Three Days of Sunshine!

May 29th, 2014 at 2:30 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Lake Superior ice - Miner's beach - munising  5 26 14 haley hagen   muskegon glerl  apn glerl FIRST – if anyone knows or can take a water temp. of an inland lake, that’d be interesting to know. Lake Michigan is chilly. The water temp. this AM at Holland St. Park was just 47°. Click on the pictures to enlarge.  The picture on the left from Haley Hagen is Miner’s Beach near Munising Sunday at sunset with the ice flows.   As of Weds. evening, Lake Superior still had 3.2% ice cover.  The middle picture is just after sunset from the Muskegon GLERL camera.  The picture on the right is sailboats seen from the Alpena GLERL camera – so you’re looking at 3 of our Great Lakes.

Nice weather through Sunday afternoon!  We’ll see mostly sunny, warm days and mostly clear and cool nights.  The Thurs. AM run of the NAM (car.) has the next rain starting around 7 pm Sunday evening.  The overnight run of the GFS-plot also has rain starting Sunday evening…with periods of showers and thunderstorms from Sunday night thru Wednesday night and a total of 1.49″ of rain for G.R.   Through 5/28, Grand Rapids is 0.1° warmer than average for the month of May.  The next 3 days will boost that a little, so May will be our first month with above average temperatures in G.R. since last October – but it won’t be by much.

Also, check out the strange clouds just south of I-80 in Indiana on Weds… 7.87″ of rain in 24-hours at Gonzales, LA…6.25″ of rain Weds. near Cairo, Ohio – I-75 was closed in both directions near Lima OH Weds. evening.  Here’s a pic. of the tornado near Houston yesterday.  Here’s another pic. of the twisterLandspout tornado near El Paso, Illinois.  High temps. Weds:  Boston 50°, New York 60, McComb MS 72, San Diego 71, Richmond 92, Orlando 90, Bismarck 88, Laredo 98, Las Vegas 100, Phoenix 104.   May rainfall:  3.31″ Grand Rapids, 10.42″ Houston, 8.98″ Lafayette LA, 7.05″ Victoria TX, 7.89″ Austin TX, 8.22″, Waco 7.75″, Baton Rogue, 7.18″ Longview TX, 5.23″ Lubbock,  Laredo 3.37″,  3.39″ Dallas, 2.83″ Brownsville, 4.97″ San Antonio, 3.83″ Corpus Christi, 4.33″ New Orleans, 3.55″ Amarillo, 2.26″ Midland.

Thurs. AM at 7 am local time, Barrow, Alaska reported snow,  a temp. of 21°, a NE wind at 17 mph and a wind chill factor of +6° – Nuiqsut AK had 29° and freezing rain.

138 Responses to “Three Days of Sunshine!”

  1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Love the thread Bill , the pictures are great …..It got pretty cold last night up here in Cedar , great sleeping weather…!!!

  2. fixxxer says:

    chilly here too in allendale this morning.

  3. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Haven’t had a cool day in more than 10 days and counting… the great stretch of weather continues!

    Next two weeks look warm as well to open meteorological summer. WeatherTrends giving Detroit two 90+ degree days starting June 9th.

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      I think we’ve had our quota of cool days for the first half of 2014…and we STILL have ice on Lake Superior!

      1. Tim says:

        Bill
        Are you going to post the radar image from 1998 again like you typically do on the anniversary date, I love looking at that, a very impressive storm that I will never forget.

      2. ralphdraw3 says:

        American Geophysical Union
        “Human‐induced climate change requires urgent action. Humanity is the major influence on the global climate change observed over the past 50 years. Rapid societal responses can significantly lessen negative

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Urgent action? Go tell that to China: http://www.mpg.de/6679711/zoom.jpg CO2 emissions in the U.S. are falling, while they are skyrocketing in China. American Physical Society (over 50,000 scientists) backing off of global warming: http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/03/20/American-Physical-Society-Sees-The-Light-Will-It-Be-The-First-Major-Scientific-Institution-To-Reject-The-Global-Warming-Consensus Here’s Nature’s response: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg Global sea ice is ABOVE AVERAGE.

        2. ralphdraw3 says:

          No Bill,

          Tell it to the American Geophysical Union. You know more than that bunch of dummy scientists..

        3. ralphdraw3 says:

          Bill,

          I don’t really trust Breitbart.

          Has the AGU changed their statement/assessment which appears at the NASA website which I quoted?

        4. Bill Steffen says:

          Of course you don’t…you don’t “trust” anyone that disagrees with you. So you “trust” a blog written by an Australian cartoonist and those famous climatologists Al Sharpton and Al Gore. It’s so much easier to just dismiss a challenge than to try and answer it. Again…global temperatures have been steady since 2002: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        5. ralphdraw3 says:

          Work on these two statements from NASAs website:

          American Geophysical Union
          “Human‐induced climate change requires urgent action. Humanity is the major influence on the global climate change observed over the past 50 years. Rapid societal responses can significantly lessen negative outcomes.” (Adopted 2003, revised and reaffirmed 2007, 2012, 2013)5

          American Physical Society
          “The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth’s physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.” (2007)8

        6. Bill Steffen says:

          Work on the actual temperature data – which shows global temperatures have flatlined since 2002: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif That’s why the APS is reassessing their old climate statement from 2007. It’s pressure from their +50,000 members in light of the failure of the (IPCC and other) models to even come close to forecasting global temperature over the last decade.

        7. ralphdraw3 says:

          Has the AGU changed their statement/assessment which appears at the NASA website which I quoted?

        8. Bill Steffen says:

          It’s the American Physical Society changing their assessment. It’s the society of over 50,000 physicists. The American Physical Society.

        9. ralphdraw3 says:

          Work on these two statements from NASAs website:

          American Geophysical Union
          “Human‐induced climate change requires urgent action. Humanity is the major influence on the global climate change observed over the past 50 years. Rapid societal responses can significantly lessen negative outcomes.” (Adopted 2003, revised and reaffirmed 2007, 2012, 2013)5

          American Physical Society
          “The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth’s physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.” (2007)8

        10. ralphdraw3 says:

          What is the APS’s new assessment? What is their statement on AGW?

        11. ralphdraw3 says:

          Standard review for APS:

          “The American Physical Society formally reviews its statements every five years. In accordance with that process, the APS Panel on Public Affairs (POPA) formed a Subcommittee to review its Climate Change Statement. The members of the Subcommittee are: Steven Koonin (chair), Phillip Coyle, Scott Kemp, Tim Meyer, Robert Rosner and Susan Seestrom. The Charge to the Subcommittee was approved by POPA and the APS Executive Board and is included in the Supporting Documents links.”

        12. ralphdraw3 says:

          Breitbart is not a scientific publication. It is a far rightwing biased/ opinion publication…

        13. Bill Steffen says:

          Ha! This coming from a guy who does cut and paste from the website of an Australian cartoonist.

          Global temperatures – no warming in the last +12 years: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

        14. Bill Steffen says:

          In 2013, John Cook, an Australia-based blogger-cartoonist, and some of his friends reviewed abstracts of peer-reviewed papers published from 1991 to 2011. Mr. Cook reported that 97% of those who stated a position explicitly or implicitly suggest that human activity is responsible for some warming. [emphasis added] His findings were published in Environmental Research Letters.

          Mr. Cook’s work was quickly debunked. In the August 2013 Science and Education, for example, David R. Legates (a professor of geography at the University of Delaware and former director of its Center for Climatic Research) and three coauthors reviewed the same papers as Mr. Cook did. They found that “only 41 papers – 0.3% of all 11,944 abstracts or 1.0% of the 4,014 expressing an opinion, and not 97.1% – had been found to endorse” the claim that human activity is causing most of the current warming.

          Elsewhere, Craig Idso, Nicola Scafetta, Nir J. Shaviv and Nils-Axel Morner and other climate scientists protested that Mr. Cook ignored or misrepresented their work. In each case, their research questions or contradicts the alleged consensus.

          Rigorous international surveys conducted by German scientists Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch – most recently published in Environmental Science & Policy in 2010 – have found that most climate scientists disagree with the alleged consensus on various key issues, such as the reliability of climate data and computer models. They also do not believe climate processes like cloud formation and precipitation are sufficiently understood to enable accurate predictions of future climate change.

          Surveys of meteorologists repeatedly find a majority oppose or disagree with the alleged consensus. Only 39.5% of 1,854 American Meteorological Society members who responded to a survey in 2012 said man-made global warming is dangerous.

      3. ralphdraw3 says:

        American Geophysical Union

        “Human‐induced climate change requires urgent action. Humanity is the major influence on the global climate change observed over the past 50 years. Rapid societal responses can significantly lessen negative outcomes.” (Adopted 2003, revised and reaffirmed 2007, 2012, 2013)5

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          Like the APS – the AGU will be forced to back off as the number of years without any significant warning continues to grow: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif

  4. kevin. w says:

    Have to love them Oakland A’s beatin’ the Tigers and a year goin’ no where. ;)

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Gotta love my A’s , but the problem still remains , and that will be the post season . :(

  5. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Today looks its going to be a nice sunny mild day here in Michigan. I will be enjoying this stretch of “don’t have to weather” that is don’t have to have the heat on and don’t have to have the air on. Also of note is that while most stations here in southern Michigan are a degree or less either above or below average for May so far (the east side of the state is running more then one degree above average) Flint (reporting a average temp of 59.0 or +2.6° for the month) is still more then one degree warmer then other stations even the ones just to the north and south of them. One has to wonder why that is the case. Any way today looks to be a great day with sun and mild temps.
    SlimJim

    1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

      Flint: +2.6
      Detroit: +1.6

      It should also be noted that Detroit’s average monthly temperature is at 60.8, while Flint’s is at only 59.0. So the temperature readings look okay to me.

      GR, meanwhile, has been 2.5 degrees cooler for May than Detroit at 58.3.

    2. Boris says:

      Have to wonder why Flint was quite often colder than other reporting east side stations this winter.

    3. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      I like the don’t have to weather , although I wish work was included. :)

  6. INDY says:

    Bill Still enjoying the nice cool spring we are having keep it coming!! INDYY!!

    1. H&L says:

      keep drinking sprites…looks like you need it.

    2. fixxxer says:

      Cool?

      1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

        fixxxer says:

        May 28, 2014 at 11:38 am

        Another cool dreary day so far.

    3. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Alcohol must thin the blood so it feels cool to him when in reality it’s been WARM lately.

  7. steven (Derby Lake) says:

    Winter weather advisories posted along the northern Alaskan coast.

    1. H&L says:

      Seriously Steve come on man

      1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

        Problem???

        There was some yesterday or the day before in northern Maine.

        1. fixxxer says:

          Good for them. Damn winter nuts.

  8. Jeremy (Three Rivers) says:

    Hey Bill, found an interesting read for you: http://icecap.us/index.php/go/new-and-cool/big_greens_untold_billions1/

    1. Ansel says:

      Please don’t become another anti-science nut job Jeremy. Bill is in the vast minority of scientists that don’t believe in climate change. What are his motives? Who knows, but I would take the time to look at the mountains of research agreeing that we are causing climate change. Reminds me of the debate when you could find “scientists” that tell you smoking wasn’t harmful to your lungs. Again, who knows what Bill’s motives are, but I’m guessing its a mix of genuine scientific questioning and very conservative political and religious beliefs. Here is a link that describes that phenomenon: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/climate-science-is-a-hoax-big-oil-gop-god-say-so-2014-05-22.

      1. Bill Steffen says:

        I’ll try this one more time. I DO BELIEVE IN CLIMATE CHANGE! Climate has always changed. We’ve had both palm trees and glaciers here in G.R…long before politicians tried to force “skyrocketing” (their own word) utility rates and carcinogen-filled light bulbs on the poor and middle class.

        Thousands of scientists reject CATASTROPHIC global warming from the relatively small increase (relative to the entire atmosphere) in atmospheric CO2 (http://www.petitionproject.org/). Read this from Dr. Robert Brown, Professor of Physics at Duke Univ.:

        “The skeptics do not “deny” AGW, certainly not the scientists or professional weather people (I myself am a physicist). What they challenge is the catastrophic label and the alleged magnitude of the projected warming on a doubling of CO2. They challenge this on rather solid empirical grounds and with physical arguments and data analysis that is every bit as scientifically valid as that used to support larger estimates, often obtaining numbers that are in better agreement with observation.

        The tide is turning on this issue and climate profiteers know their window of opportunity is shrinking. Global temperatures have been flat since 2002 (and don’t bet on them going up between now and 2020 with the waning sunspots, the cold phase PDO and the looming cold phase of the AMO). Prominent scientists are seeing the failure of the IPCC climate models: http://www.climatedialogue.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Figure-2-Pielke.jpg (graphic from Colorado State Univ.). Here’s Dr. James Lovelock:

        ““The problem is we don’t know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books – mine included – because it looked clear-cut, but it hasn’t happened,”

        And this from Dr. Lennart Bengsston,the former director of the Hamburg-based Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, one of the world’s leading climate research centers: “It is frustrating that climate science is not able to validate their simulations correctly. Since the end of the 20th century, the warming of the Earth has been much weaker than what climate models show.” Full article here: http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/meteorologist-lennart-bengtsson-joins-climate-skeptic-think-tank-a-968856.html

        He’s “frustrated” but willing to admit the disparity between CAGW predictions and reality.

        1. ralphdraw3 says:

          http://www.allgov.com/news/controversies/of-10885-peer-reviewed-articles-on-climate-change-in-2013-only-2-question-human-involvement-140403?news=852832

          Of 10,885 Peer-Reviewed Articles on Climate Change in 2013, Only 2 Question Human Involvement
          http://www.allgov.com
          In 2013 alone, Powell found 10,885 peer-reviewed articles that discussed global warming or climate change. But only two described as peer-reviewed denied the widely-held belief that the planet is warming up because of human

        2. Bill Steffen says:

          AGAIN – we’re not claiming that CO2 has NO effect…we are saying the catastophic claims of you alarmists and profiteers are not supported by direct evidence or observation. Policy decisions that would make utility bills “skyrocket” (your own word!) are both unnecessary and damaging to both the economy and the poor and middle class that would be burdened by them. From Dr. Robert Brown, Professor of Physics at Duke Univ.:

          “…the skeptics do not “deny” AGW…What they challenge is the catastrophic label and the alleged magnitude of the projected warming on a doubling of CO_2. They challenge this on rather solid empirical grounds and with physical arguments and data analysis that is every bit as scientifically valid as that used to support larger estimates, often obtaining numbers that are in better agreement with observation. For this honest doubt and skepticism that the highly complex global climate models are correct you have the temerity to socially stigmatize them in a scientific journal with a catch-all term that implies that they are as morally reprehensible as those that “deny” that the Nazi Holocaust of genocide against the Jews? For shame. Seriously, for shame.

        3. ralphdraw3 says:

          “To claim global warming stopped in 1998 overlooks one simple physical reality – the land and atmosphere are just a small fraction of the Earth’s climate (albeit the part we inhabit). The entire planet is accumulating heat due to an energy imbalance. The atmosphere is warming. Oceans are accumulating energy. Land absorbs energy and ice absorbs heat to melt. To get the full picture on global warming, you need to view the Earth’s entire heat content.

          This analysis is performed in An observationally based energy balance for the Earth since 1950 (Murphy 2009) which adds up heat content from the ocean, atmosphere, land and ice. To calculate the Earth’s total heat content, the authors used data of ocean heat content from the upper 700 metres. They included heat content from deeper waters down to 3000 metres depth. They computed atmospheric heat content using the surface temperature record and the heat capacity of the troposphere. Land and ice heat content (the energy required to melt ice) were also included.

        4. Bill Steffen says:

          Another nice cut and paste.

          I claim “global warming” stopped in 2002. I’m right: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif Even James Hansen agrees with that graph, Ralph: “The five-year mean global temperature has been flat for the last decade…” – James Hansen et al. Clearly, the atmosphere stopped warming. That’s not what you guys predicted! http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/CMIP5-global-LT-vs-UAH-and-RSS.png

        5. ralphdraw3 says:

          look at the Earth’s total heat content clearly shows global warming has continued past 1998. The planet is still accumulating heat. So why do surface temperature records show 1998 as the hottest year on record? We see in Figure 1 that the heat capacity of the land and atmosphere is small compared to the ocean. Hence, relatively small exchanges of heat between the atmosphere and ocean can cause significant changes in surface temperature.

          In 1998, an abnormally strong El Nino caused heat transfer from the Pacific Ocean to the atmosphere. Consequently, we experienced above average surface temperatures. Conversely, the last few years have seen moderate La Nina conditions which had a cooling effect on global temperatures. And the last few months have swung back to warmer El Nino conditions. This has coincided with the warmest June-August sea surface temperatures on record. This internal variation where heat is shuffled around our climate is the reason why surface temperature is such a noisy signal.

        6. Bill Steffen says:

          Ralph keeps cutting and pasting from http://www.skepticalscience. Here’s where he lifted the above comment: http://www.skepticalscience.com/print.php?r=53

          http://www.skepticalscience.com is an climate alarmist website run by an Australian cartoonist by the name of John Daly. I hardly think he has more credibility that the Head of Climate Science at Georgia Tech.

          Any of you climate alarmists forecast this (from the National Snow and Ice Data Center): “Antarctic sea ice extent for April 2014 reached 9.00 million square kilometers (3.47 million square miles), the largest ice extent on record by a significant margin. This exceeds the past record for the satellite era by about 320,000 square kilometers (124,000 square miles).” (source: http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/)

        7. ralphdraw3 says:

          Bill,everytime you pull out the old 1998 argument, I will respond with:

          Skeptical Science: It hasn’t warmed since 1998 Myth..

          http://www.skepticalscience.com/argument.php?a=11

        8. ralphdraw3 says:

          Bill,

          Your scientist at Georgia Tech carries more weight than the IPCC NASA NOAA?

        9. Bill Steffen says:

          Of course you’ll respond with http://www.skepticalscience. What’s left? Al Sharpton: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggHWRpsMEmk or Al Gore (how warm is it “just 2 km down”? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=14kNtnJgXXM ?

          I (this is Bill Steffen, the guy who runs this little piece of the blogosphere) NEVER said 1998. I said 2002. 2002…that’s 12 years of NO WARMING. You guys forecast temps. would rise, you were wrong.

          Look again at the graph, Ralph: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif Hansen agrees with me! You look silly insisting that temperatures have gone up since 2002. They haven’t.

        10. ralphdraw3 says:

          I will list the sources for the Skeptical Scientist, Bill. Nuccitelli, Cowan and Way.

          igure 1: Land, atmosphere, and ice heating (red), 0-700 meter ocean heat content (OHC) increase (light blue), 700-2,000 meter OHC increase (dark blue). From Nuccitelli et al. (2012).

          Even if we focus exclusively on global surface temperatures, Cowtan & Way (2013) shows that when we account for temperatures across the entire globe (including the Arctic, which is the part of the planet warming fastest), the global surface warming trend for 1997–2012 is approximatley 0.11 to 0.12°C per decade.

        11. ralphdraw3 says:

          Here is the scientific paper on heat content.

          Argue with him/her, Bill

          http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2009JD012105/abstract

          About 20% of the integrated positive forcing by greenhouse gases and solar radiation since 1950 has been radiated to space. Only about 10% of the positive forcing (about 1/3 of the net forcing) has gone into heating the Earth, almost all into the oceans. About 20% of the positive forcing has been balanced by volcanic aerosols, and the remaining 50% is mainly attributable to tropospheric aerosols. After accounting for the measured terms, the residual forcing between 1970 and 2000 due to direct and indirect forcing by aerosols as well as semidirect forcing from greenhouse gases and any unknown mechanism can be estimated as −1.1 ± 0.4 W m−2 (1σ). This is consistent with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s best estimates but rules out very large negative forcings from aerosol indirect effects. Further, the data imply an increase from the 1950s to the 1980s followed by constant or slightly declining aerosol forcing into the 1990s, consistent with estimates of trends in global sulfate emissions. An apparent increase in residual forcing in the late 1990s is discussed.

        12. ralphdraw3 says:

          Bill,

          Your beloved graph is SURFACE TEMPERATURES

          Does not include heat content of the oceans or heat energy into melting of sea ice and glaciers.

        13. Bill Steffen says:

          Your link is from 2009 – it’s five years old. CAGW alarmists are jumping ship in 2014. The HMS Gore is taking on water (or maybe that’s ice: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg and it’s listing badly to the left.

          More from Dr. James Lovelock and MSNBC: “The world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable time… it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising — carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that,” he added.

          He pointed to Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” and Tim Flannery’s “The Weather Makers” as other examples of “alarmist” forecasts of the future.

          And…someone’s been digging thru the NY Times: http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/05/31/northwest-passage-was-open-in-1903/ That was before “Pinchy” turned the Times into a political rag…was much better when A.M. Rosenthal was there

        14. ralphdraw3 says:

          Heat going into the ocean, Bill. 2009 and 2014… hasn’t changed

        15. Bill Steffen says:

          Here’s global sea surface temperature anomaly: http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2014/anomnight.5.29.2014.gif about as much blue as yellow – and keep in mind the El Nino (warm water along the Equatorial Pacific Ocean) and warm PDO (along the West Coast of N. America) are temporary features that will flip cool likely within a couple years. Note the cooler than average water temps. around the expanding ice shield of Antarctica.

        16. ralphdraw3 says:

          Heat is still going into the oceans – 2009 and 2014.

        17. Bill Steffen says:

          We know it’s not going into the atmosphere: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v3/Fig.C.gif And we know that ocean ice is INCREASING: “Antarctic sea ice extent for April 2014 reached 9.00 million square kilometers (3.47 million square miles), the largest ice extent on record by a significant margin. This exceeds the past record for the satellite era by about 320,000 square kilometers (124,000 square miles)” (From the National Snow and Ice Data Center)

          We can’t give up on “global warming” – too much money to be had – gotta think of something…something…OK! the deep oceans!…somewhere deep below the surface…that’s where all that missing heat is lurking!…just waiting to spring back into the atmosphere! Any time now…any day…all that heat is just going to pop out of the Mariana Trench and then we can REALLY get those Koch Brothers!

        18. ralphdraw3 says:

          The warming of the oceans will mean less sea ice – especially in the Arctic – and more retreating of glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica. This will cause sea levels to rise.

          Arctic sea ice at fifth lowest annual maximum – National Snow and …
          nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/…/arctic-sea-ice-at-fifth-lowest-annual-maximum…
          Apr 2, 2014 – Arctic sea ice reached its annual maximum extent on March 21, after a … 2014 Arctic maximum was the fifth lowest in the 1978 to 2014 record

      2. Mike M. says:

        If there is a “mountain of evidence” why are they unable to come up wit a global climate model that mirrors observations? Why did your “climate scientists” have to commit fraud in order to make their estimates of climate sensitivity to a doubling of co2 work? Until Michael Mann and the charlatans on his Hockey Stick Team came along the overwhelming consensus was that the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age actually existed. A mountain of evidence exists that shows the planet was warmer during the Medieval, Roman, and Minoan Warm Periods. It also shows that we warmed naturally and substantially at the end of the LIA. Subsequently, we’ve seen NOTHING in the way of observations that doesn’t fall within natural parameters. Give up your fantasies, tool.

        1. Ansel says:

          There will never be a model to predict climate. Too many variables, etc., etc. etc.. Bill I know you believe in climate change, but some of your posts def. seem to attack anyone who speaks out about it calling them profiteers etc… Its not an attack on anyones beliefs about politics, religion etc… Its about science. Are there still questions? Of course, but many scientists still agree on the magnitude of the problem that is coming. Think about it in these terms. We know that carbon is a warming gas. We know that we have released billions upon billions of tons into the atmosphere. Are we to think that climate change is less obvious, because our models don’t fit the data perfectly. I don’t know nearly as much about the climate as you, but it seems almost certain that we will never have a model that can predict climate changes far out in time. The amount of variables are never quantifiable as they themselves are always changing and evolving.

        2. Ansel says:

          Mike M. only little men hide behind their keyboard. I would say that your name calling makes you less credible, but after reading your argument there wasn’t really much to lose in the first place. Please try to hit the hay before your bedtime.

        3. Michael g (se GR) says:

          Wow Ansel. You even suck at being condescending.

        4. Ansel says:

          Considering it got a response I would say I was quite successful.

        5. Mike M. says:

          Of course, prancing pony Ansel refuses to address any of the substantive issues here. If you can’t make a decent model why should we accept any of your insane predictions of 4° warming by 2100? And “hiding behind a keyboard?” I’ll be more than happy to meet you in public to more completely educate you princess.

        6. Paul says:

          Is “ansel” bdbc’s little bastard? lol

      3. Brian(Grandville) says:

        If anyone wants to know where the 97% of scientists consensus theory came from, here it is. A 2 question survey was sent to 10,000 people. 3000 received it. Of those, 77 were climate scientists, and agreed to a 2 question survey that man is causing climate change. I doubt 77 scientists represent the whole scientific community.

        1. Bill Steffen says:

          And the funny part is that the 2 questions were so broad and lame that I would have answer “yes” and been counted among the “97%”. It was a “push poll” designed to get a large number that could be regurgitated to a compliant press and given wide distribution to people who didn’t know what questions were asked. It shows the deception and it shows that their data and methods are not convincing.

        2. ralphdraw3 says:

          http://www.allgov.com/news/controversies/of-10885-peer-reviewed-articles-on-climate-change-in-2013-only-2-question-human-involvement-140403?news=852832

          Of 10,885 Peer-Reviewed Articles on Climate Change in 2013, Only 2 Question Human Involvement
          http://www.allgov.com
          In 2013 alone, Powell found 10,885 peer-reviewed articles that discussed global warming or climate change. But only two described as peer-reviewed denied the widely-held belief that the planet is

        3. Bill Steffen says:

          Scientists are backing off CAGW. Here’s Dr. James Lovelock: “The problem is we don’t know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago. That led to some alarmist books – mine included – because it looked clear-cut, but it hasn’t happened,” Lovelock said. (quote from that Koch Brothers cable network MSNBC: http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/04/23/11144098-gaia-scientist-james-lovelock-i-was-alarmist-about-climate-change)

          Here’s Dr. Judith Curry – Head of Climate Science at Georgia Tech:
          “For the past 16 years, there has been no significant increase in surface temperature. There is a growing discrepancy between observations and climate model projections. Observations since 2011 have fallen below the 90% envelope of climate model projections
          The IPCC does not have a convincing or confident explanation for this hiatus in warming.
          There is growing evidence of decreased climate sensitivity to atmospheric carbon dioxideconcentrations
          Based on expert judgment in light of this evidence, the IPCC 5th assessment report lowered its surface temperature projection relative to the model projections for the period 2016-2036.”

    2. Jeremy (Three Rivers) says:

      I am a perfectly logical pro-science person who despises corruption and seeks the truth. There are multitudes of scientists, many with Ph.Ds, who are just like Bill. Here’s the scary part… How can many scientists who claim the world is warming at a steady pace so contradict the many scientists who say the world has had steady-if not falling-temps for the last 18 years? I sense something devious. Someone is obviously lying. So the ultimatum is that either the claimed “majority” of scientists are lying to us or the “deniers” are a hoax. Right now I don’t trust the “majority.”

  9. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

    “slept” With the windows open all night. A little Chilly in the Radshack this morning :}

  10. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Just took a walk on my lunch hour. Can we ask for a nicer day??

    1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

      I used to work for a window washing place about 6 or 7 years ago, we did stuff in East Lansing and the surrounding area.

  11. steven (Derby Lake) says:

    On a unrelated weather note. Anyone been on this??? I have multiple times, I can’t wait to try out the new feature they have that faces the south side.

    http://www.foxnews.com/us/2014/05/29/chicago-skydeck-on-103rd-floor-begins-to-crack-under-family/

    1. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

      Aint no way no how would you get me to step out there!!!!

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        I probably would – but hearing it go “crack!” would be a heart-stopping event….LOL!!

        1. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

          Nope,NOT ME!!

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      My oldest daughter used to work in the Sears (now Willis) tower – no I wouldn’t go out on that perch, but I’ve been up there looking out the windows and scopes. You really have to go up on a clear day, so you can see around the lake.

      1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

        Bill- I always bring my binoculars because they don’t have the scopes anymore.

  12. What a great day so far! Had graduation practice this morning so we know what to expect when we graduate and recieve our diplomas tonight. Just got back from Buffalo Wild Wings (Fantastic restaurant if you have never been there). Going to enjoy the rest of the day with all this sunny weather until graduation tonight. So excited!

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Tasty wings. I miss the good old days when it was called BW3 and had 10-cent wing nights.

      1. Thursdays you can get them for 60 cents

    2. Congratulations Kyle! I remember how exciting of a time that was in my life too. Good for you!!

    3. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Congrats KRP !!! Now let’s hope we can get some storms for a graduation bonus..! Are you thinking about continuing your education attm , or hitting the job market instead. ( or both )

  13. INDY says:

    Bill I see the bugs are out on your blog must be getting close to summer!! What a nice cool day outside for the end of May keep them coming Bill I am with u no 90′s this summer!! INDYY!!!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Another above average day. Imagine that. Who knew. I love it. Fantastic.

  14. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    Seeing lots of 80′s in the UP currently.

    84 degrees up at Twin Lakes right now.

    1. steven (Derby Lake) says:

      Should we worry????

  15. I like the sounds of this outlook from the NWS

    SERIES OF SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS FLOW ALONG WITH A
    QUASI STATIONARY SFC BOUNDARY ORIENTED WEST-EAST FROM SRN MN TO NRN
    LWR MI SHOULD SUPPORT SCTD/OCNL TSTMS. THE AIR MASS WILL BE QUITE
    WARM/HUMID AND UNSTABLE SOUTH OF THE SFC BOUNDARY SUGGESTING A HEAVY
    RAINFALL AND SVR WX THREAT MAY EXIST MONDAY-TUESDAY.

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Get the storm machine gassed up and ready. ( KLP ?? I forgot the name )

      1. Ohh yeah the KRP Tracking Machine is always ready when needed Lol!

        1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          So can yu reveal what it stands for , Kyle something something , maybe your initials . I know it’s old school and it’s short for W-KRP in Cincinnati . Lol. ( reference before your time )

        2. I honestly had no idea KRP was a Cinncinati thing. I just did my initials. But cool a station has it but just different than mine

  16. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Quite a variety of temps in the UP currently.

    49 in Munising, 53 in Copper Harbor, and 55 in Detour Village right now.

  17. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    With a NE wind Chicago is only 66 and Grand Rapids is 79. I would actually prefer the colder temperatures though after what happened Monday.

  18. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Keep it coming! Sun with temps in the 70′s and low 80′s! Golf here I come! Imagine that! I am sure fixxxer will be whining about it not being warm enough! What a joke!

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Het Rocky , what’s your handicap as you must be pretty good with the amount of golf you play , lucky I wish I had time to get out more. ( I’m horrible ). :)

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        I shoot in the low 80′s for 18 holes. Golf ROCKS!

        1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          All 18 holes….? J/k Thought it was funny you qualified your statement with 18 holes as I would hope it wasn’t for 9… hehe. Yes I would consider that very good and much much better than I. I’m about 10 spots off that mark and occasionally more.. Lol ( par 72 courses )

  19. Paul m says:

    58 degree at GHSP and I even went paddle boarding today on the big lake.
    It was awesome.

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Nice , I want to do that , sounds fun just don’t fall in..lol

  20. Jack says:

    Beautiful ” Blue Sky’s” TODAY…..CUE:::: Allman Brothers Band – Blue Sky – YouTube
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1jpQu6qR1E. Stay CUEDDD…Enjoy & Go Tigers !!! :-)

  21. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Hey Brian , what are your thoughts about todays Tiger vs A’s game to wrap up the series . Will it finish oak 3/4 or end up all square at 2-2…? Porcello looks pretty good so far , I don’t think this game will get over 5 runs for either team although with these teams we both know the bats can change that in just one swing.

  22. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    The Tigers will win today! Mark it down!!

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Marked….I got my As winning.

    2. Stephen(North Muskegon) says:

      We need the win today Rocky they are starting to fall apart

      1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

        You need a win and you got it…. Oh well a spit isn’t bad as it’s still 500 ball. I was pretty close in saying neither team will score more than 5 runs. Score 5-4 tigers win…! :(

  23. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Hey GLD , don’t you know the water temp of Gun ? Bill mentioned in his thread that he is looking for inland lake temps I think. Also not sure if I asked your this already but I’m thinking of heading your way to take a look at your shop when I have some free time ( store hours ?? ) if that’s okay of course.

  24. Jack says:

    Q: How many lakes are there in Michigan?

    A: There are more than 11,000 inland lakes, 5 acres in size or larger, in Michigan. According to the Michigan Historical Society, one is never more than 6 miles from an inland lake or more than 85 miles from one of the Great Lakes. 

    Source: http://www.netstate.com/states/intro/mi_intro.htm. Stay CUEDDD…..Happy FISHING…..GO TIGERS..Ace The A’s….

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Ace the A’s , I’m not sure about all that bit they won . 10- 0 now that was an Ace , birth your wins were by a 1 run margin , so close games , but a W in the column I know. Both of us pretty much have the same record . No matter we will go away in the playoffs like always.

  25. Bill, I will try to get a temp reading of our lake this weekend. Horseshoe Lake between Lakeview and Edmore.

  26. Bob So. of Fennville says:

    “NOMOPHOBIA”? Is the fear of being without a cell phone.

    “HIPPOPHOBIA”? Is the fear of horses. Final Jeopardy question. No one got it.

    They used to say people were having with drawl symptoms if the did not get Email. Not me.

    Any others? Bob

  27. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    Hope the predicted rain becomes reality, starting to get pretty dry.

  28. ER from GR says:

    I learned today with my wife at the gender ultrasound that I have a baby girl on the way!!! What a beautiful weekend ahead to deliberate on names!!! My weekend starts in T-Minus 4 Hrs and counting!!!

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Congratulations ER! Our first was a girl. She is my princess.

    2. Bill Steffen says:

      We had 3 girls in 3 years and it’s been a wonderful journey through these 35 years of being a father.

    3. Dikehopper (Fennville) says:

      Absolutely wonderful, ER!

      Enjoy every minute of it.

      If this is your first, you have no idea of the wonders that lie ahead.

      “Thank Heaven, for little girls…”

    4. Jack says:

      Congrats ER…2 U and Your Wife !!! God is Good & Children are a Gift from Him !! Hope ya don’t Mind, I make a name Suggestion …..” Erica” !!!! Sound Good ER…Named after Her Daddy….YEAHHH….Stay CUEDDD….also…Question …DUE DATE ??? :-)

  29. Brandon says:

    Complete estimate—Lake Bella Vista 60-65 degrees. Adults and children were swimming in it before Memorial weekend which is unbelievable since the last of the ice melted on April 17.

  30. Tyce says:

    Bill, I have a water temp reading for you. Round Lake by Green Lake (Caledonia) was 73 degrees this afternoon. Took the water reading in about 3-4 feet of water.

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      AWESOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  31. Jerry Hoag says:

    HOWDY EVERYONE!!!!!!!!!!!! IS EVERYONE ELSE ENJOYING THIS WARMTH???? I’M LOVING IT SO MUCH!!!! JUST GOT TO GET USE TO HUMIDITY THAT WILL BE COMING THIS NEXT WEEK. NOT REALLY USE TO IT YET…..BUT GOT TO GET READY FOR IT…..LOVE THIS MICHIGAN WEATHER…..AHHHHHH AND THE SOUND OF THUNDERSTORMS……..ZOMMMMMERRSSS…..BOOMMMERRSSS…FLASHERSS……CRASHERS…..

  32. Jerry Hoag says:

    I LOVE THE SOUNDS OF THIS:::

    THE LARGE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK
    ENABLING A HIGH PLAINS LOW TO MOVE TOWARD LAKE MICHIGAN.

    CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT THE EXTENDED PERIOD COULD BE WET
    BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT AND EXTENDING THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PLAINS
    LOW IS PROGD TO MOVE EAST TOWARD NORTHERN LOWER BY MONDAY. MUCH OF
    THE CWA WILL BE IN THE WARMER UNSTABLE PORTION OF THE SYSTEM. THUS
    WE/LL CARRY CHANCES FOR TSRA THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE GFS IS A LITTLE
    QUICKER WITH THE LOW COMPARED TO THE ECMWF. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO
    THE ECMWF SUPPORTING UPPER TROUGH BEING A BIT DEEPER THAN THE GFS.
    EITHER WAY…THE MAIN STORM TRACK LOOKS LIKE IT WILL CROSS LOWER
    MICHIGAN WHICH MEANS CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
    THE PERIOD. GIVEN THE CLOUD COVER AND PCPN EXPECTED…HIGHS LOOK A
    BIT LOWER THAN NORMAL…LOWER TO MID 70S.

  33. Guess who officially just graduated and received there diploma?!? This guy! Lol :D

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      The smiley face?
      Kidding, congrats Kyle. Graduation day is a great moment for all of us.

      1. Thanks Brian! Great start to a new beginning and a new chapter in my life.

        1. So proud of the accomplishments ive made in my K-12 Schooling.

    2. Jack says:

      dictionary.reference.com/browse/their. Congrats….. ;-)

    3. Eileen (Hesperia) says:

      A BIG congrats Kyle!!!

    4. DF (SE Mich) says:

      Congrats, now real school begins :)

    5. Bnoppe says:

      Congrats Kyle I’ll be looking for you on TWC in a few years

  34. DF (SE Mich) says:

    Another awesome day, loving it!!!

  35. Robert(Plainwell) says:

    Hey Bill Upper Crooked Lake by Delton is 68.9 degrees this evening according to my fish finder.

  36. Paul says:

    Don’t let Bill scare you, we have more than just Lake Michigan on the shoreline to offer. Great shopping, great food and great wine.

    Plus if Lake Michigan is your game and it’s too cold to swim in for you, just stay for the sunsets. They’re unmatched in the State of Michigan.

  37. Judy says:

    My husband said the lakes he fished near Ludington and Baldwin this weekend were an average of about 68°

Leave a Reply