Bill’s Blog

Weds. night

February 25th, 2015 at 7:21 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  Weds. evening – I’ll put radar back up top with a little light snow coming thru here overnight.  Most areas get a dusting to an inch.  Not much, but enough for a few slick spots after midnight into the morning rush hour.  The snow has not been able to make much progress into the drier air over W. Michigan.   Once this gets by, there could be a few flurries near the lake, but for the most part, three dry and cold days from Thursday to Saturday.  We’ll get snow Sunday and snow or a mix on Tuesday.   The average high is 37 now and that reaches 40 on 3/5, so even if the cold pattern continues, the averages will start to pull us up in early March.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Arctic Air Rest of the Week

February 25th, 2015 at 4:22 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

814temp.new   This is the 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for March 4 – 10.  Click the pic. to enlarge.  Note that most of the country is blue, which means a higher probability of cooler than average conditions. Also note that the greatest chance of cooler than average temperatures, signified by the “B” is right over Southwest Michigan (and Northern Indiana).  The PNA (Pacific North American Pattern) is going negative.  It’s forecast to have the lowest value of the winter on 3/1.  This usually means a trough in the West.  That would help to build an upper level ridge in the Southeast – hence the warm pattern for Florida (still time to plan your early March vacation!).  Showers are forecast over the weekend over Northern and Central California.

Model data from last night:  First, lighter winds.  The NAM has nothing greater than a 10 mph wind for the next 3 days, so no drifting.  The NAM has highs/lows for G.R. starting today at 15/1/7/-5/12.  The GFS has 16/5/12/-3/11.  The NAM mos has 16/2/9/-9/15.  The GFS plot has 12/7/2/15/-20!?/10.  The GFS plot would give us 0.15″ precipitation Sun./Sun. night – a couple inches of snow.  Then it has 0.46″ for Tuesday, which would be a mix, probably snow to freezing rain to rain (max. 36 degrees) then back to snow before it ends.   The European has 0.25″ of precipitation Sat. night thru Sun. night – about 3-3 1/2″ of snow.  The Tues. event looks nasty on the European with the possibility of not only mixed precipitation, but a significant period of freezing rain Tues. night that could give us some nasty travel and a lot of closings on Weds. (4th).  That’s too far out to get too excited about, but you ought to make a note to check with later forecasts on that one.  The European’s warmest is low (to maybe mid) 30s next Weds. morning…nothing even up to average thru March 7.

Also:  Happy Birthday to Daughter #1 today!   Boston went over 100″ season snowfall last night…2nd snowiest winter ever and plenty of time to get to #1, that’s 107.6″ in 1995-96.  Wow!  Look at the size of the waves in Spain!  and hereThere’s a car in thereWhen does the coolest 91-day period end in the U.S.  Houghton Lake has been below zero 14 days this month.  Cleveland is 15 deg. cooler than average this month.  Decent snowstorm for MS/AL/GA.  Here’s a wider view of the Southern snowstormAtlanta Schools closed today.   Wow, look at this picture with the Northern Lights, a lenticular cloud and the reddish glow of a volcano.  Snow in Tennessee.  State of Emergency in AL for 3-6″ of snow.  Flying over frozen Lake Huron.   Yesterday was the first day since Jan 17th that Syracuse did not receive at least a trace of snowfall.  Daily record for Great Lakes ice cover40 record low temps. across the East Tues. AM – 27 Monday AMNational Guard response to Moore, Oklahoma tornado.


Snow, Wind and Cold Today

February 24th, 2015 at 3:01 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  The Winter Weather Advisory ended.  Temperatures rose into the upper 20s to even low 30s during the evening, but they have crashed as the Arctic front came thru.  It’s a cold start to Wednesday.

1:35 pm Tues. from the Michigan St. Police regarding Mac. Bridge Accident in the snow and wind:  “Problem started around 930 this morning when a husband and wife from Sault Ste. Marie were traveling southbound—about to enter bridge—when wife decides she can’t drive over the bridge. Tries switching seats with husband. As husband walks around the car to get into driver’s side, he is hit from behind by another car. That started a chain reaction causing 5 other crashes.

Husband is “stable” and is at a local hospital.  No other serious injuries.  While responding, an MSP trooper’s car slammed into a semi, destroying the cruiser but Trooper is fine.  Accident cleared about 1130, but bridge remains closed due to wind…police are hoping to open it up soon.”

Also: Check out the European model for 3/5.  That would make for an interesting storm!  You can display your knowledge of Moroccan weather at the water cooler with this tidbit:  Since Nov 1, 2014, Tangier, Morocco has received 18.23″ of rain, 1317% of what they normally see during that time period.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Great Lakes Satellite Pics.

February 24th, 2015 at 2:51 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

modis lake michigan  modis lake ontario   Here’s a couple of the MODIS pics. from Monday PM.  Click to enlarge.  These are the only two Great Lakes that still have a significant amount of open water.  There’s enough open water on these two lakes to produce and enhance lake-effect clouds and snow.  The other three lakes (Huron, Erie and Superior), while not completely frozen solid – are close enough to have little effect other than maybe warming the air a couple degrees as the air passes over them.  Again, note that the two deep Finger Lakes south of Lake Ontario are open water.  Most of Erie has solid enough ice for snow to accumulate on top of the ice (note the bright white color.  It’ll be interesting to  see if the wind today breaks up any of the ice.  This morning the Great Lakes as a whole are 85.6% ice covered.  Note a relatively small amount of the Great Lakes is “100% ice-covered”.   The ice cutters are still working and wind can push the ice away from the windward shore.  Max ice will likely come in early March.


Winter Weather Advisory

February 23rd, 2015 at 4:08 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

advisory   The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the entire area.  This will be in effect from 4 am until 7 pm tomorrow (Tue.).  It’s for some snowfall (not much in most areas) along with strong winds (up to 20-25 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph) which will cause blowing and drifting snow.  We’ll also have wind chill factors around -15 Tuesday morning.  It may not be snowing at daybreak tomorrow, but by then there will be snow drifting across roads, especially in outlying areas.  Snow will develop during the morning from NW to SE across the area.   Snowfall accumulations may reach 4″ near Ludington, tapering off to less than an inch southeast of Kent County, where drifting snow and cold will be more of a problem than actual snowfall.  Watch me on the news tonight for more.   GRR NWS impact mapEuropean ensembles say no spring weather thru 3/10.

Also – Sunset in NYC, Rainbow over Hollywood CA, here’s Southern California radar, Snowstorm in Arkansas, 1-3″ snow forecast for Dallas/Fort Worth, today could be the 3rd coldest day of the winter in the Continental U.S.,


Great Lakes Ice Cover Now 17% Ahead of Last Year!

February 23rd, 2015 at 11:22 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

muskegon glerl   apn glerl  chicago glerl  Here’s current conditions, radar and a satellite loop.  Note the lake-effect clouds in W. Michigan.  Lakes Superior and Erie are now so frozen over that they don’t generate lake-effect clouds…you get a few off Lake Huron.  There is still a good bit of open water on Lake Ontario, and the two deepest Finger Lakes (Seneca – 618 feet deep and Cayuga – 435 feet deep) south of Lake Ontario still have open water.   Great Lakes ice cover now at 84.4%17% ahead of last year on this dateLake Michigan is at 56%, Superior 94.5%Huron 95.3%Erie 95.9% and Ontario 61.1%.   Here’s the NWS impact graphic for the wind and snow coming tomorrow.

Low temperatures last night were warmest near the lake an coolest northeast of G.R.  Note the very large spread (cloud cover and elevation make a big difference on calm, clear nights.  Some individual lows:  +5 Benton Harbor, Watervliet, +3 S. Haven, +2 Ludington, Fennville and Three Rivers, +1 Hartford, 0 Manistee, -1 Lawton, Muskegon Beach, Holland Beach, -2 Hart, Bloomingdale, -3 Muskegon Airport, Grand Haven, -4 Sturgis, -5 Lawrence, -6 Grandville and Allegan, -7 W. Olive, Beaver Is., -8 Battle Creek, Holland Airport, Mendon, -9 Kalamazoo, Jackson,  Coldwater, Hudsonville, Allendale, Sparta and Jenison, -10 Albion, Wayland, Grand Rapids (record low, old record -4 in 1989), -11 Ionia, -12 Kent City, Walker, Ceresco, -13 Lansing and Marshall, -14 Fremont, Jamestown, Clarksville, Delton, Grand Ledge, Caledonia, -15 Kalamazoo Nature Center and Freeport, -16 Mt. Pleasant, Hastings, Charlotte, -17 Alpena, Flint and Traverse City, Dowling and Newaygo, -18 Alma, Richland and Fremont, -19 VerSluis Lake in Plainfield Twp., Cedar Springs, Hesperia,  Entrican, Belding, S. Ste. Marie, -20 N. Rockford, Assyria, -23 Stanton, Houghton Lake, White Cloud, -24 Big Rapids, -26 Kalkaska, -27 Lake City, -28 Marquette (beat old record low by 13 degrees!), Pellston, –29 Cadillac,  -30 Baldwin, -32 Spincich Lake, Doe Lake, -34  Roscommon, Indian River, Amasa, Garden Corners, Baraga Plains, -35 Grayling, Leota (Clare Co.) and an MIDOT station E. of Cadillac had -35, and -36 at Champion.

Snow cover:  7″ Grand Rapids, 8″ Lansing, 9″ Hastings, 10″ Lake City, 11″ Cheboygan, 12″ Alpena, 13″ Kalamazoo and Houghton Lake, 15″ Gaylord, 16″ Traverse City, 19″ Muskegon, 24″ Benzonia, Ironwood, 25″ Newberry, 28″ Sault Ste. Marie, 32″ Marquette, 33″ Ishpeming, 36″ Munising and Atlantic Mine, 43″ Grand Marais.

Season snow:  32.3″ Lansing, 69.1″ Kalamazoo, 73.3″ Grand Rapids, 86.4″ Muskegon, S. Ste. Marie 146.4″, Marquette 151.6″.

Also: CFSv2 model says much of the Eastern U.S. will be colder than average in March.   Snow from NE Texas to N. GeorgiaFreezing rain across much of Texas today.   Saugatuck nominated by USA Today for Best Coastal Small Town in America.

The Wind Chill Advisory expires at noon.  I’m sure the NWS is thinking about a Winter Weather Advisory of some kind for the snow/wind tomorrow, especially north of Muskgon along the lakeshore.  The Mon. AM NAM (car.) gives G.R. a low of -1 this evening, a high of 25 at 11 pm tomorrow, then down to +3 early Weds. as the next batch of Arctic air moves in.  It gives G.R. a high/low of -9/+7 on Thurs.  Snowfall on the model is 1.5″ total for G.R., 1.3″ Kalamazoo, 1.3″ South Haven, 0.3″ Lansing, 1.6″ Big Rapids, 4.1″ Muskegon, 7.7″ Ludington.


Cold Monday/Cold Week

February 23rd, 2015 at 3:23 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

South Haven Ice Jerry Robinson 2 21 15 one    South Haven Ice Jerry Robinson 2 21 15 three  South Haven Ice Jerry Robinson 2 21 15 two  Here’s 3 pics. from Jerry Robinson from Otsego – quad-copter views of the ice around the South Haven Channel.  Click on the pictures to enlarge.   It’s a very cold Monday.  Here’s current temperatures, radar and closings. The Wind Chill Advisory lasts until noon.  There are Gale Warnings for Lake Michigan from 6 pm today to 3 am Weds. (though there’s so much ice now that waves won’t be much of a problem, but the wind will howl Tuesday).  At 2 am, it’s already down to -12 at Big Rapids, -20 at Cadillac and -27 at Grayling.   The NAM (car) only gives G.R. a high of 9 today, the GFS plot has 10.  The NAM (car) gives G.R. 2.9″ snow on Tues., the GFS plot just 1.5″.  Peak winds are up to 22 mph (steady, gusts would be higher) Tues. AM with a temp. of 11.  The GFS-plot has winds up to 27 mph.  Either way, it’s windy and very cold with double-digit below zero wind chills and blowing and drifting.  The NAM (car.) has a high of 25 Tues. even. then a high/low of 13/-1 on Weds. and -10 Thurs. AM.  The GFS plot has a high of 23 Tues. then -4 Weds. AM, a high low of 3/-12 on Thurs. and an insane low of -23 Fri. am.  It gives G.R. a high of only 11 next Sat., then up to 30 next Sunday.  It has about a 4-8″ snow on Sunday then cooler than average for the first 10 days of March.   The regular MOS numbers are for the NAM – highs of 12 today and 24 on Tues…and for the GFS highs of 7 today, 20 tomorrow and 12 on Weds. I’d go on the high side of the numb-brrrs (new word, just made it up).   The European has highs of 10, 25, 18, 13, 19 and lows of -8/-12/-6 for Thurs./Fri./Sat.  The only 32 in Tues. March 2 (barely).   Here’s NAM snowfall thru 84 hours and GFS snowfall thru 120 hours (starting yesterday evening at 7 pm).   Given forecast temperatures, we have a chance of beating 1978 for coldest Feb. EVER in G.R.

Also, over 1,000 flights cancelled today…most of them in N.Texas where they are getting freezing rain.  Freezing rain also falling in MS., N. AL.  Here’s the cold coming for Weds. to Fri. – very impressive shot of Arctic air.  Sunset in PeruRed sunset in NYCHeavy snow in SE OK.  Wow!  Check out the wave clouds over the Teton Mts. of WY.   Mount Washington, New Hampshire has received 232.7 inches of snowfall so far this season (119.5 inches since January).  Season snowfall for Boston at 99.9″ (2nd highest).  Magnitude 6.6 earthquake off the coast of Jalisco, Mexico.  Delaware Bay – frozen.


Wind Chill Advisory

February 22nd, 2015 at 4:55 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

advisory  11:15 pm -  I took the garbage out around 10 pm.  You could see a crescent moon.  From the shape and orientation of the moon, you could tell it’s late winter.  It’s 4 in G.R. with a wind chill of -5  The cold air is coming in from the NW.  It’s -5 in Big Rapids and already -13 in Cadillac with a wind chill of -27.  Kinross in the U.P. is the coldest at -17 with a wind chill of -33.   At 1 pm, Houghton in the U.P. is -9 with a wind chill of -34.  You know Lake Superior is frozen over when it’s that cold at midday with a northwest wind at Houghton. The wind chill at Houghton is -34.   A Wind Chill Advisory will be in effect until noon on Monday for wind chill readings of -15 to -25.  Here’s the GRR NWS discussion.  This will be yet another week with well-below average temperatures.  There may be a few snow showers near the lake with a northwest flow.   Snow from late Monday night to Weds. should total 1-5″ with the highest amounts northwest of G.R.   Tuesday we’ll have a strong wind will some blowing and drifting snow and breezy conditions will last into Wednesday as another Arctic cold front arrives.

The European model has only 3″ of snow for G.R. over the next 10 days.  The Euro. has five mornings below zero for G.R. (-13 Mon., -6 Thu., -11 Fri., -17 Sat., -12 Sun.).  The GFS plot has -15 Mon. AM, a high of 28 Tues. with winds up to 29 mph, then lows of 2 on Weds., -12 Thu., -18 Fri., and -7 on Sat.  The NAM (car) has -9 Mon. and a high of only +9 Mon. PM, a wind up to 23 mph on Tue. with a high of 25 and 2.5″ snow for G.R. (snow ranges from 7″ in Ludington on the model to less than an inch along and east of I-69…then -3 for Weds. AM.  The Euro. takes the 850 mb. temp. down to -24.5 Sun. night and then -20 again next Fri. night.  It gives G.R. an inch of snow Tues. and another 2-3″ on 3/2.  The cold pattern does ease a bit after next week and we should get a little closer to the synoptic snows from the west (we’ve had basically clippers and lake-effect this winter with the storm track to our south and east).  We’ll see what the wind Tues. does to the lake ice.  If it doesn’t break it up…we could be looking at record or very near record Great Lakes (modern era) ice by next weekend.

Mid-week cold shot looks about as cold as it can get at this time of year.  This month has been cold in the East and warm in the West…average if you add them together.  Freezing rain, a hill and ouch.  7″ new snow Colorado Springs and Littleton CO.  NYC now 11.3 deg. colder than avg. for Feb. (coldest Feb. ever?).


Coldest Week in Nearly 20 Years!

February 21st, 2015 at 12:39 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

nohrsc michigannohrsc satellite pic of snow   Here’s the Saturday morning snow cover maps (from NOHRSC) and a satellite picture showing snow on the ground all the way down to far northern Georgia. Click to enlarge. Nationally, we have a 39.9% snow cover. This compares to 33.2% on 2/21/14. The second map shows much of the Great Lakes, with a solid 100% snow cover over the state of Michigan. With the snow extending so far to the south, all the way down to N. Arkansas and Tennessee, you can see that a south wind isn’t going to be a warm wind for Michigan. At this point, we have more snow in the U.S. than last year on this date, and more ice on the Great Lakes than last year at this point (heading toward what could very well be a modern record for Great Lakes ice).  The Great Lakes MODIS picture from Fri. PM shows Lakes Superior, Huron and Erie almost totally ice covered now, with a good deal of open water remaining on Lakes Michigan and Ontario.  You can see on the Lake Ontario picture that the two biggest (nearly 40 miles long) and deepest (Seneca Lake is 618 feet deep, almost 3 times deeper than Lake Erie) and Cayuga Lake (435 feet deep) still have open water.   Here’s snowfall last week in MI – 27″ near Manistee!  Here’s some appropriate music.

The G.R. NWS reports that last week (Feb 14 thru the 20th) was the coldest week in G.R. since the first week of February in 1996!   The average temperature of -14.5° for the past three days (2/18-2/20) at the West Iron, Michigan station (WWTP) south of Iron River marks the coldest 3-day stretch on record this late in winter since continuous temperature records began over 110 years ago.  With an “at observation” temperature of -22° there this morning, the site will have recorded a temperature of -20° or lower for seven straight days as of Saturday’s observation. This falls one day short of the record eight straight days set in January 1999.

Here’s some specific snow depths:   4″ Midland (lowest in MI), 8″ Grand Rapids, Grand Ledge, Flint, 9″ Lansing, Reed City, E. Hastings, 11″ Ann Arbor, 12″ Houghton Lake, Alpena, Detroit, 13″ Grandville, 16″ Lake City and Traverse City, 19″ Muskegon and Holland, 21″ Mancelona, 22″ Scottville, 24″ Ironwood, 29″ S. Ste. Marie, 32″ Marquette, 37″ Munising, 47″ Grand Marais.   Frost Depth 7″ Grand Rapids.  Grand Rapids average Feb. temp. thru Friday is 14.4 deg.  That would be 2nd coldest Feb. ever – behind 1978 (the blizzard year).  G.R. now 11.6° colder than average this month.  Feb. 2014 was 9° colder than average.

Possible record cold from N. Texas to Michigan to New York on MondayHeavy snow in SW Virginia.  SW Virginia has steep hills that buses can’t navigate when it snows.  School districts can cancel school until the snow melts, which can be weeks (I talked to one supt. in SW Virginia a couple of years ago – they were up to 39 “snow days” that winter.  They have work online that children can do, they build a lot of snow days into the calendar and sometimes to well into June to make up for lost days.  In one district, the roof of the high school caved in.  For the rest of the school year, they combined classes at the middle school, with middle school students using the school from 7 am to 1 pm and high school students from 1:30 pm to 7:30 pm.   Nice pic. of Manhattan surrounded by ice.  NYC “ice age”.    Heavy snow and ice in SE Missouri.   Snow this weekend from OH/W VA to D.C./NYC and of course Boston.  Hey!  I think I found a pic. of “Rocky“, always enjoying the day!   Magnitude 6.1 earthquake 80 mi east of Miyako, Japan.  Blizzard hits Israel, Jordan and Lebanon!  Light snow fell in Atlanta GA today.    Ice storm in Cookeville TN.   From Maryland St. Highway Administration:  “NON-EMERGENCY TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED IN MARYLAND“.  Heavy snow falling in Washington D.C.


Saturday

February 21st, 2015 at 3:24 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

  17 of the first 20 days of February have been cooler than average.  Feb. is now running 11.5 deg. cooler than average with an average temperature of 14.4.  We have a good chance of seeing a top five coldest February and seeing two consecutive Februarys of at least 9 deg. cooler than average.   Great Lakes ice cover is up to 84%.  We’re probably at least two weeks away from peak ice.  We get some wind on Tuesday.  Wind can break up ice, but I think we have a decent chance of reaching a satellite era record for total ice on the Great Lakes.  Lake Michigan was at 63% ice cover Friday evening.  There’s still enough open water for lake-effect snow.  Lake Superior is at 93.3%.  Thursday night it was below zero on the Lake Michigan shore with north winds, so you can tell there isn’t much open water left there.  Lake Huron is at 94.6%.  Lake Erie is 95.9%.   Lake Ontario’s ice has decreased some with the recent wind.  Ontario is at 44.7%.    Coldest 850-mb temps this winter over Michigan Monday morning. How low can it go?  Look at the ice in Delaware Bay.   Satellite picture showing the snow cover all the way down tofar northern Georgia and Alabama!

Also:  From one million simulated winters for Boston, 11 produced a 30-day period as snowy as the one we just sawAW.   Ice in the Hudson River in NYC.   Some of the record lows Friday AM.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map,  Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.