Wind Chill Advisory

March 3rd, 2014 at 1:20 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

advisory   There’s a Wind Chill Advisory in effect until 10 am.  Remember that wind chill is a function of wind and temperature and in this case, it’s almost all because of temperature as winds will be calm to rather light.   Here’s current conditions (temperature and wind chill).  At 1 am, Grand Rapids was +1°, Fremont -5°, Big Rapids -11° and Pellston has already been as low as -26° overnight.  The record low temps. for 3/3 are -9 GRR, -10 MKG and -19 LAN.   The evening run of the NAM (caribou) only gives GRR a high of 10 today (I think that’s too low) and it gives GRR 0.8″ of snow Tuesday, 0.5″ snow Tuesday night, and 0.6″ snow on Weds.  It gives GRR a high of 27.2° on Weds.   The GFS plot has high temperatures beginning today of 13, 24, 28, 31, 33.  I’ll side with the warmer numbers plus a degree or two.  The pattern looks cool thru at least the middle of the month (though not as cold as it is now).  The GFS plot would give G.R. almost an inch of snow Tues., a little over an inch Tues. night, an inch from Weds. into Weds. night and then either a couple inches of snow or a mix (a period of freezing rain not impossible) on Friday.

70 Responses to “Wind Chill Advisory”

  1. Sandy (Hudsonville) says:

    Brrrrr!!! It sure is cold out!!

  2. TomKap (Michigan St. & Fuller) Grand Rapids says:

    Pellston now -29 at 3am.
    From what I can gather, it’s the coldest temp in the USA right now.

  3. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    -6 here at my location. This is the coldest March 3rd in a very long time.

  4. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    Looks like a few light snow chances through this week. There is some uncertainity about the Friday event. I’m thinking it’ll be all snow. We shall see how this plays out.

    1. fixxxer says:

      And you need more snow why?

    2. Dan (Byron Center) says:

      Break the record! Why not?

      1. AJ (Cedar Springs) says:

        :)

      2. GunLakeDeb says:

        I agree. If Mother Nature has abused us this badly all winter – it might as well be a record-breaker.

  5. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

    -15 here last night. That makes 23 below zero days here this season. I see GR is at -7 right now for the low so far. I think this is the last below zero reading GR will see this season. There will be more cold but below zero readings are unlikely.

    1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

      Dropped 9 degrees here in the last 40 minutes. From -7 at 5:30am to
      -16 at 6:10am.

  6. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    It’s hard to believe that the average high is 38.

    1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

      I’m actually getting used to the cold. Yesterday when I got up it was 6 degrees. My wife ask me how cold did it get last night. I replied not that cold only got down to 6.

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        The other day it was an incredible 15 (and sunny) and far too warm to wear my jacket while I shoveled snow…. We’ll all be panting if it ever hits 40….LOL!!!

  7. Robert (Plainwell) says:

    It got down to -10 here.

  8. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    How cold is it? Not that cold. That Lake helps us. I saw temps at -38 and -41 up in Minnesota. Now that is COLD!

  9. shelbyville says:

    Looks like a couple more shots of bitterly cold air within the next two weeks.http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Imageanis.php

  10. INDY says:

    Wow going on 4 months now with snow on the ground lets do a half of year why not!!! drink them sprites and feel snowy right!! INDYY!!

  11. -14.3° at 7:45am in Breckenridge is the coldest temperature recorded here since installing our weather station/s back in 1995

    Alma Airport also at -14

    1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

      Mark, do you know of records that have been kept here for our area. Such as seasonal snowfall?

    2. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

      BTW. It’s back down to -17 at the Gratiot airport.

  12. ER From GR says:

    Hey!!!! We made it through the wedding!!! I’m a married man!!! And I drove straight through Michigan to Jacksonville yesterday!!! We left at 6:30 am and made it to our hotel here at three am this morning!!! It’s gorgeous!!! Already pushing 70 degrees, and we will be boarding our cruise soon!!! :P

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Congrats ER! Have a blast on your cruise!

    2. Cupcake says:

      Have a GREAT time and enjoy the warmth!!!

  13. Pathfinder says:

    -17 here in Holton. Need to go out and feed the
    horses and other critters. Start of another day
    beautiful day.

  14. GunLakeDeb says:

    A balmy 18 below right now. But the sun is shining – makes the cold SOOOO much better!

  15. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    Adding minutes to the daylight. Then, we Spring forward later this week. I still think we get 2 more big snow storms! Winter will end into the Spring. It is not over yet.

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      This year we will NOT spring ahead this year we will slide ahead!
      SlimJim

  16. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    While at the airport the coldest I see so far is -7° here at my house I got down to -11° That -7° will put GR in 2nd place on the all time record low list for March 3rd and my -11° of course would be a new record. Even that -7° is in the top 10 (looks like maybe number 5) in the coldest readings this late in the season here in GR!
    The next week looks to bring us some light snow and while cold it should be some what warmer then its been. Still no major storms on the horizon. I am not sure if that is good or not. While it will help with some slow melting taking place of the next 5 to 10 days (mostly in the sunny areas) it don’t look warm enough to melt much. Of course the question becomes will we see a major storm before the snow all melts and if we do will it be snow, freezing rain or just rain or a combination of all 3?
    BTW its now warmed up to -3° here with sun shine.
    SlimJim

  17. Mike in Hamilton says:

    Hope we get a nice satellite shot of the lakes today whiles it’s clear. I’d love to see how much ice is really out there!

  18. Jim in Delton says:

    Got down to -9 in Delton!

  19. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    For what its worth. Acc u less in their ever so un accurate 45 day guess shows only 2 days in the month of March at or above 50. And only a hand full of 40° days. Of course late last fall they did not show a night below 32° for most of December and we all know how that worked out.
    Also its now been 85 consecutive days with 3+ inches of snow on the ground here in GR we are now in the top 10 with the next (no 7) with the next spot being at 88 days then after that the next one will be 93 days. So we will have the number 5 spot for sure. And the top 4 spots are 107 days in 1978/79…105 in 1962/63…104 in 1953/54 and 103days in 1903/04 and we know what happened that spring!!
    SlimJim

  20. Ryan (Rockford) says:

    So get this. I left my house at 8:00 AM, and it was -18 on my deck thermometer and -13 on my car thermometer. I headed west along 12 Mile Rd., crossed over US-131, and continued to the intersection of 12 Mile and Algoma….

    The temperature literally PLUMMETED to an absolutely incredible -24 degrees Fahrenheit!! I immediately took a picture on my phone. This is the coldest temperature I’ve ever personally seen, breaking my earlier winter record of -22.5. If anything, my car thermometer runs a few degrees too warm. It’s March 3rd and it’s NEGATIVE 24 degrees!

    1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

      The Amazing Winter of 2013-14. WOW!!!

    2. steven (Derby Lake) says:

      Most likely the thermometer on you car was still “frozen” while you were driving until enough heat from under the hood could thaw it out, hence the sudden drop in temp.

      1. Ryan (Rockford) says:

        That’s not the case, Steven, for a couple of reasons. First, the temperature had already changed a few degrees before the sudden drop. If it was ever frozen, it had already thawed prior to the drop. Second, the drop in temperatures was directly correlated with a steady drop in elevation. If you’ve ever driven west on 12 Mile starting just east of 131, it begins on a hill and progressively drops into a very flat valley, which is initially wooded and hidden from the sun. I was driving slow (icy roads), and the temperature dropped as I continued to get closer to the valley. From there, it bottomed out at -24, and then slowly rose to around -16 or so by the time I got on the 131 entrance ramp at 10 Mile Rd. The -16 is consistent with other readings in the area. Also, my car was in the (relatively) warm garage all night.

      2. yooper4021 says:

        Ryan, I believe it. I live on the north side too (Belmont), my thermometer at home showed -12 and my car thermometer dropped to -17 (Jupiter bridge area, crossing the Grand River – that’s generally the coldest spot on my commute. -23 was the lowest I observed this winter.)

  21. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Meteorological spring is here and looks like 40′s and possibly some 50′s aren’t too far off. It was pretty crazy to hear all the birds chirping away on this cold morning.

    Arctic sea ice made another record low the past week for this time of year. So much for that recovery!

    http://www.popsci.com/article/alarming-video-shows-arctic-ice-disappearing

    1. INDY says:

      What 40′s and 50′s now way!!! ER from GR bring us the warm weather back!! INDYY!!!

    2. Ned S. (East of Holland) says:

      Please don’t start on AGW or climate chamge. Even if it were proven beyond a shadow of a doubt to be true, we don’t have trillions of dollars languishing in vaults somewhere to try and fight it. We’re borrowing and spending way too much as it is.

    3. Brian(Grandville) says:

      No 40′s or 50′s anywhere in the near future. Not sure what you’re looking at.

    4. Bill Steffen says:

      Antarctic ice is roughly two standard deviations above average: http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_stddev_timeseries.png and it’s been growing steadily for 25+ years: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png Note that it’s not even going to get back to average after their summer!!

      Total global sea ice is fairly close to average and has been trending higher over the past couple years: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg (they don’t count the Great Lakes in this graphic).

  22. Jim Corbett says:

    I heard at least one WOOD-TV meteorologist refer to the 1951-52 record snowfall as measured at the Ford Airport. However, what is now the Gerald R. Ford international Airport did not open until 1963 which means the 1951-1952 record snowfall would have been measured at the former Kent County Airport located on the site of what is now Roger B. Chaffee Memorial Drive SE with the runway extending from 32nd SE to 44th SE. Would that record snowfall of 1951-52 been different had it been measured at the site of the new airport? I do recall flyiog out of the old airport in 1958 and again in 1961 before it moved in 1963 to where it is now.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Very interesting. Nice work.

  23. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

    Indy, I’m really missing my fire pit. It’s still buried out there!!

    1. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

      My picnic table has been gone since January.

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      You know what is buried in my yard?? About 4 months’-worth of dog poo. Can’t wait for THAT to thaw – ugh.

      1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

        That’s funny. It wasn’t the answer I was expecting.

  24. INDY says:

    Me 2 I can’t even see mine I am so ready for a cold sprite and hot fire!!! INDYY!!

    1. Andy says:

      HAHAHA.what can’t you see of yours INDY!??? Too much of a beer belly huh!??? HAHAHAHA

  25. Ben says:

    Lake michigan is getting very close to being frozen over. http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/glcfs.php?hr=00&ext=ice&type=N&lake=l

    1. Stacsh says:

      hopefully get a good satellite picture today.

  26. GunLakeDeb says:

    Counting my/our blessings here in Michigan. Yes, it’s cold and snowy. But I was just on Facebook, and Kent Skywarn posted a ready.gov poster that showed each state, then a date. The idea was that on that date, the state need an emergency plan, because the following day, something terrible happened. Michigan’s catastrophe? Cold weather that froze pipes. California had the Northridge earthquake; Texas, Florida and other coastal states had hurricanes, etc etc. Even though I’ve griped about shoveling snow – I’ll still take that over something devastating like a hurricane or wildfires; and especially over stuff that doesn’t get “warned” like earthquakes.

    Yes, this has been a 4-month-long ordeal, and it’s been especially hard on a lot of people. But I remember driving along the Gulf Coast a year-and-a-half after Katrina – and it looked like the hurricane had just hit. Thousands of homes/buildings destroyed; infrastructure gone; business at a standstill. People living in tarped homes or FEMA trailers. The stench of mold/mildew, as we neared New Orleans, was overpowering.

    I’ll take the snow, thanks.

    1. Stacsh says:

      The cold probably kills more than all of those, directly or indirectly.

      1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

        Hurricane Katrina alone killed 1,833. As of January 7th according to USA Toaday 20 people had died that were linked to the winter cold and snow. I couldn’t find more current info. However, if you triple that number it’s still 60 people who have unfortunately died from the winter weather. Not even close to Katrina.

        1. DJ2450 (Central Gratiot) says:

          On average heat kills more people in the U.S. than cold and snow. Look at this chart from 2012.

          http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/hazstats.shtml

        2. GunLakeDeb says:

          Florida’s “disaster du jour” was Hurricane Andrew, which left a mind-boggling 175,000 people homeless…..

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          I think the graph of weather-related deaths is very misleading. What counts and what doesn’t. In the heat wave of 1995, Chicago logged about 700 heat deaths. Surrounding big cities had less than 10 (Indianapolis, Milwaukee) because they counted differently. The graph says only 24 die from “winter”. They certainly can’t be counting the hundreds who die each year in snow/ice related traffic accidents. Human and animal mortality peaks in winter, in the coldest season.

  27. I’m liking that 38 next Monday. But given this winter, that 3 will be replaced with a 1

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      WOOD is the only source I could find that is forecasting above 32° for next Monday.

  28. on the Grand says:

    Well, even though it is cold outside. The sun is shiny and bright. The snow is melting. All the new snow on the deck and roof is gone. The snow on the dry pavement is gone and I can hear water slowly dripping down the gutter pipes. I had to go outside to find out what that noise was. Water. You can also smell spring in the air.

  29. Paul m says:

    I’m still very concerned we’re going to have a rapid melt off here very soon in West Michigan of our snow pack!

  30. Dylan says:

    Even though Im kind of over Winter…now that we are getting so close to the record snowfall totals…I REALLY hope we SMASH IT TO PIECES!!!!!!! HAHAHA And once we do that…THEN Spring can hit!! lol That being all said…Mr. Bill…do you think we still have some more snowstorms in this Winter left!? Would still LOVE to get an actual certified MAJOR BLIZZARD!! We need at least one BLIZZARD to put the icing on the cake of this so far AWESOME Winter!!! And Im not talking of blizzard LIKE conditions or snow blowing off your roof…but an ACTUAL honest to goodness BLIZZARD.

  31. Craig (Holland North Sider) says:

    Went up north to visit the in-laws this weekend and I was talking to my mother in law. She has worked at Shanty Creek for close to 30 years. I asked her if it was one of the best winters ever with all the snow. That coupled with no real melt offs I figured it would have been a banner year. What she said surprised me. She said due to the severity of the cold and relentless snow storms the numbers as a whole have been down. Mid week they would have a full house count and by the weekend there were a number of no shows or cancellations due to not being able to travel in. Also a number of corporate events were cancelled as well. It was interesting to hear from someone who’s work is dependent on the weather view it this way. She said as temps moderate and the snow slows down she expects things to pick up to finish the year. I’m sure snowmobiling has been great, on Saturday I saw more snowmobiles than cars. Then again they aren’t the ones typically staying at a resort.

    1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      I have never seen more snowmobiles on the trails here in west Michigan than I’ve seen this winter. All of the local dealers/parts distributors have sold out on snowmobiles, and have been running out of parts. Something as common as oil has been scarce on shelfs.

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      Craig – I was wondering about that? We’ve had such severe windchills – and there’s nothing like riding up a chairlift to the top of a hill with unimpeded wind……

      However – I had mentioned seeing fewer snowmobilers around here than in past years, but maybe they’re all riding over near Travis….LOL!!

  32. Jim S (Saugatuck Twp) says:

    The last few runs of the GFS are still cold, but showing less and less snow as it appears the heavier snow starts retreating to the north. South of 96, it’s only showing about 3-6″ over the next two weeks.

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014030312&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=384

  33. INDY says:

    ANDY + DYLAN = WHITE CANDY!!! ENJOY THE SUNSHINE!! INDYY!!

    1. Andy says:

      I have no idea what you are saying…but that’s probably because your a drunkard!!

  34. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    Weather underground which is usually warm biased has us only getting above freezing once (Friday) over the next 15 days. Acculess’ only warm day in the next 2 weeks (Saturday the 15th) at 51° is 19° warmer than weather underground’s forecasted high. If that forecast actually verifies we could be 15° below average overall through the middle of March.

  35. Jeremy (Three Rivers) says:

    Latest GFS throwing out some more irk along I-94: http://204.2.104.196/gfs/WINTER_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif

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