SunshineJune 3rd, 2014 at 1:49 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
The picture from early this PM is the Muskegon Channel looking east. It’s clear at the beach with the stable, cool air coming off Lake Michigan. Inland, where it’s warmer, you get the thermals that produce the scattered cumulus clouds. Those clouds peaked in late morning and will continue to get fewer in number and farther east as we get into mid-afternoon. Current conditions show gusts to 25-35 mph. Red flags are out at the Lake Michigan beaches. The winds will diminish this evening and flip to the northeast tomorrow. The temperature at 1 pm was 70° at the Ford Airport in G.R, but only 59.9° on the beach in S. Haven, 54.8° at the beach in Muskegon and 50° on the beach at Ludington.
You can already see a few high clouds (satellite loop) on the western horizon from the system that will bring our cool rain tomorrow. That system will be a big severe weather producer from the Plains to Ohio. You can follow today’s Tornado and Severe T-Storm Watches here and the convective outlooks for this PM and tomorrow. Here’s the predicted rainfall amounts from the NAM (caribou) and GFS (caribou) morning model runs. The NAM (not surprisingly) prints out more rain (that’s the first number): Grand Rpaids 1.44″, 0.25″ – Kalamazoo 2.50″, 0.40″ – Jackson 2.09″, 0.50″ – Big Rapids 0.90″, 0.06″ – nothing for Cadillac on either model – Mt. Pleasant 0.86″, 0.03″ – Ludington 0.59″, 0.05″ – Lansing 1.39″, 0.27″ – Muskegon 0.97″, 0.13″ – Holand 1.68″ (only NAM) and S. Haven 2.36″ (only NAM).