September 24th, 2014 at 9:37 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
Pic. is the Univ. of Detroit Ski Club, which had the fortune of forming in Oct. 1951 and skied at Cadillac. What a November to start a ski club! November 1950 was a cold and snowy month. Grand Rapids had the coldest two mornings ever on Nov. 24th and 25th in 1950 with lows of -9° and -10° – the only two days G.R. has been below zero in any November. We also had the famous Blizzard of 1950 and the Blizzard Bowl between Michigan and Ohio St.
Snow and cold dominated Michigan from the beginning of Nov. 1951, with measurable snow in G.R. each of the first 8 days. Daily record snowfalls of 5.8″ on the 4th, 6.4″ on the 6th and 7.6″ on the 7th were mainly lake-effect snow. Parts of West Michigan had over 2 FEET of snow in the first week of November. Grand Rapids had record low temperatures from the 2nd to the 6th that still stand today, with consecutive lows of 18°, 17°, 15°, 6°and 9°. The temperature stayed below freezing on the 5th and 6th. Muskegon also had 5 consecutive record lows, including 12° on the 6th.
Michigan’s average temperature for the month of 29.2° was 2.5 deg. colder than any previous November, with records going back to 1887. For the state as a whole, the back-to-back Novembers of 1950 and 1951 were the two coldest Novembers ever. The coldest temperature in the state during the month was -19° at Watersmeet. Temperatures fell below zero at the Croton Dam at least one morning. Statewide, the average snowfall for Nov. 1951 was 16.7″. That ranged from 2.2″ in Monroe to 46.4″ at Bergland in the U.P. On the morning of the 5th, Bergland had 28″ of snow on the ground. A few spots in the Keweenaw Peninsula had over 24″ of snowfall in the first four days of November.
A large amount of the corn crop and some of the sugar been crop had not been been harvested yet when the cold and snow hit. It warmed up after the 8th and the heavy snows of the first week of November melted. The southern 2/3rds of Lower Michigan had thunderstorms between the 9th and the 12th. The snow came back in Dec. 1951 and Grand Rapids had 22″ of snow on the ground by Christmas Day.
1951 was the only other year (besides 2014) when we didn’t reach 90 degrees in G.R. during the summer, an interesting similarity. We also had a warm spell in late Sept./early Oct. in 1951 with the temperature reaching a record 87° on Oct. 4, 1951.
Here’s the latest JAMSTEC winter outlook, showing blue (cold) in the Great Lakes.
September 21st, 2014 at 5:33 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
Here’s the latest from Ed: “Sunday, September 21, 2014: 2:00PM: Prices continue to drop — $3.10 a gallon in Lowell this afternoon! While ethanol prices continue to collapse (huge corn crop this summer), wholesale gasoline did spike up on Friday, so I am predicting a possible price re-set on Monday. Maybe $3.49. — Ed A.
September 18th, 2014 at 9:21 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
Click on the pics. to enlarge. Lakeshore Boulevard was closed in Marquette back a week and a half ago due to flooding from Lake Superior. The higher lake level and a strong north wind that produced large waves pushed the water onto the road. Check out the video here from www.uppermichiganssource.com. The graph on the right shows the water temperature of Lake Superior, as cold as it gets in mid-September. The weekly lake level summary for Sept. 19 from the Army Corps of Engineers shows that Lake Superior is up 1″ in the last month, up 9″ in the last year and is now 7″ above the long-term average. It’s now just 6″ below the highest level ever reached in September (back in 1985). Lake Michigan/Huron is also up 1″ in the last month. Michigan./Huron is up an astonishing 19″ in the last year (390 billion gallons per inch = an increase of 7.41 trillion gallons on Lake Michigan. The increase is 7.6 trillion gallons for Lake Huron). Lake Michigan is exactly at the long-term Sept. average. Lake Erie is up 7″ year-to-year and 6″ above the century average, while Lake Ontario is now 1″ above the long-term average. Lake Superior’s outflow down the St. Mary’s River into Lake Huron is expected to remain “well above average through September.
And…Mystery wreck identified in Lake Erie…nice Lake Michigan video here….nice loop of pictures from the Muskegon GLERL camera.
September 16th, 2014 at 9:42 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
September 14th, 2014 at 5:04 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
Hurricane Odile is (as I write this) a Category 4 storm with peak winds of 125-130 mph. It is probably at its peak now and will slowly weaken as it move along he west coast of the Baja Peninsula. This is a major storm that will produce strong winds and very heavy rain over the southern Baja. Moisture from this storm will move into S. California and Arizona, where significant rain and some flooding will occur next weekend. Here’s the forecast track, forecast advisory, public discussion, map of anticipated strong winds, SW U.S. radar, latest Funktop satellite loop, visible satellite loop, radar for southern Baja (Los Cabos) and the latest forecast discussion from NWS Phoenix AZ.
Edouard is a hurricane out in the central Atlantic. It is no threat to land and will eventually weaken as it moves northeast into cooler water. We are past the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season (Sept. 10) with relatively little damage from storms in Central and North America.
Typhoon Kalmaegi batters the Philippines and heads toward S. China and N. Vietnam.
September 11th, 2014 at 7:41 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
This picture from www.uppermichiganssource.com is Lakeshore Boulevard in Marquette today. The combination of strong north winds and rising Lake Superior water levels caused waves to crash over the boulder-wall and onto the roadway Thursday morning. More pictures and video here.
The water level of Lake Superior is up 1″ in the last month (at a time when the lake often loses water) and is now up 8″ in the past year. Superior is now 7″ higher than the long-term average water level. The water level of Lake Michigan/Huron (one lake for lake level purposes) is up another inch in the last week and (drum roll) the water level is now one inch ABOVE the average September lake level! Get this…Lake Michigan/Huron is now 19 inches higher than it was one year ago, an unprecedented 12-month increase! That’s a gain of 7.41 trillion gallons of water in just 12 months. Lake Huron has gained 7.6 trillion gallons of water in the past year, Lake Superior 4.4 trillion gallons and Lake Erie 1.02 trillion gallons. That’s a total gain of 20.4 TRILLION gallons of water to the Great Lakes in just 12 months! Lake Erie is 6″ higher than it was one year ago and 6″ above the average water level. Lake Ontario is unchanged in the last year and 3″ above the average water level. Lake St Clair is up 11″ year-to-year and is 7″ above the September average level. Quite the opposite from this article (press release) that came out only 2 1/2 months ago.
Also: Carp Attack! Surf’s Up! Kayaker from Brazil goes over Tahquamenon Falls! Minnesota tackles zebra mussels. Shipwreck discovered. The water temperature at buoy just off Ludington dropped 11 degrees in the last 24 hours, from 69 to 58. It’ll continue to go down with the N-NE winds continuing.
September 10th, 2014 at 6:44 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
A kayaker had to be rescued by surfers at Grand Haven State Park. The peak wind gust at the Grand Haven Steelheaders Weather station was 40 mph. The biggest waves at the Port Sheldon buoy this afternoon was 9.8 feet. We had the rescue live on 24-Hour News 8 at 6 pm. We’ll have the story and interviews with the rescuers on the news tonight at 10 pm on WXSP and at 11 pm on WOOD-TV-8. We think the video will make the TODAY SHOW tomorrow morning – so watch DAYBREAK and the TODAY Show tomorrow morning. Here’s a link to our web story. Here’s a live picture of the waves at Grand Haven State Park right now.
Two of Bill’s Blog’s favorite people will be on DAYBREAK Thurs. AM to talk about beach safety and the rescue yesterday. They are Bob Pratt, Director of Education, Great Lakes Surf & Rescue Project and later in the program he’ll be joined by, Vicki Cech – who began the Beach Survival Challenge to purchase liferings and promote beach safety. Tune into Daybreak from 4-7 am on WOOD-TV Thursday am.
September 9th, 2014 at 12:29 pm by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
Probability of severe weather Weds. within 25 mi. of a given point. Note the highest probability is from Chicago east along the I-94 corridor south to Findlay, Ohio, across northern Indiana back to northeast Illinois. The great threat is wind damage. Keep in mind we could have a general rain with very little thunder in the AM early PM and then a line of low-topped showers/storms (which could also have only a little lightning) that could punch out wind. The general wind in the AM/Midday will be brisk from the south. Temps.10-15 deg. cooler than average Thurs. – Sunday.
September 7th, 2014 at 3:00 am by Bill Steffen under Bill's Blog, News, Weather
Me and daughter #2 at the Mackinac Bridge on our recent August trip around Lake Michigan. BIG NEWS! Lake Michigan and Lake Huron have finally returned to the century average water level (for the first time in +14 years!) At this moment NONE of the Great Lakes are below the long-term average level. Lake Michigan/Huron (one big lake for lake level purposes, joined here at the Strait of Mackinac) is up 2″ in the last month, up (and this is EXTRAORDINARY!) a whopping 18″ in the last year. That’s a gain of over 7 trillion gallons in just 12 months! The lake is now at the long-term September average. Lake Superior is up 1″ in the last month, up 8″ year-to-year and is now 6″ above the long-term average. Lake St. Clair is up 10″ in the past year and is 7″ above the long-term average. Lake Erie is up 5″ in the last year and is 7″ above the century average. Lake Ontario is now 5″ above the long-term average. The outflow from Lake Superior down the St. Mary’s River is forecast to be well above average into the early fall. The outflow from Lake Erie down the Niagara River is also expected to be above average flow. Rivers in Michigan are at or above average September flow.
I assume that the dramatic rise in Great Lakes water levels will reduce the number of articles like this (which states: “Potential global warming impacts include reduced water levels (due in particular to decreased winter ice cover allowing more evaporation)…and warmer water temperatures…Within another 30 years Lake Superior may be mostly ice-free in a typical winter. Lake Erie water levels, already below average, could drop 4-5 feet by the end of this century, significantly altering shoreline habitat”).