Weekend

March 15th, 2014 at 3:05 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local   Dry this Sunday, but cold – highs in the mid 20s.  With some sun and the winds NE at around 8-10 mph, it should feel a bit warmer, but still way below the average high of 44°.  Grand Rapids is down to 7″ of snow officially (from a high of 24″ back in February).  Even when the snow melts, the ground will still be pretty saturated and runoff from heavy rain would probably be a little above average…but so far, so good on diminishing the flood threat.   Despite the 51° on Friday, Grand Rapids is still 9.7° colder than average for the first two weeks of March.  Combined with the 5.8° below average in January and 8.8° below average in February – 2014 is starting off as one of the coldest years ever in G.R.  The coldest years ever in G.R. (in order) were 1917, 1904, 1978, 1972 and 1989.  Five of the coldest 12 years occurred from 1969-1978.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.

205 Responses to “Weekend”

  1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

    We had a good day snowmobiling in the Allegan Forrest today. In the forrest and shaded areas the snow is still knee deep (16-20″)! This is the latest in the winter by 2 weeks that I have ever snowmobiled on the trails around here. We may go up north one day during the week depending on where the midweek storm ends up dumping snow. It’s crazy to think that next Saturday we will be in Brownstown, IN watchind dirt track racing. It’s suppose to be middle to upper 50′s down there next Saturday which will feel like a heatwave.

    1. Wayne (South of GR) says:

      Travis, when I was young I enjoyed snowmobiling.
      You must have had a terrific year.
      Do you have a Yamaha or a Polaris?

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        And my question is whether his sled is air-cooled or liquid-cooled?? I haven’t seen many on the trails around here since there’s really no loose snow to cool the engine?

        1. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

          We all have liquid cooled snowmobiles, fan cooled snowmobiles probably would have overheated on a day like today. We had to go off the trail on the softer snow to help cool the sleds down because the trails were so flat and icy hard. It softened up nust enough this afternoon.

      2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        I guess your number 4 in the list is wrong…great winter sports conditions in Allegan….we still have plenty of snow here too. Perhaps just your yard?

        1. SW Kent says:

          Great winter sporting conditions are over Matt. Get a clue Mr teacher.

    2. Travis Ulberg (West of Martin, Allegan County) says:

      I have a Polaris. I have gone well over 2X a regular year in miles. There is still more snow on the trails than there is during January of an average winter.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Who knew?

  2. Well 2 years ago the Dexter tornado did its destruction. I was amazed when I turned on the T.V. and saw the damage. I remember Kyle Underwood on air talking about it. At first I thought it was a tornado that hit Kansas and they had live video, but then I saw the caption and it said Dexter, MI. I actually got to tour the damage and walk the streets and look at all the destruction. I drove down there on St. Patricks day 2012 as a matter of fact. Definantly was a sad sight to see

  3. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

    I mentioned last week that our pattern would be turning more active this week. Looks like it…it also looks like it will be a mix of precip types. The models seem to be having trouble figuring out which jet stream is going to rule the pattern this week. If the northern jet stream has a bigger system develop along it, we will probably get more rain, as we will be south of the storm track. If the southern jet rules and we have enough of this cold air bleeding in from the north, we could get a couple of nice little snow events. This month is definitely looking like a much below normal temperature month. I hope our warm weather friends have enjoyed the sun lately, because it looks like we are entering a much cloudier period.

    1. I foresee more in the way of rain showers than snow IMHO

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        Yeah, I think we will see some rain showers, along with snow showers. I guess what makes it more difficult is that climatology says rain is more likely, but seasonal pattern would dictate otherwise.

        1. Yeah the pattern we have had has been the rule of thumb for a lot of things. But soon or a later, this pattern is going to have to break. Its just a matter of when. I think we are slowly in the beginning stages of a shift

        2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          Can I get one more snowstorm? Right over my house? Pllllllease. :P

          If anybody wants, you can ship your snow to my house. Just not in the backyard….My wife likes to enjoy the warm weather from the deck. I can sit on the front porch.

      2. Wswplz says:

        As long as it’s over my house as well, don’t be a snow hog, snow demon….

        1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          :P

    2. fixxxer says:

      The cold pattern should break soon. Besides its only march. We usually dont warm up that much until may or so. Been here 7 years and havent seen an entire spring and summer be cold so im not concerned. Regaurdless the cold air is starting to get on everyones nerves.

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        My first summer here….2009… Was quite chilly, and rainy. Besides Lake Michigan being freezing, I loved the cooler temps.

        I think you and I are opposites. I HATE hot weather. It makes me grumpy and want to hibernate until the air tuns crisp. Lol

        1. Brian(Grandville) says:

          Me too Matt. I really enjoyed that summer. I was doing outdoor construction at the time, 40′s and 50′s at night, and 70′s, low 80′s for highs were perfect. Not to mention saving a ton on electric, on running the a/c a whole lot.

        2. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          Yes! The lake kept us in the lower to mid 70s much of that summer. Refreshing. Our hottest day was the same day we got those horrible storms that knocked down trees ALL OVER Fruitport and Spring Lake.

        3. My ideal summer temperature is 85 lol sorry, I like it a little on the warm side :D

  4. Basically a good way to describe our pattern is that of what we see in the month of November where we have warm days that are slowly transitioning into colder days, and our rainy days are slowly shifting towards snowy days. But in this case, it is reverse logic. Usually we lock into our snowy pattern as we advance through December. So if you apply that to now, I think we will beegin to lock into our new pattern as we advance into about the second week of April.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      I agree. This year may have a few tricks though. In a “normal” year, we have a risk of snow in April, so I think our risk is higher this year. Especially since it doesn’t look like we are going to do an extreme flip in the pattern….like that seen in March a couple years ago.

      1. It is a good thing that we are not turning the page and going into an instant warm-up like we had a few years back. As much as a nice shift into warmer weather would be nice, the farmers would suffer big time. I was amazed at how little in the way of Apple’s there were on apple trees. Apple growers suffered a major loss in profit in 2012. We have an apple tree in our backyard and in a typical year it is chucked full of apples, but that year, I was lucky to scrounge up 5 off the tree.

        1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

          That’s for sure. The price of apples that year at the Farmers Market was very high.

    2. I tend to call November and March Twin months, because they both do the same things, but just in reverse.

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        That’s probably why they are both my least favorite months. I think of “Mud” and “brown” during both months.

        1. Haha the three words that I associate with those months are “Mud, Mush, and Messy”

  5. mk says:

    in december i think of figgy pudding.

    1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

      I had no Idea what that was. Googled it and now I know. :)

  6. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    I don’t like to nag people, so let’s make this quick. Can you accept my FB friend request Bill? I know you are busy and all, but I have been waiting a long time to become Facebook friends! Anyways, back to weather…

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      I’ll check and see…I’ve been at the maximum limit of 5,000 friends since I pretty much started on facebook (and I got in on facebook early). I can only add someone when someone drops off…but I’ll check and see. Anyone can sign up for my facebook fan page: https://www.facebook.com/pages/Bill-Steffen/244277545622 (some people are on both). I’m also on Twitter (bsteffen)

      1. Matt (Spring Lake) says:

        Oh, that makes sense! I’m glad Nathan asked and you answered…because I wondered the same thing a long time ago.

  7. Jack says:

    CUE::: One More Saturday Night-Grateful Dead (Europe ’72) – YouTube
    ► 4:50► 4:50
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fm132ekzzKw
    Stay Cued….. ;-)

  8. Wswplz says:

    I’m curious how cold it’s going to get tonight, gosh where have I heard those words before oh ya all winter longggg. I’m guessing a whopping 5-7 degrees, but it could go lower as I hope this weekend we are done with the singles. Snow that’s welcome but the dry cold not so much.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Nothing is cold anymore… But it definitely looks well below the normal low obviously. Today is going to be a chilly day for sure.

  9. Keystone Pipe line better get the AX!! Any oil leaking from the pipeline will get into the ground water (aquifers) contaminate ground water in a 5 state area, are you kidding me! plus you got all the toxic cancer chemicals used to extract the crap. I don’t care if your conservative or liberal! Hell no to KXL pipeline!!!!

    1. Wswplz says:

      I would like to see them do plenty of research first of course, but I’m not sure I know enough yet. Would be nice to be less dependent on foreign oil that’s for sure, and if that greatly helps and it’s as safe as it can be than I’m for it, but I must admit I have not done my due diligence yet as I should have. Cost risk vs benefit I guess it what it boils down to, that and getting those that need to sign off on allowing it. No one wants a disaster of course.

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      What’s your alternative plan, Mindy? Move oil by trains? trucks?

    3. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      It seems to be far less hazardous than fracking. Besides, it’s Canadian oil that will be sent directly to the gulf coast so it can be sold and transported to all corners of the earth. I don’t think it will have any effect on our oil/gasoline prices.

    4. GunLakeDeb says:

      Any oil leaking from the pipeline will sit on the surface. Besides – all the irrigated corn is depleting the aquifers so fast that it’s a moot point anyway. If they build it as safely as the Alaskan pipeline, I see no problem with it. The largest ecological disasters (think Exxon Valdez) have come from transporting oil in bulk.

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