Clouds, Breezy then WetApril 27th, 2014 at 1:12 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
The first picture is from the lighthouse at S. Haven, where the high temperature of 41.1 deg. occurred at 11 pm. On the right is a nice picture of the sunset at Muskegon Saturday evening from Joe Gee. Click to enlarge. More clouds than not this Sunday with a brisk east wind. We’ll be in the 50s during the afternoon. Look for a mostly or totally dry day (best chc. of a sprinkle will be west of US 131, but the dry air coming in from the east should eat the rain as it tried to move in from the west. A better bet for showers comes Sunday night and especially Monday. We’ll have a strong east wind. Tuesday we may get enough warm air up into S. Lower Michigan for some thunderstorms – sight chance of a severe storm, though the Storm Prediction Center Outlooks as I write this are pretty much Indianapolis south. I would have drawn the air a little farther north. The best chance of severe weather will still be south of Michigan. As I write this, only 8 reports of severe weather on Saturday, mostly hail in N. Texas. Severe weather ramps up this Sun. afternoon and we’ll have several active days of severe weather from the Plains east to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.
Overnight model update: NAM (caribou) has highs for G.R. of 58-53-65 for Sun./Mon./Tue. with no rain Sun. 0.78″ Mon. and 0.28″ Tues. The GFS plot has highs of 50-48-69-61-47-43-44. The average high temp. is now 63. Believe the warmer numbers. The GFS for G.R. has rain totals of 0.04″ Sunday (may not happen – surface air is dry), 0.64″ Monday, 0.39″ Tuesday, 0.79″ Wednesday, 0.13″ Thursday, 0.13″ Friday and 0.10″ Fri. night into Saturday. Looks like a wet week. Busy Sunday for me…I’ll write more Sun. evening.