Severe Risk Monday PM to Weds.

June 2nd, 2014 at 11:37 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook 1630 UTC Day 2 Outlook    Tues. AM Update – SPC says:  “A SUBSTANTIAL/WIDESRPEAD SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS FORECAST THIS PERIOD.”

These are the SPC Severe Weather Risk Areas for today (Tues.)his PM and Wednesday.  We are in the General (green color) thunderstorm outlook for Sunday night and Monday.  It was a close call for severe in Lower Michigan Monday PM – we had lots of gusts to 40-55 mph. The Storm Prediction Center is most concerned about the Tues. PM to Weds. PM storms that are expected across IL-IN-OH (remember I’ve talked about a dominant storm track just south of Michigan).  You can see a large “Moderate Risk” tomorrow from Nebraska to Illinois.   SPC says (for Tues./Weds.): “POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EVENTS TUESDAY WITH A THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL…TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND.”  The morning run of the NAM model keeps Michigan in the “cold” air with significant overrunning rain and the severe storms across IL/IN/OH.

From Joe Bastardi:  “Biggest severe weather day since April likely today (Tue.). Tornado total so far less than 25% normal.  2.37″ rain in Minneapolis.  4.2 magnitude e-quake in Los Angeles.  Kansas mammatus at sunset.   Here’s storm reports from Sunday.

Check out the GRR NWS discussion and the latest surface map. Check out Regional radar to see the rain across the Great Lakes. Here’s GRR radar, local lightning data, meso-discussions and current watches from SPC and a satellite loop. Here’s current Michigan temperatures, National lightning data and the latest discussion from GRR NWS. Here’s National Storm Reports for today and yesterday. Here’s a live pic. of the beach at Grand Haven, Here’s the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion.

80 Responses to “Severe Risk Monday PM to Weds.”

  1. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

    An old blind cowboy wanders into an all-girl biker bar by mistake…

    He finds his way to a bar stool and orders a shot of Jack Daniels.

    After sitting there for a while, he yells to the bartender, ‘Hey, you wanna hear a blonde joke?’

    The bar immediately falls absolutely silent.

    In a very deep, husky voice, the woman next to him says, ‘Before you tell that joke, Cowboy, I think it is only fair, given that you are blind, that you should know five things:

    1. The bartender is a blonde girl with a baseball bat.

    2. The bouncer is a blonde girl with a ‘Billy-Club’.

    3. I’m a 6-foot tall, 175-pound blonde woman with a black belt in karate.

    4. The woman sitting next to me is blonde and a professional weight lifter.

    5. The lady to your right is blonde and a professional wrestler.

    ‘Now, think about it seriously, Cowboy…. Do you still wanna tell that blonde joke?’

    The blind cowboy thinks for a second, shakes his head and mutters, ‘No…not if I’m gonna have to explain it five times…………’

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Lol!!!

    2. Jack says:

      thanks, RAD….Needed To LAUGH on This MOANday !! Stay CUEDDDD… Rain Is On THEEEE WAY!!!!

    3. suehelen says:

      As a blonde I always appreciate a good blonde joke! That’s a good one! LOL

  2. John (Norton Shores) says:

    Thank you for the nice write up on severe weather chances this week Bill, looks like the best chances for severe weather this whole week will stay along and south of I-94

  3. Jerry Hoag says:

    MAN IT IS HUMID OUT THERE TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WILL THOSE STORMS IN WISCONSIN HOLD AND MAKE IT HERE FOR THE 3 TO 4 OCLOCK HOUR????? OR GROW???? HOPES!!!!!!! HOAGIEMAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  4. John (Norton Shores) says:

    We are now in the 40% are for thunderstorms this afternoon.

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/

  5. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

    Indy, get working on your Sprites rain dance!!!

    1. Jack says:

      Here is a ” INDY”an. ( pun intended”)…. “Rain Dance”…..LOL…CUE::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y2e1515l7Tc. ;-) Stay CUEDDD for “SPRITE”ing & Thunder. !!! ;-)

  6. Ian - jenison says:

    Just seen some rain drops on my deck! Looks like some boomers to the north?? Come on over!!

  7. INDY says:

    Man TARCK RACK AND STACK to the west should be a fun day with lots of sprites on Bills blog! Scott let the sprite dance start! INDYY!!

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      INDYY,,,HOAGIEMAN IS SO READY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    2. Jack says:

      TARCK??? Heee,,heeee STAY CUEDDDDD,,,, ;-)

      1. Jerry Hoag says:

        JACK,,,,,TARCK IS A NEW WORD…..DIDNT YOU KNOW?????? LOL

  8. Jerry Hoag says:

    Some Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin and Special Marine Warnings and some cells popping near the Grand Rapids area!!!!!!!!!!!! WAHOOOOOOOOOO, READY TO STACK RACK CRACK BOOM ZOOM FLASH AND CRACK!!!!!!!!!! HOAGIEMAN!!!!

  9. Jerry Hoag says:

    That line in Eastern Ottawa County, Muskegon County, Allegan County near Kent county is really developing BIGTIME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! SHOULD BE HERE TO GRAND RAPIDS VERY SOON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  10. Jerry Hoag says:

    Check out the GRRADAR…..and look at them there storms!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  11. Barry in Zeeland says:

    Skunked again in Zeeland. There were some very impressive cloud formations just about overhead, slighty to our East. Of course now they’re all racing away, not even a drop of rain.

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      Barry just wait for the other stuff coming across the lake right now…that stuff you had is about to hit me…..in the matter of any second it is like on my doorstep right now!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I can feel it and see the deep darkness of the clouds and rain and hear thunder!!!

  12. Decent storm just pushing in. Thundering too

  13. Our tornado siren is sounding to I think. I hear it in the distance. Probably to alert people to our first real storm

  14. Jesse says:

    Heavy rain and wind in Grandville. No thunder or lightning yet.

  15. Jesse says:

    That makes no sense. Alert people to the first real storm? Huh?

  16. kentwoodchicken says:

    BWAAK! Chicken is ready! Still noticing birds at the feeder who don’t give a hoot. When they get nervous Chicken will too! Also two bored looking mangy squirrels only upset by their lack of nuts.

  17. John (Norton Shores) says:

    It’s finally raining here! Just briefly though!

  18. Cassie (Kentwood) says:

    YAY RAIN! My yard will be happy!

  19. Very windy here in Byron Center. Not severe limits but pretty windy

  20. Katie in Kentwood says:

    Pouring here in Walker at my work

  21. kentwoodchicken says:

    BWAAK! No rain to speak of yet in K’wood…

  22. Jesse says:

    Garden variety storm. Put down some rain, a little wind. The rain is definitely appreciated. No thunder or lightning in Grandville.

  23. Jerrod (Hartford) says:

    Nice rain shower with no lightning in Hartford, but the rain came down and the winds were gusty, probably 30-35 mph gusts.

  24. GunLakeDeb says:

    I need rain!! The lawn at work is turning brown already….

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      I also need it to wash cars for me…LOL! Between pollen and dust from the freshly tarred-and-shipped road, I see a few hours of washing ahead, if Mother Nature ignores us :-(

      1. Brian(Grandville) says:

        My Jeep was looking horrible today, so I waited. I got a really good free wash.

        1. GunLakeDeb says:

          I just got our whole car-lot washed, and the lawn is already responding to its much-needed drink, too!! With more on the way, it appears…

  25. fixxxer says:

    Lol @ anyone thinking severe storms are coming. The only sure bet is a front is near with cold temps. No shocker there.

    1. Katie in Kentwood says:

      What cold temps? All I see is mid to upper 70′s on the 8 day forecast? It is spring you know, and those are normal spring temps.

      1. fixxxer says:

        Its coming.

        1. Katie in Kentwood says:

          Oh, puh-leeze.

    2. StormChaser says:

      Seriously fixxer I can’t remember the last time you said something positive. Do you just take the other side of everyone just to make people mad. It’s so annoying.

  26. Well that storm produced a nice refreshing 30mph gust here in Byron Center along with some decent rain but not a lot (Ill take all I can get). Also had a good 5 rumbles of thunder. Right now it is sunny again but a small shower just SW of me will be moving in shortly

  27. Jack says:

    Moderate RAIN Here, Flowers , Lawn, and OTHER PLANTS( wink,wink, puff,puff..pass..))) Enjoying and Soaking UP, the MUCH NEEDED Liquid !! Thanks U GOOD LORD!!! Stay CueDDDD…. ;-)

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      Brother Jack enjoy that rain man!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  28. Jerry Hoag says:

    WOW man about 10 minutes ago I had very heavy rain, NOT JUST ONCE, TWICE, BUT 3X!!!!!!!!!! With very strong winds and thunder too!!!!!! Now a line of storms coming across the lake. Special Marine Warnings out on our side of the lake for Ottawa county to the south!!!!!!!! But by 5pm or so out chances of Thunderstorms will be done til Wednesday…which then I will be in Minnesota, Maybe???

  29. Jerry Hoag says:

    After that line over the lake passes through then we are done for the day……….HOAGIEMAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  30. Jerry Hoag says:

    Skies are getting extremely dark to my southwest again!!!!!!!!!!!!! WAHOOOOOOOOOOOO, more heavy rain and thunder and lightning and maybe hail…. some strong gust of wind too maybe……HOAGIEMAN IS READY!!!!!!!!!!!!

  31. SS (Pwell Area) says:

    No thunder, but HEAVY downpour here for about 10-15mins!!! It was quite windy as well!!! Now sun is trying to poke through again…

    1. Red in Allegan Co. says:

      That one just missed me to the east.

      1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

        Don’t have to water tonight!!! Yay!!!

  32. ~Sherry~ (Comstock Park) says:

    A few episodes of heavy rain and a couple of cracks of thunder here. It looks like more coming!!

  33. Jerry Hoag says:

    That line over Lake Michigan is seeming to moving a little to the northeast….and some of it is breaking up…..but it is also looking like it will buff up some onshore too!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Special Marine Warnings are still out too!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

  34. Craig (Holland North Sider) says:

    Not a drop of rain nor rumble of thunder in Holland. Wind has been the only thing here today.

  35. Brian (Caledonia, Michigan) says:

    I’ve never watched it rain so hard in Caledonia, Michigan! It looked like a hurricane for a few minutes!

  36. Travis (Oakland County) says:

    84 muggy degrees with sun here.

    Looking like lots of action heading my way. Not sure I’ll see anything severe though.

  37. GMA says:

    Anything after the line over lake passes?

  38. SS (Pwell Area) says:

    Raining pretty good here…again.

    1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

      Picked up intensity!!! REALLY HEAVY!!!

      1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

        Few rumbles of thunder….

        1. Red in Allegan Co. says:

          Of all the rain out there, I’ve had a quick (maybe 15 second) splash and that is it. And it looks like you are going to get yet another dose. I’m jealous.

        2. SS (Pwell Area) says:

          Sorry…now sun is out again!!!

      2. GunLakeDeb says:

        Holy COW!!! Just as a customer walked out the door, the wind/rain hit, and I had to step into it to close the door that had blown open…. I’m soaked…LOL!!

  39. Kevin(Rockford) says:

    Curses, that line is weakening and won’t get much more. .20 so far

  40. Resourceful Nana says:

    Every time radar looks promising, it falls apart just before getting to me. Left work in a nice downpour, but five miles south, the road was dry. Soils here are parched! Maybe the next line will hold together.

  41. SBPortage002 says:

    As I was walking in I thought, this is tropical-like rain, the way it was falling and considering how muggy it is. This line is about through with another line behind that. Not much thunder but some good heavy rain out of it.

  42. fixxxer says:

    Lol. Severe weather you say? Not here.

  43. INDY says:

    Just clocked a 47 mph wind gust out at thee YARDofBRICKS….INDYY!!

    1. Jack says:

      Indy, I wanna Know….”Have You Ever Seen The RAIN”??….. CUE, C.C.R. ::::::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s38wb4XuX74 Turn it up and SING Along…YE ALL !!! & Stay CUEDDD for HIGH WINDS + More CUES,,,,,Fron THEEE YARDofCUES!!!!! ;-) . Ps. : Thanks for The Ride to The Store Nephew …INDY….. ;-) . @ THEEE YARDofBRICKS!!! ;-)

  44. Brent - Zeeland says:

    Nothing here. Skunked again. Lots of dust blowing in the area fields. Need some rain!!!

  45. J-rod says:

    Lots of branches down in Georgetown Township. Nothing real major though. Got mostly wind, very little rain.

  46. SS (Pwell Area) says:

    Raining again….

    1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

      Thunder….

  47. SBPortage002 says:

    Another line of moderate/heavy rain heading for me. Looks to be all after that>

  48. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    Getting some much needed rain, but not nearly enough.

    1. SBPortage002 says:

      Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Kalamazoo County!!

      1. SBPortage002 says:

        60 MPH wind gust radar indicated in the storm that prompts the warning untill 4:45.

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      I stand corrected. It’s coming down in buckets now.

  49. Seriously…this weather is so frustrating! I dont even want severe weather…I would just love a full day of stormy weather…not just one line that passes and you’re done. Actually, the way it’s been going one good line of storms would be great!

    1. SBPortage002 says:

      Yeah we have had three lines down here. Not a lot of thunder but good rains.

      1. SS (Pwell Area) says:

        You.. I think we’ve had 4-5 good rains…

        1. SBPortage002 says:

          I was just counting them since I got home from work. Could have been more.

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