Here’s the 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for Jan. 29 through Feb. 4. If I’m the groundhog, I’d be thinking about staying my my burrow and sleeping off the Super Bowl Party! The dark blue means that CPC is pretty darn sure that it’s going to be chilly. It’s a continuation of the persistent pattern of ridge (warmer than average air) in the West and trough (cooler than average air) east of the Rockies. Even if the storm track is suppressed to our south and east, we’ll be susceptible to lake-effect snow and an occasional light accumulations from mostly weak disturbances in the northwest flow. This year winter may not end until the fat snowman sings…or melts. The GFS model for Feb. 1-6 is showing the Polar Express will be chuggin’ down the track into the Continental U.S. (does South Florida escape the Arctic air again?). The European model has -40 air centered just north-northeast of Michigan. Here’s the European showing the path of the clipper snow for Sunday across SW Michigan.
On the other side of the coin – The temperature hit a scorching 117 F in Morawa & Leonora, Australia today. Volcano explodes in Mexico. Heavy rain in SE Alaska…followed by much colder air. Surfing in Alaska…in January! Up to a foot of snow for parts of New Mexico, S. Colorado and far NW Texas. Note the red color on this map…showing the air coming south down the western Gulf of Mexico and squeezing through the mountains out into the Pacific Ocean. Heckuva carbon footprint. CO2 emissions falling in the U.S., falling in Europe, falling in Japan, rising in India, skyrocketing in China. Snow on the castle in Segovia, Spain. Twin waterspouts off of Yeppoon, Australia. Heckuva snowstorm for the Texas Panhandle – 3″/hour snowfall rates! Amarillo, Texas has had a foot of snow and still coming!