Radar/Links for Wednesday’s Rain/Storms – Click link to pics.

June 17th, 2014 at 2:45 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  Scattered Showers and Storms this early morning and a chance of a shower or storm this PM.  The strongest storms may have gusty winds, brief heavy rain and frequent lightning.   Isolated severe weather is not impossible, but I don’t anticipate much of that.  The heaviest rain looks to be north of G.R.   During the evening a cell down near S. Bend produced golfball-sized hail and 2″ of rain.    WOW!

There is STILL a patch of snow on the Mt. Ripley webcam, but it looks about gone this am.   Also:  Check out the HUGE pieces of debris (roofs?) flying around the Pilger NE Tornado.  Here’s video of the Pilger NE double tornadoMore video of the double tornado in Pilger.   Numerous reports from the NWS of 60-75 mph wind gusts in the Des Moines, IA metro area…Law enforcement reports that a roof was torn off a house in Madison, WI. Damage possibly caused by a tornado and law enforcement reports trees down on homes in Platteville, WI. One injury occurred from flying glass..nice pic. of storm in New Underwood, S. Dakota…72 mph wind gust measured just north of Fairfax, IA.  Sheriff department reports two dead, including a small child, from tornadoes in Pilger, Nebraska…Sioux Falls has had 7.71″ of rain in 3 days. It is 2.01″ greater than the previous 3 day record of 5.70″.

Model update – overnight data for G.R. – it rains almost every time period.  Here’s rainfall off the European:  0.21″ today, 1.01″ tonight (Tue. night), 0.53″ Weds., 0.02″ Weds. night, 0.01″ Thu., 0.44″ Fri., 0.02″ Fri. night, 0.61″ Sat., 0.31″ Sun. night, 0.19″ Monday….and the GFS-plot:  0.34″ today for G.R., 0.61″ tonight, 0.28″ Weds. night, 0.28″ Thu., 0.03″ Thu. night, 0.27″ Fri., 0.12″ Sat., 0.01″ Sun. (which looks suspect because it has Sunday mostly sunny).   It won’t be raining all the time and we’ll probably get a day or two in here (Thurs.?) that will turn out dry.

Here’s GRR looping radar. Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where the snow has finally melted and the lake ice is gone. Here’s the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.

481 Responses to “Radar/Links for Wednesday’s Rain/Storms – Click link to pics.”

  1. Jerry Hoag says:

    Brian thanks for that!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I love the talk of a MESO that close to use and a WW…..60% chance……That is nice…..now if we can get one too!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THAT WOULD BE TOTALLY AWESOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  2. John (Norton Shores) says:

    New MD out just west of us, includes Milwaukee, 60% chance of a watch issuance.

    1. This may have just saved my confidence lol

      1. Jerry Hoag says:

        Yeah Kyle mine too!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LOL…….

      2. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Told you not to give up, the fun is just beginning! :)

        1. Jerry Hoag says:

          HOPEFULLY THOUGH IT ISNT SOMETHING THAT WE HAVE TO WAIT FOR THAT HITS US IN THE WEE HOURS OF THE MORNING LIKE 5AM

  3. Jerrod (Hartford) says:

    Hearing rumbles of thunder in the distance. No precipitation yet, however.

    Feeling bad for those folks in Nebraska. Two tornadoes on the ground and on one cell, it was nearly stationary. Very rarely does that happen.

  4. Jerry Hoag says:

    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1049
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0938 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2014

    AREAS AFFECTED…FAR ERN IA / NRN IL / SRN WI

    CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE

    VALID 180238Z – 180415Z

    PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…60 PERCENT

    SUMMARY…THE THREAT FOR STORMS AND ISOLD SEVERE IS INCREASING THIS
    EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY
    THREATS…ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

    DISCUSSION…RADAR MOSAIC AT 0235Z SHOWS SEVERAL SMALL CLUSTERS OF
    STORMS EXTENDING IN A WEST TO EAST ORIENTATION FROM FAR ERN IA AND
    ALONG THE WI/IL BORDER. THE UPDRAFTS TO THE W OF LAKE MICH MAY BE
    ORIGINATING IN A LAYER ATOP THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THE DVN RAOB SHOWED
    A WARM NOSE AT H75 AND IT MAY AT LEAST TEMPORALLY IF NOT LARGELY
    INHIBIT SURFACE-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT. NONETHELESS…A WARM
    FRONTAL ZONE DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION WITH VERY MOIST LOW LEVELS
    OVER THE REGION HAS CONTRIBUTED TO VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS THAT IS
    CHARACTERIZED BY 2000-3500 J/KG MLCAPE. MODERATE WLY FLOW ATOP SLY
    SURFACE WINDS IS SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES…MAINLY
    IN THE FORM OF STRONG TO SEVERE MULTICELLS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS.
    THE NOSE OF A 30-40 KT LLJ WILL PROBABLY REMAIN OVER THE ERN IA/NRN
    IL VICINITY AND FAVOR ADDITIONAL STORMS THIS EVENING. THE MAIN
    HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH ANY ACTIVITY THAT CAN MATURE/STRENGTHEN
    WOULD LIKELY BE ISOLD LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS.

  5. Jerry Hoag says:

    IM LIKING THE SOUNDS OF THIS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      ABOVE POSTINGS……………………….

  6. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The storms seem to be moving more NE than east, southeast

  7. Jerry Hoag says:

    LOOKS LIKE THERE IS A LINE TRYING TO FORM AND ALSO MULTIPLE CELLS BY THEMSELVES IN NORTHERN ILLINOIS ON SOUTHERN WISCONSIN………MMMMMMMMM MAYBE THE NIGHT IS GETTING MORE INTERESTING…….

  8. Scott (robinson twsp) says:

    new post

  9. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    Good Evening all! Ready for some storms??

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      GOOD EVENING TRAVIS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BEEN READY FOR SOME STORMS!!!!!!!!!!!!!! HOW ABOUT YOU TRAVIS????????????????

      1. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

        I’M READY!!!

  10. John (Norton Shores) says:

    First severe thunderstorm warning for NE Illinois

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      *NW* not NE

    2. Jerry Hoag says:

      CLOSE TO DUBUQUE…………

  11. John (Norton Shores) says:

    I am going to guess a severe thunderstorm watch will be issued for southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois soon.

  12. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014061800&plotName=cref_t7sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields – Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t7

    00Z RUN HRRR

    LOOKS PRETTY NICE!!!

    1. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

      sorry…broken link

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      I posted this earlier, liking the looks of it! :)

  13. John (Norton Shores) says:

    New severe thunderstorm watch issued for parts of Illinois, Wisconsin and Iowa.

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      TRAVIS I LOVE THE LOOKS OF THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!

  14. Jerry Hoag says:

    THE STORMS ARE REALLY LOOKING LIKE THEY ARE STARTING TO BLOW UP NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  15. What are the odds of a watch here in MI?

    1. John (Norton Shores) says:

      I would say as long as the storms are coin g good over the lake, we will likely have a watch later.

      1. John (Norton Shores) says:

        *doing*

    2. Bnoppe says:

      Watch possible 40% I’d say

    3. Jerry Hoag says:

      I WOULD SAY 45% HERE…..

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        You know if they place us under a watch that is a sure death sentence for these storms ;-)

        1. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

          I used to like you….

        2. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

          No watch plz…just boomers

  16. Jerry Hoag says:

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IN SOUTHERN WISCONSIN…THE STORM NORTH OF ROCKFORD ILL……

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      PRETTY BIG CELL THERE….LOOKS LIKE A CELL FORMING OVER KENT COUNTY…

      1. Swatz_Zoo(Cedar Springs) says:

        just light rain if that. I got the feeling everything once again will be North and South like always. Who knows but I’m not staying up waiting. Good night all

  17. Darren says:

    The cell just north of Pilger, NE looks almost completely stationary! How bad is that one really? Saw they are under tornado warn.

  18. Travis (Lake Odessa) says:

    I’M HEADING TO THE NEW THREAD…..THINKING WATCH IS LIKELY…..60 PERCENT HERE…

    1. Jerry Hoag says:

      OKAY ME TOO……………

  19. Jerry Hoag says:

    THAT STORM CELL IN FAR SOUTHWETERN WISCOSIN AND NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS, SPLIT INTO 2 DIFFERENT CELLS……ONE MOVING DIRECTLY NEAR NORTH WHILE THE OTHER IS SITTING ALMOST STATIONARY…..INTERESTING STORM CELL…

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