?

    3. Bill Steffen says:

      Good thing we talked Chris Christi out of the luge doubles…

      1. Wswplz says:

        Lol..he might go real fast..

  17. Jevon Murphy (Chicago) says:

    For those of you that know me and don’t know me, and if you have a Facebook page, I have newly opened weather page on Facebook and it is called Midwest/Great Lakes Weather.

    1. Wswplz says:

      Cool, I’m definitely going to check that out, tomorrow., already up to late.lol. Hope your doing well Jevon..interested to see your thoughts on weather to come.

      1. Jevon Murphy (Chicago) says:

        Thanks.

  18. Jacob G. says:

    Guys, we got a lot of moisture coming up our way looking out on the latest Euro. Could be a blizzard in the upper Midwest late next week but we will be on the warm side of things right now as it stands. We should start to prepare for a possible mess coming 7-10 days out if things keep pointing this way.

  19. on the grand says:

    A few years back, near Christmas, we had snow on the ground not like this and it warmed up to the 50s, (took everyone off guard), maybe a bit warmer and it rained, well the river broke up and there was ice jams and water backing up in Spring Lake and Grand Haven. The water climbed my 7ft sea wall and swished 90 ft into the backward. The swans were knocking at the back door and the neighbor yard furniture was floating down the river. So I have learned very quickly that a little rain and snow can cause a lot of trouble.

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