Bill Steffen

Severe T-Storm Watch is Over for Most of Michigan

May 26th, 2015 at 2:35 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

WW0220 Initial Radar image WW0221 RADAR Thumbnail ImageFunnel Montcalm Co. 5 26 15   The Severe T-Storm Watch has been cancelled for everyone except far NE Lower Michigan (north of Saginaw Bay)

Severe reports:  Possible funnel cloud in Montcalm CoAnother picAnother pic.   Here’s video clearly showing a rotating wall cloudPossible wall cloud in Isabella Co.  Gust to 60 mph at Quincy in Branch Co.  Reports of trees down at Elm and Quarterline in Newaygo.  Small hail reported near Battle Creek.  (Unhealthy-looking) tree down on car in Lansing.    Rainfall from 2 pm – 8 pm:  0.85″ Kalamazoo, 0.68″ Muskegon, 0.65″ Holland – Boatwerks, 0.61″ Holland Airport, 0.61″ Rockford, 0.53″ Hudsonville, 0.44″ Hudsonville, 0.38″ Eberhard Center – downtown G.R., 0.38″ here at WOOD, 0.34″ Lansing, 0.34″ Big Rapids, 0.24″ Grand Rapids.

There are two Severe T-Storm Watches. We have one that covers most all of Lower Michigan (not Berrien or Cass Counties and another Severe T-Storm Watch until for Branch, St. Joseph and Hillsdale Counties in Michigan, for much of Eastern Indiana and for Western Ohio. The main threat is isolated damaging wind.   A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1-INCH (not a high risk of hail). EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO as high as 70 mph. Individual storm movement southwest to northeast at 35 mph with the line(s) progressing from west to east across the area.  Chance of rain – very high.  Chance of severe (60 mph winds or 1″ hail) in any one spot – low.  We’ve heated up near 80 deg. (pretty good instability).  Dewpoints up into the low-mid 60s – so we have available moisture.  Surface map shows marginal convergence.   Not a lot of lightning so far, many areas just getting rain showers.   Over 70 severe reports in the U.S. today.

Looks like a cool weekend…could be breezy, chilly and wet Sat. AM – No frost, wind should hold up Sun./Mon. mornings…but low 40s possible.

Links:  Check out the GRR NWS discussion and the latest surface map. Check out Regional radar. Here’s GRR radar, local lightning data, SPC meso-discussions and current watches and a satellite loop. Here’s current Michigan temperatures, National lightning data and the latest discussion from Milwaukee NWS. Here’s National Storm Reports.


Severe T-Storm Watch – Branch/St. Joseph Cos.

May 26th, 2015 at 2:19 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

day1otlk_1200  mesoSevere T-Storm Watch for Branch and St. Joseph Counties.   Click on the image to enlarge.  Read the PM meso-discussion for S. Michigan, Indiana and W. Ohi0 here and the late morning meso-discussion here for MI/WI.   All of Lower Michigan is now in the Slight Risk Area for severe t-storms today!  The Storm Prediction Center says the main threat is wind damage.   SPC’s midday says:  “FARTHER EAST FROM LOWER MI INTO CNTRL/ERN IND AND OH…VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DOES SUGGEST THE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR BOUNDARY-LAYER WARMING WITH LATEST CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE DISPLAYING A MORE CONSISTENT SIGNAL IN ONE OR MULTIPLE TSTM LINE SEGMENTS EVOLVING THIS AFTERNOON OVER THESE AREAS. GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING…LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD…A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.”   SPC lists the probability of a report of wind damage within 25 miles of a specific point in West Michigan at 15%, the probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a given point at 2% and the probability of a report of 1″ or greater diameter hail at less than 1%.  The most likely time for severe weather will be mid-afternoon into the evening.  Most everyone will see rain and storms with gusty winds.

Links:  Check out the GRR NWS discussion and the latest surface map. Check out Regional radar to see the rain across the Great Lakes. Here’s GRR radar, local lightning data, meso-discussions and current watches from SPC and a satellite loop. Here’s current Michigan temperatures, National lightning data and the latest discussion from Milwaukee NWS. Here’s National Storm Reports.

Sunday was an active severe weather day with 20 reported tornadoes and 223+ severe reports.   A major tornado hit Cuidad Acuna, Mexicoacross the border from Del Rio TX.  Damage pictures here.    There were 13 fatalities and 200 were injured.  The twister hit at 6:40 am.  The area of the city hardest hit is called Barrio Santa Rosa.   Three were injured at Fort Lauderdale Beach FL when a waterspout came onshore and lifted up a bounce house.  Here’s video of the bounce house being lifted into the air.    Flash flood emergency in the Houston TX area after high winds and very heavy rain on saturated ground.  80,000 are without power in the Houston area early Tuesday.  House a total loss after lightning hit in Deatsville ALTrinity River in Dallas before and after recent heavy rain (I’ve walked across one of those bridges).   4.16″ of rain measured in 1 hour on Buffalo Bayou TX.  5.20″ Austin TX, 2.14″ College Stn., 1.70″ Waco.  Both I-45 and I-10 are closed in Houston due to serious flooding (5 feet of water on the roads, rescues in progress as I write this.   Rainfall in Michigan Monday totaled 2.10″ at Beulah, 1.71″ Pellston, 1.53″ Traverse City, 1.67″ Manistee, 1.35″ Houghton, 1.25″ Wakefield, 1.24″ Iron Mt., 1.09″ Marquette.  Grand Rapids got around 1/4″.  At one point Monday PM it was 79 degrees in Alpena and just 45 on Mackinac Is.


Sunday Night/Monday

May 24th, 2015 at 10:01 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Central Great Lakes sector loop

Monday 12:30 pm – Here’s radar, showing scattered showers and an isolated t-shower.   Here’s current conditions across Michigan.   It’s breezy to windy, with gusts at noon up to 37 mph at Holland, 35 mph at Muskegon and 33 mph at Ionia.  It’s cool and wet across much of the U.P.  At noon it’s only 48 on Mackinac Island.     High Swim Risk on Memorial Day over a good portion of Lake Michigan…though with water temps. mostly still in the 40s – I doubt many will venture into the lake past knee-deep.

SPC has Southern Lower Michigan in the General Thunderstorm Outlook for today and Marginal on Tuesday.   PM temps. will be warmer than average for most of this week with highs ranging from the mid 70s to low-mid 80s.  Here’s Sunday’s Severe Weather Reports from SPC…a fairly active day, though it doesn’t look like anything major…eight tornadoes reported, but it looks like several duplicates.

I was up in Traverse City seeing daughter #3 over the weekend. We were close to the airport. At noon, the temperature at the TVC airport was 71 with a NE wind at 3 mph. At 1 pm, the temperature had risen 10 degrees to 81 and the wind was SW at 7 mph. At 1 pm, I was on the beach at TVC, about 3 miles from the airport, and my car thermometer said 63 and we had a very light NE wind off the water.  So that was an 18-degree difference over 3 miles.  We watched the car thermometer go down as we approached the bay.The temperature/dewpoint at the TVC airport at 1 pm was 81/47. That’s a 34-degree difference. The clouds thickened and the rain started and by 9 pm, the temperature/dewpoint was 61/57…temperature down 20 deg…dewpoint up 10 degrees.

Also on our trip…lilacs in full bloom in TVC and many tulips still blooming…some fruit trees still in blossom…the trees were about 80% leafed out in TVC, but only about 50% at the highest elevations near Lake City. We saw a fair amount of roadkill…but one live deer on the side of the road. We stopped in Tustin for ice cream. The lady in the store was a Dutch transplant from Zeeland and she told me about the Swedes and Rev. Tustin that built thre town which later became called Tustin. We saw the big buffalo ranch just south of TVC…went to church. We at lunch at a restaurant in TVC – the manager was an African-American gentleman named Michael Jackson. We drove a little ways up Mission Peninsula…very little leafing on the grapes so far on the Peninsula. We saw an awesome dance program Sat night (Maya was in it). Saw a Michigan license plate PRY4SNO and figured it was Rocky. Thanks to whomever decorated the rest area for Memorial day with flags and patriotic bunting. The mosquitoes were out when the wind wasn’t blowing.  Hearing some fireworks tonight.

We had some spectacular temperature climbs on Saturday. Here’s some of Saturday’s highs and lows: GRR 40/78, Three Rivers 39/77, Iron Mt. 32/80, Alpena 26/79, Doe Lake 26/80, Raco 79/23 (that’s a 56-degree rise!).

Snow on Mt. Hood in Oregon todayWhat happened to the roof!   Two fatalities from flooding in OK/TX – flood deaths occur from people trying to drive thru water flowing across a road.  Oklahoma City has had 18.69″ of rain so far in May.  That’s 4″ more than that the previous wettest month ever (June 1989).  Here’s what it looked like Sunday on the beach at HonoluluSunday’s entry into the “Scary Looking Cloud Club” – it’s not a tornado.  Pic. of Lamar, Colorado tornadoPlains KS mile-wide wedge tornado.  The Coop station in Eagle, Alaska, reached 91°F yesterday. That is hotter than any day in #Houston or #Dallas, TX, this year.  Bridge – gone!  From Outer Space:  Lights of SE U.S. cities with northern lights on the horizon.   11.69 inches of rain in 24 hours at Kendalia, Texas.   Water going over the spillway at Lake Texoma for only the 4th time in its history.   Significant flooding in OK.   An overcast and an undercastHouse surrounded by floodwaters30-hour radar loop of storms in OK.  Snow in Colorado and Wyoming.   Before and after Texas floodingBlanco River at San Marcos crested over 43 feet, with a ~30ft rise in 120 mins b/t 7:30Z & 9:30Z!!  The river went up 6.5 FEET in 10 minutes as a flash flood wave built and plowed downstream!   I-35 closed due to flooding at San Marcos.  It’s cold in Greenland!   San Antonio River at Loop 410 jumped 11.2′ in 3 hrs.   75 mph gust at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, TX.   What a difference!

Links: Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Weekend

May 23rd, 2015 at 6:03 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

modis lake michigan   modis lake superior  Happy Saturday.  It’ll be a nice day, mostly sunny and a few degrees warmer than yesterday – low-mid 70s, again cooler at Lake Michigan.  Chance of showers tomorrow, mainly in the afternoon and a chance of a shower or t-shower on Monday.   These are the MODIS satellite pics. from Friday for Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.  Click on the pics. to enlarge.  You can see that it’s greened up – even up north where we’ve had morning lows below freezing.  Note the smoke south of L’Anse in the U.P. and the shrinking ice that is still left in Agawa Bay of Lake Superior.  The fire is a planned prescribed burn at Purple Wing.  Here’s a picture of the smoke from the ground.  Waves on the lake should be 6″ to 2 ft. for most of the weekend.   Elevated fire risk for Northern Lower Michigan.

Low temps. Sat. AM (hard freeze again for much of N. Michigan):  23 Spincich Lake and Raco (in the U.P.), 25 Leota (Clare Co.), 26 Alpena and Pellston, 27 Grayling, 28 Baldwin and Kalkaska, 30 Manistee, 31 Cadillac, 32 Reed City, 33 Ludington, 34 Big Rapids, 37 Muskegon, Fremont and Belding, 38 Hastings, 39 Three Rivers, 40 Grand Rapids, Ionia and Hudsonville, 41 Lansing, S. Haven, East G.R., 42 Kalamazoo, 43 Battle Creek, Holland, Kent City and Sparta.   On the east side of the state it got down to 28 at Port Huron, 29 in Caro and 30 at Lapeer.  Farther east:  39 Cleveland, 37 Pittsburgh, 34 Buffalo, 26 Watertown NY, 15.8 Mt. Washington NH.  Despite the cool – hot air balloons took off in W. NY. and Decatur AL.

Also:  More heavy rain coming for TX, OK.  May rainfall so far:  14.46″ Oklahoma City, 13.79″ Wichita Falls TX (wettest month ever), 12.68″ Corpus Christi TX, 8.43″ Amarillo (1.62″ on Fri.), 8.30″ Austin, 7.42″ Dallas, 6.73″ San Angelo, 5.79″ Houston, 4.68″ Del Rio.  Alpine, Texas tornado.    Fresh snow on the mountains of Colorado and WyomingSnowing Saturday AM in N. MaineSlowest ice melt ever in May so far in Greenland (not surprising with cold AMO).  It’s still winter on the coast of Greenland.  The high temperature in Fairbanks AK on Friday (78) was warmer than the high temperature in Las Vegas NV (74)…average is 64 for Fairbanks and 91 for Las Vegas.  Las Vegas had 0.14″ of rain.  6.9 Magnitude earthquake in the Solomon Islands (western Pacific) – no tsunami.   5.4 magnitude e-quake in Caliente NV – pretty deep.   Massive sinkhole on golf course (insert joke about a hole-in-one).  Snow in Quebec!


Rainfall over the Next Week

May 22nd, 2015 at 2:00 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

qpf   This is the 7-day rainfall forecast from the Weather Prediction Center for the next 7 days.  First, note the heavy rains (and flooding) continue in Oklahoma and Texas.  Significant rains (and high mountain snows) for Colorado and above average precipitation back all the way through Nevada with showers into the Sierra Mts. of California.  S. California and S. Arizona stay dry.  Note the tongue of moisture into Lower Michigan along a stalled front…where there will be several rounds of showers and storms starting Sunday PM.  The dry area on the East Coast will get hot, with mid 90s up to Washington D.C.  This pattern will provide ample rain for much of the Corn Belt.

Model update:  The GFS has highs starting today for G.R. of 67, 74, 75 and then upper 70s and low 80s each day from Mon. – Fri.  The model has a percent chance of rain at 2% today, 4% tomorrow and 44% Sunday PM.  Then 74% Monday, 71% Tuesday and 58% Wednesday.   The NAM model has highs of 64, 73 and 78 for G. R. the next 3 days and a 53% chance of rain Sunday PM.  The NAM takes G.R. to 38 (clear and calm) early Sat. – I still think most everybody escapes Sat. AM without significant or widespread frost., though it’ll be a close call.  Pockets of frost in low spots would not be impossible, esp. north of Kent Co.  If you survived Weds. AM – you should survive Sat. AM.

Here’s storm reports for the U.S. on Thurs. (not much).  The U.S. has had 8 tornado fatalities so far this year.  Through the end of May the total for 2014 was 44, for Jan. -May  2013 it was 66 and for Jan. – May 2012 it was 48.  No tornadoes in Michigan in 2015 (yearly average is 16) and just 14 severe reports (4 hail and 10 wind).   499 tornadoes have been reported so far this year in the U.S. (some of these are duplicate sightnings of the same tornado) and of those, 282 have been in just 3 states (KS, OK, TX).  Fortunately, this year most have been short-lived and in very rural areas.


Great Lakes Water Levels, Ice and News

May 22nd, 2015 at 12:12 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

Traverse Bay May 2015 Michelle Olin  Lake Superior Ice Cover 5 21 14 Modis Lake Superior Click on the pics. to enlarge.  The pic. on the left is Traverse Bay (from Michelle Olin).  In the middle we have the Great Lakes ice chart, which rounds up to 0.2% ice cover – that’s all in Lake Superior, where there is still an 0.4% ice cover.  The ice is in Agawa Bay.   On the right, you can see the ice that ‘s left on the MODIS Lake Superior satellite picture from Thurs. PM.

Lake Michigan/Huron is up 3″ in the last month, up 13″ in the past year and the lake is 5″ above the century average for May. Lake Superior is up 4″ in the last month, up 2″ in the last year and Superior is 7″ above the May average. Lake Erie is up 2″ in the last month, down 2″ in the last year and is at the same level as May 2014. Lake Ontario is up 7″ in the last month, down 13″ in the last year and is now 8″ below the century May average. Lake St. Clair is up 1″ in the last month, up 2″ in the last year and is 4″ above average.  Water flow down the St. Mary’s river from Lake Superior into Lake Huron, the flow down the St. Clair and Detroit Rivers from Lake Huron to Lake Erie and the flow down the Niagara River from Lake Erie to Lake Ontario are all expected to be above average into June.  The flow out of Lake Ontario into the St. Lawrence River is expected to be a little below average.

Also:  Concern over bird loss from wind turbines…uh oh, “stinky muck“…value of commercial fish from Lake Michigan up 5% in 2014Lake Huron/Michigan spring water level highest since 1998…”healthy” smelt run on Lake SuperiorMore on the Great Lakes Earthquake of May 2.

 


Chance Light Shower Toinght

May 21st, 2015 at 1:13 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Central Great Lakes sector loop

Thurs. Evening – You can see a line of light showers across N. Lake Michigan.  These showers are dropping southeast.  So, we’ll have a chance of a light shower tonight.  The odds of any one spot seeing a shower is maybe 30-40% and amounts would a less than 1/10th inch of you got any rain at all.

The weekend is looking a touch better.  Saturday will be partly to mostly sunny and dry.  The morning run of the models keep most of Sunday dry, and the best bet for a Sunday PM shower/t-shower would be north of Pentwater along the lake.  Any showers/t-storms on Monday will more scattered, but the odds of rain on Monday still look to be 60%.  Temperatures will be warming up for the weekend, too.  Look for highs in the mid 60s tomorrow, low-mid 70s Saturday and mid-upper 70s on Sunday and Monday.  Next week looks warmer and wetter than average with several rounds of showers and storms from Monday through the end of the week.

Grand Rapids, including today, is now +2.6 deg. for May.  That should fall to +2.3 after tomorrow.  There’s no doubt that this month will end with above average temperatures.  This is the first warmer than average month of 2015.  This is for Rocky. Extreme drought has been eradicated from Texas for the first time time since November 2010.  Texas stays wetter than average for the next couple weeks.   Video of funnel clouds in Italy.  Prelim M6.0 earthquake in the Solomon Islands.  Look at the thunderstorm “blow-up” just south of the Mexican border.   Epic sunset.

Also- Mineral Wells TX tornado rated EF1 – same as 7/6/14 twister on south side of G.R.   More heavy rain for Texas.  They’re using sandbags in Texas (so much for the climate-change permanent drought that some were forecasting for Texas).  Here’s one-year change in Drought Monitor.   10 confirmed tornadoes struck across north Texas on Tuesday – all small; three EF-1s, seven EF-0.  Horse in the middle of the tornado damage.  Whew!  Glad no one was in the passenger seat!    May rainfall above average over much of California (San Diego’s had more rain so far in May than they normally get from May-October), but drought continues.  However, biggest reservoir in CA well above level of 1977 drought.  31 this AM at S. Ste. Marie – another freeze.   Too closeAnother big one!   4.1-earthquake was felt in Northern California – north of San Francisco.

Links: Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Few Light Showers South Exit Later Tonight

May 20th, 2015 at 8:43 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Central Great Lakes sector loop

Early Thurs. The overnight light showers were south of a line from Saugatuck to south of Lansing.  Rainfall totaled just 0.01″ at Battle Creek and Jackson and 0.04″ at Benton Harbor.

On the Muskegon beach, the high temp. Weds. was 46.8 at 10 am.  The S. Haven beach had a high of 48.4 at noon.  Our clouds will thin out today.  There is an outside chance of a light shower Thurs. night.  The average high/low for G.R. is now 71/49.   Sunrise today (Thu.) at 6:14 am and sunset tomorrow at 9:05 pm.   The days are long in late May.

There is a Frost Advisory in effect his early morning for the counties along US 10 (Mason, Lake, Osceola and Clare) and a Freeze Warning for Northern Lower Michigan.

Links: Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Low Temps. this morning and more

May 20th, 2015 at 12:07 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

shn glerlapn glerl Here’s two midday pics. from the GLERL cameras at Alpena and S. Haven. Low temps. last night: 18 Doe Lake and Spincich Lake in the U.P. (that is cold for 5/20!), 22 Indian Lake (Northern L.P.), 23 Leota (Clare Co.), 24 Pellston and Manistique, 25 Cadillac, Baldwin and Iron Mt., 26 Beaver Is., 27 Manistee, Gaylord (where they had measurable snow yesterday evening), 29 Houghton Lake, Hart and Reed City, 31 Big Rapids, Ludington, Fremont, Sparta and Kent City, 32 Alma, 33 Mt. Pleasant, 34 Lansing, Jackson, Ionia, Albion, Charlotte, 35 Grand Rapids, East G.R., Kalamazoo, Muskegon, Benton Harbor, Allendale, Muskegon Beach and Coldwater, 36 S. Haven, Sturgis, Three Rivers, Hastings, Fennville, Grandville and Battle Creek. The warmest spot was the Regional Arpt. in Holland at 38. I don’t know how much damage was done to agricultural crops last night – or if we can determine that yet – but if you have an idea, let us know by leaving a comment.

The overnight run of the GFSX model gives G.R. a 0% chance of rain Saturday, 65% Sunday and 60% on Monday – as I’ve been saying – plan weekend outdoor activities on Saturday to guarantee dry weather.  The morning run of the NAM shows a chance of a light shower Thursday night, and highs in the mid 60s tomorrow and Friday.  The satellite pic. shows the clouds coming in for this PM.

Also:  It’s snowing AGAIN in the Black Hills of SDNice shot of mammatus cloudsSnow this morning in western Nebraska.  San Diego has had 2.35″ of rain so far this month – New York City only 0.32″.  2″ of rain in 30 minutes in Wichita Falls, TX.


Heaviest Rains Stay in the Plains

May 20th, 2015 at 1:29 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

hpc   Crop moisture  Click on the images to enlarge.  The graphic on the left is the 7-day rainfall forecast from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.  Our rainfall is coming pretty much on Sunday-Monday.  The heaviest rains are from Iowa down into Texas.  Heavy rainfall has already caused flooding in the Plains.  Note that there are significant rains in parts of the West, including dry areas of Utah, Nevada, Oregon and even parts of  California.  On the right is the Crop Moisture map…showing the soggy area from Texas north into Kansas.   Much of the country is in good shape moisture-wise as we head into the growing season.

Also:  The Northern Lights were visible in N. Wisconsin overnightAurora in Minnesota.  Hey!  Check out this cool 1-minute per pic. video of the storms developing in Texas Tues. PM.   27 Tornadoes in Texas and OK on Tues…Emergency mgmt reports “residential structures collapsed” in tiny hamlet of Boonsville TX…roofs off apartment buildings in Runaway Bay, TX.   Video of Mineral Wells TX tornado (after windshield cracked by hail).   Damage in Mineral Wells.  One injured in Giddings TX tornado.  Ryan OK tornadoFlooding in Norman OKAlmost double average rainfall this year in San Angelo TX.   It’s still winter in the mountains of British Columbia.   60 mph gust in Tallahassee FL.  Number of global hurricanes down since the mid 1990s, number of strong hurricanes is flat.   High temps. yesterday included  44 in Traverse City, 40 at S. Ste. Marie, 33 in Chaplean and Sudbury ONT, 41 in Cheyenne WY, 43 at Colorado Springs, North Platte NE and Goodland KS.