MondayMay 12th, 2014 at 1:05 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
7:10 am – Continuous thunder at my house. Nice line of t-storms running NW to SE from Ludington to Coldwater…very heavy rain (overflowing my gutters!), vivid lightning. Significant Weather Advisory. Some ugly low-hanging scud – scary looking but not dangerous, not rotating. I’m watching the show! Here’s current radar and the Severe Outlooks for Day 1 and Day 2 from the Storm Prediction Center. Check out the current Severe T-Storm and Tornado Watches, Meso-Discussions (often issued prior to a watch) and Storm Reports. Leave a comment if you have/had any hail or high winds.
The overnight NAM (caribou) model gives G.R. 1/2″ of rain today into this evening and another 1/4″ on Tuesday. Wednesday is dry, then the NAM brings us more rain and chilly temps. in the 40s for Weds. night/Thurs. AM – it gives Cadillac rain and 36° Thurs. AM (that’s getting close to snow!). The GFS-plot does print out an inch of snowfall in the higher elevations west of Marquette. The NAM gives G.R. upper 70s this aftn., low 70s Tues. and low 60s Weds. The GFS-plot has daytime temps. mostly in the 50s from late Tues. to Sat. It has showers today, Tuesday, Weds. night, Thurs. and then Friday into Saturday. It has less rain – a little over half an inch for the week – looks a little shy on the rain to me. I’m too tired to stay up for the European…I’ll update in the AM. It’s not impossible that somebody could see some frost or even sleet/flurries later this week. This from GRR NWS: “WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR ANY CLEARING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH WOULD RESULT IN FROST/FREEZE CONDITIONS…NEGATIVE TILT TROUGH THEN CUTS OFF AND UPPER LOW PERSISTS OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES INTO THE WEEKEND. SHOULD SEE DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS LAPSE RATES ARE STEEP. IT MAY BE COLD ENOUGH…ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH FOR SOME WET SNOW OR GRAUPEL IN ANY SHOWERS/CONVECTIVE UPDRAFT.”
I got the kayak out for the first time Sunday PM and went to Crockery Lake. I first went to the boat ramp on the south end of the lake, but the parking places were full and I didn’t feel like pulling up on someone’s lawn (several had done that and it looked legal), so I drove around to the park at the NE end of the lake. The lake level is up some…I could have taken my kayak down the creek outlet at the west end of the lake (it would have been hard to come back). I saw two great blue herons…several couples of geese with their new, little yellow baby geese, ducks, fish jumpin’, turtles sunning themselves on logs (some big ones)…walking thru the woods at Grose Park there are lots of trilliums (sounds like one of those exceptions to the “add s to make it plural” rule, but it’s not) in bloom, with blue/purple violets, marsh marigold, spring beauty and mayapples. It looked like a little less than 50% of the docks/piers were in at the lake. I could see they had lost a few trees in the April windstorm. When I was there the wind was calm. Voices carried across the lake and in the woods you could hear the hum of bumblebees – a relatively loud insect, but more docile than the yellowjackets that cause problems later in the summer. I did not see a single mosquito or deer fly! The park was clean and well-maintained. No one in the water (a few people fishing from the pier), but families having a picnic and kids playing on the playground – a happy Sunday crowd. Very few blossoms yet on “The Ridge”. Three rabbits ran across the road in front of my car…missed all three. I saw some dark spots far away in a field that I’d guess were turkeys. It’s nice to sit on my 3-season porch after a long winter – I come inside to watch our late news and Sports Overtime.
Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where the snow has finally melted and the lake ice is gone. Here’s the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.