Thursday PMJune 12th, 2014 at 2:33 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
8:25 pm – There is one thundershower along the Michigan/Indiana border near Sturgis moving east. It’ll go thru St. Joseph and Branch Counties. There’s a small, light shower near Edmore and a few sprinkles from Lansing to Augusta. They are moving east.
The picture on the left is the S. Haven GLERL camera and the picture on the right is the Muskegon GLERL camera (from NOAA Coastwatch). Some sun this PM in S. Haven where the Waterfront Film Festival is underway. That shot is looking north and you can see both white cirrus clouds and the gray low clouds on the left, which extend up to Muskegon where it is still cloudy. We have cleared out here in G.R. and we have a pleasant SW wind. I just got back from FruitBasket Flowerland. This time, I remembered the $10 off $50 coupon (reason alone to get the newspaper is the coupons you can use), which I didn’t have with me the last couple times I’ve been there. Temperatures at 2 pm: Just 55° on the beach at Muskegon, 63° on the beach at S. Haven. It’s 72° in Big Rapids, 70° in Grand Rapids and at the Regional Airport in Holland and 64° at the Muskegon Airport, again – all 2 pm temps. Here’s a satellite loop. There’s a front coming across Lake Michigan that could touch off an isolated shower this PM/evening. The best bet for that would be along and east of US 131 where it’s a little bit warmer, but even there it’s less than a 40% chance of your area getting rain. Tomorrow’s going to be a cool day. It’s only 56° at Houghton and Copper Harbor and 53° in Duluth (where the wind is NW and not coming off Lake Superior). The NAM (caribou) and the GFS-plot both give G.R. an afternoon temp. of 62° tomorrow. I think that’s a little too cool, but I bet much of the afternoon, it’ll be mid-upper 60s inland and near 60° at Lake Michigan. The NAM (caribou) has it dry until about 6 pm Sunday, the GFS plot and Canadian would probably hold the rain off until around sunset…so this weekend looks good. The GFS plot has a lot of rain for G.R., 0.62″ Sun. night into Mon. AM, 0.31″ Mon. night into Tues. AM and 1.14″ Late Tues. to Weds. AM with 0.08″ on Thurs. The Canadian would have a lot more dry hours than wet hours with the best bet for t-showers Sun. night and again late Weds. I’ve just seen part of the European model and that also keeps us dry until sunset Sunday night. It’s a little cool Saturday morning with most lows in the mid-upper 40s. CFSv2 shows cooler than average temps. for Michigan and much of the Great Lakes for the 2nd half of June.
Also: Hurricane Cristina reaches a strong Category 4 – could briefly reach low-end category 5 before weakening as it heads toward cooler water. It’s no threat to land. Rainfall over the last 30-days near to above average east of the Rockies. Heavy rains have eased the drought in E. New Mexico and much of the S. Plains. Temperatures north of 80° N. Latitude are colder than average, slowing the summer ice melt. That trend should continue.