Severe RiskJune 29th, 2014 at 2:53 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, Weather
The Storm Prediction Center has a moderate risk of severe storms today across E. Nebraska, N. Missouri and much of Iowa for this afternoon/night. The first Tornado Watch will likely come out soon for E. Nebraska/W. Iowa. They have brought the Slight Risk east to Lake Michigan. There is a 5% chance for wind and hail within a 25-mile radius of a given point for Lower Michigan – not enough to be included in the Slight Risk Area. For Monday, the Slight Risk Area has been extended northeast to cover much of Lower Michigan (except north of Traverse City and far SE Lower Michigan)…. SPC has a 5% risk over all of Lower Michigan and a 15% risk in the Slight Risk Area, defined as a probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Here’s the SPC discussion. For Monday, SPC says: “SVR TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN/LOWER MICHIGAN MONDAY. A MIX OF MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND SUPERCELLS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE…AND A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAY BE WARRANTED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS ACROSS THIS REGION“ Here’s the SPC severe weather discussions for today, tomorrow and Tuesday.
Check out the GRR NWS discussion and the latest surface map. Check out Regional radar to see the rain across the Great Lakes. Here’s GRR radar, local lightning data, meso-discussions and current watches from SPC and a satellite loop. Here’s current Michigan temperatures, National lightning data and the latest discussion from Milwaukee NWS. Here’s National Storm Reports for today and yesterday. Here’s a live pic. of the beach at Grand Haven,