Wednesday PMMay 7th, 2014 at 1:47 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
12:40 am – Heavy t-storms now in Isabella and Gratiot Counties may contain hail. Most of the area will stay dry tonight. The warm front made it up to around I-80. Lansing, Illinois, just south of I-80 got to 81° – while the Chicago GLERL weather station just east of downtown Chicago (the water intake – Harrison Crib) at the same time was 47.7°. Those two stations are only 23 miles apart. It got to 90° at Pontiac, Illinois, 89° at Peoria, 85° in Kankakee, just south of Chicago. The European model would give G.R. at least 84° tomorrow. It will be cooler at Lake Michigan, where a SW wind off the lake will develop. The storm in eastern Montcalm Co. has produced hail – earlier 3/4″ hail fell in S. Oceana Co.
Check out the video of a tornado going thru a church playground on 4/28 on the north side of Tupelo MS – note the change in wind direction. The European model gives G.R. a low temp. of 34° on Fri. 5/16 – certainly a chance of frost if that’s right.
Hail was reported Wednesday in Grand Rapids, Kentwood, Walker, East G.R., Allendale, Alpine Township, Olive Center Battle Creek, Bellevue, Cascade, Hamilton, Holland and Muskegon. Rainfall overnight totaled 2.11″ in East G.R., 1.85″ in Walker, 1.55″ Belmont, 1.47″ Allendale, 1.44″ Dalton Township near Muskegon, 1.16″ Spring Lake, 1.02″ Sparta, 1.01″ Nunica. The weather should be good for the Kinderparade in Holland at 2 PM Thursday and Saturday the weather looks great for the 5th/3rd Riverbank Run and the Muziekparade in Holland.
So far this year (thru Tuesday), we have had 93 days with temperatures cooler than average and only 30 with temperatures warmer than average (three were exactly average).
Also – actual quotes from the President’s Climate Assessment (courtesy of Dr. Roger Pelkie Jr., Colorado State Univ.):
- “There has been no universal trend in the overall extent of drought across the continental U.S. since 1900″
- “Other trends in severe storms, including the intensity & frequency of tornadoes, hail, and damaging thunderstorm winds, are uncertain”
- “lack of any clear trend in (hurricane) landfall frequency along the U.S. eastern and Gulf coasts”
- “when averaging over the entire contiguous U.S., there is no overall trend in flood magnitudes”
I’ll add that global temperatures have been remarkable steady since 2002: and the climate models used by the IPCC have obviously overemphasized the effect of CO2 on global temperature: Here’s comments on the assessment from Dr. Judith Curry, Head of Climate Science at Georgia Tech. and from Dr. Patrick Michaels, past President of the American Assn. of State Climatologists and senior research fellow for Research and Economic Development at George Mason Univ. Strong tornadoes have not been increasing: Global tropical cyclones have been decreasing in number and strength over the last 9 years. We have now gone the longest period of time in history without a Category 3 or higher hurricane hitting the U.S. Heat waves were worse in the 1930s than now. The record of dry and wet periods shows little change, with the 1930s being the decade most likely to be referred to as “climate disruption” (not the present). Snowfall has been increasing, not decreasing, like the climate alarmists thought would happen. Global sea ice is well above average. The historical record of the PDO and AMO (ocean oscillations) are a better fit to the global temperature record than CO2.
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.