Bill’s Blog

MODIS Satellite Pictures

April 17th, 2014 at 12:13 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

modis lake michigan  modis lake superior modis lake huron   modis lake ontariomodis lake erie These are the MODIS satellite pictures from Weds. (Lake Superior is from Tuesday – clouds and a snowstorm there on Weds).  Pics. from NOAA Coastwatch.  First, there is STILL some ice west of Ottawa and Allegan Counties!  Note on the Lake Ontario picture the snow on the Tug Plateau east of the lake.  There’s still a fair amount of ice on Lake Superior and some ice left on Erie and Huron.  This is the most ice on the Great Lakes this early in winter.  The NOAA Coastwatch Analysis on 4/15 showed a Great Lakes ice cover of 39%.   Lake Michigan is still at 21%.   Several new threads from Weds. evening below, read on if you have the time…      Also, the eclipse viewed from Canada.   From the Storm Prediction Center – Severe Weather Next Week:  “THE HIGHEST SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE CENTERED AROUND D8/WED OVER THE GREAT PLAINS.”


From Tennessee

April 16th, 2014 at 11:07 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

dogwood blossom   redbud blossom  11 pm Weds.   I’m sitting in the Krystal in Oak Ridge, TN where they have an internet connection – (my mother does not) – ordered the 5 for 5$. My mother and wife went to sleep early, so here I sit. We left Grand Rapids and 22° this morning.  Bought gas in Indiana at $3.52…it was breezy and cold while I was pumpin’ the gas…in the 30s.  It was 47 by the time we hit Cincinnati and a 25-minute traffic jam for a relatively minor fender bender.  The lanes are pretty close together and when you’ve got semis on either side of you, you have to pay attention.  Mid 50s when we got to Oak Ridge.  We saw snow on the north side of hills all the way to Fort Wayne…first blossoms I saw were on the south side of Dayton.  I think it’s the ornamental Bradford Pears that are blooming in urban areas of N. Kentucky down to Lexington – very nice.  First hyacinth I saw was in Van Wert, Ohio.  We have these beautiful dogwoods and redbuds out in E. Tennessee, along with lots of flowers.  It’ll be 60s here tomorrow, maybe 70 on Friday and in the 70s for the weekend.  My 94-year old (95 in July) mother insisted on doing Easter dinner – traditional ham.  We’ll plead to help and she’ll eventually relent, but she loves having the family over.  My sister and her husband insisted on playing golf at least once.  They play 12-months of the year…40 deg. in January and they’ll go out once a week.  I played once last year and twice the year before that.  It wasn’t a pretty sight.  Gas is $3.45 in Oak Ridge…lots of stations here, very competitive.

Model data:  The evening run of the NAM (Caribou) as the following low/high temps. starting Thurs. AM:  29/62/39/53/28/62.

Posts may be a little more rare since I’m down here and want to concentrate on mom…what she needs done and what she wants to do.  I won’t be spending as much time watching weather (except for the spring weather and sunshine down here).  My best to all our blog readers and commentors.


No Heavy Rain – Floodwaters Will Recede

April 16th, 2014 at 9:58 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

muskegon river evart    muskegon river flood Click on the pictures to enlarge.  More pictures here.   This is the Muskegon River – the first picture is near Evart and the second is in Newaygo Co.  Here’s current Michigan streamflow.  As I write this, it looks like the Muskegon River at Evart has dropped about 2″ off their record – the volume of water is about four times average volume – a lot of water.   The river is also falling at Croton (down about 6″.  This was a significant flood in Croton and downstream, but not nearly as great as the flood of 1986.  The Pere Marquette River at Scottville peaked early Wednesday at nearly 5,000 cubic feet per second.  The Grand River had a second peak crest at Ionia Weds. and should continue a slow fall.  The level in downtown Grand Rapids is at 9.8 feet – high, but not a problem.   Check this map for a quick look at the latest level – black dots indicate high levels.


Gas Price Update

April 16th, 2014 at 8:24 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

gas prices

Here’s the latest from Ed:  “Tuesday, April 15, 2014, 9:00PM:  Despite the fact that ethanol prices are back under control, Monday’s price hike had the same flavor as other recent hikes.  That means that the price to retailers still has an ethanol premium included, or those red colored stations are pricing gas pretending that ethanol is still a problem and hoping we just live with it.  A clue that it may be the latter was the curious behavior in prices along Lake Michigan Drive the past two days.  While prices in Grand Rapids were popping to $3.89 everywhere, the Family Fare at Collindale held in the low $3.60′s, and Speedway was forced to follow.  Tuesday morning, they still had those prices, as did the Marathon down the road in Standale.  GoLo there was at $3.79, though, and at 3PM today as I drove by, Speedway and Marathon decided to try $3.85.  They’ll be back to at $3.79 or lower tomorrow, and we see this sort of behavior when there is a lot of room for prices to move, as I think there is right now.  I am calculating a price to retailers of about $3.54 right now.  The easy prediction recently has been “expect another hike”, although my math models don’t quite say that.  In these times, we sit back and watch.” — Ed A.

Bill adds:  Gas is $3.45 where I am in Oak Ridge, TN.


Another Snowstorm for Michigan!

April 16th, 2014 at 4:48 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Advisory   New Snow:  15.1″ North Branch MN, 13.5″ Grantsburg MN, 10″ Sawyer WI, 6″ Ironwood and Wakefield MI.  Check out Elk River MN…and near Colorado Springs…and Duluth MN.  Here’s the WRF model showing the same thing.  Grand Marais still has 40″ of snow on the ground.  Houghton had a high temperature of just 23° on Tuesday.  Lake Superior is still over 60% ice covered!  On Tuesday, the Great Lakes still had a 39% ice cover!  Lake Michigan had a 21% ice cover yesterday – the highest ever this late in the season.   Check out Tiger Stadium Tues. AMFreeze Warnings this Weds. AM go almost all the way to the Gulf of Mexico!  Rochester NY was 48° colder than they were 24 hours ago!

Low temperatures Weds. morning:  22° GRR, MKG, Kalamazoo…21 Coldwater, Battle Creek, 20° Big Rapids.  Marquette dipped to  -5°  this morning – the latest they have ever had a below zero reading!  They broke their daily record by 12°  The coldest spot in the U.P. was Spincich Lake with a low of -9°.  That’s outrageously cold for 4/16 in Michigan!  It was the coldest April 15th ever over much of Lower Michigan, with record low maximum temperatures of 35° in G.R., 33° in Muskegon and 34° in Flint.  It was a record low maximum of 40° in Indianapolis and Dayton, where they also a daily record for snowfall at 1.1″.      Boston had a high temperature of 68° Tuesday – 12 hours later it’s sleeting there.  Washington D.C. had a high of 72°, then in the late evening, this is what happenedNew York was getting accumlating snow overnight, so is Baltimore.  Thunderstorms brought wind damage to central Florida Tues. PMLandslide destroys six buildings in Quebec.   A good example of correlation without causation.

Weds. AM – Consumers Energy is down to 412 customers without power statewide with the most in Ogemaw (187) and Newaygo (120).  Some customers may have had the electricity shut off because of floodwaters.  From a statewide peak of 150,000 customers without power and the strong wind that knocked out another 16,000 Monday AM – that’s quite a quick recovery.  Additional crews were brought in from IN and OH.

Here’s the latest Flood Warnings.  The Muskegon River at Evart set an all-time record.  The level of 16 feet and a flow of 10,400 cubic feet per second is 4 1/2 times the average flow for mid-April.    Significant flooding is occurring on the Muskegon, White, Chippewa and Pere Marquette Rivers.  Here’s where you can look up streamflow on Michigan Rivers.  The Rogue River at Rockford has crested.  It did get above flood stage.  The White River at Whitehall crested about 9″ above flood stage.  The Grand River crest is close to Ionia.


Another Eclipse in October

April 16th, 2014 at 4:08 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

lunar eclipse nbc   For those of you who missed it (which is most of you – it was cloudy over much of Lower Michigan, and it was from 3-4 am) here’s the lunar eclipse (from NBC).  Here’s a pic. from www.spaceweather.com.  The moon passes through the Earth’s shadow, turning a faint reddish color.  The moon doesn’t totally disappear as some light (the red light has the longest wavelength) does manage to reach the moon during the eclipse).  We have another lunar eclipse coming on Oct. 8.   We also have two nice eclipses coming next near on 4/4 and 9/28.    In the meantime, where is still the very nearly full “Pink Moon” of April to see.  Here’s this week’s Sky at a Glance.   Saturn will be close to the moon tonight (Weds. night).  They will rise and set together.  Mars is relatively bright right now and as near to the Earth as it gets over a six-year period.   Look for Mars in the SE sky during the evening.  It’s due south shortly after midnight.  Venus shines brightly in the early morning.  Jupiter is high in the SW sky during the early evening and sets to the west around 2 am.  Here’s when you can see the Intl. Space Station.


Dry Weds.

April 14th, 2014 at 8:07 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local  Weds.  am – Dry today  New snow Monday night:  3.5″Allendale,  3″ Grandville and Walker, 2″ Grand Rapids, 1.5″ Kalamazoo.   Grand Marais in the U.P. had 8″ of new snow and they are back to 41″ of snow on the ground!!  Detroit and Flint have now had their snowiest winters ever!  The temperature Tues. morning got to +3° in Marquette, -2° in Champion and -3° in Kenton.   The Muskegon River at Evart is at an all-time record 16.0 foot flood stage.  Consumers Energy is down to 412 customers without power..  Season snowfall in G.R. up to 116.0″.    The average high/low for today is 58°/37°.   Clouds prevented most of us from seeing the total lunar eclipse.     Cold start to Tuesday over much of the country, with some record lows in the South.  Waco, Texas tied their latest freeze ever with 31° this morning.  It was 19°in Marfa, TX, 23° at Hebron OK, 11° at Sioux Falls, SD -7° at Land ‘O’ Lakes WI, and north of Lake Superior, Landsdown House, Ontario reached -21°F!  Monday, Chicago had a high temp over 60ºF AND more than 0.5″ of new snow in the same day for the first time ever recorded.   On April 12, Antarctic sea ice area was above normal by an area almost as large as Alaska, and the highest on record for any April 12.  Global sea ice well above average…could reach highest since 1996.  A citrus-greening disease is ravaging trees in Florida, the world’s second-biggest orange grower.  Orange-juice futures climbed 7.2 percent last week on ICE Futures U.S. in New York, after the USDA projected this season’s Florida orange crop will be the smallest in 29 years.   Atlanta hits 3 home runs in a row in the 8th…wild game 12 runs scored in the last inning and a half.

Updated season snowfall totals:  Grand Rapids 116.0″, Muskegon 132.7″, Lansing 69.1″, Kalamazoo 115.3″.    On April 14th, Grand Rapids had both a high temperature of 65° AND a record daily snowfall – on the same day!

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.


Monday – Rain, Local Flooding, Colder

April 13th, 2014 at 3:45 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Local   First this message from the GRR NWS:  ” I just got this from Jim Maczko, our Warning Coordination Meteorologist:  Based on photographic evidence, radar data, video and media, Emergency damage assessments – damage caused by the storm on April 12th in Muskegon, Newaygo, Kent (other counties impacted by the same storm) was the result of straight-line wind damage equivalent to EF-0 on the Wind Damage Scale. We estimate from witness reports we have seen/heard, the strongest wind lasted between 3 and 5 minutes and peaked at an estimated 75-85 mph for a large portion of that 3-5 minutes. Damage seen throughout the path of this storm is consistent with what is typically seen from winds gusting to 75 to 85 mph for that long a period of time.”  

Monday  12:50 pm   Model update – snow totals for tonight – first number is NAM caribou and 2nd is GFS caribou:  Grand Rapids 2.3″, 0.9″…Lansing 2.7″, 3.1″…Jackson 2.5″, 3.4″…Muskegon 0.6″, 0.6″…Mt. Pleasant 2.4″, 2.8″…Big Rapids 0.5″, 1.1″…Pontiac 1.8″, 6.0″.

  Grand Rapids is down from 62° to 39° since 6 am.  Peak gusts:  48 mph G.R., 45 mph Ionia and Holland, 40 mph Muskegon and Holland.   There is still a chance of a shower south of a line from Saugatuck to G.R. to Alma.  It’s snowing (visibility 3/4 mi. at Ludington with a temp. of 32°.  Moderate to heavy snow is falling up at Frankfort.   Pentwater has had 5.5″ of rain in the last 48 hours, 5.42″ SW of Fremont, 4.87″ Hart, 4.87″ Big Rapids, 4.25″ was reported in Scottville, 4.24″ Croton,  3.62″ in Summit Twp./Mason Co. where there was wind damage, 3.96″ Newaygo, 1.76″ Sparta.  Some evacuations along the Muskegon and Manistee Rivers and along Lake Mitchell in Cadillac.  The Muskegon River is higher than it was last spring.  The river is expected to rise another 4-5″ at Croton.  There are many roads either closed or that have water going over them from Oceana and N. Newaygo Co. almost up to Traverse City  Very cold air coming…it’s 22° with a strong north wind at Houghton.  The puddles are all going to freeze this evening.  Plus, we have a little shot of light snow (maybe an inch) that will ice up roads this evening/tonight.  Much of the U.P. has had 3-6″ of new snow.  Snow depth is back up to 34″ at Grand Marais, 25″ Munising and 20″ at Marquette (airport).  We again have record ice for this date on both Lake Michigan and the Great Lakes combined.  Consumers Power update:  44, 794 without power.  Here’s the percent of customers in each county without power:  Montcalm 21.6%, Mecosta 21.3%, Muskegon 8.3%, Newaygo 8.1%, Oceana 5.5%, Kent 1.9%.   Here’s  Grand Rapids radar and regional radar.  Rain/Showers, mostly AM – may change to a flurry late.  Temps. will be falling.   We go to -14°C at 850mb by Tues. AM – that’s cold for mid-April!  Fortunately, it’s a quick shot of the cold and temps. warm back up closer to average by Weds. PM/Thurs.   Flood Warnings continue for Muskegon, Newaygo, Oceana, Montcalm, Mecosta, Isabella, Mason, Lake, Osceola, Clare  and Gratiot Counties.  Flood Advisories are in effect for Mason, Lake, Osceola and Clare Counties.  Flood Warnings have now been posted for the Grand River at Comstock Park (expected to go to 12.5 feet – half a foot above flood stage and the Pere Mqt. River at Scottville, expected to go to 6.5 feet or 1 foot above flood stage.  We also continue to Flood Watch.   Water is topping the dam at Barryton on the Chippewa River and water is being released, causing significant rises to the river downstream. Pretty much unrelated to the rain that’s been mostly north of I-96, there is a Flood Warning for the Portage River at Vicksburg which is near Flood Stage.  Muskegon, Newaygo and Oceana Co. all reports some roads are underwater.   Check river levels here.

Peak gust 57 mph Muskegon, 49 mph Alma, 43 mph Fremont, 38 mph Big Rapids.  It looks like there were many spots from Muskegon Co. east that had winds of 60-90 mph.  Rainfall as of Sunday AM:  4.00″ Fremont, 3.82″ Montague, 3.48″ Hersey, 3.6″ Ferry, 3.46″ Ludington, 3.36″ Pentwater, 3.18″, Big Rapids, 2.78″ Harrison, 2.78″ Clare, 2.63″ Newaygo, 2.5″ Vestaburg, 2.44″ Leota, 2.41″ Grant, 2.18″ Wellston,  2.17″, 2.02″ Lake City, 2.02″ Cadillac,  Baldwin, 1.77″ Shepherd,  1.67″ Mt. Pleasant, 1.53″ Houghton Lake, 1.25″ Comstock Park, 1.00 Breckenridge, 0.74″ Nunica, 0.72″ Spring Lake, 0.30″ Holland.    Here’s the percent of each county without power (Consumers Energy) as shortly after midnight Monday:  Total without power 44,000 (down from 101,000).  Percent without power:  Mecosta 36%, Montcalm 23%, Muskegon and Newaygo both 11%, Oceana 6%, Kent 2%.      Leave a comment if you get any severe weather or if you can leave a rainfall total, we’d appreciate that.  Here’s the WOOD closing list.  Here’s the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, which is pretty good.  Here’s storm reports from West Michigan. Lots of links below.   Here’s a roof blown across a road.   Michigan is in the General Thunderstorm Outlook for late this PM and tonight.

Model update:  All models have the bulk of the rain out of here by around 9 am.  The NAM has 2.3″ of snow for G.R. Monday night and the GFS-plot has around an inch (probably better).  Things freeze up Monday night – so watch for icy roads.  Tuesday’s going to be a cold day.  Both the NAM (car.) and GFS-plot have afternoon temps. Tues. in the low 30s…then upper 40s Weds. and upper 50s  Thurs.  There’s still 21% ice on Lake Michigan.  There’s still a 45% ice cover on the Great Lakes (mostly Lake Superior).  Here’s North American snow cover.   Here’s the GFS snowfall forecast .

The NAM model is still trying to print out a band of 2-5″ of snow from Coldwater to Flint Monday evening/night.  The U.P. gets another snowstorm.   Snow cover this Sun. AM was down to 30″ at Calumet, 27″ at Mohawk, 22″ at Munising, 19″ Newberry, 18″ Big Bay, 17″ Marquette (airport), 11″ S. Ste. Marie, 6″ in the woods at Gaylord.  Here’s the Snowman Cam at Krupp’s Resort in the U.P.

Could be the latest spring freeze ever over parts of N. Texas.   Lightning over Lake Michigan Sat. Night.   At 7 PM – Denver, CO is 24°, heavy snow, wind gusting to 35 mph.  Yesterday they were 76°.   At 4 pm Sunday, the average temperature of the Lower 48 states was 59° – nine degrees cooler than it was 24 hours ago.   Snowstorm in Nebraska.

Links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s regional radar, the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, GFS snowfall for the next 120 hours and NAM model snowfall for the next 84 hours. the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Precipitation (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 3 feet of snow on the ground. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts. Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map. We continue to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers. Here’s Closings.

Also – Wildfire consumes 2,000 homes in Chile.  The fire has left 12 dead and dozens injured.  A State of Emergency remains in effect.


Severe Storms – Wind Damage/Severe Hail

April 12th, 2014 at 3:00 am by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

Damage onedamage 2hail muskegon mike schmalz 4 12 14Damage 4 12 14 golf cart boulder creek 2 injured

12:59 am  – Line of storms training along US 10 with heavy rainfall…solid line of storms back to Iowa…bow echo along the Mississippi River will have to be watched.  Serious Flood Situation, esp. for Oceana, Newaygo, Mason, Lake, Osceola, Manistee, Wexford, Clare, and Isabella Counties, perhaps for N. Muskegon, N. Montcalm, Gratiot Counties. 100,356 Consumers Energy customers without power now, inc. 29,426 customers in Muskegon Co (37.0% of the county customers), 4,796 in Ionia Co. (21.3%), 16,166 in Kent Co. (6.0%) and 7,066 in Montcalm Co. (26.5%) and the worst county is Mecosta with 77.3% of the county without power (12,097 customers).  Gust to 56 mph at Big Rapids.  Flood WARNINGS now for Newaygo, Oceana, Muskegon, Montcalm, Mecosta, Isabella and Gratiot Counties after 2″ of rain…an additional +2″ of rain is possible by Monday AM.  At midnight, the front is along I-94.   Here’s Kyle Piers video – driving in the hail late PM near Cedar Springs.   2″ hail reports from Wisconsin and Iowa – storms moving east.   Hail to nearly 1″ in Hesperia.  Here’s regional radar…storm go all the way back into Iowa.   The storms have knocked the front down to S. Allegan and S. Barry Counties…at 10 pm the temperature is 70 at Kalamazoo, 48 in Grand Rapids, 72 at O’Hare in Chicago, 44 at Milwaukee – pretty easy to find the surface front.   Pics. on the left- a building that looks like it has been destroyed in Grant and a plane and building damage – from Lili Cruz – a golfball-sized hailstone from Mike Schmalz in Muskegon – and the golf cart at Boulder Creek that got hit by a falling tree.  Those guys were lucky they are still on this side of the divots.   Click on the pictures to enlarge.   – serious “training” of storms tonight along US 10 could produce severe  flooding.

Storm Reports:   5:27 PM TSTM WND GUST SPARTA  911 CALL CENTER LOCAL AND STATE POLICE HAVE ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO BE AT LEAST 80 MPH.  Semi blown over in Muskegon.   Multiple roofs of and partially damaged in Muskegon and S. Newaygo Counties.    Grant [Newaygo Co, MI] law enforcement reports TSTM WND DMG at 04:10 PM EDT — roofs off multiple structures with campers blown over.  Local Storm Report by NWS GRR: Kent City [Kent Co, MI] 911 call center reports TSTM WND DMG at 05:26 PM EDT — local Ford dealer in Kent Co. has suffered severe roof damage.   A TRAILER AND LOG CABIN HAVE LOST THEIR ROOF WHILE A BARN SUFFERED HEAVY DAMAGE.   From GRR NWS chat: Had a report from a lady between Sand Lake and Cedar Springs a few minutes ago of a 75 mph wind gust on her Davis Weather station.  Gust to 55 mph on Kuttshill in south Rockford.  Measured gust to 65 mph in Rockford – Eaglecraft Mobile Home Park – 18″ pine tree uprooted healthy, 8″ healthy large branch down, multiple pine trees uprooted in area.      If you have pics. of hail, damage send them to WOOD at ReportIt.   Several reports of pea-marble sized hail north of Whitehall/Montague.   Severe T-Storm Watch coming for IA, WI, IL.   Leave a comment if you get some hail.    There were severe t-storm warnings for the NE corner of Illinois for large hail.  Hail pics. here.    Those storms produced LOTS of severe criteria hail – up to the side of eggs (2″ in diameter!).  Check out more hail pictures here and here.  The storms also produced a 55 mph wind gust NW of Chicago at the town of Harvard.  Here’s all of today’s severe weather reports from SPC.    Radar here.  WOOD Lightning tracker here.    Any surface-based thunderstorms will weaken (though probably not die out completely) as they come out over Lake Michigan.  Elevated storms don’t care what’s underneath them…they’ll chug across the lake without skipping a beat.   We made 71° officially in G.R.   Much colder north of the warm front.   At 2 pm Sat. it was 35° with a stiff east wind on Mackinac Island.  Nice to be home, where I can spend more time on the blog…if and when I’m at work…I’m doing TV and won’t be able to update very often.

From Blythefield Country Club on Northland Dr. just north of West River Dr. “The golf course will be closed tomorrow due to extensive tree damage and debris from this evening’s strong storms and wind.  We lost several large trees not only on the course but around the clubhouse as well. Straight line winds have been reported at more than 85 miles per hour and uprooted these trees. The power is still out at the club.”

Another huge earthquake:   USGS just downgraded e-quake to 7.6 – still big.   67 miles SSE of Kirakira, Solomon Islands, the USGS reports.  .  Tsunami warning area reduced to Solomon Islands, Vanuatu and Papua New Guinea.

Overnight models print out some very serious rainfall totals.  The morning run of the European model gives G.R. 0.62″ of rain this evening (that may be overdone), then 2″ of rain from Sunday into Monday, then 1 to 1 1/2″ of snow Monday night, then more rain Thurs. night into Friday night.  The model also gives Ludington 3.85″ of rain, then half an inch of snow as it ends.  The models have been consistent in forecasting the very heavy rainfall and with it the prospect of significant flooding.

Also:  SURF’S UP!    and….Airbus wins weather satellite contract valued at millions of euros.

 


Flood Watch

April 11th, 2014 at 9:39 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Advisory  qpf Click on the graphics to enlarge.   A Flood Watch (see graphic on the left) will be in effect from late Saturday afternoon through Monday.  Look at the graphic on the right.  I hope that’s way overdone, but the forecast here from NOAA shows up to 4.7″ of rain for Central Michigan over a 72-hour period.  There are also Flood Advisories in effect for the Grand River at Ionia, the Looking Glass River at Eagle and the Muskegon River at Evart.  The Grand Rapids National Weather Service says:  “BY MIDDAY MONDAY…ONE TO POSSIBLY THREE INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.”  River levels are already high and we expect runoff rates to be a little higher than average.  We anticipate that rainfall of 1″ could cause minor flooding issues, while a rainfall of 2 1/2 – 3″ would cause moderate flooding.  Here’s where you can check area river levels.  Here’s the complete write-up/forecast from the GRR NWS.       We’ve been very lucky to escape the snowmelt without heavy rain.  Since March 1st, Grand Rapids has had 2.10″ of precipitation.  That’s 1.34″ below average or 61% of average.

Also:  Space Station transit across the moon…So far, no reports of deaths or injures as Cyclone Ita came onshore in Australiaenhanced satellite pic. of Itawaterfalls of water and ice in Minnesotaa pretty sunset in New York Citymagnitude 6.6 earthquake in Nicaraguacherry blossoms in D.C.