Check out the Lions/Eagles game on FOX – Philadelphia is 1/4 mile visibility in heavy snow at noon, 1 pm and 2 pm! Check out this pic. Snow falling at the rate of +1″ an hour. Pictures here. Here’s Philadelphia radar and Philadelphia weather observations. There’s a Winter Storm Warning there for up to 6″ of snow. How many fumbles, dropped passes and slips are we going to see? Field position will be important – and try not to go backwards…hard to see the punts. Kudos to the Eagles Punter so far (2nd quarter). Note to announcers of the game…it’s not a blizzard, not enough wind…but it is heavy snow. Good luck seeing the sideline signals. Here’s an example of a big-time football game played in a blizzard. Note the game stats. Many crashes on Pennsylvania expressways. It’s also snowing at the NFL games in Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Picture from www.nbcphiladelphia. They report: “gridlock on roads across the region, bringing traffic to a complete stop on two different sections of I-95 and closing down the Platt Bridge which leads to Philadelphia International Airport. Multiple accidents were also reported on the Pennsylvania Turnpike. The Platt Bridge closed down in both directions due to hazardous conditions at 1:15 p.m.”
Click on the image to enlarge. This is the high temp. map from Saturday (form SUNY). From Dr. Ryan Maue: “Since 1979 using hi-resolution NCEP CFSR reanalysis data, December 7th is earliest sub. 15°F CONUS average temperature day — previous Dec 16, 1989.” The average Continental U.S. temperature bottomed out at 14.5 Sat. AM. Some of the cold temperatures are nothing short of extraordinary. Havre, Montana had a high temperature of -21 on Saturday – that was 53 degrees colder than average! For 3 days now, temperatures have averaged 47 degrees colder than average at Havre. The -14 high at Great Falls MT was 49 deg. colder than average, the high of -13 at Sheridan WY was also 49 deg. colder than average. The -14 high temp. at Miles City MT was 44 deg. colder than average. Colorado Springs, with an average high temperature of 43 has now had 4 consecutive days with highs of 18, 6, 6, 7. Garden City KS (avg. high 47) has had highs of 15, 16, 13 the past 3 days. A few other highs with the average high in ( ): 22 Eugene OR (46), Brownsville TX 47 (73), Dallas TX 27 (59), Lubbock TX 17 (55), Laredo TX 39 (69), Little Rock AR 28 (54), Harrison AR 20 (50) , Las Vegas NH 17 (47), Chadron NE -2 (39), Wausaw WI 0 (29), Duluth MN -4 (25), Memphis TN 29 (54).
Model update: The overnight European doesn’t take the temperature above freezing in G.R. until the 17th. The Euro. gives G.R. 0.12″ precip. Sun. night (1.5 -2″ snow), with more snow showers into Monday night and another .11″ on Weds. All total G.R. would get maybe 5-6″ in the next week. The NAM gives G.R. 1.8″ of snow Sunday night, Muskegon gets 2.6″ and Ludington 2.9″. It has another 1.5″ Tues. PM. The GFS plot gives G.R. .10″ Sunday night (1.5″ of snow maybe) and the first above freezing day is next Saturday.
Speaking of cold, this is Antarctica.
Michigan St. deserves a separate thread here. What a game! I think a scared the cats – I got a little loud a few times during that game. Happy for the team, happy for the coaches (esp. Dantonio, awesome leader) – happy for one of the top athletic programs in the U.S. They play Stanford on 1/1 at 5 PM. Ohio St. probably may go to the Orange Bowl. I don’t want to forget Grand Valley – they rocked Lubbers Field Saturday afternoon (a special “hi” to “Chap”). GVSU plays next weekend at Northwest Missouri State in Maryville, which is north of St. Joseph and Kansas City. I’m working the evening shift today (Sun.) and I’ll stay up to see the evening weather data come in tonight. We have a week of winter ahead with light snow starting this (Sun.) evening followed by lake-effect snow and some pretty cold air.
Cold weather and early deep snow cover have contributed to a “phenomenal” (but there are other factors) early December migration of snowy owls into the Great Lakes and Northeast. The picture is from Pennsylvania this past week. Here’s a map of snowy owl sightings. Sightings have been reported in Vermont, Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, and in fact all the way down to N. Carolina and Bermuda. Needless to say, Harry Potter is excited! Picture from www.nbcphiladelphia.
Click on the images to enlarge. The image on the left is snowcover across the U.S. and southern Canada this morning. According to the National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center the U.S. had a 55.5% snow cover this morning. The 2nd image to the right is what the snow cover was last year on this date (12/7/12). Only 10% of the U.S. had a snow cover. The average U.S. temperature at 9 am this morning was 14.5 degrees, the fifth coldest hour since the year 2000. Note the range of temperatures from 79.9 to -43.5. Lake Michigan made a big difference last night, warming the air coming across the lake. Low temperature contrast this morning: Green Bay 0, Frankfort 17 – Milwaukee 4 (at Mitchell Field – 2 at Timmerman) and 19 in Grand Rapids – 9 in Chicago and 21 at South Bend. It was -11 at Wakefield and Champion in the U.P., -16 in Rhinelander WI, -39 at Jordan and Havre MT, -35 at Miles City MT (broke their record low by 12 degrees) -13 in Denver (3rd straight morning with lows below -12), 20 in Seattle, 15 in Eugene OR, 33 Tucson AZ, -5 at Dodge City KS, -24 Valentine NE. 5.4″ of snow fell just northwest of Redding CA. Here’s the record temperature map…warm in Florida and Alaska, cold in-between. I’m watching the SMU Football game on ESPN…there’s NOBODY THERE (est. 500, probably many of those family of the players)! – They announced that tickets were free! SMU cancelled their basketball game. College basketball games were also cancelled in Fort Worth, Memphis and Tulsa. The is the coldest temperature (24) that the Univ. of Central Florida has ever played in! There were 270,000 without power in the Dallas area after a major snow and ice storm. It won’t get out of the 20s in Dallas today. The Dallas Marathon was cancelled.
Click on the image to enlarge. This is the Friday CPC 6-10 day outlook for the 11th-15th. As you can see, there”s a lot of blue (better chance of colder than average temperatures. Looking at the overnight data…the European doesn’t bring the temperature above freezing in G. R. until Dec. 16th! The coldest temperatures (around +5) come Weds. AM and Sat. AM. The European gives G.R. a total of 0.31″ for the next week…at a 20-1 water-to-snow ratio, that would be 6″ of snow – add some drifting to that, too. Both the GFS and Euro. give G.R. 0.10″ of precipitation Sun. night – so maybe an inch and a half. The Euro. has snow showers and flurries more on than off thru Thurs. The GFS plot has 0.27″ precip. for the week, so pretty close to the Euro. It has the coldest temps. in the low teens with the strongest wind at 22 mph around midday/early afternoon Tues. The NAM still has the most snow Sunday night at 2.3″ for G.R. Snowfall will likely be a little higher to the northwest of G.R. and less to the southeast of G.R.
Also: Check out the video of flooding in the Canary Is. Here’s a pic. to go along with the video. This morning the average temperature across the U.S. could be as much as 4 degrees F colder than the coldest average temperature all last winter across the U.S. Scroll down a couple threads to see radar and links.
These are two different views of the snow cover across the U.S. and Canada. This (Fri.) morning we had snow on the ground over 46.3% of the Lower 48 states. That compares to just 6% on 12/7/12. Big difference. Hudson Bay is now about 75% ice covered and Lake Nipigon will be next. Look at the snow cover down in Texas and in places like Oregon. Some wicked cold afternoon high temperatures: -14 Miles City MT, -13 Havre, Cut Bank and Glasgow MT (there were a couple of spots across the Canadian border with highs of -20F!), -9 Devils Lake and Minot ND and Cody WY, -7 Alexandria MN, -1 Valentine NE, 7 Colorado Springs (beat yesterday by 1 deg.), 26 Eugene OR, 29 Dallas TX, 31 Junction TX, 42 Las Vegas NV (beat yesterday by one deg.), 48 Brownsville TX. On the warm side, the high was 86 in Fort Myers FL and 85 in Orlando FL. Quite a temperature contrast across the front with New Orleans at 82 at Baton Rouge at 57….Rome GA at 77 and Nashville TN at 37. Cannonsburg Ski Area opens Saturday. Bittersweet will be open this weekend. Here’s Michigan ski conditions.
Also: A summary and graph of Global Tropical Cyclones Landfalls from 1970 through 2013 from Dr. Roger Pelkie Jr. and Dr. Ryan Maue.
We’ve got some big football games this weekend. Michigan State (#10) and Ohio State (they think they’re #1) play for the Big Ten Championship in Indianapolis (on FOX). That’s an 8:17 pm kickoff and I like State’s chances in this one. Grand Valley (11-2) hosts West Texas A & M (11-2) in a Div. 2 playoff game. the temperature will be about 21 at game time. There are some tickets available, but bundle up. The game is on Xfinity and on radio on the ESPN (96.1 in G.R.) Grand Valley radio network. Northern Illinois is playing Bowling Green St. Univ. this evening aiming at a BCS berth. N. Illinois is a perfect 12-0, but Bowling Green has won their last 4 games by a combined 176-17. That’s on ESPN2. WOTV4 has Oklahoma (#17) and Oklahoma St. (#6) at noon and Duke-Florida St. at 8 PM. The Detroit Lions (7-5) head to Philadelphia to play the Eagles (also 7-5). The Philly Q.B. has been rockin’ good of late (they’ve won 4 in a row), but Farley and Suh are coming to town. The Sunday Night Football game is Carolina at New Orleans on WOOD, TV-8 and the Monday night game is Dallas at Chicago (another very cold game with temps. in the teens and wind chills near zero). In basketball, Houston Baptist is at Michigan at noon Sat. on the Big Ten network. My Badgers play Marquette at 2 pm. Delaware at Notre Dame is at 4 PM, WMU at Northwestern at 5 PM and Central at SIU/Edwardsburg is at 8 PM. Several games have been postponed because of the snow and ice down in N. Texas and Arkansas. I saw Tiger Woods had 10 birdies and 8 pars for a course and tournament record 62 today in the relatively cool conditions at Thousand Oaks, California. Happy weekend everybody. Thanks for reading the blog.
We have flurries mainly in the lakeshore counties. We’ve had 1-2″ of snowfall from Oceana Co. down into Allegan Co. and there have been some slide-offs and mostly minor accidents. It’s light enough so that not all the flurries aren’t all showing up on the radar image here. There could be another inch or two overnight into tomorrow AM in the lakeshore counties and maybe a dusting in the next set of counties inland. Lake-effect snow was cranked up farther north, where a foot of snow fell in parts of the Keweenaw Peninsula. Check out the webcam at Krupp’s Resort, where they are pushing toward 2 feet of snow on the ground. A Lake-Effect Snow Warning is in effect for Houghton County until 1 am Sunday where another foot of snow will fall…plus drifting. Lake-Effect Snow Advisories cover the northwestern U.P. and areas east of Marquette. Check out the cold temps. on the U.S. Low Temperature map. This was as of 7 am EST, so many of these weather stations (esp. in the West) would have dropped another couple of degrees before sunrise. The coldest on the map is -33 at Jordan MT. There were a couple below zero readings all the way down to N. Arizona and N. New Mexico. The band of snow and freezing rain from N. Texas to New York has cut power to hundreds of thousands of customers and hampered travel. 130,000 without power in 8″ of snow fell in Fairfield IL and 6″ at Bloomington IN. Heavy freezing rain downed major power lines in W. Arkansas (picture from KARK is near Batesville (and I won’t print the obvious line). The average temperature in the U.S. at 9 am EST was just 18.0! The coldest average temperaure for the U.S. all last winter was 18.9 at 8 am EST on 1/14/2013. GRR at 23 was actually above the average! Here’s record temperatures in N. American over the past 24 hours. There’s a definite chance of at least flurries in Fresno CA. The last snowflake they saw was on 12/15/08 and the last measurable snow was 12/20/1998. It’s pretty easy to tell where the cold front is on the temperature anomaly map. Here’s the morning run of the NAM forecast snow amounts…we’re between the snow areas…note the heavy snow north of S. Ste Marie. WOW, look at the wind gusts recorded (in mph) from the gigantic low pressure system in N. Europe. Look at the homes destroyed by the storm surge. Storm surge flooding in Hamburg, Germany. This is Bremerhaven, Germany – where the tide level peaked at 10.5 FEET above usual sea level.
Here’s a live look at the Houghton Bridge. Duluth MN reports 23.3″ of snow in the first 5 days of Dec. and 17″ on the ground. In the U.P., Atlantic Mine has 20″ of snow on the ground, with 16″ at Painesdale, 13″ at the Bergland Dam, 9″ in Grand Marais and 6″ in Newberry. Keep checking back to this thread for these links: Grand Rapids radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s the College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Check out Storm Total Rainfall (until they reset it). Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy, the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy, the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington, the weather station at Manistee Harbor and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agriculutural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations.
We’ll have to watch for ice jams on Michigan rivers as the cold air settles in next week. Here’s some river water temps. Also, many inland lakes will be icing up in the next 10 days. Beware of early thin ice.
First check out the huge storm surge from the 60 mph winds from a deep low pressure system pushing water towards the shoreline of Germany and Denmark. There has been a tremendous band of lake-effect snow going across Lake Superior. It crossed Houghton County, where they had 9″ of new snow and very strong winds that were putting large drifts across roads. Gusts included 63 mph at Keweenaw Pt., 62 mph at Goetzville, 54 mph on the beach at Charlevoix and 45 mph on Mackinac Is. The Superior snow band was coming onshore north of Sault. Ste. Marie were very heavy snow was falling on the road to Wawa. An ice storm was downing tree limbs and power line from extreme N Texas across SE Oklahoma, NW Arkansas and all the way up in central Ohio with rain to the southeast and snow to the northwest of the freezing rain. Indianapolis had 4″ of new snow.
As you can see on the map, it’s really cold over much of the Central and Western U.S. Look at some of these chilly high temperatures: -9 Glasgow and Miles City MT, -5 at Dickinson ND, 1 at Watertown SD, 6 at Scottsbluff NE and Colorado Springs CO, 9 at Minneapolis, 12 at Goodland KS, 15 at Dalhart, TX, 18 at Spokane WA, 41 at Las Vegas NV, 50 at Tucson AZ and 57 at Phoenix AZ. Denver had a high of 56 on Wednesday and only 8 on Thursday.
Overnight Model update: Both the European and GFS give G.R. 0.08″ of snow Sunday night or 1-2″ of snow. The NAM is higher at 2.7″. the GFS has another 0.16″ from Monday to Thursday…or probably about 4-5″ for the 4 day period – with drifting – it gives us winds as high as a steady 29 mph on Tuesday. The European has the coldest temperatures Weds. evening. The NAM high temperatures for the next 3 days are 27, 22 and 28. The European would have an additional 1-2″ of snow Tues. to Thurs…enough to keep the roads slick at times, esp. with drifting.