Warm Air Will Be Temporary

March 29th, 2014 at 2:02 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

814temp.new     814prcp.new   These are the 8-14 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center for April 5-11 (into Spring Break Week for many kids).  Click on the images to enlarge.  After a couple of mild days Sunday PM (which will actually be close to average) and Monday, it’s back to the same old, same old.  We have a good chance of seeing cooler and wetter than average conditions.  The average high temperature for Grand Rapids for Sunday is 51°.  That goes to 55° on 4/5, 60° on 4/19, 65°on 5/1 and 70° on 5/16.   We would best continue to melt what’s left of the snow (which is a lot across N. Michigan) slowly and delay blossomtime as this pattern will keep us susceptible for mid-late season frosts.  Cool weather also keeps down the tornado threat here in the Great Lakes (though I do expect the tornado season to kick into gear in the U.S.  from mid-April on, with a decent temperature contrast between the cold Great Lakes and the warming South.  There were 150 severe reports across the South on Friday as a nice bowing squall line produced damaging winds and hail.  A gust of 69 mph was clocked at Hurlbert Field in NW Florida.  Winds hit 67 mph at Killeen TX and 80 mph at Fort Walton Beach FL.  Hail up to 3.5″ in diameter knocked out car windows in Gatesville TX.  Large hail was beltin’ Belton.

Also, check out the time lapse of a thunderstorm in Texas.  It’d be fun to watching, like seeing the fireworks on the 4th of July.

23 Responses to “Warm Air Will Be Temporary”

  1. Jacob G says:

    Threat of ice storm has not changed for late next week. We should have better handle on timing and amounts early next week. The questions are how much moisture transports occur. Will the instability stay south of us robbing the moisture or will the instability be further north. Models are printing out 1″+ with instability so some concerns there with temps near freezing. Stay tuned still possible high impact storm, I am also afraid looking out week 2 we could see similar setups.

  2. GunLakeDeb says:

    It’s hard to get excited about a “warm” weekend when today starts out with cold/snow/gloom. And realistically – it’s not going to get all that warm at my house anyway – I have a 5-square-mile “ice cube” in my front yard; plus am surrounded by ample snow. I think it will be a good weekend to go to GR and run some errands in the heat wave :-)

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      And just as I suspected: arrived home at 2:30 to find temps on the south end of Gun Lake to be 25, with a miserable N wind….. I’m going to go collect water samples on the north end of the lake, where it will be 10 degrees warmer.

      1. michael g (SE GR) says:

        Think your thermometer is reading a bit low. I know the wind is coming across the icy lake, but it’s only a couple of miles, and surrounding areas are in the low 40′s.

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          Not really – I’ve checked it with a professional hand-held system and it’s correct. Plus, folks who live near me have recorded similar temps. We’ve just got that much snow and ice hanging around…..

  3. Jeremy (Three Rivers) says:

    Been snowing hard down here this morning. Grass is covered. A little over an inch of snow. All the trees are coated in white.

  4. Florida1993 says:

    I can handle late blossoming and frosts. I just want the snow to be gone.

  5. SBPortage002 says:

    Snowed lightly here this morning. Just a dusting on the ground, a lot of grass still showing. Roofs and trees snow free.

  6. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    I agree with Bill’s comment about the tornadoes.

  7. My forecasted high temperature on Monday is 61 degrees! Incredible! the coldest day of the next 7 will be 39 according to the NWS, and that will be Wednesday. Then is back to 41 on Thursday with rain, and 46 on Friday. No signs of anymore deep freezes! hallelujah!

    1. suehelen says:

      Woohoo!!!

    2. michael g (SE GR) says:

      Only 1 of the next 7 will be above normal. Same old, same old, normal are just rising.

  8. Jen from Middleville says:

    With cooler than average temps predicted…how much cooler are we talking about? Can’t still be 30-40′s when average temps approaching 60′s…….right?

    1. fixxxer says:

      ive never seen a may with highs in the 30′s or 40″s soo no i doubt it. snow in april, yes seen that many times.

      1. Barb says:

        When I was a child, we went on a picnic on Memorial Day, and there were snow flurries…it was THAT cold. It was the most miserable picnic I’ve been on, but my mom had to go. Also, I remember when my friends and I graduated in June 1973, we went camping at Holland St. Park, and it was so cold we wore warm coats and put blankets around us.

  9. fixxxer says:

    once again more cold weather bias from woodtv. ill admit its a bit below average but we all know the pattern will break eventually. although i do have a good feeling this will be a cool summer this year.

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I wonder how many heat waves we will have this summer? If we get a strong El Nino we could have a hot August and warm fall.

    2. michael g (SE GR) says:

      It’s not bias if it’s right. Four straight months of predominantly below to much below normal temps. April will likely be number five. (I think November was below normal too, but not spectacularly so.)

      1. Barb says:

        We’ve had such swings in the past few years between way above & way below.

  10. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    The NWS is calling for freezing rain, Wednesday and Thursday. It is a few days out, so maybe the forecast will change(I hope it does, I am in no mood for another freezing rain event).

  11. Barb says:

    I went skiing today at Caberfae. It looks like the middle of winter up there. It was about 40° and the snow was quite slushy, especially since it was bright & sunny. I’d say the skiing days are numbered.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      I was up that way a week ago. Lots of snow still. I prefer Crystal Mt. or Boyne, if I head that way to ski.

  12. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    What a boring night. My wife is at work, no basketball just watching Storm Chasers on YouTube. I seen some good footage of the tornadoes they were chasing. If I was a little younger, I would love to go on a chase. I wonder if there is any storm chasers from Michigan on youtube?

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