Monday

June 15th, 2014 at 6:33 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local nws frost june 15 Current radar is on the left…on the right is a picture of the National Weather Service Office in Marquette taken Sat. AM.   Click the picture to enlarge.  You can see some frost on the roof!!   Here’s storm total rainfall from GRR.  You can see (until they reset it) where it rained, with a thunderstorm came into Benton Harbor and fell apart inland, there was a shower moving across N. Muskegon Co. to near Big Rapids and some other sprinkles…not much.  Most of today (Mon.) will be partly sunny and dry.  I’ve got an appearance at The Meadows Golf Course at GVSU, where there will be a fundraiser golf/lunch…then into work.  Thanks to Hudsonville for giving me a few minutes to share some historical information about our Founding Fathers and their interest in weather as part of their Flag Day Ceremonies on Saturday.  It’s was a relatively quiet day for severe weather in the U.S. Sunday.  Things will pick up this week and we’ll have a few storms to deal with this week.

Model update:  The NAM (car). overnight run gives G.R. dry weather this Monday, 0.33″ rain on Tues., 0.06″ Tues. night and 0.14″ Weds.   The GFS-plot gives G.R. 0.41″ Tues., 0.01″ Weds., 0.51″ Thurs., 0.65″ Fri., 0.12″ Sat./Sat. night and 0.19″ Sun.  It then finally turns us a dry, cooler and less humid from around the 23rd to 28th.  It takes us into the mid-upper 80s. Tues. to Thurs., but doesn’t give us a 90° through the end of the month.

There is STILL a patch of snow on the Mt. Ripley webcam!  Wettest 24-hours ever in Sioux Falls SD, official 24-hour rainfall was 4.65″. Old record: 4.59″, 8/1/1957.  I was kind of surprised the old record wasn’t a little higher.  KA-BOOM!   International Falls MN has seen its wettest June to date and their wettest start to a year.  As of today at 5 pm June 15th, International Falls has received 7.61 inches of rain. The previous highest amount for June 1-15 was 5.66 inches in 2002. Since January 1st, 16.43 inches of precipitation has fallen. The previous highest amount was 14.61 inches in 1941.

Here’s GRR looping radar. Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where the snow has finally melted and the lake ice is gone. Here’s the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.

44 Responses to “Monday”

  1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    And we are STILL above average down here. :)

  2. fixxxer says:

    Had to make sure you through in that bit about snow didnt u bill?

  3. INDY says:

    Maybe a Dereccho will blow over fixers court yard!!! HAPPY FATHERS DAY BILL!! INDYY!!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Its “fixxxer”.

  4. fixxxerswrist says:

    it is that time of year for the summer girls. they sit at the pools here. master looks for the ones with the buterfly tatoos. they have them above the bikini’s. master likes those ones the best.

  5. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Rodey = matt = fixxxer = brain dead! Get a life!

    1. Rodey (Rockford) says:

      Rocky=pathetic loser. I love it. Fantastic. Another WARM day in the 80′s. Who knew? Obviously not you. Imagine that. Fantastic. Get used to it

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        Good example of cyber bullying for Woodtv’s website.

        1. fixxxer says:

          Good example of mental illness run wild.

    2. matt says:

      warm weather soon who knew rock is dead and no cold thanks for listening.

  6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Lets review the facts! It is mid June and we still have SNOW on the ground in MI! The big lakes are still very COLD and icy! We will be getting hammered this WINTER! Bring it!

    1. Tim (Spring Lake) says:

      And the high temps here will be over 80 for ALL the coming week. Don’t forget that part.

    2. matt says:

      lets review, hot out today, hot out for the rest of the week, and rock n roll is dead, who knew thanks for listening.

  7. Jack says:

    CONCERN IS GROWING FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY. A STATIONARY  
    FRONT WILL FEATURE AN EAST-WEST AXIS OF STRONG INSTABILITY /4000+ J  
    PER KG MLCAPE/ UPSTREAM OVER WI AND FAVORABLE PARALLEL SHEAR /0-3KM  
    30-40 KT/. THIS SUGGESTS A PROGRESSIVE DERECHO WILL CROSS LAKE MI  
    AND MAINTAIN SOME INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO LOWER MI WHERE MLCAPE  
    AROUND 2000 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE.   PLEASE,,,,,,STAY CUEDDDD,for UPDATES…as NEEDED!!!! ;-)

  8. Rodey (Rockford) says:

    Let’s review more FACTS. We have hit 80 or better 15 times already. There will be plenty more 80′s this week and throughout the summer. Where we live there hasn’t been snow on the ground for approximately 2 months. We are still above average for the month. Could be the warmest mini ice age in history. Just the FACTS. I love it. Fantastic. Get used to it. Who knew?

    1. matt says:

      More facts, it’s was hot today, it’ll be hot on Monday, and rock is dead. Who knew imagine that.

  9. Cliff(KZOO) says:

    Rain chances look slim for tonight now? Kinda a bust for everyone today in the slight risk!

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Yup, sure is looking that way. What’s knew. They keep talking about a lot of rain this week. I’ll believe it when I see it.

      1. fixxxer says:

        We just had alot of rain brian.

    2. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Muskegon county is getting rain right now, the NWS mentioned tonight’s rain would be north of I-96 tonight so it’s not a huge bust for areas south of I-96.

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        Actually 1-94 has a 60% chance of rain according to the NWS.

        1. John (Norton Shores) says:

          That’s weird when they mentioned the best chances along and north of 96, I guess we’ll see, there’s a cluster of heavy showers near Van Buren and Berrien counties right now.

      2. Eileen (Hesperia) says:

        Been raining here for the last hour or so. Nice gently rain – no boomers. Mama turtle has decided to lay her eggs in our driveway. Not a safe place to raise a family. So tomorrow I’ll move the little eggs into a bucket filled with sand and then cover them up and wait and see what happens. Should be a lot of fun to watch them hatch. Then when they’ve hatched, I’ll take them to the White River here in town and let them go. So exciting!!! I’ll keep y’all posted on how this adventure turns out!!

  10. Bnoppe says:

    Morning AFD and day 2 spc should be interesting

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      That’s for sure.

    2. John (Norton Shores) says:

      I’m putting my bets on a slight risk issued for us, but we’ll have to see.

  11. fixxxer says:

    Severe storms?

    Derecho? Lmao…

  12. Jerry Hoag says:

    Im placing a good bet that we are put under a slight risk for Tuesday, if not even a moderate risk, because of the Derecho Risk. The GRR NWS is really concerned about this…..and is watching this very closely!!!!!!!! It sure will be something to watch!!!!!!

    It sure will be interesting to see what tomorrows outlooks will look like.

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      Way too early to place a bet on a moderate risk right now, I’m placing a bet on a slight risk with maybe a 30% hatched area but even that it too early. It’s going to be very interesting come the 2:30 and 3:30am updates.

      1. Jerry Hoag says:

        Yeah John it will be very interesting what it shows then….I will be going to bed soon but will be checking first ting in the morning when I wake up!!!!! It sure will interesting!!!!!!!!

        1. John (Norton Shores) says:

          Very interesting, I love being excited about the possibility of some good storms, I just hope it happens this time! :)

    2. Crayfish (Sparta) says:

      Where can I find what the SPC is saying about it? I don’t see it on the convective outlooks.

      1. Jerry Hoag says:

        The SPC really isn’t saying anything about it as of yet anyway…but the GRR NWS is saying it on their wall…

        1. Crayfish (Sparta) says:

          Just found it. Thanks.

        2. Jerry Hoag says:

          Your welcome!! :-)

  13. Jerry Hoag says:

    The GRR NWS has been talking about a Derecho now for the past couple of days. So the confidence is quite HIGH or getting there with certainty.

  14. Jerry Hoag says:

    SHORT TERM
    (THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
    ISSUED AT 321 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2014

    MAIN CHANGE WAS TO BRING STORMS INTO THE AREA A LITTLE LATER TONIGHT
    BASED ON CONVECTION ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE. EXPECT A GOOD COVERAGE
    OF PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT…BUT SPC CALIBRATED SREF GUIDANCE AND
    DIURNAL TIMING BOTH SUGGEST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE LIMITED. SPC SSEO
    GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVERALL MAY
    ACTUALLY EXIST NORTH OF I-96.

    CONCERN IS GROWING FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER TUESDAY. A STATIONARY
    FRONT WILL FEATURE AN EAST-WEST AXIS OF STRONG INSTABILITY /4000+ J
    PER KG MLCAPE/ UPSTREAM OVER WI AND FAVORABLE PARALLEL SHEAR /0-3KM
    30-40 KT/. THIS SUGGESTS A PROGRESSIVE DERECHO WILL CROSS LAKE MI
    AND MAINTAIN SOME INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO LOWER MI WHERE MLCAPE
    AROUND 2000 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE.

    THERE WILL ALSO BE A FLASH FLOOD THREAT TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
    SINCE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL REMAIN FAIRLY PERSISTENT WITH THE
    BOUNDARY AND MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE.
    PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE SEASONABLY HIGH AND CORFIDI
    VECTORS SUGGEST THAT BACKBUILDING CELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

  15. Bnoppe says:

    Just don’t be to disappointed when the talk of any severe weather is not there tmw morning, hopefully though

  16. Jeff (Portland) says:

    Running the sprinkler hoping to make it rain from mother nature :)

    1. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

      Keep that sprinkler on full tilt , we need all the help we can muster….lol

  17. mr. negative says:

    Lovely…our second snowiest winter set the example for ten consecutive days of rain for June -

  18. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Well hmmm , I don’t like the fact that the SPC is not in board for Tuesday yet , but I’m waiting to see tonight’s update from the NWS and check the SPC tomorrow after – work. I have to say it’s not looking all that impressive attm. ( I do like the expected ml cape ). If Tuesday is a bust then there goes my prediction out the winda…! Lol

  19. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Way to go Spurs btw , great team Victory and congrats to K . Leonard..!!

  20. GunLakeDeb says:

    If *I* was an employee at Mt. Ripley and was aware that all these people keep posting the webcam pictures of snow…..I’d drag an old white tarp up on that hill one night, and just mess with peoples’ minds ;-) “OMG!!! There’s still snow on the ground and it’s AUGUST!!!!!!!!”

    It IS amazing that it’s still there!

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