Sunny, Warm Weekend, Cooler Middle of Next Week – Maybe

August 5th, 2014 at 9:31 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

814temp.new   NAEFS 8-14 day  NAEFS_zdns.d264.00  We have a 5-day stretch of mostly sunny, warm and dry weather from Weds. to Sun.  Temperatures will start near 80° on today and rise to the mid-upper 80s by Sun. PM.  Here’s (until they clear the graphic) storm total rainfall from GRR NWS.   24-hour rainfall ending at 8 pm this (Tue.) evening:  1.39″ Mt. Pleasant, 0.77″ Battle Creek, 0.51″ Benton Harbor, 0.42″ Lansing, 0.30″ Byron Center, 0.23″ Holland, 0.19″ Big Rapids, 0.14″ Kalamazoo, 0.03″ Muskegon Airport and just a trace in Grand Rapids (airport).  The GRR NWS at the Ford Airport has had only 0.10″ of rain since July 15th!  Lansing has had 2.51″ of rain in the last 5 days after getting 4.86″ in July, 6.4″ in June and 4.24″ in May.  Lansing has had slightly more than double average rainfall since 6/1.   The next front arrives about next Monday PM/Night and it looks weaker than earlier.  We may turn slightly cooler  (recurving typhoon in the Western Pacific often generates a trough over the Eastern U.S. in 5-7 days.  That’s what you see in the graphic on the right here…the NAEFS 500 mb heights – blue is lower than average heights (trough) and pink/red indicates higher than average heights (ridge and in summer that usually means warmer than average surface temperatures).   The map on the left in the 8-14 day temperature probability map from CPC (Climate Prediction Center), showing the cool over the Great Lakes.  The NAEFS map in the middle here also has cool air for the same 8-14 day period (Aug. 13-19).  Right now, I do expect overall relatively warm weather for much of August and a good part of September, before a significant (more so than average) cool down in latter October and November (with snow snow in Nov. – more so than in recent years).

The overnight run of the NAM has 1.3″ of rain for G.R. Thurs. night into Fri. – it’s wrong.  The GFS plot would start rain Sunday night and the European (best IMHO right now) has showers and t-storms Monday with about 1/2 to 2/3rds inch of rain.   All public schools on Hawaii’s Big Island, Maui, Lanai, and Molokai to be closed Thursday due to Tropical Storm Iselle.  They must have a different school year there.

24 Responses to “Sunny, Warm Weekend, Cooler Middle of Next Week – Maybe”

  1. Barb says:

    Even though we’ve had virtually no rain for 3 weeks at both my locations, at least the temps will cool down next week, so it won’t be so hard on the vegetation.

  2. Hey Bill picked up another 0.10″ in Byron Center tonight, so that makes an official total today of 0.40″.

    1. Brian(Grandville) says:

      That maybe my favorite one yet Jack. Look to the N.E. the next several days right.

    2. John (Norton Shores) says:

      So cool Jack, thanks for sharing the link! :)

      1. So John no rain came to Norton Shores? That is a suprise since downtown Muskegon is pretty close

      2. John (Norton Shores) says:

        Nope, unfortunately it just missed us to the east, it got Muskegon to Muskegon Heights down to Fruitport, but completely missed NS, that’s our luck, lol!

        1. Lol your chance will come. Maybe next Monday. I remember Norton Shores got like 4 inches of rain back in mid June when I was chasing over there

        2. John (Norton Shores) says:

          It will come eventually, lol, fall is usually rainy so we’ll probably get our chance then lol, and I really do hope we get something next Monday, we need it badly. You are right, back in June we had like 5″ of rain in one night only and there was lots of flooding in the area, and July was the complete opposite of that, lol! We ended up with near 7″ of rain for June.

        3. Yes I was actually in Norton Shores after all that 5″ moved through and the Meijer parking lot was over half flooded and the left lane of US 31 north of sternberg was in deep water. Lightning also struck a hotel in that same area. saw the fire trucks there

  3. Is there some sort of meteor shower going on now or something?

    1. Brian (Grandville) says:

      Did you see some? The best one of the season peaks between the 10th-13th.

      1. No I was just asking if there was any going on right now because I love going out at night and watching them. Looking foreward to the 10th now

      2. Jack says:

        The Perseid meteor shower typically occurs in August of every year. This year, the Perseid meteor showers are predicted to peak between August 11 and August 13. Stargazers and astronomers advise the public to watch out for these showers just before dawn.

        The United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) revealed that the meteor count can reach up to 100 meteors per hour. These meteors can travel at 37 miles or 59 kilometers per second.

        “The Perseid meteor shower is known as one of the best meteor showers to observe, producing fast and bright meteors that frequently leave trains, but in 2014, a nearly full moon will upstage the show,” according to NASA. BTW, I got a nice VIEW of The ISS Tonight, in Between The Clouds & In between Innings of The Tiger GAME, NICE WIN TIGERS!! Not Bad for David $ PRICE..debut in The OLE english ” D”. ;-)

  4. Sharkee says:

    Yes the meteor shower is peaking this weekend. But there is also a full moon. So the best time to see it if the weather clears is tonight.

  5. Sharkee says:

    Thanks Jack

    1. Jack says:

      Hey Sharkee, just took ahh Gander Skyward, for a quick minute and Didn’t See any, However the Skies Have Cleared NICELY. so I will be going out for more Viewing LATER….STAY CUEDD & You are Welcome !!!

  6. Jack says:

    Meteorites of Michigan History HERE:: http://www.michigan.gov/documents/deq/BU05_301713_7.pdf. Kinda of Interesting For SURE!!

  7. Jack says:

    Anyone Looking for a PARTY ???
    Christian Post
    Perseid meteor shower gets OMSI to host biggest star parties of summer next week
    The Oregonian ‎- by Terry Richard ‎- 9 hours ago
    With the Perseid meteor shower peaking on Tuesday, Aug. 12, the Oregon Museum of Science and Industry is getting ready for its largest star …

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      Some of the Michigan State Parks are hosting Meteor-Watching parties “Meteors and S’mores” – they will keep their gates open late for stargazers. I hate to link to FOX, but…. http://www.jrn.com/fox47news/news/State-Parks-Plan-Perseid-Meteor-Shower-Events-218129661.html

  8. kevin. w says:

    Not much in the way of meteors here in Alaska this morning and the weather has been very nice here. I’ve been at Denali for two weeks. I’m looking to go farther north for a while before the weather starts to change toward September. I’m heading to the gates of the arctic then probably Barrow then back on the west side toward Kobuk and then toward Anchorage then back through Canada then to the states. Tons of wildlife here especially the bear, moose/elk. Lots of interesting people and conversations at the restaurants. Been thinking of getting a cabin up here for many years and living in Florida for the winter, but beatin that dead horse for quite sometime. First time in a long time that I haven’t spent much time with the weather or the blog. Get out and enjoy the weather and the great outdoors and hard to believe were in August already. Quite early this morning compare to the 8 o’clock hour down in Michigan. Everyone take care hopefully be back in the states mid October. May be headin to Florida if we have a crazy winter like last. :)

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      Wow, Kevin!! That sounds like an incredible trip!! I was there in late summer, and on September 1st, it was like someone hit the switch for “Fall Colors”, and the Aspen and Fireweed just exploded in color!! Also, it was the start of hunting season, so there were some mini-cities that formed in the turn-offs. Not unusual to see giant moose antlers strapped across the front of ATVs, etc.

      Have a wonderful time!

  9. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

    Browns VS Lions Sat @7:00 Fall is creeping up on us FAST :{

  10. Kristine says:

    Had 1.75″ of rain on Friday evening here in Saranac, another 1/2″ on Monday afternoon. Grass is growing, plants are loving it!

    Saw the Perseid last summer while on vacation in the Keweenaw Peninsula, will catch it there again this weekend. Sitting on the shore of Lake Superior, Milky Way overhead, and mosquitoes buzzing in the ear :)

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