Warming Trend Continues

July 19th, 2014 at 4:30 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

muskegon glerl   Check out the boats along the beach at Muskegon around 4 pm.  The air temperatures inland  reached the low 80s, while the beach thermometer at Muskegon rose to only 71.4°.  There were a few random light showers and sprinkles along and east of a line from Coldwater to Saginaw.  Those have dissipated.  There could be a patch or two of fog in the central or eastern part of the state late tonight.

Here’s the latest from SPC on the possibility of severe weather Tues. Night/Weds.:  “PRIMARY CONCERN FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS EXISTS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO WRN GREAT LAKES ON D4/TUE. WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF AN MCS TO BE ONGOING TUE MORNING…LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE MESOSCALE EVOLUTION OF KINEMATIC FIELDS GIVEN A POSSIBLE MCV/MINOR MID-LEVEL PERTURBATIONS TRACKING E/SE AROUND AN EXPANSIVE 600 DM 500 MB ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE SRN ROCKIES. ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE PLAINS EML PLUME…STRONG TO EXTREME INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP TO THE S/SW OF REMNANT CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW/CLOUD DEBRIS. AT LEAST LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES WILL LIKELY BE HIGHLIGHTED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.”    I know that’s pretty technical.  I think the best bet for thunderstorms here in West Michigan will be Tues. night and any severe weather would be spotty (if we had any at all) and not widespread.  The main threats would be gusty winds, cloud-to-gro0und lightning and brief heavy rainfall.   I’m working today so check out 24-Hour News 8 for the latest (6 pm, 10 pm on WXSP, 11 pm).

The afternoon European model gives G.R. a high of 90° on Tues….the GFS has 91°.

12 Responses to “Warming Trend Continues”

  1. fixxxer says:

    I hope august is a scorcer. I also hope fall and winter are mild. ;)

    1. Rockdy(Rockford) says:

      The Fixx,

      Good luck, as the outlook for the end of July looks cool. Could change, who knows, doubt it. Until the same pattern we have mostly had until winter breaks down, any long term heat is a longshot at best. A huge amplified ridge over the West towards Alaska, and then crashes into a major trough from the Plains to the Great Lakes. Pretty simple, really. You almost get the feeling the longer the pattern stays this way, the tougher it will be to break, as evidenced by how long it has gone on already..

      1. matt says:

        Write book next time. Were going to warm big time next week 90 on tuesday get used to it. While youbare at get a job mooch just facts thanks for listening moocher.

        1. matt says:

          Ha ha rockydy my my bad. The real rocky is a mooch.

    2. matt says:

      Check out the Tuesday forecast Fix…looking good :D

    3. Ned S. (East of Holland) says:

      Do you mean “Scorcher” or “Sorcerer?”

  2. Brian(Grandville) says:

    There’s an air quality alert tomorrow why? I thought they issued them when temps make it into the 90′s and dew point are very high. Tomorrows forecast doesn’t quite constitute one if you ask me.

    1. Cort S. says:

      I’m not an air quality guy, but more info here:

      http://www.deqmiair.org/
      http://www.deqmiair.org/forecast.cfm

      Ozone may reach “Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups” tomorrow and may do so again on Monday. The USG breakpoint for 8-hour O3 is 76 ppb. O3 concentrations today have been around 60 ppb.

      I’m guessing that the strong capping inversion at about 5,000 feet along with light/variable winds all throughout the low levels of the atmosphere is allowing for a build-up of O3 over a period of days.

  3. Redhead says:

    I’ve seen color change already on tips of some maple trees in Hastings area. From our cool pattern, could the trees be changing from that or is our summer on the downswing all ready?

  4. Jen in Middlevile says:

    Funny you mention that, the bush by our drive way is turning red already too.

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      I remember this topic arising in previous years and I thought it had to do with dry weather. Clearly this year is not dry so I’m not positive what would cause it.

      1. Ned S. (East of Holland) says:

        Good point Nathan.

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