Continued Cool

March 13th, 2014 at 1:36 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

814temp.new modis lake michigan  (I’ve added some links and the overnight lows to this thread).  High clouds moving in from the west already this late morning.  This is the 8-14 day outlook for March 20-26.  The darkest blue and that letter “B” is right over Michigan and the Great Lakes.  The satellite picture on the right is from Weds. PM showing much of Lake Michigan is now ice free and we have some lake-effect clouds with an almost due north wind.  The cool pattern continues.  On the bright side, the blossoms aren’t out too soon, we don’t get tornadoes when it’s 20 degrees and I have yet to see a mosquito.   The overall dry pattern is good, we need to melt off the snow without a heavy rain.  It’s a cold morning, here’s current conditions and the surface weather map.  The first 12 days of March were 9.9° colder than average in G.R. and we have 11″ of snow on the ground.  Muskegon has a 16″ snow cover and Lansing is at 15″.  Season snowfall:  Grand Rapids 112.6″, Kalamazoo 112.4″ (look how close they are!), Muskegon 129.6″, Holland 149.6″.  Michigan had the coldest high temps. in the Lower 48 states on Weds. with 9° at Sault Ste. Marie, 12 in Ironwood and 15 at Traverse City – that’s even with sunshine.  It was 87° in Miami, 83° in Phoenix, 81° in Los Angeles…61° at Seattle and highs were in the 50s in the lee of the Rockies from W. Texas all the way north through Alberta, Canada.  There were 18 reports of wind damage in N. Carolina from t-storms Weds. and 47 mph winds knocked out power at the U.S. Capitol.  There were 115,000 customers without power from New Jersey to the Carolinas.  More than 5,000 U.S. flights were delayed, another 1,904 were canceled, according to FlightStats.  Here’s a pic. of a windy thunderstorm approaching.  Check out the surfers on Lake Ontario in the snow and zero wind chills during a blizzard warning!  50-vehicle accident near Sandusky, Ohio snowstorm – 2 fatalities, trooper seriously injured.  Here’s an aerial view of the massive duststorm that swept thru W. Texas on TuesThird snowiest winter in Chicago.  Check out the towering pyrocumulus cloud over a wildfire in Australia.   Consumers Energy is down to just 87 customers without power, all but one (in V.Buren Co.) are in SE Michigan.    Pretty cool wave cloudsMeteorologists agree El Nino coming on…will it be weak, moderate or strong??  Big Question…at this point I’ll guess moderate.   Thursday is the anniversary of the “Storm of the Century”.   Severe thunderstorms possible Saturday E. Texas, W. Louisiana19 severe wind reports Weds., 18 of them in N. Carolina – one fatality.

Low Temperatures Thurs. AM (note some cold temperatures south and east of G.R. where there was more fresh snow on the ground):  -23° Doe Lake (in the U.P. – coldest in the U.S.), -19 Leslie, -16 Lawrence, -15 Pellston, -14 Bath, -13 Marquette (record number of below zero days this winter), -12 Watervliet, -10 Marshall, -9 Hastings, Ceresco, Mason, -8 Charlotte, Albion, Hartford, -7 Cadillac, -6 Jackson, Houghton Lake, Belding, -5 Battle Creek and Lansing (record), -4 Coldwater, Baldwin, Clarksville, -3 Kalamazoo, Benton Harbor, Alma, Reed City, -2 Big Rapids, Manistee, S. Haven, Fennville, Hudsonville, Entrican, -1 Fremont and Sparta, 0 Holland, Ludington, Sturgis, Mendon, Kent City, +1 Ionia, Allendale, +2 Mt. Pleasant, Three Rivers, Grandvlle, Hopkins, West Olive, +3 Muskegon, Grand Rapids (record).

Model update:  The 16-day GFS plot has .01″ precip. Fri. evening and another .01″ Saturday – no big deal…it has 0.10″ Monday and brings an area of mostly sunny over us on Tues. with 0.51″ precip.  Too early to get excited.  I’m not staying up for the European tonight.  I’ll look at that when I get up.  Stay warm this morning.

233 Responses to “Continued Cool”

  1. Mark (EGR) says:

    1. “Tomorrow will be windy and warmer with highs in the upper 40s (mid 40s near Lake Michigan). If we didn’t have snow on the ground, we’d make the low-mid 60s, but the snow cover should hold us to the mid-upper 40s.” WOW! I didn’t realize snow cover could have such an impact; I also didn’t realize air in the 60s was coming our way this soon.

    2. Bill — can you let the person who writes the forecasts know that the word they are looking for is “eke”, not “eek”?

  2. Jack says:

    Today’s Featured Posts: March 15-19 Potentially Significant Winter Storm and March 20-24 Potential Storm System
    Per Japanese Model !! Ahhh Sooooo U Tay CUED…. ;-)

  3. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The 18Z GFS is giving Marquette up to 27″ of snow with early next weeks storm! WOW talk about a full blown snowstorm, Matt you still have time to move up there lol!

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      It also gives central and northern lower michigan an ice storm, SlimJim you may be right about getting a ice storm in March.

    2. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Why would you want to move up there, that sounds awful! Im fine with staying in the Lake Michigan snow belts where we get the perfect amount of snow. Anything above 100 is too much, and this year is not an exception. Im ready for spring!

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Matt was the one talking about how he would want to live in the UP, I like it here in lower Michigan.

    3. Brian(Grandville) says:

      I’ve said it before on here, and not that I’m hoping for any more snow at this point in the season. The big storms always go to the N.W. or to the east.

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        I think your right, Lake Michigan is the shredder of snowstorms too haha!

      2. Jack says:

        GO TIGERS !!!! :-)

        1. Bobby (Ada) says:

          BAZINGA!

      3. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        Yep. They either follow Lake Michigan to the west of us, or follow Lake Erie to the east of us. Yawn.

  4. John (Norton Shores) says:

    It’s going to be a tough call on next weeks storm, there will defiantly be a storm but as to the exact track and precip type remain the question as this storm is still 5 days out.

    1. Paul m says:

      All rain rain rain!

  5. SC (Marshall) says:

    Did anybody else hear local radio stations mention a chance of snow tonight, with accumulations 1″ (Kalamazoo station)??

  6. Jack says:

    HERE IS the Photo of The Day from Northern Lights Link !! BEAUTIFUL ….See HERE ::

    At Deer Lake near Marquette, MI by Ryan Stephens

  7. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    The sun just came out here. With clear skies the temp here is now at a cold 27° But with warmer air off to our west tomorrow will be a warmer day then today was and upper 40’s or could be in store for us. Then it looks to turn cold again for the weekend and then warm up with rain? Next week. What will the track of that storm be next week? At this time it looks to go to the west of us and that is what we will go with at this time. With the up and down pattern that we should be in that will continue to melt down the snow pack. In town there is now more and more bare ground showing up. And it sure looks like the grass/weeds this year are very much on the brown side. It will take several warm rains before we see a good green up.
    SlimJim

    1. Jack says:

      Slim Jim , I see a ” Green Up” happening Soon ,,,, Monday, March 17
      St. Patrick’s Day 2014
      Lol…. stay Cued !

    2. SW Kent says:

      GFS has 3 major rain events . It will green up nicely slim.

  8. Jack says:

    Whoops Here is The Photo of The Northern Lights in Michigan ! http://www.softservenews.com/photos/photo0000061.html. Love IT…

    1. Eileen (Hesperia) says:

      Beautiful – thanks for sharing Jack :)

  9. Brian(Grandville) says:

    I haven’t watched or listened to any forecasts today, but just looked at my NWS point forecast. Looks like temps will rise to the low 30′s by day break. That’s fine with me. I’m officially done with winter. It’s been one for the record books for sure.

  10. Jack says:

    Besides Being FRYday 2-morrow,,, Here is something Else to Get Excited about ! Friday, March 14, 2014
    Game 5: No. 1 Michigan vs. No. 9 Illinois, Noon ET, ESPN
    Game 6: No. 4 Nebraska vs. No. 5 Ohio State, 25 minutes after Game 5, ESPN
    Game 7: No. 2 Wisconsin vs. Game 3 winner, 6:30 p.m. ET, BTN
    Game 8: No. 3 Michigan State vs. Game 4 winner, 25 minutes after game 7, BTN. March MADNESS !!! Stay Cued..

  11. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    Go Blue in Big Ten Tourney! Selection Sunday where Blue gets a 2 seed! Then its March Madness time! Who will go all the way? Wichita State? Fla? Duke? Kansas? Michigan? MSU?

    1. Nate says:

      Michigan and Wichita State will make it one round maybe two. MSU is going all the way. Izzo knows how to get it done in the tourney.

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        Just like last year, right Nate?

      2. Dan (Byron Center) says:

        Izzo better get them going then. Sparty has not played well for the past few games. If Michigan is on, hitting their shots and defending well They will be a tough out. C’MON Nate they did win the Big Ten Crown outright. Also, they went on the road and beat 3 top. 25 teams in 3 consecutive games!

  12. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    What a beautiful evening for my walk. I got some great pictures with my precious snowpack and the sunset before the snow goes bye bye. We easily still have a foot and a half of snow here in the woods

    I could walk on top of the snowpack too. It is very dense!

    1. Jack says:

      Pics. ??? Are You Sharing…Matt …. Staying CUED… ;-)

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        :) I don’t know how to share them on here?

        1. Paul m says:

          Warren Buffett is giving 1 billions dollars if you pick have a perfect winning bracket of March madness!

        2. michael g (SE GR) says:

          You have a better chance of getting a forecast right paul. And that is saying something….

  13. Michigan!!!!! G O B L U E !!!!!!!

    1. Jack says:

      ” High” Noon FRYday ….MINDY ! Stay ” High, cued……. Yes… Pun intended..on The ” HIGH” word….. ;-)

  14. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    COLD and SNOW is coming!

  15. Nate says:

    WARMTH and RAIN is coming!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      If you call tempos in the upper 30′s warm you are 100% correct!

      1. Nate says:

        I do. Temps in upper 30′s means no more snow. It also means below average snowfall for March. Who knew?

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          More fantasy land warm weather voodoo!

        2. michael g (SE GR) says:

          Strange definition of warmth.

        3. Nate says:

          It’s relative

  16. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The BEST WINTER EVER keeps giving! GREAT temperatures today! This will be the 14th weekend in a row with excellent outdoor winter sports condition! This is unprecedented in GR history! I love it!

  17. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Hey fixxxer and fixxxer jr have you taken up a winter sport yet? Or are you going to complain about COLD and SNOW for the rest of your lives?

  18. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    There is no warm air in sight! It looks like my ski trip for the first week of April is full speed ahead! INCREDIBLE! I may be skiing and snowmobiling till mid April this season! Forget golf till May baby!

    1. Wswplz says:

      Why are you waiting till April to go skiing, the snow that time of year will be slush, unless you just like spring skiing. That doesn’t see like the conditions you like since cold is your mantra, as you should go sooner than later, especially if your thinking on going cross country skiing. I’ve heard that hill is pretty small at Boyne so better to go when you have natural snow, instead of man made.

      1. Wswplz says:

        *’sorry it’s your trip, just thinking out loud or typing….since you have mentioned more than a few times…waiting for something to watch as the next week looks iffy and unknown at this time, maybe tomorrow we will see things more clearly…still waiting for a good snow to cap off this season, if we indeed get a big one…I’m sure we will see a few small systems however.

  19. Janna says:

    A friend of mine who lives up in Beulah, MI said that they’ve had 240″ of snowfall this winter. How is that possible? Is that correct?

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      They may be taking the total from Maple City in Leelanau County, where they have had around 240″ according to an observer there.

  20. Cliff(Scotts) says:

    Sun was out earlier today, looks like the clouds won this battle. Still a great day to get out and enjoy the weather before the next cold stretch comes back. Going to be a interesting time come planting season.

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