Jack Martin took this pic. up in Manistee. We’ve got a mostly sunny and dry week ahead. There is a slight chance of a shower in Eastern Michigan this afternoon. We’ll have a slight (30%) chance of a light shower from Weds. PM into Thurs. and again over the weekend. Certainly no big storms this week. The dry pattern means fire danger remains elevated until everything greens up. The European model has a trace of rain Friday, 0.04″ Sat., 0.10″ Mon. The GFS has a trace Weds. and Thurs., 0.03″ Sat. and 0.05″ Sun. The high temperatures on the GFS beginning today (Sun.): 56, 52, 57, 60, 58, 62, 68, 67. The highs beginning today on the European: 57, 54, 62, 65, 58, 62, 68, 76, 79, 79. At 4 pm, the temperature was 58 in G.R., 57 in Kalamazoo and Battle Creek, 44.1 on the beach at Muskegon, 42.6 on the beach at S. Haven and 40.6 at the Chicago crib, 2.75 miles east of downtown Chicago. The models have trended a little cool in the daytime and that will likely continue with dry air and dry ground allowing the sun to heat the air efficiently. The dry air allows temperatures to cool quite a bit at night if clear and calm. Grayling was down to 24 at 3 am early Sunday where the wind was calm. Great Lakes ice cover was down to 7.7% Saturday (14.2% on Superior, 9.2% on Huron, 0.3% on Lake Michigan and nothing on Lakes Erie and Ontario. Here’s North American snow cover, still a solid snow cover north of Lake Superior. Some snowfall expected in the Rockies. The 7-day rainfall forecast from HPC has West Michigan dry this week, with the storm track from Colorado across the South and Southeastern U.S. Barrow, Alaska (northernmost point in the U.S.) hit 29 degrees on Friday. Dry California got a little rain: 0.29″ San Francisco, 0.74″ Sacramento, 0.69″ Fresno, 0.40″ Oakland, 1.33″ Blue Canyon…with only 0.01″ at Los Angeles and San Diego. 1/2″ of rain fell at Carson City NV. Check out the new snow in Kirkwood CA. The last time they were above freezing was Nov. 13th and the last time they hit 40 deg. was last Sept. 8.
Here’s SPC’s Severe Weather Outlooks for the next few days. Here’s severe weather reports from Saturday, including a gust to 81 mph at the Savannah GA airport. At least one fatality and four missing as a severe storm hit a sailing regatta near Mobile AL. A 57 mph wind gust was recorded on Dauphin Island. California – take heed. NASCAR posponed to 1 pm today. Looks like you may be able to scuba in Cuba. Recognize anybody in this picture? Check out the hailstorm in Sydney, Australia. Another great hail pic. This is the 9-story Dharahara Tower in Nepal that collapsed in the earthquake, killing at last 50. Sounds like an award well-deserved.
The rain stayed south of G.R. on Saturday…Kalamazoo had just trace, Battle Creek 0.01″, Jackson 0.08″, South Bend 0.26″ and Grissom AFB in North Central IN had 1.11″.