5:10 pm – Several heavy bands of snow, which you can see in the darker blue color. Over a foot fo snow has fallen from far nrothern Allegan Co. into E. Ottawa and Kent Co. We had a report of 11″ from Oshtemo, west of Kalamazoo, where there was a car/train accident. Roads are snow covered and slippery and traffic moves slowly when you get in heavy snow showers.
Over 400 schools closed this morning – including G.R., Kalamazoo and Grand Valley St. Univ. At my house, I’ve got 13.5″ of new snow on the bird bath and it’s still coming down – . Lots of snow overhanging my gutter on the east side of the house.
This is the coldest morning in the U.S. in November since 1976!! It was snowing as far south as Columbus, Georgia this morning. It’s in the upper 20s this am in northwest Florida. Lake-effect snow and snow showers continue today. Under the dominant bands, you could see 12-18″ of accumulation with drifts easily over 2 feet by the time this winds down. Even areas outside the band are getting 6″-plus with lighter amounts east and southeast of Battle Creek and from Montcalm Co. to the northeast. Here’s the GRR NWS discussion. Weds. AM a dominant SSW band of lake-effect snow will form from Grand Haven north into Muskegon, Oceana and Mason Counties (maybe W. Newaygo Co. and could drop +6″. The band will weaken and shift east as the wind goes more westerly in the afternoon. Snow flurries could last into Friday AM. We will warm enough to get rain showers over the weekend, with an outside chance of a brief period of freezing rain on Sat. before it gets above 32 degrees.
Grand Rapids has had 3.6% sunshine in the last week and only 12.1% sunshine in the last 2 weeks. The mid-Lake Michigan buoy is still out there and it shows a water temp. of 44 degrees. The north Lake Michigan buoy is at 43.4 deg. and both the east and mid-Lake Superior buoys show a water temp. of 39.4 deg. G.R. has now had six consecutive days with high temps. in the low-mid 30s (average high is 47).
This snow is all lake-effect – very dry air mass over most of the U.S. Unseasonably cold day across most of the country. Check out the record cold temperatures! For date of Nov 18th, this is coldest, earliest in month since at least 1958. HRRR model at 8 am Tues forecasts CONUS (Lower 48) temp of 20.0°F –> coldest in records back to 1979 for entire November. 20°F forecast for Tues. morning for CONUS Lower 48 average would be lowest for month of November since Nov 29-30, 1976 –> 38 yrs!! Now a full 3°C below 1981-2010 climate normal for CONUS Lower 48 average temperature for month-to-date November! Thundersnow!!
Check out the links below:
Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast (totals increased on the Sat. overnight model run). Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indian radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map.
I’ve been saying that we’ll have some schools closed on Tues. The NAM (car) model has a temp. of 22.5 Tues. AM (and it stays in the low 20s all day), a west wind off the lake at 24 mph, snow plus blowing and drifting snow. The NAM forecasts 2.3″ for G.R. (airport) tonight/tomorrow..another inch Monday and an additional 8″ from Monday night into Tuesday night. The GFS3 has less with a total of 5″ thru Weds. for the airport. In any case, they’ll be enough snow to drift around in the brisk winds from late Mon. thru Weds. t’hat model also has a temp. of +1° for G.R. next Sat. morning. The European model has 0.43″ total precipitation thru Thurs. for G.R. That’d be 7-8″ of total snowfall, with enough wind for some 1-2 foot drifts.