Weather

A Sunny and Dry Week

April 26th, 2015 at 5:42 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Lake Michigan Sunset Jack Martin 4 25 15 Manistee   Jack Martin took this pic. up in Manistee.   We’ve got a mostly sunny and dry week ahead.  There is a slight chance of a shower in Eastern Michigan this afternoon.  We’ll have a slight (30%) chance of a light shower from Weds. PM into Thurs. and again over the weekend.  Certainly no big storms this week.  The dry pattern means fire danger remains elevated until everything greens up.  The European model has a trace of rain Friday, 0.04″ Sat., 0.10″ Mon.  The GFS has a trace Weds. and Thurs., 0.03″ Sat. and 0.05″ Sun.  The high temperatures on the GFS beginning today (Sun.):  56, 52, 57, 60, 58, 62, 68, 67.   The highs beginning today on the European:  57, 54, 62, 65, 58, 62, 68, 76, 79, 79.  At 4 pm, the temperature was 58 in G.R., 57 in Kalamazoo and Battle Creek, 44.1 on the beach at Muskegon, 42.6 on the beach at S. Haven and 40.6 at the Chicago crib, 2.75 miles east of downtown Chicago.   The models have trended a little cool in the daytime and that will likely continue with dry air and dry ground allowing the sun to heat the air efficiently.  The dry air allows temperatures to cool quite a bit at night if clear and calm.  Grayling was down to 24 at 3 am early Sunday where the wind was calm.  Great Lakes ice cover was down to 7.7% Saturday (14.2% on Superior, 9.2% on Huron, 0.3% on Lake Michigan and nothing on Lakes Erie and Ontario.  Here’s North American snow cover, still a solid snow cover north of Lake Superior.  Some snowfall expected in the Rockies.  The 7-day rainfall forecast from HPC has West Michigan dry this week, with the storm track from Colorado across the South and Southeastern U.S.  Barrow, Alaska (northernmost point in the U.S.) hit 29 degrees on Friday.  Dry California got a little rain:  0.29″ San Francisco, 0.74″ Sacramento, 0.69″ Fresno, 0.40″ Oakland, 1.33″ Blue Canyon…with only 0.01″ at Los Angeles and San Diego.  1/2″ of rain fell at Carson City NV.  Check out the new snow in Kirkwood CA.    The last time they were above freezing was Nov. 13th and the last time they hit 40 deg. was last Sept. 8.

Here’s SPC’s Severe Weather Outlooks for the next few days.  Here’s severe weather reports from Saturday, including a gust to 81 mph at the Savannah GA airport.  At least one fatality and four missing as a severe storm hit a sailing regatta near Mobile AL. A 57 mph wind gust was recorded on Dauphin Island.  California – take heedNASCAR posponed to 1 pm today.  Looks like you may be able to scuba in Cuba.  Recognize anybody in this picture?  Check out the hailstorm in Sydney, Australia.  Another great hail pic.   This is the 9-story Dharahara Tower in Nepal that collapsed in the earthquake, killing at last 50.  Sounds like an award well-deserved.

The rain stayed south of G.R. on Saturday…Kalamazoo had just  trace, Battle Creek 0.01″, Jackson 0.08″, South Bend 0.26″ and Grissom AFB in North Central IN had 1.11″.


Nepal Earthquake – 6.7 Magnitude Aftershock -2600 Dead

April 25th, 2015 at 4:05 pm by under Bill's Blog, News, Weather

equake nepal   Over 2600 fatalities have been reported in the devastating earthquake that hit Nepal early Saturday morning.  The final death toll may reach 10,000 or more.  The quake was magnitude 7.8 and was centered 48 miles west-northwest of the capital of Kathmandu (population 1,442,000).  The quake was 9.3 miles below the surface.  Fifty aftershocks have been reported, including a major 6.6 quake that occurred 34 minutes after the initial strong quake and a 6.7 magnitude earthquake that occurred Sunday morning.  This is the strongest earthquake in Nepal in over 80 years.  Large earthquakes along the Himalayan Thrust (between the India and Eurasian plates) have been rare.  Only four quakes of magnitude 6 or larger have occurred within 155 miles of the April 25, 2015 earthquake over the past century.  A Magnitude 6.9 earthquake in August 1988, 149 miles to the southeast of the April 25 event, caused close to 1500 fatalities. The largest, a magnitude 8.0 event known as the 1934 Nepal-Bihar earthquake, occurred in a similar location to the 1988 event. It severely damaged Kathmandu, and is thought to have caused around 10,600 fatalities.   At least 17 people died on Mt. Everest, mostly through rockslides and avalanches.  The Dharahara Tower, built in 1832 collapsed.  At least 50 were killed there.  More on the history of earthquakes in the region hereThe quake was felt strongly in neighboring areas of India, Pakistan, Bhutan and Tibet.   Here’s a preliminary estimate of loss of life and dollar damage.  Here’s the latest from the BBCWorld’s strongest earthquakes since 1900.  There are many organizations providing relief.  Here’s one.

The “Year Without a Summer” after the tremendous explosion of Mt. Tambora in April 1815.   Great video of the 4/9 Rochelle, IL tornado.  Lots of debris in this tornado.


Chance of a Shower

April 24th, 2015 at 9:15 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   There will be a chance of a shower today.  The better chance of showers will be down toward the Indiana border.   Today will be a little breezy and cool with temperatures much of the day in the mid-upper 40s.  Sunday will be the brighter half of the weekend with some sun and temps. in the 50s.  Next week looks pretty dry with a good amount of sunshine, cool at night and mild during the day.

72 mph gust clocked at Weslaco, TX…roof torn off high schoolMore snow for the Colorado Rockies…They have a 75″ base at Winter Park and a 66″ base at Loveland.  More great pics. of the Chilean volcanoWowLouisiana hail.  40 to 60 homes damaged in Johnson County, TX, from possible tornado.  Magnitude-5.1 earthquake strikes 21 miles NW of Yigo Village, GuamHail up to baseball-size, 3″ deep at Lucas KS.  Over 50,000 without power in N. Texas early Sat.  A quiet, relaxing day for Reed Timmer.   Time to pay a visit to the basement.   Interesting clouds2 tornadoes at the same time!   3 tornadoes at the same timeScott City KS tornadoMound of hail!   SPC Convective Outlooks, Storm Reports, including nearly a dozen tornadoes, baseball-sized hail and 80 mph winds across the Fort Worth area.

 

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Record Low Temperatures

April 24th, 2015 at 11:52 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

erase this  muskegon glerl  Record daily low temperatures this morning at Grand Rapids (25), Flint (24), Toledo (23) and Traverse City (22).  The 25 in G.R. is the coldest so late in the season since we hit 24 on May 1, 1978 (late 70s showing up again).  If you’re a fruit farmer, you can leave a comment and let us know where you stand.  Fortunately, we’re not far along in the growing season.  Other low temps. this Fri. morning:  10 Spincich Lake and Levering, 12 Roscommon, 13 Leota, Stambaugh, Doe Lake, Baraga Plains and Mancelona, 15 Grayling, Champion, 16 Ironwood (2nd morning in a row at 16), 17 Baldwin, 18 Cadillac and Houghton Lake, 20 Jackson, 22 Big Rapids and Charlotte, 26 Grandville, 27 Muskegon and Battle Creek, 30 Holland and Kalamazoo, 31 Muskegon Beach.  (graphic from GRR NWS).  Pretty much all of Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, N. and Central Indiana, N. Illinois and E. Kentucky were at or below freeing this morning.  It was 31 at Lexington KY and 33 all the way down to Blairsville, Georgia!   The Muskegon Beach Camera (from NOAA Coastwatch) shows a calm Lake Michigan with a boat heading out to enjoy this sunny afternoon.  The satellite loop shows the clouds headed our way that will bring us some rain tomorrow (Sat.).   Japanese model forecast for the winter of 2015-16 is out.  Same ‘ol pattern – warm water off the West Coast – cold for the Great Lakes with average to slightly above average snowfall.

Leading local news – Jewelry store robbery, shots fired, suspects at large.  Magnitude 6.2 e-quake off the coast of British Columbia, no tsunami. Magnitude-4.2 earthquake 9mi ESE of Ponderay, Idaho.  Big storms moving thru the Dallas/Fort Worth area – causing flight delays.  More than 11,000 without power in the San Antonio area with local flooding.  Officially, San Antonio had 2.12″ of rain.   Rain may postpone NASCAR race in Richmond, VA this weekend.  Check out the latest severe weather outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, current Severe T-Storm and Tornado Watches and today’s severe storm reports.


Partly to Mostly Sunny Friday

April 24th, 2015 at 12:11 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

snow upper michigan 4 23 15 satellite pictureModis Lake Superior Here’s the MODIS satellite picture of Lake Superior from Thurs. PM and a pic. from the Marquette NWS highlighting where the bands of snow showers occurred.  Click on the pics. to enlarge.  Up to a foot of snow fell in the western U.P. High temps. Thurs. included 32 at S. Ste. Marie, 35 at Gaylord and 36 at Harbor Springs. Grand Marais had a high temp. of 28 on Weds. and 31 on Thurs.

After a chilly start, we’ll see a nice day with partly to mostly sunny skies, light winds and warmer temperatures up into the low-mid 50s inland and mid-upper 40s at Lake Michigan.  A period of rain is likely on Saturday, with heavier amounts toward the Indiana border and light amounts to the north.  It’ll be a cloudy, chilly day with a damp east wind and temperatures in the 40s.  Sunday will be the better half of the weekend with some sun and readings back well into the 50s in inland areas.  Most of next week looks dry and pleasant as the storm track and the severe weather stays well south of Michigan.  Here’s severe weather reports from Thursday.

Magnitude-5.9 earthquake strikes 41 miles NW of Kaikoura, New Zealand.    5.5 magnitude earthquake occurred at 6:35 pm approximately 140 miles west of Eureka, California.   Magnitude-4.1 earthquake 14mi SE of Sandpoint, Idaho.  Brief “landspout” tornado in Hawaii.  Here’s a pic.   OK, that’s closeTime-lapse of a Texas supercell thunderstormNeat video of the tornadoes of 2014Water levels of California reservoirs.


Clearing This PM from SW to NE

April 23rd, 2015 at 12:30 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

muskegon glerl  shn glerl  chicago glerl  First check out the latest satellite loop:  daytimenighttime.  You can see the clearing line progressing to the east and we should all be mostly clear by sunset.  These are pics. around noon from the GLERL cameras at Muskegon (left), S. Haven (middle) and Chicago (right).  You can see the cloud line at noon was north of S. Haven, with clear skies from S. Haven down to Chicago.   Regional radar shows the flurries have ended in Michigan.  We’ll stay dry tonight and tomorrow.  Frost and freeze tonight in Michigan and the Great Lakes.  Snow this morning in N. Ohio and PennsylvaniaSimilar pattern next winter would give a similar temperature and snowfall pattern to the Great Lakes and Northeast.  Still too early to speculate on what’s ahead for next winter.  I have mentioned that we have been in a “latee 70s” pattern, where we had 3 consecutive cold/snowy winters.  We’ve had two…we’ll see if we get three in a row.

Snowfall amounts in our area were generally a trace to 1/4″ Weds.  Up north, E. Jordan picked up 2″ of snow (which has pretty much melted).  In the U.P., Ironwood had 7″ of snow on the ground this morning with a low temperature of 16 this morning.  Bessemer picked up 12″ of snow from this last system.  The visible satellite picture showed some snow on the ground in parts of the U.P. this morning.  Marquette had a high temperature of just 26 yesterday, beating their old record low maximum temperature of 36.  Another pic. of the Calbuco volcano in Chile.   Here’s the Severe Weather Outlooks for the next few days from the Storm Prediction Center.  The big storms continue to stay south of Michigan and he Great Lakes.  Tigers news:  Joe Nathan out for season – $10 million salary.


Thursday

April 23rd, 2015 at 4:11 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   I’ll leave radar at the top of the blog for the last few snowflakes.  G.R. had 0.1″ of snow yesterday (Weds.).  That tied a record for the most snow ever on any April 22 in G.R.   From Monday to Weds. G.R. had only 6.7% of possible sunshine.  From Sunday to Wednesday, the average wind speed was 17.5 mph.

Marquette had a high temperature of just 26 on Weds.  That broke the record for the coldest high temp. on any April 22 by 10 degrees!  They had 2.9″ of snow yesterday, giving them 13.1″ for the month and 178.4 for the season.  The most snow I saw in the U.P. was at a station near Bessemer in Gogebic Co., where they reported a 2-day snowfall total of 12.0″

Nice sunset shot of the Calbuco Volcano in Chile…first eruption since 1972…1500 evaculated.  Nighttine shot with lightning in the volcanoPyrocumulus cloud (smoke and ash from the volcano) visible from 22,500 miles into space.  Movie of the eruption here.    4.0 magnitude earthquake 14 mi. south of Medford OR.  4.8 magnitude e-quake 35mi ESE of Tarata, Peru.  Neat pic. of the Loraine TX tornadoSolar panels start fire by Green Party RunThe difference between N. Korea and S. KoreaSnow at the Tigers/Yankees gameLightning hits World Trade Center.

 

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


Wednesday

April 22nd, 2015 at 1:09 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   A few scattered flurries tonight, mainly trace amounts.  Freeze Warning for tonight and tomorrow night.  The high of 40 today is 21 deg. below average.

Winter Weather Advisory for up to 5″ of snow for Ontonagon and Gogebic Counties in the U.P.  Third highest ice extent on the Great Lakes for this week since 1980 (first last year!).  However, the Great Lakes ice extent is down to 7.4% (Superior 20%, Michigan 1.5%, Huron 13.7%, Erie 0.1%).  High temp. of only 30 at Hibbing and International Falls MN on Tues…20s north of the Minnesota/Canada border.   Three fatalities and millions in damage after strong storms hit eastern Australia, including Sydney.   Here’s an entire house floating down a river (complete with annoying “music”) after up to 15″ of rain.   Pic. of the moon (with earthshine) and the bright planet Venus in the evening sky to the west.  California landspout.  Nice pic. from a plane under a t-storm anvil.  If you haven’t seen it yet, here’s the viral pic. of the quadruple rainbow.  I think it’s a real pic. with a reflection of the double rainbow off a lake or other body of water.   Severe Weather Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center.  Storm chasers to Texas.

 

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.


37 Years!

April 22nd, 2015 at 12:19 am by under Bill's Blog, Weather

Bill and Gayle 4-22-78    Just a quick note to say “Happy Anniversary” to my wonderful wife, Gayle.  Even the weather was perfect that day  (sunny, 60s, light wind).  We left the reception in a hot-air balloon.  My list of life’s blessings would stretch to the moon, but Gayle would be at the top of the list.    Jag älskar dig min sötnos!


Tuesday

April 21st, 2015 at 1:09 pm by under Bill's Blog, Weather

   PM – low 40s now with a stiff wind of 15-25 mph.  We have a few reports of very light sleet mixing with very light rain.  It will be cold enough for that to go to snow flurries tonight and tomorrow.  In the U.P., 5″ of new snow at Atlantic Mine and 2″ at Ironwood, Ahmeek and Mohawk.

Several inches of snow likely in parts of the U.P. – could be 1-2″ east of TVC.  Flooding in eastern Australia, house floating down the streetLast 7 days worth of lightning..the Gulf was engulfed in t-storms.  Nice rainbowLightning over D.CSunny, spring day in Central Park after 1 1/2″ of rain.

Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, NAM model 3-day snowfall forecast and GFS model 5-day snowfall forecast. Storm Total Snowfall will show the heaviest snow and Milwaukee looping radar. Regional radar and the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. More links: Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar and Milwaukee radar. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map and the National warning/watch/advisory map, a surface weather map. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the Maranatha Webcam at Lake Michigan and links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan wind gusts from MesoWest, data from the MAWN agricultural weather stations and Weather Underground (data at the bottom from private weather stations). Here’s the Consumers Energy Power Outage Map, Here’s www.instantweathermaps.com.