Weekend T-Storm

August 15th, 2014 at 2:25 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

muskegon glerl sunset august 14   day2otlk_0600 The pic. on the left is sunset from the Muskegon GLERL camera at the channel (from NOAA Coastwatch). The afternoon high temperature on the beach there Thursday was 57.6° for a sunny day in the 2nd week of August – amazing. On the right we have the overnight update from the Storm Prediction Center for Saturday PM/Night. There is a small Slight Risk Area over Missouri and a “See Text for West Michigan. SPC says: ” ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. WEAK INSTABILITY AND POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY…BUT 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 30-35 KT AND FAST STORM MOTION COULD RESULT IN SOME GUSTY WINDS.  COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT /500 MB/ NEAR -10 C MAY ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME SMALL HAIL IN STRONGER STORMS.”

The overnight NAM (car.) has 0.08″ of rain for G.R. Sat. PM/Night – it hangs the front up and gives G.R. another 0.28″ Sun. PM/Night. The GFS-plot gives G.R. 0.03″ Sat. evening and another 1/2″ from Sunday midday into Sunday night. The European gives G.R. 0.12″ Sat. Night and that’s it. The models continue to trend downward for high temps. for early next week.

67 Responses to “Weekend T-Storm”

  1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

    Crisp 41 this morning!

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Nice! Keep it coming!

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      LOL!! For once, my lows are warmer than the rest, not colder: I had 48 degrees at 7:30, due to that huge warm lake in my front yard :-)

  2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

    So when will summer arrive?

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Late June 2015!

    2. fixxxer says:

      In michigan? Never.

    3. GunLakeDeb says:

      You’re not liking Augtober?? ;-)

      1. Jen in Middleville says:

        This is the best summer ever. Perfect to be outside all the time.

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          I have to agree. I prefer this over the sweltering heat we usually have this time of year.

  3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    This afternoon I am heading to the Grand Haven Golf Club and then over to Bilmar’s for dinner on the beach! Ah summer in MI – nothing better! Get outside and enjoy the BEST SUMMER EVER!

    1. matt says:

      Right sure you are. More lies like those ski trips in the winter. We know the real truth kid

    2. Tom says:

      You are the perfect example of a pathological liar! Prove us wrong and post a picture of a dated receipt from golf coarse & Bilmar!

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Wow you guys are really delusional and paranoid! Seek help immediately before it is too late! Get a life and start enjoying the BEST SUMMER EVER!

        1. Tom says:

          It’s not your constant comments on the weather that bothers us, it’s your constant lying that does!!

        2. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

          Rock, It’s time to gather up all your Mom & Dad’s Beer Cans,And get your Big sister to Drive you to Indy’s House and gather up all the Sprite cans, And head to Walley World and get your school uniforms.You dont wanna repeat 5th grade again for the 3rd time.

        3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          It is amazing to me that my comments “bother you”! Just INCREDIBLE! Get a grip!

        4. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          Hey Rad – I will be retiring in a year or two so I will add you to the list of totally ignorant bloggers!

        5. matt says:

          Theres no way you are old enough to retire let alone have job. Keep up the lies mooch

        6. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

          Promise ?

  4. fixxxer says:

    This is patheric. 47 in august.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      This is PERFECT!

    2. fixxxer says:

      *pathetic

  5. My current temp right now is 46 degrees here in Byron Center. Looks like that is where I will bottom out for the overnight low. Should rebound into the mid 70′s today with a warmer night coming tonight.

  6. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    We are having some PERFECT weather! Keep it coming!

    1. Tiger (Grand Haven) says:

      I live in Grand Haven and got the day off and would love to join you for golf. When is your tee time?

  7. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

    My mom just opened up my bedroom window and the room temp literally dropped five degrees instantly! It’s hard to believe that there will be thunderstorms tomorrow.

    1. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

      I will believe the storms when i see them, We have not seen many in my Hood lately. :{

  8. Lisa (Caledonia) says:

    41 here in Caledonia this morning! It feels like autumn!

  9. DF (EGR) says:

    Not as cold as they thought at the major stations because the wind stayed up.
    Grand Rapids landed at 3rd coldest temp for the day.
    Detroit did come in at the 2nd coldest temp to the date.
    Muskegon 3rd coldest.

  10. INDY says:

    Thee heat is on windows open and sprites are cold …We call this pure Michigan!! Happy Friday Blogers!! INDYY!!

    1. DF (EGR) says:

      LOL, nice! I used to do that in college when I didn’t pay the heating bill, not anymore :)

  11. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Definitely a chilly morning but no complaints here, the slight warmer trend will just feel that much better. This see -saw weather we have been having all this summer has been just about perfect , now if we could just add some decent thunderstorms to the forecast. The one thing this weather pattern doesn’t favor is beach and boating activities , I do miss going to the beach and swimming . On a side note the stars were amazing last night , saw a few good meteors.

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      Yeah, 80 next week will feel really hot.

  12. DF (EGR) says:

    I’m waiting for that WXYZ update any minute now… any 90′s still?

    1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      I haven’t looked lately but 85 was the highest I saw.

      1. DF (EGR) says:

        Oh, thanks

    2. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      No 90′s in sight! Imagine that!

  13. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Another cold August night last night in much of Michigan the coldest I can find for last night is 29° at Doe Lake, 30° at Leota, some other readings include 30° at Spincich Lake 37° at Cadillac, 38° at Bellaire, and 39° at Iron Mountain, Pellston and Midland. Not sure if any records we set but still one cold and I am sure in spots frosty August night. The growing season was short in some locations this year that’s for sure.
    SlimJim

  14. Temps have rebounded pretty good. I got 68 here now. 4 hours ago I was 46! It’s was a cold morning

  15. Ryan (Rockford) says:

    Had a crisp, cool 42 degrees this morning on the northeast side of Rockford. It’s certainly feeling (and looking, with some trees starting to slightly change) like fall in the middle of August!

  16. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    At this time it now looking very much like this summer will be the first one since 1951 were GR did not reach 90 or better for the summer.
    SlimJim

  17. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    Here we are at the half way mark for August 2014 and here are some of the averages so far for the month around Michigan.

    Grand Rapids 70.5° (-1.3°)
    Lansing 70..5° (-1.4°)
    Muskegon 68.4° (-2.4°)
    Kalamazoo 69.1° (-2.6°)
    Flint 69.9 (+0.2°)
    Jackson 68° (-2.1°)
    Detroit 70.3° (-2.6°)
    Saginaw 69.2° (-0.7°)
    Gaylord 63.7° (-1.2°)
    Marquette 61.6° (-3.2°)
    Houghton 61.9° (-3.2°)
    Soo 64.5° (-1.2°)

    at the half way mark all major Michigan reporting stations are below average except for Flint are below average. with Flint for the most part (average)
    SlimJim

  18. DF (EGR) says:

    Sitting downtown and it is awesome out! Perfect day. I’d take this as far into fall as possible.

  19. Jen in Middleville says:

    Walked around the yard first half of the morning picking up fallen limbs and twigs, almost started raking. It is so beautiful out though I think I’m going to head back out and deflate the pool floaties and walk the yard some more! Temps are too perfect today to not be out enjoying this day!

    1. Rad (Jenison/Hudsonville) says:

      I Agree 100%. I have been in and out all day moving the sprinkler around and just enjoying this perfect DAY!!

  20. DarrenSVRstm ( Cedar S ) says:

    Almost on cue the ” See Text ” has already left our area for tomorrow , just scattered garden variety for most.

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

    1. Hah nothing new there! Always happens

  21. Today is a nice day! I’d take this until Mid October if we could. I just got done soaking up some rays sitting in traffic in the southbound construction zone downtown. Boy is that a blast ;) . At least it is a nice day to sit in traffic because my car does not have air

    1. DF (EGR) says:

      That 50% chance of above average heat… nothing like it.

      1. Travis (Oakland County) says:

        Lansing west is 60% which is high for CPC

        1. Cliff(Scotts) says:

          Yes it is high like the 90% chance of below we seen during the winter?

    2. Mark (East Lansing) says:

      When was the last time the cpc looked like that? Last year? Looking more and more like 80s rather than 90 which is fine by me.

      1. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

        Yeah, why waist a good shot of having a summer without a 90° day after we have gone this long. Heck we may have to wait another 60+ years for that to happen again.
        SlimJim

        1. Mark (East Lansing) says:

          I was definitely skeptical about the possibility of a summer without 90. Once again, I should never second guess Mother Nature.

    3. DF (EGR) says:

      Any El Nino update?

        1. DF (EGR) says:

          Good stuff slim as always.

  22. Jack says:

    Just a little Weather History From NWS GR : On August 15 in Southwest Lower Michigan…

    8/15/1951
    Tornadoes hit near Grand Ledge in Eaton County, Fowlerville in Livingston County and Kings Mill in Lapeer County. Several barns were destroyed.
    8/15/1978
    A waterspout moved inland off Lake Michigan just south of Little Sable Point, about 8 miles west of Shelby in Oceana County. Several cottages were damaged and Scenic Drive was blocked by falling trees. One person was injured when a picture window was blown in. HAPPY ” FRY”day stay CUEDD & Go TIGERS !

  23. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    While we don’t know how warm it could get the CPC has a high confidence level that Michigan should see warmer then average temp for the end of August and maybe wetter then average as well.

    http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/index.php

    And

    http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

    Good news for most of us but bad news for the cold summer lovers lets hope it plays out and then stays until late September. Heck if it did that it could make up for the cold July and the cool August we have had so far. But don’t count on it.
    A very pleasant 75° here now.
    SlimJim

  24. I see we are in the 60% range for above average temps. That is quite high and have not seen it there recently so could during that time period be our last shot at 90 for the summer? We shall see. I would not underestimate Mother Nature that is for sure

    1. Nathan (Forest Hills) says:

      We hit 94 last year in September. I have my doubts this year though

  25. Jack says:

    Hey BILL, Very NICE ” Haircut” & ” Mustache” Trim. LOOKING GOOD !!! From Jack & Irene… :-)

    1. Bill Steffen says:

      Yup…paid a visit to the stylist today…so I’ve got style.

      1. Jack says:

        And ” Class” !!!! God BLESS….+…… :-)

  26. Jack says:

    With clear skies,Should be able To See The ISS Tonight @.   ISS 10:44:52 pm NNW 10:48:00 35° -2.6 (very bright)
    Enjoy…. ;-)

    1. Jack says:

      It was Very Nice and Bright, Hope ya all..Got a Glimpse…..stay CUEDD

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