Friday Night

May 9th, 2014 at 4:12 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook 1630 UTC Day 2 Outlook   9:15 pm – I’m leaving to go back downtown to do weather. for 10 and 11 pm at the start of the RiverBank Run.  Here’s radar and the Severe Weather Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center for tonight and Saturday.  The last weakening thundershower east of Lansing will exit past Flint.  It did produce a little small hail near Okemos, Bath and Battle Creek.    Wind gustsFriday:  52 mph Roosevelt Park near Muskegon, 44 mph Muskegon Airport, 43 mph Battle Creek and SE of Hart, 40 mph Kalamazoo, 39 mph Big Rapids, 38 mph Holland, 36 mph G.R.

Also:  Thanks to my daughters for the b-day greeting on my facebook page (daughter 2 also has a birthday today!).    All-time record crest on the Tarp Rock River in Upper Michigan (10.8 ft. – almost up to the top of the bridge.   Chicago had a gust to 50 mph Thurs. night.  Pontiac IL reached 55 mph and Coal City IL got to 61 mph.   At 4 am Friday morning, it was 75 deg. in G.R. – warmest in the state, 61 in Muskegon with a wind off the water.   We should have a nice day Saturday.  Severe flooding in Mecca, Saudi Arabia.   I’m probably going to do the weather at the runner’s expo. this evening, so if you see me, say “hi”.  Two more new threads below this one if you have time to read on.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.

187 Responses to “Friday Night”

  1. I had a 3 car crash occur in front of me on my way home from school :O

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I am sure the accident will be on WOODTV. Hope everyone is OK.

  2. H&L says:

    Who thinks yeasterday will turn out to be the warmest day of the whole year?

    I bet it will, looks like we will be lucky to see any days above 80 all summer. I would expect to see alot of cloudy days with highs in the low 70s.

    with the possiability of a few days that dont get out of the 50′s in June.

    1. Cort S. says:

      I guarantee you yesterday will not be the warmest day of the whole year.

      1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

        I will take the over on that bet , and I will wager the farm on this one.

        1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          Question is will we get there again before June??

    2. Brian (Grandville) says:

      I hope you’re right.

    3. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Iam going to bet there will be several days this summer where it will get above 80.

    4. Not even close will have 20 days or more just as warm, even with a cool summer will see lots of mid to upper 80s. Maybe not many 90s and yes less 80s but to think that would be the warmest temp of the year is well laughable

  3. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    The sun is coming out. Maybe this will stir up some thunderstorms later on. With all the cold/cool temperatures, my lawn really has grown, in the last couple of weeks. Most years I don’t mow the lawn until after Mother’s Day. Trees here in Hastings are slowly budding. Maybe Memorial Day weekend we can plant some flowers.

  4. Cort S. says:

    Weather is fascinating. After how long Chicagoland (and the rest of the Great Lakes) have suffered with brutal cold temperatures this winter and spring…

    Boom… yesterday Morris IL had their earliest 90 degree day since 1960, and Valparaiso IN had their earliest 90 degree day since 1934. Most other locations had their earliest 90 degree day in over a decade.

    https://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.Chicago.gov/photos/a.170461579677551.41001.164132806977095/700628266660877/

    I feel like the exceptional drought in the TX/OK panhandle region may have something to do with this. Dry soil/air heats up a lot more than moist soil/air given the same amount of solar energy. That’s why we had those 100+ degree days during the drought in 2012. There’s probably going to be a lot of hot and dry air moving northeast out of the southern High Plains this year given a proper jet stream wave configuration (similar to the system we just had). That may give us some more big temperature swings the rest of this spring season as the hot and cold air masses slosh back and forth over us. Also, I wonder if capping in the same vein as yesterday will be an issue here… that Elevated Mixed Layer in the mid-levels that will move over us from the High Plains may be a problem for storm development on certain days.

    1. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Morris, IL is a pretty random location, sault ste marie has more people… :)

    2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      Cort, thanks for this info.

  5. GunLakeDeb says:

    Speaking of droughts – I was reading about a HUGE forest fire in Michigan that burned over a million acres, killed 282 people, and left 5,000 homeless. It was the by-product of extreme heat, drought for 2 months, and hurricane-like winds.

    I can’t help but wonder how this would have played out if it was THIS summer – the hype, media blitzes, interviews with the victims, etc etc. But it was in 1881, so very few have probably heard of it: the Thumb Fire

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thumb_Fire

    The worst school disaster?? Bath, Michigan, 1927. 44 people killed, 58 wounded – the media would have had a feeding frenzy.

    My point is – it seems like everything today is “extreme” – especially the weather. The Weather Channel sends a bunch of people who strategically place themselves between 2 buildings that funnel the wind – and then report about how horrible it is. Yes, there are very dire events: but there were dire events decades or even centuries ago, too. I’m just not certain that it’s “worse” now – only better publicized?

    1. Cort S. says:

      Some aspects of life are getting better, some aspects of life are getting worse. Media coverage has definitely not been a constant, therefore it cannot be used to gauge how much things are changing. This is why we need people who spend their life analyzing large datasets and employing statistical methods to gauge the changes that occur in our world and our society. Our own personal perspectives are too narrow and short-lived, our own natural cognitive and memory-selection biases are too deceptive, our mental heuristics are efficient and effective but not always optimal, for us to fully grasp the larger picture that exists beyond our tiny personal where & when. This is where science and quantitative reasoning comes in. It’s tricky, but lifelong learning is the name of the game.

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        Good points, Cort! On the other hand – we CAN “sort through the pig-poo to find the pearls” IF WE WANT TO. Back to the Weather Channel scenario: a quick trip around several weather stations showed a 35 mph wind, with gusts to 50. The scary part is that so many people will simply see the Weather Channel dude hanging on for dear life….and assume the hurricane is dealing yet another “extreme storm”….

      2. Barb says:

        We must remember there are better warning systems and technology to foretell andbattle extreme events such as fires, tornadoes, but also we had very large forests before they were ravaged by lumber barons, so there aren’t as many trees as in the 19th c.

    2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I been told before that Yankee Springs has had some close calls with forest fires.

    3. Dikehopper (Fennville) says:

      Deb wrote, “I’m just not certain that it’s “worse” now – only better publicized?”.

      I often ask myself the same question. Not only in reference to things like the weather, but social and political issues, too (which you alluded to with the Bath School reference).

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        Let’s face it (as kids), if it wasn’t in the Weekly Reader, we didn’t know it happened….LOL!!!

        1. Barb says:

          I loved the Weekly Reader!

  6. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The Weather Channel says potential for severe storms on Monday, has anyone else noticed that?

    1. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I believe the NWS been talking about the possiblity of severe storms late Sunday into Monday. The Weather Channel was playing with the idea of severe storms on Monday. I am sure forecasting the weather has not been easy lately.

    2. Cort S. says:

      Could be. There is an outside chance of a severe storm on Sunday according to SPC:

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3prob_0730.gif

      And they say at least low-end severe potential for Monday, but with low confidence in the setup due to model differences, in their discussion here:

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

    3. Jeff (Richland) says:

      Sun night – Tuesday could be interesting with potential of MCS activity. Let’s keep our fingers crossed!

  7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The beat goes on and on and on! Keep it coming! I love golfing when the temps are in the 60′s! Bring it!

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      The little windmill blades on the minature golf course still stumping you? Imagine that. Who knew?

    2. matt says:

      Warm weather soon bring it i love who just the facts baby

  8. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The year of NO SUMMER has begun!

    1. Jeff (Richland) says:

      Summer isn’t even here yet.

    2. Rockdy (Rockford) says:

      That’s funny, I didn’t know meteorological summer had started already, let alone astronomical summer. You are right, this could be the summer that never was, but don’t bank on it just yet. Whenever this streak ends and we get one month of above normal temps, you will be crying in your oatmeal. You better move to Siberia just to make sure that doesn’t happen. You will be better off and so will the rest of Bill’s bloggers. Keep it coming!! Get used it!! I love it!! Enjoy the warm temps!!

    3. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      The year of a great summer and no winter has begun. Fantastic. I love it. Bring it. Who knew?

      1. DF (SE Mich) says:

        Fixxxxxx, this opposite personality is frightening me… One says no summer now this one says summer, I’m confused.

    4. matt says:

      Warm weather soon bring it i love who knew just the facts rock n roll is dead

  9. Jeff (Portland) says:

    Happy Birthday Bill!!

  10. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    Anyone on this blog going to run in the River Bank Run? If I had better knees, I would be running.

  11. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    From the looks of the Munising bay web cam the ice is now mostly gone so it took to May 9th 2014 for the ice to be out of Munising Bay.

    http://www.exploremunising.com/web-cams/

    There is still some snow left on Mt Ripley and in the trails (see trail cam 3) up in Houghton.

    http://www.mtu.edu/webcams/

    SlimJim

  12. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Owaso is reporting 41 degrees and light snow :) . I think that may be a mistake.

  13. Jack says:

    HEADS UP…Coffee DRINKERS !!! El Nino-Induced Droughts May Hike Coffee Prices Further
    I drink about a POT 2 a Pot & Half Daily……STAY CUED…..$$$$$$

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      No wonder you never sleep. :)

    2. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

      I was having a grrreat night. I love my coffee. lol

      1. Irish coffee says:

        coffee #1!! 20 cups/day

  14. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Keep the below normal temps rolling! ROCK n ROLL will never die baby!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Keep these 60 and 70′s rolling. Fantastic. I love it. Who knew. Thanks for listening.

    2. matt says:

      Rock n roll is dead just like winter who knew fantastic i love bring it

  15. Larry of Hastings, barry co says:

    When I was smoking about 3 packs a day, I would also drink about 3 pots of coffee a day, and sleep like a baby. I now drink 2 or 3 cups a day. I would not recommend this kind of life style, smoking & drinking this amount of coffee. My blood pressure is now under control.

  16. Cliff(KZOO) says:

    Happy BDay Bill!!!
    Watched quite a storm blow up in front of me in Scotts, had just a trace of rain and everyone is planting like crazy around here as well as us. Hope the rain doesn’t miss us like it has today all summer long.

  17. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    Fairly impressive storm just missed Marshall to the north.

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      It’s really impressive all the way over here!!!!!!

  18. Jack says:

    While Looking To THE WEST at The Beautiful SUNSET, and Thanking The Good Lord for yet Another Day of His Mercy & Grace. I began To Sing This Song in My Mind. Great SONG HERE,,,,,CUE: Wayne Watson – There Goes Sundown – YouTube
    ► 4:05► 4:05
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-J6QOiW-DsE. Happy Weekend……& GOD BLESS …….+……. :)

  19. Just got back from Tulip Time Festival in Holland! It was great! The tulips looks great! They got plenty of carnival rides there. I bought an elephant ear while I was there…they are delicious! Defiantly worth the trip if you are going to go!

  20. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Had some thunder and not so distant lightning in the past hour with some decent rain. Partly cloudy and nice now. A couple of showers midday. Other than the wind, it was a pretty nice day. Windows open. C’mon Verlander.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      More like c’mon offense. Verlander has done his part so far.

      1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

        How do you have 8 hits and no runs? wtf

        1. Jack says:

          Very Carefully.. LOL…… ;-)

  21. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    Okay so In chemistry I learned all of the gas laws today (and the heat transfer stuff) and it is very very interesting. Of course this is advance chemistry with all of the proofs and reasons behind the laws, so it does require that you know those units. Boyles Law is the simplest because it simply requires you to know that pressure and volume are inversely proportional (although it is different than indirect variation because you multiply both sides of the equations with the ‘givens’ and the primes, you don’t divide like k/x). STP is assumed for many of these questions, but you don’t need to have STP for all of them. Pressure and volume can be in any units (mmHg, kPa, torr, atm, ext…) but temperature must be constant for Boyles Law (changes with Charles and others). Temperature can be measured in Celsius, but we like to use Kelvin because Kelvin can’t have negative values. Absolute zero (temp with no heat transfer) is zero degrees Kelvin, so that helps us to avoid negative pressures and volumes. Then there are the other two gas Laws and Avogradoes Law and the Ideal Gas Laws etc… very interesting stuff and I couldn’t help but to post this here. The algebra aspects are obviously very basic, and the unit conversions aren’t too bad if you are given values. The only tricky part is understanding the reasoning bend it. Ill continue the example of Boyles Law because I don’t want to confuse anyone with the other laws, so here is why the indirect relationship between P and V works. If you decrease the volume of a container while keeping the same number of moles of the substance, than the pressure will increase because it will have less room to avoid collisions and the walls of the container. Now theoretically we like to use Ideal Gas (no size or IMF’s) but that obviously doesn’t work for real life examples, so we just stick with STP. Hope you enjoyed my read! I may consider posting some AP Physics here next year :)

    1. Wow..and here I thought I was pretty smart…LOL

    2. Toro 99 says:

      I am a chemistry teacher and that was both painful and disheartening to read.

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        And why is that? I hope you liked it :)

      2. mr. negative says:

        You were heard loud and clear Toro…

  22. steven (Derby Lake) says:

    That’s an incredible amount of rain in the extreme southern tip of Texas right now. It’s basically just sitting there.

    1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

      Up by Alice and Corpus Christie as well.

  23. steven (Derby Lake) says:

    WOW Yu Darvish going for the no hitter with 2 outs in the 9th and David Ortiz hits a single.

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      No soup for Yu………Next!!!

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