Severe Thunderstorms??!!

February 17th, 2014 at 12:44 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

spc day1otlk_1630   WOW, look at this!  The image on the left indicates the Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Risk area for Thursday (in red) and Friday (in purple).  The Day 4 (Thurs.) outlook actually comes up into SW Lower Michigan!  It scrapes the southern part of the state from extreme southern St. Joseph Co. near Sturgis east to Monroe County! SPC says: “EXPECT STORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON — FROM SRN IL/ERN MO SSWWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION…IN A LINEAR CONFIGURATION NEAR/AHEAD OF THE FRONT. GIVEN VERY STRONG FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM…IT APPEARS THE DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME RELATIVELY WIDESPREAD BY LATE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE EVENING AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE ROLLS EWD. IN ADDITION…A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE — MAINLY WITH EMBEDDED VORTICES WITHIN THE LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM.”   The National Weather Service Office in N. Webster, Indiana has 11″ of snow on the ground and they’ll be over a foot tomorrow am!  The outlook area covers parts of 16 states! Personally, I think the best bet for severe is toward the Ohio and Lower Mississippi Valleys.  The northern part of the outlook area would see a greater chance of small hail if they saw anything at all with the cold temperatures.  I’ve said before it’s hard to get tornadoes when the surface air temperature is colder than 60 degrees…and it’ll be hard to get that warm where there is snow on the ground.  Climatologically, tornadoes don’t occur where there is a general snowcover.

18 Responses to “Severe Thunderstorms??!!”

  1. Red in Allegan Co. says:

    Wow! From one extreme to another.

  2. GunLakeDeb says:

    Ugh – just what we DON’T need.

    1. Red in Allegan Co. says:

      I agree Deb. I don’t know whether to buy stock in snow shovels or build an ark. Could turn out to be one of those crazy spring seasons we haven’t seen in a while.

      1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

        Guess we can use shovels as oars!!! LOL!

  3. John (Norton Shores) says:

    They can keep it, don’t need flooding in this area

    1. Skot says:

      Hope you’re not one of those goomba’s that bought a House on the river.

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Nope, I’m close to Lake Michigan though

  4. Katie in Kentwood says:

    Wow insane weather!!

  5. Ispotasnowflake says:

    ill pass on the storms unless they have some snow in it. Soon everyone will be complaining about the 90′s temps and humidity. I swore to myself i would never complain about the cold again after working in 115 degree temps in a welding factory.

  6. Paul (Yankee Springs-Barry State Game Area) says:

    I see that the open donut hole in the snow around Chicago is filling in rapidly….

  7. Jeff (Portland) says:

    I do not see this happening here … Waaay to much cold and snow in place ..

  8. Elaine says:

    I will just be glad if we ever see a string of days with no precipitation, of any kind, and temps in the low to mid 30′s!

  9. INDY says:

    Way to cold for storms sorry guys maybe in June!!! INDYY….

  10. Andy says:

    Did anyone mention the fog we will get every time it warms up while the snow is on the ground and then again until the frost is gone.

  11. Katie in Kentwood says:

    probably 2 inches so far here in Walker.

  12. bill Martin says:

    Just drove North on East Beltline. Snow covered, slippery, and you could not see more than a block.

  13. Andrea says:

    I would love it if they would stop spraying that artificial cloud cover and let some sunshine in.

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