Bill’s Blog

Giraffe and Funnel Cloud

September 16th, 2014 at 9:42 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

Giraffe with Funnel Cloud WPTV facebook Lion Country Safari picture 2   Giraffe with Funnel Cloud WPTV facebook Lion County Safari Funnel Cloud WPTV Florida facebook Lion Country Safari These pictures are from Ashleigh at Lion Country Safari and the WPTV facebook page in West Palm Beach, Florida.  It’s not every day you get to see a giraffe and a funnel cloud in the same pic.  Check out the severe weather reports from today (Tue.).  Moisture from Hurricane Odile triggered some storms in S. California.  Look at all the lightning around San Diego this PM.  Flooding at Wildomar CARadar shows heavy rain.  A tree fell on a school bus in Spring Valley CA.  Trees and wires were down in Riverside and San Diego Counties and 1″ hail was reported at Joshua Tree CA.  Flooding trapped one person in a vehicle.   Check out these videos of the storm.


Dry Weather for Much of the Rest of the Week

September 15th, 2014 at 11:27 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

muskegon glerl   This pretty picture taken shortly after sunset Monday is from the Muskegon GLERL camera (from NOAA Coastwatch).

The Tues. AM run of the European gives G.R. a chance of showers and storms from Friday evening thru Sunday AM with 0.89″ total, much of it coming during the day on Saturday.   The GFSX is a little slower and it gives G.R. a high of 80 on Saturday.     The last 7 days have been chilly-cold for much of N. America.

Also:  5.6-magnitude earthquake 27 miles NE of Tokyo, JapanPhilippine volcano ready to erupt – thousands evacuated.   Odile now a tropical storm…will be just a depression when it moves into Arizona, but significant rain and flooding are likely, mainly in SE AZ and New Mexico.  Odile did produce a gust to 104 mph near Cabo San Lucas.    10 years ago – Hurricane Ivan, peak winds of 145 mph! – overall the Atlantic hurricane seasons have been unusually quiet since 2005.  100 structures burn in wildfire near Weed, CA. (note at link that gas is $4.01 a gallon there)  Map of Western wildfires.   2014 is 2nd lowest in the last 10 years for both the number of wildfires and the number of acres burned.   Finally, how about this for a NYC sunset.


Waterspout on Lake Michigan

September 15th, 2014 at 7:29 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Waterspout Lake Michigan 9 15 14 near Holland Ryan Tevelde   funnel - cold air over Lake Michigan 9 15 14 Michelle Gibson near S. HavenWaterspout Joanne Steward Holland 9 15 14 watermarked Click on the pictures to enlarge.  These pictures of waterspouts over Lake Michigan are from Ryan Tevelde (left), who was out fishing…Michelle Gibson (center picture)  near S. Haven  and Joanne Stewart (picture on the right).  The  waterspout (pictured on the left and right) on Lake Michigan just west of Holland, Michigan was around 6 pm.   We had scattered showers in the area (no thunder).  If you watched me between 5 pm and 6 pm – I tracked this particular cell – showing a small area of little yellow (moderate rain) on the radar.  I noted that while the rest of the showers and the general rain area were moving west to east – this particular cell was moving NW to SE.   If anyone else got a pic. of the waterspout, we’d like to see your pic.  You can email it to newsroom@woodtv.com or bill.steffen@woodtv. com or like Joanne – you can use ReportIt at www.woodtv.com.  Thanks, Joanne, Michelle and Ryan.

Also- check out this lightning pic.   Here’s a waterspout off Pensacola Monday PM.


Monday PM Showers

September 15th, 2014 at 10:09 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  6:55 PM – Light rain off and on for several more hours.  The rain will be mainly east of US 127 by midnight.  We may see some patchy fog develop after midnight.  The sun will be back tomorrow.  There may be some showers passing across the U.P. and northern Lower Michigan midweek, but Southern Michigan may stay dry until Saturday night.  The average high temperature is 74 for mid-September.  Over the past 5 days, we’ve had highs of 60-59-61-64-63…including 2 days in a row with a general south wind.

Also, while a cool trough sits over much of the Lower 48 states, a strong ridge over Alaska pushed the Sunday pm temperature to 78° in Fairbanks!

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar. See the Slight Risk Area in a thread below this one for today/tonight. Lots of 2-4″ rainfall totals in Iowa. Storm Total Rainfall will show the heaviest rain and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. Lots of links below. Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the late. st Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort in the U.P. Here’s the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.


Umbrella for Monday

September 14th, 2014 at 5:25 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

umbrella with Alex    Keep the umbrella handy today.  Showers are likely.  .  The NAM (car.) would hold the rain off for much of the area for the morning commute, but rain should develop in most areas by midday. It might take a little longer for the rain to start SE of Kent Co.  The Sundasy run of the NAM (car.) gives G.R. 0.35″ of rain..and an average of about 1/4″ to the area.   The GFS-plot has a weaker (prob. too weak) 0.05″ for G.R. (but 0.57″ for Ludington).  The GFS-plot also has another 0.78″ from Friday night into early next Sunday.  The models have highs in the low-mid 60s today with the GFS gradually warming us up to the low 70s by next weekend.   The European model has 0.20″ for G.R. on Monday and another 0.58″ from Friday night to Saturday night (Sunday would be the brighter half of next weekend).  The European would take us back to 70 degrees Thurs. PM.  (picture by Michelle Olin).

Also, severe flooding near Srinager, India…Tampa Bay NFL game delayed by lightningLions playoff hopes delayed by CarolinaTigers win!  Another homer for Martinez.  Antarctic sea ice expands to all-time (satellite era) record extent…pictures of the Northern Lights this week here and herehalf a dozen hail reports NE of Denver Sunday PM….a giraffe and a funnel cloud.

And (from Chicago NWS and John Gehr):  The recent streak on September 11-13 of days with highs in the 50s in Chicago was the earliest streak of three consecutive days or more with highs less than 60 degrees on record. Records in Chicago go back to 1871. Overall…it was only the 23rd time such a streak has occurred in the month of September. The longest streak was 6 consecutive days back in 1875 from 9/17 until 9/22.    September 11: 56° new record low for the date. Previous: 61° in 1940   September 12: 55°     September 13: 59°


More floods in the Southwest

September 14th, 2014 at 5:04 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

  Hurricane Odile is (as I write this) a Category 4 storm with peak winds of 125-130 mph.  It is probably at its peak now and will slowly weaken as it move along he west coast of the Baja Peninsula.  This is a major storm that will produce strong winds and very heavy rain over the southern Baja.  Moisture from this storm will move into S. California and Arizona, where significant rain and some flooding will occur next weekend.  Here’s the forecast trackforecast advisory, public discussion, map of anticipated strong winds, SW U.S. radar, latest Funktop satellite loop, visible satellite loop, radar for southern Baja (Los Cabos) and the latest forecast discussion from NWS Phoenix AZ.

Edouard is a hurricane out in the central Atlantic.  It is no threat to land and will eventually weaken as it moves northeast into cooler water.  We are past the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season (Sept. 10) with relatively little damage from storms in Central and North America.

Typhoon Kalmaegi batters the Philippines and heads toward S. China and N. Vietnam.


Frost Advisory

September 13th, 2014 at 3:08 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

frost advisory   Click the graphic to enlarge.   It’s a little early for this.  The National Weather Service has issued a Frost Advisory for Mason, Lake, Newaygo, Mecosta, Isabella, Osceola and Clare Counties.  Skies will be mostly clear tonight.  Urban areas will dip to the upper 30s to near 40, while cold spots, mainly to the north of Kent County will see temperatures down to the low 30s with scattered frost.  We’ll also have patchy fog during the early morning.  At midnight, it’s already down to 33 at Cadillac and Houghton Lake and 37 at Ludington.  The skies are mostly clear, but (as I write this) no northern lights (aurora).    It’ll be mostly sunny Sunday pm with a period of light rain on Monday. (image from the National Weather Service).

The overnight run of the NAM (Caribou) gives G.R. an early morning low this Sunday of 36° and a high this afternoon of 62°.  Monday morning’s low is 42° with a high of 63°.  The NAM gives G.R. 0.09″ of rain.  Tuesday’s high and low on the NAM for G.R. is 40° and 64°.

McAllen, Texas has received 4.33″ of rain since Friday morning, more rain than they received from June through August!


Saturday

September 13th, 2014 at 10:22 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

radar  adds  muskegon glerlshn glerl Saturday 10:20 am – The rain has ended, except for a band of lake-effect light rainshowers that comes onshore in far SW Allegan and Van Buren Co. and extends down to the Indiana border (radar pic. on the left is at 10:10 am).  That band will shrink and die out as drier air works in during the midday.  It’s not impossible that there could be a waterspout out over the lake until the band dissipates.  The second image is a satellite view, showing skies have become partly sunny over a good portion of West Michigan.  We’ll stay partly sunny thru mid-afternoon and become mostly clear toward late afternoon.  The 3rd and 4th images are pictures from mid-morning from the GLERL cameras at Muskegon (showing calmer water because of the NNE wind with some boats out and then South Haven, where the north wind is producing bigger waves that are crashing over the breakwater.  At 10 pm, the temperature was an even 50 in G.R.  Cadillac was 44, so this north wind will keep us quite cool (for Sept. 13th) today.  Rainfall last night was heaviest north of G.R., where Reed City had 0.72″ and Mt. Pleasant 0.70″.  Grand Rapids had 0.30″ and just a trace to a few hundredths of an inch fell south/southeast of Battle Creek.  Here’s more rainfall totals for W. MichiganNo severe thunderstorms for the U.S. over the next several days.  There were no severe weather reports anywhere in the U.S. yesterdayOverall dry pattern for the next week from S. Michigan to Tennessee.  We’ll get some light rain showers on Monday.  Forecast rainfall amounts on Monday for G.R.:   GFS-plot 0.02″, European 0.03″, NAM (caribou) 0.37″ (NAM is often the highest of the 3 totals).  This is the only rain now thru next Thurs.  While the GFS does take G.R.’s high temps. back to the low 70s by Thursday, the European keeps us cool, with lows for G.R. next Friday AM in the mid 30s.   Heavy rains are likely in Florida and along the Gulf Coast.  Moisture from Tropical Storm Odile will produce significant rain once again in Arizona and S. California.  The drought in Central California continues.  Crops there are irrigated.   Overall this has been a very good year for agriculture in the U.S.

Cold air covers a large section of the central U.S.  Here’s some record low temperatures for the U.S.  Here’s a map of low temperatures last night (37 in Moline IL and Kirksville MO – 35 in Dodge City KS – 19 W. Yellowstone MT.)  Rapid City SD had a high temperature of 39 on Thursday – their average high for the date is 78!  It was a chilly  Up to 20″ of snow fell in Wyoming.  College Station, TX received 3.60 inches of rain on Friday, more than they typically receive in all of September!   Memphis, TN received 4.45″ of rain on Thursday, 1.36″ more than they typically receive in all of September!  Is The Weather Channel for sale?

I’m a guest auctioneer at the Pierce Cedar Creek Institute Late Summer Night Auction tonight (on Cloverdale south of Hastings).  We’ll have a behind the scenes tour of WOOD up for auction and 100 other items.  We had a segment on the auction on 8West this week.


Rain for Friday Football Frenzy

September 12th, 2014 at 12:16 pm by under Bill's Blog, Sports, Weather

football frenzy game   Showers will spread from NW to SE during the late afternoon and evening.  The morning run of the NAM (caribou) has the rain in G.R. mainly falls between 5 pm and 7 am tomorrow morning.  It has rain reaching Kalamazoo by around 8-9 pm.  Plan on taking the ponchos and rain gear if you’re headed out to a game this Friday evening.  The NAM (car.) gives us 1/4 to 3/5ths inch of rain tonight.  It’s east of us by around 10 am Saturday with the sun coming out Sat. PM.  The model also gives G.R. a low of 36 Sunday morning, so we may be looking at Frost Advisories for Sat. night.  We’re going to cover 21 games tonight, inc. Lowell/East G.R., Mona Shores/Rockford and Portage Northern/St. Joseph.

Frost and freeze in parts of the U.P. this AM – morning lows:  33 Marquette, 31 Houghton, 29 Watersmeet, 28 Doe Lake, 26 Kenton.  A mix of rain and snow last night at Ironwood.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar. See the Slight Risk Area in a thread below this one for today/tonight. Lots of 2-4″ rainfall totals in Iowa. Storm Total Rainfall will show the heaviest rain and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. Lots of links below. Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the late. st Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort in the U.P. Here’s the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. Here’s Closings.


Lakes Michigan/Huron now ABOVE average water level

September 11th, 2014 at 7:41 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

Flooding Marquette 9 10 14   This picture from www.uppermichiganssource.com is Lakeshore Boulevard in Marquette today.  The combination of strong north winds and rising Lake Superior water levels caused waves to crash over the boulder-wall and onto the roadway Thursday morning.  More pictures and video here.

The water level of Lake Superior is up 1″ in the last month (at a time when the lake often loses water) and is now up 8″ in the past year.  Superior is now 7″ higher than the long-term average water level.  The water level of Lake Michigan/Huron (one lake for lake level purposes) is up another inch in the last week and (drum roll) the water level is now one inch ABOVE the average September lake level!  Get this…Lake Michigan/Huron is now 19 inches higher than it was one year ago, an unprecedented 12-month increase!  That’s a gain of 7.41 trillion gallons of water in just 12 months.  Lake Huron has gained 7.6 trillion gallons of water in the past year, Lake Superior 4.4 trillion gallons and Lake Erie 1.02 trillion gallons.  That’s a total gain of 20.4 TRILLION gallons of water to the Great Lakes in just 12 months!   Lake Erie is 6″ higher than it was one year ago and 6″ above the average water level.  Lake Ontario is unchanged in the last year and 3″ above the average water level.  Lake St Clair is up 11″ year-to-year and is 7″ above the September average level.   Quite the opposite from this article (press release) that came out only 2 1/2 months ago.

Also:  Carp Attack!   Surf’s UpKayaker from Brazil goes over Tahquamenon FallsMinnesota tackles zebra musselsShipwreck discovered.   The water temperature at buoy just off Ludington dropped 11 degrees in the last 24 hours, from 69 to 58.  It’ll continue to go down with the N-NE winds continuing.