Pic. is sunset yesterday in Gile, Wisconsin, where it looks like mid-winter with the frozen lakes and deep snowcover (pic. from NWS Duluth and Peg Sutherland). We have already set record November snowfalls in G.R. (30.3″), Marquette (50.8″) and S. Ste Marie (60.8″ – that’s 49.6″ above average!). Other November season snowfalls (and keep in mind these are from observers who are often missing days during the month for one reason or another): 52.7″ Munising, 70.1″ Herman and 73.8″ at Bergland Dam. There is a Lake-Effect Snow Advisory for much of the U.P. for another 2-8″ of snow. Grand Rapids has now had measurable snow on 10 of the last 11 days. We have had at least a trace of precipitation on 22 consecutive days and measurable precipitation on 17 of the last 22 days. We are now over 4″ of precipitation for the month. We have had 11 days with measurable snow this month. November is averaging 6.2° colder than average. Over the last 3 weeks, we’ve had just 10% of possible sunshine. Yesterday we had a high of 31 and a low of 29 – only a 2° difference.
The overnight NAM (car) model and the GFS both give G.R. about 3/4″ of snow on Thanksgiving Day. The NAM (car) prints out a couple inches of snow for G.R. on Tues. with the GFS keeping any significant snow north of Kent Co. The GFS-plot has just 1/10th inch of rain here over the weekend with highs of 39 Sat. evening and 43 for Sunday. That model cools us down on Monday, but takes G.R. to 50 on Weds. with 1/2″ of rain. The European has a whopping 1.75″ of rain for G.R. for the middle of next week, also taking the temp. to the mid 40s on Weds. That would be a fairly brief warm-up before it gets cool again.
Snow cover Weds. AM: 1″ Grand Rapids, Cutlerville, East G.R., 2″ Muskegon, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, Grandville, White Cloud, Allendale, Alpena, 3″ Big Rapids, Walker, Traverse City, 4″ Houghton Lake, Petosky, 5″ Scottville, Kalkaska, 6″ Charlevoix, 9″ Gaylord, Manistique, 13″ S. Ste. Marie, 14″ Munising, Calumet, 16″ Grand Marais, Marquette, 19″ Ironwood, Bergland Dam, 20″ Ishpeming. It was cold in the U.P. this morning: -11 Stambaugh, -10 east of Champion, 9″ Doe Lake, -7 Wakefield, -4 Marquette. Natural gas inventories fell 162 bcf last week, largest drawdown ever for 3rd week of November, 4.5% of stockpile.
Thundersnow in Baltimore MD this late morning. Heavy rain in Central Florida: 6.40″ Daytona Beach, 3.77″ Tampa, 3.17″ Orlando. East Coast snowstorm – already up to 8″ in Central PA. Tropical Depression has moved across the Philippines with heavy rain – depression is heading toward Vietnam.