Great Lakes Ice and Water Levels

February 14th, 2014 at 1:32 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

glerl ice one   glerl two  Click on the graphics to enlarge.  GLERL reports that the Great Lakes have now reached 88.1% ice coverage and that Lake Michigan is up to 80.4%.  We get the warm-up next week, but then it gets cold again for late Feb.  We may not see the peak of Great Lakes ice until the first week of March.

The water level of Lake Michigan/Huron has not changed in the last month.  The lake is up 13″ year-to-year and 13″ below the century average.   Lake Superior dropped 4″ in the last month (very cold – less runoff, the level should hold steady in the next few weeks now that the lake is almost all ice-covered).  Superior is up 10″ in the last year and is 2″ below the long-term average.   Lake Erie is down 4″ in the last month, up 2″ in the last year and down 3″ from average.  Lake Ontario (which has the highest percentage of open water of the Great Lakes) is down 1″ in the last month, up 4″ year-to-year and 1″ above the long term average.

Icebreakers are still at work on Lake Michigan, hitting harbor ice 6 feet thick!  Interesting…ice shoves on Lake Erie and frozen lighthouses on Lake Michigan.

171 Responses to “Great Lakes Ice and Water Levels”

  1. big Daddy BC says:

    Record snow in the midwest: http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/01/25/midwest-snowfall/4830493/

    “A wave of stifling heat started began around Christmas and continues to move counterclockwise across Australia’s north and into the south. The latest scorcher comes on the heel of Australia’s hottest year on record.”
    http://rt.com/news/record-heat-australia-animals-388/

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      I thought you saw your shadow ;) Welcome back.

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v491/n7424/full/nature11575.html

      This from Obama’s science advisory: “”Weather practically everywhere is being caused by climate change,” Holdren said.

      Right…

      Northern Australia has been cooler than average during the first two weeks of February (Darwin -0.1°, Brisbane -0.6°)

      Here’s what you climate alarmists said about record snow: http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html How’s that working out for you, big D?

  2. big Daddy BC says:

    Records broken in the midwest: http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2014/01/25/midwest-snowfall/4830493/

    “A wave of stifling heat started began around Christmas and continues to move counterclockwise across Australia’s north and into the south. The latest scorcher comes on the heel of Australia’s hottest year on record.”
    http://rt.com/news/record-heat-australia-animals-388/

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Record snow, you say big Daddy? – that’s sure not what you global warming profiteers predicted: http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html

      There’s no heat wave moving thru Australia’s north. For Feb. 1-14, Darwin is 0.1° cooler than average and Brisbane is 0.5° below average.

      Global temperature anomaly for Feb. 1-14 is 0.137° cooler than average.

      1. Wswplz says:

        You were mentioning earlier about weather and how our climate is having a dramatic effect on the occurrence of severe weather occurrences. Just as I’m sure one can find data to support that it does, most everything I have read ( NOAA ) is there isn’t conclusive evidence that it is. I read an interesting study on tornadoes and how our “climate change ” has increased frequency and intensity of tornadoes ie EF4-5 occurrences. From what I took away from it was they weren’t able to make that connection, so why are people running away with the theory that it is…seems many media stations mention such correlations all to often. I think we would need to have a much larger sample to make that conclusion, before making wild claims….just a thought, not an expert..

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Here’s the annual strong tornado count since 1954: http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/images/tornado/clim/EF3-EF5.png If anything, the number of violent tornadoes has decreased since the 1950s – early 1970s.

          Global tropical cyclone activity has also decreased in recent years. We have now gone 8 year since a Category 3 or higher hurricane has hit the U.S. – longest stretch ever (going back to the Civil War)

          Droughts not increasing either: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v491/n7424/full/nature11575.html

          Even the polar bear hype is on thin ice: http://www.npr.org/2013/02/02/170779528/the-inconvenient-truth-about-polar-bears

    2. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

      Wow, hibernation done early this year?

      1. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

        @ bdbc

  3. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Well Flint moved into the #3 spot for all time record of continuous snow cover today. Flint and Detroit are now tied for the 6th coldest winter ever. Amazing.
    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=dtx&storyid=100198&source=0

  4. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The 00Z NAM is starting to come together better for the Monday system, and now has a widespread 5″+ along and north of 96

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      The NAM gives me 8″ for the Monday system, may be overdone but it’s still something to watch, it’s not entirely out of the question we could have a winter storm watch with this event

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      By the looks of that, anywhere north of I94 could get several inches. BTW, Rick on Fox17 just said Lake Michigan ice coverage went from 88% down to 66% just today due to a mostly sunny day?

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Umm there’s no way that lake Michigans ice coverage dropped 20% in one day below with below freezing temps and sun, I don’t know what he is talking about

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          If it did, it would have been due to wind breaking up the ice, not today’s sunshine. It’s hard to tell what’s under the clouds…sure looks closer to 60% than 80% to me right now.

  5. WickedTwister says:

    Lol wood stop teasing us with this forecast http://cgi.woodtv.com/weather/pf-forecast/

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      There’s the epic flood Kevin W. has been talking about.

      1. Jack says:

        Lol, Cue,,,, Led Zeppelin :::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wEKkJHSO8A0. Stay Cued ,!! ;-)

  6. John (Norton Shores) says:

    My friend in a Whitehall said they’ve had 135″ of snow so far this season, WOW! They did have that big time snowfall back in December when they got 20″ of snow in 7 hours, so I can see why they have more than me

  7. Jack says:

    mobile-news.sandbox.google.com/news/more?ncl=dU1_Mm…

  8. Jack says:

    Sheesh only a Cool BILLION Dollars……WTHECK !! Barack Obama proposes $1 billion climate protection fund …
    article.wn.com/…/Barack_Obama_proposes_1_billion_climate_protection_f…
    6 hours ago – Obama proposes USD 1 billion climate protection fund …. President Obama will propose $1 billion in his 2015 budget to help communities …

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      You can bet the $$ won’t be going to fixing potholes left by all the “global warming” this winter.

      1. Jack says:

        I hear Ya, I’m sure little Duddy bc, Will have His Grimy Hands OUT for some Cash !!!

      2. Wswplz says:

        The best temporary fix for pot holes is more snow…it almost lasts as long as the patch jobs anyways…keep the snow coming plz.

  9. Hey does anyone know if Decatur, Michigan gets good Lake Effect and storms? Just trying to get an idea on ideal places I’d like to live in Michigan. I have to have my lake effect haha

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      With a good NW flow, yes. I personally would choose to live near Thompsonville, in the NW lower.

  10. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

    The 00Z GFS has backed off on the warm up for late next week.

  11. John (Norton Shores) says:

    00Z GFS is even weaker with the Monday system, at this point it’s by it’s self as all the other models are giving most of west Michigan a decent event

  12. dereks says:

    Earthquake in Georgia and South Carolina!

    1. Jack says:

      Turkish Press
      4.4 magnitude earthquake shakes Georgia, South Carolina
      Fox News ‎- 12 minutes ago
      A small earthquake has hit in South Carolina, startling residents and shaking homes both in South Carolina and across the border in Georgia.

      1. Wswplz says:

        That just passes as a real earthquake….baby roller…but I’m sure they are not used to them..those little ones are kinda fun. No harm no foul. Side note: the weather at the Olympics is getting worse by the day…if they weren’t making snow, they would not be able to hold most events….it’s almost 50 at the top of the mountain, and low 60′s at the bottom…pretty bad.

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