Click on the images to enlarge. The first map is the 6-10 day (Nov. 11-15) temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. That’s about as dark a blue as I have ever seen. The Arctic blast is coming and it’s going to affect just about everyone east of the Rockies. The cold will set records. The middle map is the precipitation outlook for the 6-10 day period (Nov. 11-15). Note the green over much of Michigan. That’s snow and probably lots of it. The third map on the right is the temperature outlook fro Nov. 13-19 – showing the cold will be slow to leave. This is serious cold and snow. The surface map for next Tuesday morning shows a low pressure center over Michigan and a HUGE high pressure ridge from Northern Canada into the Northern Rockies. The air flow is coming straight out of the Arctic. Note that we have built up an extensive snow cover already across N. Canada. Ice is already forming on the edge of Hudson Bay. The overnight GFS forecasts 15″ of snow for Pellston and 10″ for Sault Ste. Marie by next Weds. evening. For Grand Rapids, the overnight European shows a few snow showers developing Sat. PM as the rain ends, another 1-2″ of snow for late Sunday and what would be about 4″ of snow for Weds. PM. If the European is right, it’s possible we may not get much above 40 next week and we’ll have a couple of days when it may struggle to get above the freezing mark. Overnight tweet from Dr. Ryan Maue: “Next week, Great Lakes get ready for mountains of Lake Effect snow.” Overnight tweet from meteorologist Joe Bastardi: “Experimental GFS..YIKES! Could bust early season cold records. Shades of 1976 winter continue to show up” (1976-77 is the coldest winter Grand Rapids has had since 1904). Much of Central and Eastern Russia got a snow cover early this fall and I’ve mentioned several times there is a good correlation between cold/snowy winters in the Great Lakes and early snow in Northeast Asia. Snow is already solid in the Alps (cool pic. just after sunrise this am). The dreaded Arctic “hummingbird” (map next Tues. am). Arctic is continues to build…the icecap extent is now closer to average than where it was at just two years ago. Arctic ice extent now compared to 6 years ago. Antarctic ice extent now 2 standard deviations above average.
Also, major snow and wind in Alaska: 83 mph gust at Vaughn Lewis Ice-Fall, AK, 70 mph gusts with roof damage 10 mi NW of Ketchikan, AK. The remains of Typhoon Nuri will move into the Bering Sea and they are forecasting waves up to 50 feet! “CENTRAL PRESSURE WITH THIS SYSTEM DROPS FROM AROUND 970 MB LATE THURSDAY NIGHT…TO BETWEEN 918 TO 922 MB LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD CREATE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT AS THE CURRENT RECORD LOWEST PRESSURE OBSERVED IN THE BERING SEA IS 925 MB MEASURED AT DUTCH HARBOR ON OCTOBER 25 1977.” (note the date – late 70s show up again). Up to 8″ of snow fell near Anchorage. A Red Cross Rescue spokesman said that the snowfall and blizzard in 11 provinces of Iran had crippled 2000 people.” (I’m guessing that the word “crippled” means “trapped.) 50 cm (20 inches) of snow fell in Artvin, Turkey. On a plateau near Rize a car was stuck in 2 meters of snow. “Sweden’s weather agency has issued 25 separate warnings across Sweden as heavy snowfall threatens to wreak havoc.” San Antonio, TX, broke its Nov. 5 rain record with 2.3″. Skating in New York City. Snow in Minnesota. Magnitude-4.5 earthquake 90 mi SE of Klamath Falls, OR.