Both a Frost Advisory (for Monday Night) and Temps. in the 80s

May 5th, 2014 at 1:33 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Advisory  We have both a Frost Advisory (see counties in blue on the map) for early Tuesday morning.  The Advisory includes Grand Rapids and Kent County. We also have forecast temperatures as high as the low 80s on Thursday and one model is now forecasting even warmer weather the following week (other models are forecasting cool weather for the same time period).  Speaking of heat, Wichita, Kansas not only broke their record high temperature for 5/4, but also had their earliest ever 100-deg. day (old record 5/9/2011).   If you add up all the temps. in the Lower 48 states yesterday, it was the warmest day of 2014 so far.  You can see the Southern U.S. was warm to hot, the Northern U.S. was cool relative to averagePossible meteor reported near TorontoInteresting Loop Current clouds off of Florida.  Check out the cloud that formed around the Rock of Gibraltar.  1.31″ of rain at Seattle makes Saturday 2nd wettest May day in Seattle since 1891.  Magnitude-6.1 earthquake 337 miles NW of Raoul Island, New Zealand…Magnitude 6.8-earthquake 300 miles SSW of Ndoi Island, Fiji.   5″ of snow fell Sunday in Crosby ND.   The first four days of May averaged 5.8 degrees cooler than average in G.R.  Nine of the last 10 days have been cooler than average.

Great Lakes ice cover Sunday:  Combined 19%, Superior 30.8% (the beach weather station at Grand Marais had a high temp. of only 34 on Sunday), Huron 16.3%, Michigan 6.8% (Green Bay and south of Beaver Is.), Erie 0.4% and none on Ontario.  Sunday morning Painesdale in the U.P. still had a 20″ snow cover in the woods, Calumet 11″.  Ishpeming’s last inch melted off Sunday. Final (we hope) season snowfall totals for the past winter:  Grand Rapids 116.0″, Kalamazoo 115.3″ (WMU), Muskegon 132.7″, Holland 152.4″, 5 NW Battle Creek 106.8″, Hastings 109.1″, Big Rapids 101.6″, Hart 129.0″, Scottville 136.7″, Detroit 94.9″, Flint 83.9″, Lansing 69.1″.  The most in the state was 351″ at Mt. Bohemia in the U.P.   They were open for skiing this past weekend and they reported “plenty of snow on the north side of the mountain.

148 Responses to “Both a Frost Advisory (for Monday Night) and Temps. in the 80s”

  1. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    No frost here! I’m looking forward to the warmer temps! Yesterday looked awesome but it was cool. Sunshine with warmer temps are in order. The big question is do the warmer temps stay?

  2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    WOW, too early to figure this all out, plus I got a nasty head cold. It sounds like a good forecast. Be back later, maybe. LOL

  3. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Forecast looks very nice the next 10 days. Perhaps, this is the start of the summer.

    Nothing but 60′s, 70′s, and 80′s

    1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      One would hope so. In another 10 days we will be in mid May and one would only hope we would be at the start of summer. Of course here in parts of the Great Lakes area we could be in for a cooler then average summer the question is just how much cooler?
      SlimJim

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        See Slim, no need to worry about May possibly not seeing a 70 degree reading. The long-term models were horrible again. Well, except for WeatherTrends. They were the first ones showing the 80 degree warm up.

        I’m reading Nate Silver’s new book regarding forecasts and predictions. In his weather chapter, he states the average weather forecast beyond 10 days is no better than following the averages – and a lot of times, even worse than that. Very good read to check out.

        1. DF (SE Mich) says:

          They were right about the 30′s unlike WXYZ… I’ll give you that.

        2. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Whatevertrends was one of the coldest models around all last week as I pointed out over and over. Nice try though.

        3. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

          First off the both the 70’s and 80’s have not happened yet. And while 70’s have happened in probably ever May in both GR and Flint the 80’s have not. Also there is a good chance that there will be several areas in Michigan the will not see the 70’s this week . Its also should be noted that it has been below average (in most locations in Michigan) now since November so we have a good chance of seeing a above average month or more in the next 6 months (I would hope for June, July and August) but we shall see what happens.
          SlimJim

        4. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          Huh? I think it was 10 days ago WeatherTrends was showing 80+ degrees around May 7th.

          That’s when the CPC had us in bright blue, and Accuweather wasn’t showing any warm ups. In fact, Slim mentioned it a couple times that Accuweather was showing very few, if any, 70 degree days for May for GR.

        5. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Huh? Wrong. Read back, I’m not wasting my time.

        6. H&L says:

          Well well good day to you Captain DF.

          On weather notes looking foreward to this week, it will be nice to see some green on trees by this weekend.

          Also good to Ryan M tweeting both sides of the coin, I gave hime a hard time last week and will take that back.

          everyone enjoy the great spring week.

        7. Travis (Oakland County) says:

          LOL

          I started referencing the WeatherTrends warmup around April 25th if you need reference

        8. DF (SE Mich) says:

          I do remember you saying no more 30′s… whoops.

        9. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          But why reference something more than 10 days out , as you stated one might as well look back on averages. So whether -trends guessed correctly …. People will always look to try and predict weather for a host of reasons as us weather enthusiasts are no different .

    2. INDY says:

      Now that’s funny!! INDYY!!

    3. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      About time… It has been ridiculously cold for the past 7 months. If anything it will only be temporary.

  4. fixxxer says:

    of course yet another dreary, cool day here. how many does this make in the last year?

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Too many.

  5. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    As we are poised to warm up (hopefully) one has to wonder for just how long? While we are now around 4 weeks until June and there is still a lot of ice and some snow not that far to our north and the water temp in the Great Lakes is on the cold side for this time of year. With that going on one has to wonder just how cool of a summer will we have? One thing that can be said for sure is that when the wind comes off the great lakes it will be a “cool” one for sure and I would not be too surprised to see days near the lakes when the temp is in the 40’s and 50’s well into summer maybe as late as July we shall see. As a note back in 1996 there were reports of some ice in Lake Superior as late as June and I am sure that could happen one again this year! it’s a cloudy 46° here now.
    SlimJim

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      If Mt Bohemia weren’t such a long drive – I go there, just to say I skied in Michigan in MAY!!! (We had friends who lived at Copper Mountain, Colorado – and they skied year-round, assuming they were willing to hike up to the glacier basins)

  6. DF (SE Mich) says:

    I am looking forward to a few days of warm, finally. 38° at my house last night but no frost that I saw. Not too far up north and readings were freezing or below. 32° in Port Huron this morning.

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Finally lol Oh yes, it’s been sooo long. It was only 76 degrees less than a week ago. And the week prior it was 72 then 80.

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        Lame short stretches, exactly. We need a few days or more.

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          60s and 70s should be the rule, not 40s and 50s. Soon…..

        2. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Finally! :)

  7. INDY says:

    When we have a north wind our temps will be down still lots of snow on the ground up north!! We are on our way to a below normal summer!! It’s cool outside today temps are still running 10* degrees below normal so talk of 80′s sounds like sprite talk right now no 80′s I will feel it to believe it when it happens maybe June!! INDYY!!

  8. Yet again we are not in the Slight Risk Area. Anyone think we will or will we stay out?

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      You would think if we get into the 70′s and 80′s we would be in a favorable storm track for storms.

      1. You would think so. But as of right now its not looking that way, unless things change later today or tomorrow.

    2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I think the NWS is waiting on the timing of these storms when they cross into West Michigan. IMO One thing I have learned on this blog about storms is timing. Also, my gut feeling we will be in the slight risk for severe storms this week. (I have a big gut…lol)Another gut feeling if we have servere storms with warm temperatures, Barry County will have a tornado warning this week. I want to hog all the tornado warnings again this season. lol lol lol

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        Through the years, I’ve seen severe storms cross a HOT (80 to 90-degree) Gun Lake and become warned tornadoes. While I haven’t taken a temp reading since Easter – I can assure you that the lake isn’t going to help you one bit in your bid to hog all the tornado warnings. Not yet, anyway.

        And I’m darn glad I live on the WEST (upwind) side of the lake….LOL!!!!! You can have all the warnings you want ;-)

        1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

          We do get alot of storms from Gun Lake. If the temperatures get up near 80°, we will see something. I would like to see a thunderstorm this season. We missed out on the last two storms.

  9. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    The initial storm development with these storms should not care to much about the surface temps as I’m thinking many will be elevated in nature and affecting counties more to the north. As we progress later Into the day I would think there would be more scattered activity and a few surface base storms that will pop up , but will be hinderd with low cape. This storm system is kinda tricky in that you have multiple components at play with the low over the plais moving NE with a trailing cold front and then of course the forecasted warm sector moving north and spreading west. As for us getting into the slight risk for Wednesday time-frame I would say there is a good chance it extends slightly east but areas to our north should be just outside the slight-risk which means people could still have a SVR storm or two. I think most will get to see some thunder at some point as these fronts move through , but I’m thinking more the stronger SVR storms will be to our east. Should have a better idea come tomorrow …..

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      I still think Friday could be our best chance to possibly sneak into the slight -risk area although I know we aren’t forecasted too at this time as it will largely depend on the timing of the cold front moving through and if we can continue with the higher temps from Thursday. I would think late Friday / early evening if all the elements come together.

  10. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Here are Detroit NWS thoughts so far:

    AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES LIFTING NORTH RAIN CHANCES WILL MAINLY
    BE CONFINED TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
    THURSDAY. DESPITE DECENT FGEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES…THE
    DRY SLOT WILL MAKE TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THE FORCING AND INSTABILITY A
    CHALLENGE AT BEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA. THEREFORE WILL LOWER POPS
    DOWN TO LOW CHANCES ACROSS THESE AREAS GIVEN THE EXTREME AMOUNT OF
    DRY AIR IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS. THE DRY SLOT WILL GIVE THE AREA A
    CHANCE TO GET WARM ON THURSDAY AS HIGH TEMPERATURES GET CLOSE TO OR
    RIGHT AROUND THE 80 DEGREE MARK.

    THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ON FRIDAY…PUSHING POPS BACK UP
    INTO THE HIGH CHANCY CATEGORY AS MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS MAKE THEIR
    WAY BACK OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN WITH A MID LEVEL TROUGH TRACKING
    THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES COINCIDENT WITH THE COLD FRONT.
    DESPITE THE DECENT BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 35 TO 40 KNOTS…MUCAPE
    VALUES WILL STRUGGLE TO GET TO MORE THAN A FEW HUNDRED J/KG ON
    FRIDAY.

    THINGS BECOME FUZZY ONCE AGAIN DURING THE WEEKEND REGARDING THE
    PROGRESSION OF A SECONDARY LOW ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND HIGH
    PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THIS POINT WILL
    MAINTAIN CHANCY POPS UNTIL LATER RUNS PROVIDE A CLEARER PICTURE.

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Thanks DF , I often forget to read the Detroit summary as they often have a good 100 ft view. Pretty complex system non- the less that much is apparent .

    2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I see the word DRY SLOT. How many times has Dry Slot ruin big snow storms/servere storms, for west Michigan?

      1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

        I can’t count high enough. lol

        1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          Yup , you are right about that , as I can’t remember either how many low pressure system ran right over us or just a hair above and unfortunately not the preferred southern track. Lol

        2. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          * during our past winter

  11. mr. negative says:

    Overcast, rain, NE wind, 20° below average…

  12. Jack says:

    TIGERS BASEBALL Forecast…. GO TIGERS ( 1st Place TIGERS) !! YAY::::: REST
    OF
    TODAY TONIGHT TUESDAY TUESDAY
    NIGHT WEDNESDAY WEDNESDAY
    NIGHT

    Showers Mostly
    Clear Partly
    Cloudy Partly
    Cloudy Chance
    Of
    T-Storm Partly
    Cloudy
    Hi: 57°F
    Lo: 39°F Hi: 63°F
    Lo: 45°F Hi: 70°F
    Lo: 54°F
    POP: 40% POP: 40%

    1. ~Sherry~ (Comstock Park) says:

      The boys are looking might good this year! Goooooooooooo Tigers!!

      1. ~Sherry~ (Comstock Park) says:

        Mighty good.

      2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

        They will be playing in October….World Series Champs….2014.

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          +1

  13. INDY says:

    WED. NIGHT WE COULD GET SEVERE STORMS STAY TUNED!! INDYY!!

  14. John (Norton Shores) says:

    My thought on the severe weather chances this week…

    Wednesday/Wednesday night- Isolated storms, with a small risk of one of them becoming severe north of 96

    Friday- Best chance of severe storms, and maybe a slight risk for severe weather for us.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Why north of 1-96? I haven’t had a chance to look yet, is there some factor contributing to that? Is it becuase it’ll be along the front which will be north of 2-96 until later when it advances south?

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        The NWS said the storms would be north of 96 because of the warm front being dragged along the 96 corridor, so I think that is why because of the warm front.

        1. If you ask me it seems the storms would want to be south of the warm front because all the warm juicy air. But for some reason that’s not the case

        2. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

          Again, I haven’t looked yet. But sometimes storms can form in the cool air if they are not surface based. Lots of times storms will form north of the warm front, but again I don’t know the reason for this specific system because I haven’t looked yet.

  15. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Also the Weather Channel now has potential for severe weather on Friday for me.

  16. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    I don’t know if anyone else has mentioned this, but accuweather has 88 for Thursday!!

  17. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    We also have a frost advisory for tonight. Just out of curiosity, it the dewpoint the temperature when the air becomes saturated with 100% relative humidity? And if the dewpoint is 57 degrees, does that mean that any time below it or above it will over saturate and lead to frost/dew? Thanks if you can answer.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      Temperature below it, not time. Its hard to type on my phone, sorry!

      1. Irish coffee says:

        SEE: “supersaturation”

  18. John (Norton Shores) says:

    NWS in Grand Rapids afternoon update…

    .SHORT TERM…(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
    ISSUED AT 322 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014

    THE PRIMARY FOCUS LATE THIS AFTERNOON IS ON THE FROST EXPECTED
    OVERNIGHT. THE FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO THE CONVECTION WITH THE WARM
    FRONT WEDNESDAY MORNING. ALSO WORTH CONSIDERATION IS HOW WARM IT
    WILL GET WEDNESDAY ONCE THE WARM FRONT COMES THROUGH…LIKELY
    SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN WILL SEE THE WARMEST HIGHS OF THE SEASON TO
    DATE.

    TONIGHT I EXPECT SKIES TO CLEAR AS THE SHORTWAVE THAT CAUSED THE
    MID CLOUDS MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. WITH THAT LARGE CANADIAN HIGH
    FEEDING COOL DRY AIR OFF THE CANADIAN SHIELD INTO SOUTHWEST LOWER
    MICHIGAN TONIGHT… THE LIGHT WINDS… NEARLY CLEAR SKIES AND DRY
    AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. AREA
    NEAR AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 96 AND EAST OF US-131 SHOULD SEE
    LOWS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 SO FROST SHOULD BE WIDESPREAD. LOCALLY
    COLDER LOCATIONS LIKE LEOTA COULD SEE LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
    20S…BUT THOSE WILL BE ISOLATED. SO I WILL GO WITH A FROST
    ADVISORY SINCE MOST LOCATIONS WILL NOT SEE A HARD FREEZE TONIGHT.

    TOMORROW WE SEE THE HIGH MOVES TO THE EAST SO IT WILL BE A TOUCH
    WARMER IN THE AFTERNOON. WITH EAST WINDS THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES
    IN THE AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR US-31.

    WHAT WE NEED TO WATCH CLOSELY IS WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE WARM FRONT
    LIFTING NORTH WEDNESDAY. AS SEEMS TO BE THE CASE MORE OFTEN THEN
    NOT… ALL OF THE PARAMETERS NEEDED FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS JUST
    TO NOT COME TOGETHER OVER SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN AT ANY POINT FROM
    WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE WARM FRONT IS A GOOD FOCUS
    FOR STORMS BUT THE LOW LEVEL JET WEDNESDAY MORNING IS AIMED AT
    WESTERN OHIO…NOT SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN. EVEN IF IT WHERE THE UPPER
    JET CORE IS NORTHEAST OF LAKE SUPERIOR. SO THE BEST LIFT WOULD BE
    OVER NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT THE LOW LEVEL JET
    IS AIMED AT PENNSYLVANIA AND DRIER AIR IS COMING IN AT MID LEVELS.
    THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY…. OVER 1000 J/KG SOUTH OF
    THE WARM FRONT BUT THERE IS A STRONG INVERSION ON THE (BOTH THE
    ECMWF AND GFS) NEAR 10,000 FT THAT WOULD TAKE MID 90S TO BREAK
    THROUGH. SO MY THINKING IS WE GET AN AREA OF ELEVATED STORMS WITH
    THE WARM FRONT EARLY TO MID MORNING WEDNESDAY THAT LIFTS NORTH OF
    THE CWA BY MID AFTERNOON.

    ONCE WE GET INTO THE WARM AIR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON…. MORE SO
    OVER THE SOUTHERN CWA… TEMPERATURES SHOULD HAVE LITTLE PROBLEM
    REACHING THE LOWER TO MAYBE MID 80S. IT MAY BE HARD TO BELIEVE GIVEN
    HOW COLD IT HAS BEEN… BUT WITH THE INVERSION NEAR 10,000 FT IN PLACE
    AND SOUTH WINDS (NOT OFF LAKE MICHIGAN) THERE IS LITTLE REASON FOR
    IT NOT TO GET THAT WARM. HIGHS LIKE THIS ARE SUPPORTED BY THE
    1000/925 MB AND 1000/850 THICKNESS PLUS THE 85O TEMPS.

    .LONG TERM…(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
    ISSUED AT 322 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014

    HE WARM UP FOR THE THU INTO FRI TIME FRAME CONTINUES TO BE EXPECTED
    WITH MANY LOCATIONS LIKELY TO SEE THEIR FIRST 80 DEGREE READINGS
    THIS YEAR. WE CONTINUE TO EXPECT THE THREAT FOR CONVECTION WITH THE
    COLD FRONT…HOWEVER THE TIMING IS A LITTLE SLOWER COMPARED TO 24
    HOURS AGO.

    THE WARM FRONT SHOULD BE ALMOST ENTIRELY NORTH OF THE CWFA BY 12Z
    THU. THIS WILL KEEP THE FOCUS OF MOST SHOWER AND STORM DEVELOPMENT
    ON THU NORTH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A GOOD DEAL OF
    SUNSHINE WHICH WILL HELP TO WARM SFC TEMPS INTO THE 80S AT INLAND
    LOCATIONS. WE CAN NOT RULE OUT A STORM DEVELOPING ON THU…HOWEVER
    THE CHC WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW WITH FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATING A
    CAPPED ENVIRONMENT EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE.

    CONVECTION CHCS WILL INCREASE LATER THU NIGHT…AND COULD LAST INTO
    FRI NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA. AS
    MENTIONED ABOVE…THE FRONT HAS SLOWED DOWN COMPARED TO 24 HRS AGO.
    THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ALIGNED WITH THE UPPER FLOW A BIT
    MORE. THIS SLOWER FRONTAL MOVEMENT NOW BRINGS POTENTIALLY MORE
    ACTIVE WEATHER FOR FRI AS WE COULD SEE THE WARM AIR HANG ON INTO
    FRI. IF WE SEE SOME SUN EARLY ON FRI…INSTABILITY WOULD BUILD AND
    COMBINE WITH FAIRLY ROBUST DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40 KNOTS TO PRODUCE A
    SEVERE THREAT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS THREAT.

    COOLER WEATHER WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA AND CONDITIONS WILL THEN
    DRY OUT FOR SAT…AND NOW LIKELY SUN. WE LOOK TO HAVE UPPER RIDGING
    RE-ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE REGION BY SUN AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH
    IS EXPECTED TO DIG ACROSS THE WRN STATES. WE HAVE PCPN CHCS
    BEGINNING ONCE AGAIN BY MON ALONG WITH WARMER AIR AS THE LEADING
    SHORT WAVE EJECTS OUT OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AND PICKS UP GULF
    WARMTH AND MOISTURE. THIS MAY BE A BIT EARLY BASED ON KNOWN MODEL
    BIAS WITH THIS TYPE OF PATTERN…BUT WILL SEE HOW IT TRENDS IN
    SUBSEQUENT RUNS.

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      A possible wait and see for any storm development. If we don’t get too much this week, looks like next Monday could bring us some storms…maybe. Story of my life…wait/see….and life goes on.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      80s would be awesome. Storms would be a bonus.

      1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

        +1

  19. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    fixxxer is still whining and complaining! Pathetic!

    1. kevin. w says:

      The ole mighty king has spoken again, all rise. LOL

      1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

        +1 gazillion trillion billion million

    2. Tom says:

      What’s going to happen when Rocky’s out of school for the summer, it’s going to be a long one!!!

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        What about summer school? LOL

    3. matt says:

      Warm weather soon thanks for reading

  20. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The NWS has almost 80 for me both Wednesday and Thursday and 70 Friday, I’ll take those temperatures! :)

  21. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Frost Advisories out for Flint… but wxyz said… ;)

    Looks like tonight will be colder than yesterday, we’ll see. Getting relatively close to records, although none are expected, it could happen when you get close.

  22. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    I would like for the weather experts to comment on the latest update from the NWS. A lot can between now and Wednesday.

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      *happen

    2. DF (SE Mich) says:

      We are right on the edge of nothing or something decent. Wait and see is my humble opinion.

  23. GunLakeDeb says:

    I forgot to ask: am I the only one who got a hailstorm shortly after noon today??? My daughter and granddaughter arrived, and the little tyke said “Grandma! Ices are coming from the sky!”

    So we got iced. 1/4″ and smaller, for a few minutes. Larry (Hastings) – did you get any?

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      Just a few drops of rain, no hail. WOW, the weather is getting crazy already. Maybe a sign of things to come.

    2. Michael g (se GR) says:

      Probably was ice pellets/sleet rather than hail.

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        I’ve always been under the impression that if it had any size, it was hail? Was really impressive sleet, then ;-)

  24. steven (Derby Lake) says:

    It snowed when I was in Cadillac this morning.

    1. Tom says:

      Maybe Rocky can skip school tomorrow and do some cross country skiing!

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Oh how I wish I was still school age!

        1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          You mean you only act like you’re in middle school. Who knew?

        2. matt says:

          Warm weather soon just in time for those warm nights too bad rock n roll is dead thanks for reading

        3. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

          matt is a queer..

      2. steven (Derby Lake) says:

        Thanks Tom and Rodey for ruining my observation.

  25. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Lets see 6 months in a row with below average temperatures! It must be caused from global warming :) What a joke! Keep the “MINI ICE AGE” rocking baby! Bring it!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Fantastic news. Above average temps. I love it. Who knew? Increase your meds. You’re delusional again. I love it. Thanks for listening. Fantastic. Mild winter coming up. I love it.

    2. matt says:

      Warm weather soon imagine that who knew rock n roll is dead and winter is done for tje season bring it on i love it who knew

  26. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    I would like to point out that Bill is talking about not only our chances for warm weather , but ” record ” warm weather in other states such as Wichita , Kansas . As I have mentioned in the past Bill reports on the weather that is relevant at the time and in my opinion has no cold or warm bias when it comes to our great weather blog and today’s thread is a perfect example of that.

  27. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    It looks like the lake will affect the expected warmup for the lakeshore counties. That is one reason why Im happy I don’t live along the lakeshore, they never get as many warmups as we do. This year will be no exception with the extremely cold waters of the Great Lakes. Im sure thunderstorm activity will be affected as the storms will likely gain their fuel from the moist warm air.

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      What are you talking about, I live near the lake and the NWS forecast is 78 Wednesday and 76 Thursday, I call that a warm up. I guess compared to inland counties where temps could get into the mid 80′s but I’ll still take upper 70′s! :)

    2. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      The storms we get Tuesday and Wednesday will be mostly elevated in nature so I don’t believe the shredder will come in to play. That’s not too say there won’t be some surfaced based storms after the initial front , bit it looks to be focused more on upper atmosphere dynamics , so I think the lake shore should see storms either way. I do believe they will be some what scattered in nature and better chance to the north for storm activity .

  28. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The great news just keeps coming! Imagine that!

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      It will be interesting to watch some of the outlooks in the next 2- 4 days as there is some uncertainty with the models on weather we will be stuck in a cooler pattern or possibly seeing a slight warming trend. For now it is blue , blue per the usual.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Grain of salt. We were in the blue a week and a half ago and we’re looking at 70s and maybe 80s this week.

    3. kevin. w says:

      Doesn’t mean nothin’ King blewy the VI.

    4. matt says:

      Warm weather soon who knew imagine that warm nights and beer rock is dead just like winter who knew i love it bring it

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Thanks for all of the flattery! It is INCREDIBLE! Keep it up!

        1. matt says:

          Warm weather soon thanks for reading

        2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

          Only in your delusional mind is it flattery. I love it. Thanks for paying attention and reading I love it

  29. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    For those who prefer a graphic , as I know Bill already posted the hazard for the Frost advisory .

    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grr&storyid=102098&source=0

  30. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    Where is Bill? I hope Bill will be on duty during our possible storms. During nonstop weather event coverage Bill and Kyle work very well together.

  31. Brian (Grandville) says:

    It ended up being a half way decent late afternoon, after a misserable start.

    I think fixxxer may have been right mentioning allergies yesterday, since I have been sneezing all day. Not typicall of the common cold, more so allergies though. That makes me feel a bit better.

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      +1 I’ve been sneezing like crazy….I hate sneezing …!

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      Ugh…if you have tree pollen allergies, it’s been awful the last few weeks.

  32. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    One can really see the warmth moving our way , especially on Thursday as you can see from this plot.

    http://weather.unisys.com/gfs/3d/gfs_850_3d.gif

    Mid- month time frame still shows some cooler air dropping down.

    http://weather.unisys.com/gfs/10d/gfs_850_10d.gif

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      The warm up will be very brief and then COLD, COLD, COLD!

      1. matt says:

        Warm weather soon thanks for reading

      2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

        The warm is here to stay stay stay. Who knew? Fantastic. Bring it.

    2. Rockdy (Rockford) says:

      Darren and Rocky,

      Try again-https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/463137721410523136/photo/1/large. We will see how it plays out. Rocky how soon you have forgotten that you said we wouldn’t make 80 degrees and maybe not even 70 degrees for the WHOLE month of May, according to your crystal ball prognostications….

  33. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    I see the fan club is growing! Keep up the good work and thanks for listening! Stop in again sometime!

    1. matt says:

      Warm weather soon rock n roll is dead like winter. Warm nights and beer will be here soon imagine that who knew thanks for reading bring it i love it who knew

    2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Thanks for reading and paying attention. Fantastic. I love it.

    3. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Yet its all the same person :)

  34. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The year of no summer has begun! Get used to it!

    1. matt says:

      Warm weather soon. Warm nights will be here soon rock n roll is dead get over it who knew imagine that.

    2. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      The year of a great summer is here. Bring it. Who knew. Mild winter comng. Fantastic.

      1. matt says:

        Yup russel + gazillion rock n roll is dead and warm weather is coming who knew imagine tjat i love it bring it

    3. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Don’t jinx us Rocky….lol. You do want to get out an enjoy the weather yes , golf , fishing , boating , etc and of course the good old sunshine that comes with summer. I’ve had enough of these cold mornings and late evenings as I’m ready to leave my windows open at nights and listen to the thunder off in the distance , as I’m all for season appropriate weather. :)

    4. Wayne (South of GR) says:

      Get a life Rocky….you are not making anyone mad, we feel sorry for you.

    5. fixxxer says:

      Dont mind rj. He is a moron escapee from pinerest.

  35. Just got back from Lansing. It was a nice day to walk through our capital!

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      A few years ago, I went on a private tour of our state capital.

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        A beautiful building and an incredible piece of our history.

  36. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Low pressure system moving through this week is fairly substantial.

    http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/lowtracks/lowtrack_ensembles.gif

    U.S hazard outlook : ( updated today )

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

  37. INDY says:

    Looks like a Tornado fight come humpy day we may be tracking Tornados all night with warm air cold air date Michigan gets a Tornado in our state! Put the cover over the grill and chill with Sprites on humpy night!! Stay tuned!! INDYY!!

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      Just remember, STAY CALM, if the weather turns really severe. Don’t get stress, like you did the other night.

      1. INDY says:

        Nope when thee sirens blow dig a sprite hole!! INDYYY!!

        1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          Easier said then done Indy , especially in a yard of bricks…! :)

        2. DF (SE Mich) says:

          Lol

      2. Jack says:

        http://25.media.tumblr.com/cd6e1e3ffc347e00dfebf9bc1aede593/tumblr_mf3c0rw8iz1s0qlbvo1_1280.png. This is what I Do at THEEE YARDofCUES…..During STORMS….Keeps Me CALM !!!!! Stay CUEDD….Wed. Around NOONISH….BIG STORMS..are aaa COMING !!!!!

    2. Paul m says:

      Thunderstorms are welcome but no tornado Indy!

  38. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Well GR, your 57 beat Detroit’s 55 today. It has been a while since we could say that.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Normal for Detroit is 67……

  39. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Great depiction of the low , warm sector and trailing cold front . Also SVR weather plot as well. ( wed. Forecast )
    Day 3:
    http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php?day=3

  40. fixxxer says:

    Ill believe the 80s when i see them.

  41. INDY says:

    Tornados Tornados Tornados,,,,,Bring them on,,,,,,,All eyes on Humpy Day!! INDYY!!

    1. Paul m says:

      Why do you wish for destruction or even death Indy!

  42. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    Good night, sweet dreams everyone. I will be up bright and early about 4am.

  43. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    I’m sooo looking forward to these temps!!

    WPC : Max temps. Day 3
    http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY3_MAX_filled.gif

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Yes, looking good!

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      70′s sound great. Do we get storms with the warm temps? It seems like the timing is always off around here, no matter what. Not to mention the storm shredder, or lake effect machine, depending on how you look at it.

  44. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Already 39 here in A2… It’s going to be chilly in the morning.

  45. Brian(Grandville) says:

    Tigers win 6th straight. Best record in MLB right now.

    1. GB says:

      Well at least there is one thing we can all agree on…Tigers Baseball

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Max was lights out again. Only three hits, no runs, and 9k. 4-1 and 1.72 on the season. Is it possible he could have a better season than last year?

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