Temps. warm, but only a little

February 16th, 2014 at 1:15 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

gfs_namer_120_1000_500_thick  Click on the image to enlarge.  This is the 120-GFS model for next Thurs. evening.  Instead of the low pressure center going west of us, it comes right over us.  That means we won’t get as warm as we earlier thought and the “warm” air won’t last as long.  In the meantime, a dusting to an inch and a half of snow to brush off this Sun. AM – another 3-5″ on Monday, dry for most of Tues. – Weds. and maybe 1/2″ of cold rain for Thurs. PM/night.   The European takes our temperatures to the low-mid 30s on Tue., upper 30s Weds., low 40s in the rain on Thurs. (mid 40′s Coldwater to mid 30s Ludington), mid-upper 30s Friday, low-mid 30s Saturday…we’ll melt some snow.   Be wary of the potential for more roof collapses if the rain on Thurs. can’t drain off flat or low-pitched roofs.   In the long term, the pattern goes back to colder than average for late Feb. into early March.

312 Responses to “Temps. warm, but only a little”

  1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Get ready to ROCK people! SNOW, SNOW, SNOW!


    1. fixxxer says:

      Get ready for spring jackass.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        More brilliant and uplifting commentary from the whiner himself! Imagine that!

  2. mk says:

    Rocky Boy George is not rock n roll.

  3. Barb says:

    I’m headed to Utah for the first week of March–looks like a good move. I may not return.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Should be great skiing up in the mountains :)

  4. Geneo Grenville says:

    Seen Rocky on tv calling for more snow more snow big snow Searchmout skiing.

  5. Uncle Sparkee says:

    While my little weather hobos r fighting over old man winter or an early spring, your ol uncle sparkee is sitting in the green room. It feels tropical, it’s very green, and it makes me very relaxed.

    1. Jack says:

      Keep On….TOKIN…..Uncle Sparkee ! & Stay CUED !!

  6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Just think 5 more of official winter! We have a ton of COLD and SNOW coming before this winter is over!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:


  7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Just think if GR picks up 5.1 inches of SNOW tomorrow the seasonal total will reach 100 inches!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      GR is at 92.1″ for the season Rocky, I think GR is going to need a little more than 5″ to beat the 100″ however if GR picks up 8″ tomorrow then GR will hit that 100″ mark!

        1. AJ says:

          That was the wrong link. Oops! Maybe this is the right one?

  8. Jenny's Snowthrower says:

    Prediction of the night. INDY WILL GET MORE SNOW THAN ANYONE IN WEST MICHIGAN!!!! Keep drinking those Squirts! And Rocky will leave no less than 50 more comments in this thread!!!!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      That is funny, however I have some good news for some of you! I am about done commenting for the night! ROCK n ROLL will never die baby! Lets get to 100 inches by Tuesday AM! A red letter day in GR history is on the way!

    2. Bucks Achilles says:

      Hey Jenny…Don’t flirt with the Rock! He the tucked back Man-Geena of this blog!

    3. Jack says:

      Very True Indy Gets RIVER ENHANCHED Snow ! Don’t Ya Know ? JENNY,,,,, the YARDofBRICKS also Gets SPRITE ENHANCED SNOW !! Let it GO, and Take RIDE down Memory Lane……..Jenny, CUE,,,,, Mitch Ryder & The Detroit Wheels :::::::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=orxQyThhpeE. Stay Cued !!!!! Ya” ALL…… ;-)

    4. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Conservative prediction ;)

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:


  9. DF (SE Mich) says:

    I just got back from downtown Detroit where it was snowing like crazy. Here in A2 it is completely clear and calm, quite a difference.

    1. Jack says:

      I call it ” Debt”roit ….heeee,heeee…stay CueDDDD ! ;-)

  10. INDY says:

    Jenny the snowshower u are right who knew ???? One thing for sure sw kents thought is out in the woods again about half of the snow going south next week!! I think fixer and Jenny snowshower is father goat on Bills winter blog!! Stay tuned!! INDYY!!

    1. Jack says:

      IWS, IWS, simply Put…..Duh BEST Bills BEST…. Indy is da King. Ring ring, and ahh DING ,, DING,,, stay TUNED….& CUED!!! Ps,, Can’t Wait for The YARDofBRICKS PARTY in MAY!!! HEY,,,BILL U COMING ????? ;-)

  11. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    I’m guessing they will be a lot more roof collapses in the coming week.

  12. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    Wow, some of you warm weather freaks are getting a bit nasty on here. We still have over a month of WINTER left! Deal with it.

  13. INDY says:


  14. Paul m says:

    After all people this is a normal winter in Michigan!

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      This is not normal at all! We have broken so many records… that ice storm in December was the biggest in a decade for GR, and we have surpassed our annual snowfall by nearly 20 inches! There have also been several snow cover records and a tie for the deepest snow cover in February ever! Now another light, but still accountable, snowfall will drop 5 inches or so of snow tomorrow… bringing pretty much all stations in the snow belt regions over the 100 inch mark.

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        I think he was being sarcastic, particularly towards those of us who think people are being silly about whining about this winter.

        1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

          Oh yeah, I just mentioned that below. I knew that :p Even I have spring fever.

    2. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      But Paul I know what you mean… its a typical winter in the sense that we have been getting hammered with snow. And you are absolutely right! Im hoping the NWS gets their 4-6 inch prediction spot on. I think they could have gone with a 3-6 inch snowfall just to be safe, but they challenged themselves with a tight 4-6 inch forecast with this system.

      1. Paul m says:

        When I was a kids late dec and jan we got hammered with snowstorms then lake effect for 2 today after the storm.
        Dig out happen all over again.this was the 70s thru 80s.
        To me this is an old fashion winter just haven’t had one in awhile!

  15. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    Hey snow lovers, let’s build a house in the Olympic Mountains of Washington. 6 feet of snow in 3 days!


  16. Well my season snowfall is at 99.3″ so far. I will go over 100″ by tomorrow. Based off of News 8s future cast, the sweet spot will be between I-96 and I-94. There map showed the highest totals in northern Allegan and Barry. Hope it plays out because that would give me 5″

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Allegan County getting the most snow? Say it ain’t so!

      1. Thats what it looks like right now according to the futurecast. Ottawa, Kent, Allegan, and Barry have been in the sweet spot all winter it seems. Not saying other areas wern’t either, but these areas have done very well

      2. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

        I added 4″ the last two days…up to 126″ for the season. I think Holland is right around that as well. Most we’ve had since I moved here in 1997-98 is 144″. Looks like that may get beat.

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      Oh goody. Just when we finally have stuff dug out, Mother Nature puts a bullseye on us. I love winter, but this is becoming tiresome – as in “physically tiresome”

      1. Jack says:

        GOODY,,,? Haven’t Heard that Phrase since This Old 1910 FriutGum Company Song !! Remember This ” TUNE” ???? GLDeb … CUE:::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXbj4NLWq6A. Stay Cued !!!

  17. INDY says:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hnoqSu___7w A little Detroit Rock City !! Stay Cued!!! INDYY//////

  18. INDY says:


  19. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Okay, the best thing ever happened today! My dad and I went to Costco at around 11am to look at TV’s and check out the usual price drop on flat screens. But a salesman from Directv just happened to be there… and I mentioned to my dad that we should talk to him about the cable/satellite plan. We pay a lot of money for Comcast, so why not switch? Now I don’t know if you get where I am going with this, but wow was it enjoyable. We went through all of the paperwork and signatures and such before he asked us what channels we watch on TV. In all honesty, the only channels I watch are The Weather Channel, Woodtv, and some sports once in a while… so those channels are very important to me when I happen to watch TV. I made it clear to him that the main channel that I watched was TWC… and he just looked at me blankly. It was actually pretty awkward at first, but then I began to explain to him that their business decision to take off TWC was a absolutely horrible and making them loose customers. Directv is a great company and very reliable, but they need to return TWC!

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      No they don’t and I am actually a paying costumer :)

      1. Paul (Yankee Springs-Barry State Game Area) says:

        Agreed. Forget TWC. We have WeatherNation on DirecTv and The Walking Dead on AMC….What more do you need ?

        1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          Watching the Weather Channel is like watching a different version of “the walking dead”. :P

          Walking Dead is my favorite show.

      2. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        Lol, they don’t need TWC… There has been a lot of criticism to that channel becuase they don’t focus on the weather anymore. They over exaggerate and try to make the news. And they have a lot of reality tv shows now

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          That’s what this blog is turning into.

  20. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Half of February is gone and still not an above average day in GR. Quite a streak.

  21. ER From GR says:

    Its the Eric’s wedding weather contest!!!! **** I am getting married in Grand Rapids, on March 1st. To add some fun to Bills Blog, everyone should take a guess at the high temperature in Grand Rapids on my wedding day. Also will we have any measurable precip??? Make your predictions within the next 24 hours!!! Good Luck!!!

    1. AJ says:

      42 degrees with plenty of snow on the ground and zero precip.

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      37 and sunny, congrats

    3. Wswplz says:

      Creative way to get an idea of weather possibilities for your upcoming wedding…congratulations btw on a happy future to come!

    4. Jack says:

      Don’t Know,,, Congrats on finding The SUNSHINE of your Love !!! God Bless !!!

    5. Tim (Spring Lake) says:

      I am going to guess 24 degrees, and yes on the measurable precip.

    6. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      If you want a warm and snowless wedding day, you may want to consider Flint. If you’re looking to be buried in snow, head to INDY’s house. If you’re concerned about thunderstorms on your wedding day, head to fixxxxxxxxy’s place. He deters them…probably because even thunderstorms don’t want to take on his miserableness. :P

      1. ER From GR says:

        Btw hahaha INDY will be standing two feet from me when i take my vows!!! He will become my brother in law haha!!! Thank you everyone!!!

        1. INDY says:


    7. Mike M. says:

      Comet slams into Earth, producing extinction level event. I’m sure your marriage will be fine, though.

  22. Paul (Yankee Springs-Barry State Game Area) says:

    Kyle…surprised I have a higher season total here than Byron. Think I’m around 108″ish for the season now.
    Your safe in Byron the next two days….I’m off, but I’ll be back Wednesday hitting the school zones and writing tickets….can’t wait for spring.

  23. Wswplz says:

    I really would like for this storm to verify, as we don’t have too many more chances before winter finally yields to spring…let’s hope the enthusiasm of the storm matches that of the outcome. I’m not to confident we will be seeing near blizzard conditions, but that’s just my humble option based on the outlooks I’ve seen so far. We shall find out shortly….

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        I’m not buying the GFS, it’s been all over with the system, the NAM has been pretty consistent over the last 24 hours, we will see though what happens

        1. Wswplz says:

          I’m rooting for you to be correct John, believe me I am!

        2. John (Norton Shores) says:

          I hope I am haha, I hate the waiting game, I just wish there was a model out there that would be dead on correct each time so we could say that, that outcome will happen haha!

      2. John (Norton Shores) says:

        And the NAM also shows a solid strip of snow from Wisconsin into Michigan meanwhile the GFS is all over with the colors and shows no stripe of snow, that’s how the NAM was a couple days ago before it started coming together better

        1. Wswplz says:

          Do what the pros do and take a blend of the different solutions. Lol

      3. Wswplz says:

        This storm better not pull the last minute jaunt to the south, uhhhh…I like the looks of the nam, but I wouldn’t be surprised if that we’re to happen, it would not be the first time.

        1. Wswplz says:

          Sorry I don’t want to sound pessimistic , I like to call it cautious optimism….lol

  24. Brian (Grandville) says:

    If we pick the model that favors what we want to happen, it does absolutely nothing to change the out come of what will happen. I’ll go with the RDB.

    1. Wswplz says:

      What outcome does the RDB show for tomorrow Brian?

      1. Brian (Grandville) says:

        Haven’t got any updates from him today. Its usually on the conservative side though. I would say a good 3-5 inches. Who knows I guess.

        1. Wswplz says:

          Oh ya, I thought you had a new run update or something.. I think it was calling for 4-6″ last I saw…I’m going with the new window model that has a solid track record so far. :)

        2. Brian (Grandville) says:

          That is the most reliable source there is, my #1 choice. I try not to make predictions for certain reasons.

  25. DJ2450 says:

    Wow! Thought I’d take a look at the tempurature before I went to bed. 7 below here in central Gratiot.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      Wow! 30degrees warmer than you here along the lakeshore. What a contrast.

      1. DJ2450 says:

        Are you clear?

    2. Eileen (Hesperia) says:

      DJ2450 – 0 degrees in Hesperia.

  26. John (Norton Shores) says:


    This really makes me beyond angry, I hope that stupid drunk dude learns his lesson, and regrets what he did, although he was probably to drunk to regret what he did! I feel so bad for the family, praying for them

    1. Jo Anne says:

      Prayers going up for this family, too! Thanks, John!…….+…….

  27. mr. negative says:

    132 inches for a new record?…should’nt be a problem this year.

  28. Low so far from our stations in Gratiot Co
    Breckenridge 0.9
    Middleton 4.4

    Ithaca MAWN -5.5
    Alma airport -9.0

  29. Jack says:

    Good Monday MOANING to Everyone, a Bit of Weather HISTORY from Nws Gr. On February 17 in Southwest Lower Michigan…

    Arctic air is in force across Lower Michigan with record lows of 19 below at Grand Rapids. Muskegon falls to 14 below zero, just shy of the record low for the day of 15 below set in 1904.
    A long spell of frigid weather during January and February results in Lake Michigan freezing over almost completely for the only time on record.
    Stay CUED!! Have a Blessed MONDAY !! Be Safe & Be Well…… :-)

  30. Hit -0.1 at 1:15am that is our 16th sub zero day of the winter.

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