Wednesday Evening – Chance Shower

July 16th, 2014 at 1:33 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   6:45 pm – We’re still tracking some (mostly light) showers.  Most of them are from Grand Rapids to the east and southeast.  The showers are moving southeast and should fade away around sunset.  It’ll be a cool night, with lows near 50.  Cool spots will reach the mid-upper 40s.  We’ll be mostly sunny to partly cloudy tomorrow.  The chance of rain for Thurs. PM and Fri. PM is about 15%.   So, most of us will stay dry.  Temperatures will gradually warm…inland areas into the mid 70s tomorrow afternoon (upper 60s at Lake Michigan),  upper 70s to near 80 inland on Friday and low 80s on Saturday.  It’ll be warm and more humid for the early part of next week, with highs in the mid-upper 80s from Sunday through Wednesday.   Lots of links below:

Here’s GRR looping radar. Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort in the U.P.   Here’s the U.S. Low Temperature map.  Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.

65 Responses to “Wednesday Evening – Chance Shower”

  1. Jack says:

    On July 16 in Southwest Lower Michigan…

    7/16/1945
    The second morning of record cool weather in five days produces low temperatures of 42 degrees at Grand Rapids and Muskegon.
    7/16/1980
    A line of severe thunderstorms roared across southern Lower Michigan during the morning bringing wind gusts over 100 mph. Widespread wind damage occurred from Benton Harbor to Detroit with a wind gust estimated at 130 mph in Marshall, Calhoun County. The sky preceding the storms was an ominous dark green color.
    7/16/1986
    A plane carrying executives from Holland to Muskegon crashed while landing in heavy fog. The pilot had descended below approach minimums and the plane struck two trees about two miles short of the runway. Three people were killed, including the pilot. Three others were injured. Stay CueDD…..

    1. fixxxer says:

      So?

      1. Cliff(KZOO) says:

        Hmmm fixxxer, that’s how I feel on every single comment you make on this blog. Thanks for the info Jack.

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          +1000 MILLION, BILLION, TRILLION, GAZILLION!

      2. Joseph Wisdom says:

        I think he’s just trying to say that for what we’ve had, it could be worse (i.e. the 7/16/1945 entry above).

        1. Jeff (Richland) says:

          No, you don’t know fixxxer very well.

  2. Paul says:

    I know that I have been rather rough on the NWS lately. Here’s some interesting news they released recently. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=grr&storyid=103263&source=0

    1. fixxxer says:

      Thats because its siberia.

      1. Mike(Shepherd, Mi) says:

        It is still very rare for it to snow there in summer

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Don’t confuse fixxxer with facts! It may make his head explode! He wouldn’t know or understand a weather fact, even if it hit him in the head!

  3. INDY says:

    Bill don’t ever remember the furney running in mid July …..48′ out at thee YARDofBRICKS….Cover up!!! INDYYY!!!!!

    1. fixxxer says:

      Same here, totally disgusted in michigan weather the past year.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        This has been the best year of weather that we have had in a long, long time! THe best winter ever followed by (so far) one of the best summers ever! Get a grip!

      2. Jeff (Richland) says:

        More like every season, every year, etc

  4. DF (EGR) says:

    Only down to 56 degrees last night in the city. 54 degrees at the airport was official.

  5. DF (EGR) says:

    Record low maximum in Marquette.

    RECORD EVENT REPORT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
    957 PM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

    …RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET TODAY AT NWS MARQUETTE…

    THE HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY AT THE MARQUETTE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    OFFICE LOCATED IN NEGAUNEE TOWNSHIP WAS ONLY 53 DEGREES. THIS BREAKS
    THE PREVIOUS RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 64 SET ON THIS DATE
    IN 1963.

    1. DF (EGR) says:

      It could be worse is the point :)

    2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

      Here is some more info on that record low maximum.

      http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=mqt&storyid=103391&source=0

      SlimJim

  6. Mike(Shepherd, Mi) says:

    Wow the day of the Kentwood tornado there is now a total of 4 tornadoes that night. Nws confirmed two more from storm surveys. Zero tornado warnings issued. Its a good thing these were not larger, stronger tornadoes.

    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/grr/presentations/Storm_Survey_confirms_Two_More_Tornadoes_2014-07-15_19-04-29.pdf

  7. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Thankfully the so called warming trend will only last a few days! Check out the 8-14 day outlook. Lets bring the cooling trend back! This summer has been FANTASTIC! Keep it coming!

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Cooling? There’s no blue in CONUS on that map.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        You better have another cup of coffee! I am comparing the 6-10 day with the 8-14 day and a cooling trend is clearly shown for the midwest!

        http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

        http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          Now I see what you mean. It’s difficult to compare something when you offer nothing to compare it to. :-)

  8. kevin. w says:

    I haven’t had the greatest connection here at Lake Winnipeg being out in no where land. I do see this big trough in the east changing into a pretty nice ridge/southwest flow over most of the country here: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Imageanis.php So I have talked my friend and my wifes family here to go with us to Alaska. My wife and I decided to go up there again as we haven’t been there in over 5 years. This will be a very fun adventure as were leaving this Friday and should be back in Michigan around the end of October. I think from what I’ve been hearing from other forecasters is that the rest of summer and into fall we should average out to around normal temperatures. So hopefully the U.S. and Canada can enjoy some nice milder weather and Alaska has been very mild for quite a while. Get out and enjoy wilderness or whatever you do. Talked to you all in a few weeks.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      INCEDIBLE – kevin w just made a comment without bashing some fellow bloggers and telling us we do not know what we are talking about and that he is always right! Maybe that vacation is helping his overall outlook on life! Let’s hope so :)

      1. Have a fun and safe time Kevin!

  9. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Another great day to go golfing or work outside or to do just about anything outside! Imagine that – who would have thought? Golf here I come! ROCK n ROLL will never die!

    1. matt says:

      Rock is dead. It must be nice to have your mom do everything while you lock yourself in the basement.

  10. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    While yesterday was a very cool July day it was not where near a record cold for a July day here in GR. The coldest low temp recorded here in GR in July was 41° on July 6th in 1983 and there have been several years when it has gotten down to 42° with many nights in the low and mid 40’s The last time GR has gotten into the 40’s in July was in 2005 (49°) and on July 2nd 2001 GR had a low of 43° So while its cool it has gotten colder in July in the past.

    John (Norton Shores) asked if there has ever been frost in the UP in July. As the record low in Marquette for July is 36° last set in 1989 I would say there is a good chance that frost has happened in the UP in July It should also be noted that in northern lower Michigan Alpena has gotten as cold as 34° in July (1965) and the Soo also has gotten as cold a 36° in July.
    SlimJim

  11. I am off to Benton Harbor/Warren Dunes State Park for the day. Enjoy your day bloggers! :)

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Thanks and I am headed to golf course! I also hope that everyone gets outside and enjoys another great summer day in MI! It does not get any better than this!

      1. matt says:

        Did you get a summer job at the course, or are you still mooching of mom’s money?

        1. Ned S. (East of Holland) says:

          When are you going to stop being a jerk Matt?

  12. John says:

    So normally I despise seeing long range winter forecasts in the middle of the summer, but I was thinking the other day and I seem to recall that after the cold summer of 2009 we had a fairly mild winter. I remember the following spring as being warm and early, with active severe weather. With this summer being being at least somewhat similar to 2009, could we be looking at a similar winter to 2009-2010 in a few months?

  13. Jeff Northern Ionia County says:

    I know all of you are going to disagree but I am strongly hoping we have another winter like last years!!!

    1. Jeff (Richland) says:

      Only Rocky will agree with that.

    2. Brian(Grandville) says:

      It honestly didn’t bother me that much. Kept warm when I was outside with several layers, and good boots and gloves. Have 2 4×4 SUV’s, and had no problem getting anywhere.

  14. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    Be careful Jeff and John, you don’t want to be mentioning winter in July! fixxxer the drama queen of the blog, doesn’t like it. He is the self appointed moderator. awesome weather on the horizon!

    1. Jeff (Richland) says:

      He doesn’t like anything though, LOL.

      1. Dan (Byron Center) says:

        true, Jeff.

  15. Dan (Byron Center) says:

    Just had the dog out. The skies look.painted with some cool looking clouds. It’s still cool. However, the watm.up.is on the way! Looks awesome outside! Great O Bummer is on the T.V.

  16. Brian(Grandville) says:

    I saw gas for 3.27 in Spring Lake today.

  17. INDY says:

    What A Great Night Grilled Some Dam Good Steaks!!!!!!! Best Summer In Years!! INDYYY!

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      Medium-rare ribeye is my favorite.

      1. INDY says:

        Mine 2!! Got 9 One inch Ribeye’s At Birds Meat Market for 48 bucks!! Cant beat that!!! INDYY!

    2. Jack says:

      Thanks for The INVITE ? INDY….

  18. Michael g (se GR) says:

    Appears GR did not hit 74* today, as the highest hourly reading was 70*. That would mean a record low max for the date. Especially impressive since there was some sun and nothing more than a couple if sprinkles.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      I was thinking the same when I was out toward the lake shore today. It was mostly sunny, but COOL. Impressive air mass for this time of year. Record lows are better than record highs this time of year if you ask me.

      1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

        It felt warm to me, but thats just me…

  19. The weather in Benton Harbor today was fantastic! Not even a cloud in the sky for most of the day. Gas down in Benton Harbor was $3.25! It was great to see that. Overall, I like Berrien County. Maybe not Benton Harbor, but some of the surrounding towns (Sawyer, Baroda, Berrien Springs etc).

  20. Jack says:

    Peak night
    Jul 28-29
    Alpha Capricornids
    Active from July 11th to August 10th 2014
    The Alpha Capricornids are active from July 11 through August with a “plateau-like” maximum centered on July 29. This shower is not very strong and rarely produces in excess of five shower members per hour. What is notable about this shower is the number of bright fireballs produced during its activity period. This shower is seen equally well on either side of the equator.

    Radiant: 20:28 -10.2° – ZHR: 5 – Velocity: 15 miles/sec (slow – 24km/sec) – Parent Object: 169P/NEAT

    Peak night
    Aug 11-12
    Perseids
    Active from July 13th to August 26th 2014
    The Perseids are the most popular meteor shower as they peak on warm August nights as seen from the northern hemisphere. The Perseids are active from July 13 to August 26. They reach a strong maximum on August 12 or 13, depending on the year. Normal rates seen from rural locations range from 50-75 shower members per hour at maximum.The Persesids are particles released from comet 109P/Swift-Tuttle during its numerous returns to the inner solar system. They are called Perseids since the radiant (the area of the sky where the meteors seem to originate) is located near the prominent constellation of Perseus the hero when at maximum activity.

    Radiant: 03:12 +57.6° – ZHR: 100 – Velocity: 37 miles/sec (swift – 60km/sec) – Parent Object: 109P/Swift-Tuttle. STAY CUED & Keep Looking UP!!!! ;-)

    1. dereks says:

      Love the info Jack!

    2. dereks says:

      Also enjoy reading the history for the day. Thanks.

      1. Jack says:

        You are Welcome !!! Stay CUEDDD. ,,,,,,,,,,,,,……;:;;;;:;;:; ;-)

  21. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    This cool air mass sure makes for an extra radiant sky….wow! If your not in aww when you look to the night sky , look again because it definitely makes one think just how large our universe is , or how small we are …!

    1. Jack says:

      AMEN,,,!!, Darren SVRstm….& CUE,,,,,,,The Late Great RICH MULLINS :::::: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2w2b033DXCw. Keep LOOKING UP ……..+……….. GOD BLESS !!! Or in other Words STAY CUEDD……. :-)

  22. Jack says:

    BILL, I hope this Link Works. I Goggled , Which State has The Hardest Weather To Predict ?? And This Seems To The Most Recent Article I Could Find, on The That Question. SEE Here : US regions whose weather is hard to predict – snopes.com
    message.snopes.com › SLC Central › SLC. Stay CueDD ….. ;-)

      1. Jack says:

        Correct, Sir CORT ..

  23. Jack says:

    Didn’t Work, Darn it. So I will ask YOU. Which State Has The Hardest Weather To Predict ???? BILL, I’ll Stay CueDD, for YA. LOL….. ;-)

    1. Cort S. says:

      Any state with mountains and an ocean-sized data void nearby.

      1. Jack says:

        Thanks CORT . Any Idea where Michigan is on The So-Called List. Also, is Lake Michigan and The Other Great Lakes considered a Factor in Our Weather Predictability ? Staying CueDD on This Thursday MORNING… ;-)

        1. Cort S. says:

          I’m biased since I’ve lived in Michigan for most of my life, therefore I’m more comfortable trying to predict it. Yes, the Great Lakes affect predictability here. Depending on the day, it will screw with your temperature forecast for a specific location, or it will dump snow in Holland but be sunny in Zeeland, or it will leave you guessing whether that severe thunderstorm from Wisconsin weakened or strengthened during its 80 mile journey with no ground truth reports.

          But the Midwest is also easier than other regions: generally easier-to-understand cyclone structure, lots of upstream observations, few worries about the earth’s surface being 3-dimensional and highly irregular. I forecasted in Utah this past winter… dealt with lake-effect and/or synoptic-scale moisture butting up against or channeling through the mountains. Forecast busts happen all the time for specific locations, and actual weather can be highly variable to within a couple miles horizontal and a couple hundred feet elevation. Or imagine Seattle/Washington, lots of mountains and nothing but satellite images and a few ship reports to tell you everything about the upcoming storm system. I’ll gladly take Michigan for winter forecasting.

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