Severe T-Storm Watch Possible

August 30th, 2014 at 2:32 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

MD 1638 graphic The Storm Prediction Center has issued a meso-discussion about possible severe weather developing this afternoon across a large section of Lower Michigan and parts of northern Indiana and northeast Illinois.   SPC says:  “THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED…AND THE ISSUANCE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS POSSIBLE…DMGG WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SVR RISK…. MARGINALLY SVR HAIL…AND POSSIBLY A WEAK TORNADO…CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH MORE SUSTAINED… DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE CONVECTION.”  Here’s Grand Rapids radar (line of showers and storms from Houghton Lake to Lowell to N. Van Buren Co. as I write this).  Here’s regional radar.  Here’s the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion.   See more links in the 2 threads below this one.

No severe weather reports…but gusty winds, heavy rain and lightning.  Not much from G.R. west (a bit of a lake shadow perhaps.  The only severe reports nationwide as of 5:30 pm are a gust to 61 mph at New Orleans and 1″ hail at Pontotoc, Mississippi.   The Holland Regional Arpt. had a gust to 39 mph this afternoon.  Gusts to 30-35 mph throughout much of the area.  The Port Sheldon buoy is reporting waves of 3.8 ft. and a water temp. of 70.

74 Responses to “Severe T-Storm Watch Possible”

  1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Rain? What rain? It was another spectacular day out on the golf course! Imagine that!

    1. Shae says:

      Its getting harder and harder to read the blog because of commentors like this. Your act is tired man.. Give it up.

      1. Tom says:

        He’s like a hemorrhoid! We have been putting up with his lies for a long time now! Best thing we can do is ignore him!

        1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

          What a concept?

      2. Jordan (Twin Lake) says:

        I bet Shae is fat.

      3. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Wow – I have an idea, do not read my comments! This is not rocket science!

        1. matt says:

          Rocket science is you lying about your fake trips on the playground just the facts thanks for listening.

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      No it’s not – it’s freakin’ STEAMY out there. I’ve been working in the garage, came inside, and now I see there’s a 74-degree dewpoint. No wonder I’m sweating to death….

      I would LOVE to see something come through that will drop this dewpoint.

      1. GunLakeDeb says:

        (My reply was to Mr Sunshine Rocky)

        1. Looks like the rain is just missing you GunLakeDeb to the north. I just got some rain and now the sun is out again and it is VERY muggy!

        2. GunLakeDeb says:

          Kyle – now it’s missing us to the south and east (and I’m OK with that because those look like some angry thunderstorms). It’s been a beautiful, but steamy day and there’s a LOT of people out on the lake or at the beaches.

      2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

        Well it’s the end of August this in Michigan, so I am sure this will not last long at all. I just hope I can say the same thing about the cold come February 2015

    3. There are certain areas of West Michigan getting rain right now, and heavy rain too. I just got done getting some heavy rain. You just have not received it yet. Outside of the rain the weather is nice and sunny. Muggy though

    4. matt says:

      Right the only golf you do is on your wii kid.

  2. SlimJim NW GR (1) says:

    At this time there is a small line of storms developing just to the east of me. Here the sun is now out and the temp here is 83° with a high DP of 75° Here in NW GR we will not get in on this line of storms but will have to see how areas to the east do, There are some showers to our west in Wisconsion we will have to see what if anything becomes of them
    SlimJim

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      I can see that line of storms training to my NW. It’s dry here – with “dry” being a very relative term, considering the dewpoint….LOL!

  3. tinainvbcounty says:

    Sun is back behind clouds. One more client and I am done for the weekend! Hopefully it will hold off on any crazy storming until I get home from the store and picking up a movie to watch with the kids tonight! Feeling like a nice biscuit and gravy kind of cooking tonight! :)

  4. Mike[kalamazoo county] says:

    Today looks like a north of Kalamazoo event. Nice cool breeze downwind from the centre pivots other than that just a windy dry day.

  5. kentwoodchicken says:

    BWAAK! Chicken appreciates the A/C today! No feather frizz!

  6. John (Norton Shores) says:

    The NWS keeps going back and forth on Monday. They don’t sound as strong on Monday for severe storms with this afternoons update. I guess we will just have to wait n see for Monday. Until then, it looks like a stormy day today for central and eastern lower. So far nothing here yet.

  7. The cell near Luzerne, MI in Oscoda County has a interesting hook on it. Not sure what it shows on velocity

  8. Just after I said that a tornado warning was issued for Oscoda County

  9. Shirley says:

    Just got so much rain in Belding – Wow

  10. If there happen to be a tornado on that cell, it would either be right over Luzerne or about 1 mile north. Definantly a nasty little cell

  11. Another hook forming near Fenwick in southern Montcalm County. The northern part of the cell is curving around on the north side

  12. fixxxer says:

    Looks to me the heaviest storms are over just west of alpena. Tornado warning.

  13. Geneo Grenville says:

    Had a good rain at 3:30 then sun came out and just had more rain at 4;00 now the sun out very muggy out now.

  14. Brian says:

    Wondering if hudsonville is going to get rain? I dont see anything on the radar but still showing a high percentage.

  15. dereks says:

    Vestaburg Montcalm county, had a some heavy rain with just a little bit of wind. Now its sunny and hot.

  16. Mike Geukes says:

    SHORT TERM…(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
    ISSUED AT 220 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

    THE MAIN CONCERN DEALS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
    THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH ON MONDAY. SPC MESO PAGE
    SHOWS SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG AND MLCAPE VALUES
    OF AROUND 1000 J/KG. ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP
    AIDED BY THE LIFT FROM AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL WAVE. EFFECTIVE
    BULK SHEAR AROUND 35 KNOTS AND 0 TO 1 KM SHEAR AROUND 15 KNOTS.
    SO A RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
    PRIMARY RISKS…ALONG WITH A SMALL RISK FOR A TORNADO. SO FAR THE
    CELLS HAVE STRUGGLED TO KEEP PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS…BUT THAT COULD CHANGE.
    SLIGHT RISK CONTINUES.

    STORMS WILL WEAKEN BY MIDNIGHT. LESS IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION
    EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY WITH NO REAL FORCING AROUND.
    STILL SOME DAYTIME STORMS COULD POP UP ON SUNDAY GIVEN THE DECENT
    HEATING.

    STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE A POSSIBILITY ON MONDAY. RIGHT
    ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER JET MOVES IN DURING THE DAY WITH
    STRONGER INSTABILITY PRESENT. MODELS SHOW THE STRONGER DEEP LAYER
    SHEAR ARRIVING IN THE EVENING. ITS POSSIBLE WE COULD SEE SCATTERED
    TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON STORMS DEVELOPING WITH A FEW SEVERE IN THE
    AFTERNOON FOLLOWED BY THE ARRIVAL OF A WEAKENING SQUALL LINE
    MOVING IN FROM WISCONSIN IN THE EVENING. TIMING WILL LIKELY
    DETERMINE HOW MUCH IF ANY SEVERE WEATHER OCCURS. SLIGHT RISK FOR
    PARTS OF THE REGION CONTINUES.

  17. Shelbyville says:

    The sky looks very volatile… Huge cloud formation heading towards Middleville area.

  18. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Still partly sunny and not a drop of rain all day!

    1. matt says:

      Of course you can’t see any rain, you’re playing video games in the basement all day ya moocher.

  19. Shelbyville says:

    Intermittent rain here all day. It’s weird to see it suddenly downpour, yet nothing on radar, it must be the low level clouds moving very fast and dropping the moisture.

    1. GunLakeDeb says:

      I’ve noticed that, too – I think we’re far enough from radar that it doesn’t pick up the low-cloud precipitation? Plus, depending on where you live, we’re down in a hole anyway…LOL!

  20. Mike[kalamazoo county] says:

    Noticed watching the radar the dry area in St Joseph and Kalamazoo counties is just demolishing the storms trying to move up out of Indiana.

    1. fixxxer says:

      Welcome to michigan where the only storms we get are in the form of snow for 6 months on end.

      1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

        Sounds great! Bring it!

  21. Mr. Negative says:

    Building, and building, and building over Ada…then leaving to the NE.

    1. Rocky (Rockford) says:

      Rain? What rain?

  22. fixxxer says:

    Storms you say? Just a tad windy though.

  23. Barb says:

    Heavy rain earlier this morning up here east of Cheboygan. Just had heavy rain and some thunder about 15-20 minutes ago. Nothing severe.

  24. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Just another GREAT summer day. Partly sunny, no rain and great golf weather! It does not get any better than this! Golf and now a cookout! FANTASTIC!

  25. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    It looks like more INCREDIBLE summer weather for tomorrow! No rain and temps around 80 degrees! Imagine that! Golf, cookout, hiking, boating, camping – you name it and it looks good for Sunday!

    1. matt says:

      Oh look you spreading more lies about your plans. Keep it on the playground kiddo no one believes you on this blog ya moocher.

  26. kentwoodchicken says:

    BWAAK! Not much going on here!
    However, according to my calculations, more moisture in the air has prompted a Severe Humidity Warning. Those within a 20 mile radius will be in the HUMCOM range rating of 8 out of 10 chances for hair fruzzing, skin sticking, and much sweatliness. The likelihood of a major HUMCON event is eminent! Are you ready? There’s still time to prepare:Get your largest house fan, aim it out the window, set it on high and blow! Encourage your neighbors to blow too! If all blow the humidity will go!

    1. Jack says:

      Hey CWC : Good Idea !! Bwaakk ! I’m Not Trying To Be Political Here, But May There Be ” A Chicken in Every Pot”!!!! LOL… Just Kidding & Having Some CLUCKIN’ FUN..LOL,,,Stay Clucking CUEDD !! My friend..PEACE

    2. GunLakeDeb says:

      ROFL!! Yeah – the Humcon Index scares me more than the Torcon….

  27. Me :-) says:

    We had some heavy rain earlier this afternoon here in Northern Ionia County. So tomorrow no rain? Or is there still a chance that there will be a chance of a storm popping up? Have a great Labor Day weekend!!!! :-)

  28. Swatz_Zoo (Cedar Springs) says:

    As usual, North, East, or SW, SE of us. BORING!!! I’m not feeling it, nor has FDM had her webs up, at least for my area. Carrying on about my outdoor business now.

  29. Graham Wellington says:

    Sorry I haven’t been able to post all day, I just got back from the renaissance festival. I’m considering opening up my command center in mother’s basement. She is having some friends come over tonight but they usually leave by 10. It will give me time to round up some Doritos and Sprite.

    1. Jack says:

      Do have a Brother Named “BEEF” ??…. ;-)

      1. Graham Wellington says:

        That’s my nickname. I got it because I was 230 lbs when I entered the 6th grade.

  30. Mr. Negative says:

    As usual, the weather in MI has nothing to do with us…carry on.

    1. Jack says:

      CARRY ON .,.,.,,.,.,. CUE : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nP0VBB7BO64. Stay CUED MR. NEG. ;-)

  31. Jeremy (Three Rivers) says:

    Not too impressive T’storm coverage… was hoping for more action. I see there was some rotation reported near Dowagiac MI. (Cass County)

  32. GunLakeDeb says:

    WOOD’s weather channel was just showing a nice velocity radar image that showed serious rotation down near LaGrange, IN for about 10 minutes?

  33. Rocky (Rockford) says:

    Weather Facts for GR for today – minimal rain, no storms and great weather for outdoor activities! You know like golf! Who knew?
    Weather facts for tomorrow! Repeat! I love it!

    1. matt says:

      Is that what your tinker toy weather model told you? Keep up the lies about your fake golf game and trying to be a big man on the weather blog kid :D

  34. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    Appears a significant flooding situation may be developing across the southwest counties despite the NWS stating storms would be diminishing in coverage and intensity.

  35. Jerry Hoag says:

    UMMMMMMMM, I never got a drop of rain at my house today at all!!!!!! Some really fun looking clouds today but nothing at all, lots of windy weather today and MAN IS IT MUGGY OUT THERE!!!!!!! But no rain…..looks like my only chance maybe Monday???!!!

  36. Mike[kalamazoo county] says:

    .30 here looks like it is done for the night. Not a lot but a lot more than we have got out of earlier chances. Went to the WMU women’s volleyball game this evening they lost to IPFW in 5 but I will say WMU has a good volleyball team this year.

  37. tinainvbcounty says:

    Nice storm looking from my porch to the south, far south. Looks like they are getting a nice light show!

  38. Cliff(Scotts) says:

    Got a surprising .9 tenths of rain. Watched the line fall apart and then reform again. Lots of lightning to the sour still.

  39. Cliff(Scotts) says:

    *south

  40. Ended up getting a 5 minute downpour here today from a cell that developed overhead, but that is about it. I now stand at 4.30″ for the month of August and it looks like that is where I will stop since tomorrow looks dry.

  41. BOB says:

    Flickers of lightning in the southern skies of Kent Co.

  42. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    Radar estimate of 4″ of rain between Cassopolis and Three Rivers this evening.

  43. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    Only 5/100 of a inch of rain just south of Marshall.

  44. Barb says:

    Did the city of GR get any rain?

  45. Kevin (Marshall) says:

    I see they finally issued a flood advisory for St. Joseph and Branch counties where nearly a half foot of rain is possible before it’s all over.

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