Here’s a couple of pics. that Kirk Jackson sent to WOOD-TV through ReportIt. Just about everyone saw some rain on Sunday. We’ll have a chance of a shower or two today (esp. north) with chilly air (for August) coming across the warmer waters of Lake Michigan. The overnight run of the NAM model gives G.R. highs of 71/68/71 for Mon. to Weds. The GFS highs for Mon. – Sat. are 74/69/72/74/77/76. Here’s current temperatures and a satellite loop (IR – for daytime or nighttime). Beach Hazards Statement and Small Craft Advisories for Lake Michigan. From GRR NWS: “We closely monitored 2 rotating storms this afternoon. One was near Hastings, other near Mason. Neither strengthened. Here’s pics. of the rescue at Grand Haven Thursday. Lightning hit Sunday. I wouldn’t be surprised if there was a waterspout on Lake Superior/Michigan/Huron sometime in the next couple days. Temperatures will be warmer next week than they will be this week.
This is the South Haven beach from the GLERL (from NOAA Coastwatch) camera at 5:03 pm Sunday. The clouds cleared out quickly behind the cold front, then it went back to partly cloudy. The winds move from the south to the west and the dewpoints drop. The dewpoint shortly before 5 pm Sunday was still 69 at the Ford Airport in G.R., but down to 57 in Muskegon and 59 at S. Haven. Radar showed the showers and storms moving thru E. Michigan and Indiana headed toward Ontario and Ohio. At 7:30 pm the rain was about done at Flint and Ann Arbor. The satellite loop showed that skies over much of the area will become partly to mostly cloudy as the wrap-around clouds head our way from Wisconsin. Here’s the latest Grand Rapids NWS forecast discussion highlighting the cool weather for the early and middle parts of this week. Rainfall as of 5 pm: 0.52″ G.R., 0.23″ Kal., 0.38″ B.C., 0.44″ MKG, 0.89″ LAN (1/4″ hail just west of Lansing), 0.51″ Hol., 0.84″ Jamestown, 0.86″ Wayland. East G.R. had 1.1″ of rain in less than an hour. Water temp. of Reeds Lake is 75. 3/4″ hail fell in downtown Fort Wayne IN, with relatively minor wind damage and 1″ hail in Paulding Co., Ohio. Here’s Storm Total Rainfall – the green streaks show where the heaviest rain fell. Here’s U.S. Storm Reports for Sunday. More in the threads below.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a meso-discussion for Lower Michigan, N. Indiana and NW Ohio. They say only a 40% chance of a Severe T-Storm Watch being issued. Threat is mainly for isolated wind damage, very marginal situation. Best threat east of US 127 (north of Lansing) and east of I-69 (south of Lansing). Here’s GRR radar. See thread and links below. Cooler air coming in behind the afternoon rain. The NAM model has high temps. of 70-67 for G.R. for Monday and Tuesday…the GFS model has high temps. of 73, 70, 71, 73 for Monday to Thursday for G.R. Cool front is past the mid-Lake Michigan buoy at 2 pm, where there is a west wind. Much drier air on the way. Dewpoint is 68 in Muskegon – just 51 in Milwaukee.
Sunday PM – Showers and (non-severe) t-storms in the area. Expect some cloud-ground lightning as the storms come through and pockets of heavier rain. Temps. cool to the upper 60s as the rain moves in. Areas east of US 131, plus NE Indiana and NW Ohio are in the Slight Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center. It’s a pretty marginal risk for our area. Rain should be done for 6 pm/evening outdoor worship services in G.R. , Rockford, G. Haven and for most areas west of US 127/I-69. Ground/stands may still be wet – bring dry lawn chairs, maybe a towel to dry off the stands in G.R. 1:40 pm – nice steady, soaking rain at my place. Sitting on the three-season porch surrounded by the rain on 3 sides…very pleasant.
Here’s a neat pic. of a waterspout and lightning off Hunting Island, South Carolina (from Matt Spooner and WSAV). If you haven’t seen it, here’s video of the Aug. 2 storm that hit Glen Arbor. Looks like the visibility goes down to about 75 feet in heavy rain, wind and blowing leaves. This type of storm is sometimes called a “Plains Hurricane”. We’ll have mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds and temperature in the low 80s this afternoon. Sunday morning may still be dry, but clouds will move in early and we have a a good chance of a few showers or storms Sunday during the midday and afternoon. Monday will be like last Thursday with more clouds than not, an occasional mostly light, lake-enhanced shower or sprinkle and temperatures struggling to the upper 60s to near 70. There’s still a chance of a shower or sprinkle on Tues. with similar highs in the upper 60s to near 70. Wednesday and Thursday of next week should be partly to mostly sunny with highs back into the 70s. We’ll have another chance of showers/storms toward the end of next week, either (or both) Friday or Saturday. Here’s the latest GRR NWS forecast discussion. Lake Michigan water temps. will update around 10:45 am. Check out WOOD’s webcams. There is an Enhanced Risk of severe weather today for much of Minnesota, W. Iowa and a small part of NW Missouri and E. Nebraska. Sunday we are in the General Thunderstorm Outlook, with a small part of SE Michigan in a Marginal Outlook.
First, on the left, this picture has been making the rounds. It’s from Jack Perkins and I got it from www.11alive.com. Jack was in a plane taking a video of a thunderstorm outside and he got this image of lightning hittingn a plane. Planes do get hit by lightning on rare occasion and they are designed to keep passengers inside safe, even in flight. The video is here.
On the right, there’s a graph of average July temperature for the contiguous 48-states for 1895 – 2015. You can get data for the U.S. or individual states and graph it here.
A meteorological and broadcast legend passed away yesterday at the age of 89. Harry Volkman was a TV meteorologist for 54 years, spending much of that time in Chicago (the picture on the left is Harry doing the weather on WGN-TV about 1979 (picture from Wikipedia). He was the first broadcast meteorologist to go on the air with a Tornado Warning (Alert) in 1952. The picture on the right was tweeted by his son Eddie this past weekend (from KFOR). From the Wiki article: “ Volkman got his start as a weatherman at KOTV in Tulsa, Oklahoma in January 1950. While there he also served as a booth announcer, model, on-air salesman, sportscaster, variety show host and switchboard operator. He also claimed to have worked briefly as a custodian for the station and not having been paid for his first three months.” Harry studied physics at Tufts Univ. – then meteorology at the Univ. of Tulsa. He worked for 3 TV stations in Oklahoma before moving to Chicago in 1959. Harry worked at the NBC, CBS and FOX affiliates and at independent WGN over the years.
Growing up in Wilmette, I watched Harry every night. I’d actually watch every weatherman/meteorologist on TV – switching from station to station during the newscasts. He lived in Glenview, the next town west of Wilmette. He sang in his church choir, was a lifelong member and charter member of the Kiwanis Club in Glenview. I first met Harry at a conference of TV meteorologists in Toronto in 1976. We had a nice chat. Two years later at the next conference I attended, he came over and remembered my name. He did hundreds of school speeches. Each school would give him a carnation, which he wore on TV and mentioned the school at 6 pm. There are literally dozens of TV meteorologists today who grew up watching Harry Volkman on TV.
The pic. on the left is waves today (Thurs. 8/20) at Grand Haven St. Park – pic. from David Hart. On the right, a pic of the Great Lakes cruise ship, Pearl Mist. It docked in Holland Weds. AM and was supposed to leave Weds. PM, but stayed an extra day because of high surf (waves up to 10 feet at Saugatuck Thurs. AM). Here’s more on the Pearl Mist. Two teenage girls were rescued from the water at Grand Haven. It is dangerous to swim in the big waves, especially near breakwaters were strong currents can develop, like the south (left side as you walk out on the breakwater) side of the breakwater at Grand Haven St. Park. Remember that cold air coming over relatively warm water will make bigger waves than warm air going over relatively cold water.
The water level of Lake Michigan/Huron is unchanged in the last month, up 10″ year-to-year and is now 8″ above the average August water level. Lake Superior is down 1″ in the last month, unchanged in the last year and stands at 6″ above the average August level. Lakes Erie is down 6″ in the last month, but is up 10″ year-to-year. Lake Erie is now 14″ above the August century average. Lake Ontario is down 4″ in the last month, up 6″ in the last year and is now 9″ above the average August level. Lake St. Clair is down 3″ in the last month, up 9″ in the last year and is 13″ high than average for August.
Thursday – 6:50 pm – Lots of clouds, winds have died down a little, but still brisk, still a few light showers and sprinkles, mainly north of a line from S. Haven to Lansing. The NWS beach report says Friday 7/31 on the header – but I’ll assume the numbers are right. Saugatuck was showing 10 foot waves – when was the last time you saw that in August! High temps. were only in the 60s today – coolest day since July 8th. The clouds will clear out from SW to NE after midnight and we’ll be mostly sunny and pleasant tomorrow and Saturday. We’ll have a chance of a shower or storm Sunday PM. Monday will be breezy and cool, like today – with sunshine and pleasant temps. for the middle of next week.
Also: See the thread below this one…I’ll be at the Comstock Park Rotary Chicken BBQ today. You can join me for lunch at noon. I’ll have some Storm Team 8 pencils…Bill’s moustaches and maybe a few pair of WOOD sunglasses. Plane hit by lightning. Cool high temps. Weds: 57 Grand Rapids and Intl. Falls MN., 62 Cedar Rapids IA, 64 Eau Claire WI, 66 Colorado Spring CO and Moline IL, 68 Springfield MO, Harrison AR, Las Vegas NM, 69 Watertown SD, 72 McAlester OK. Some warm places: 90 Burlington VT, 95 Orlando FL, 89 Seattle, 97 Portland OR, 106 McAllen TX, 113 Needles CA. Heavy rainfall: 3.84″ Jacksonville NC, 3.58 Houston TX, 3.43″ Solon Springs WI, 3.02″ Tulsa OK, 2.87″ Shreveport LA, 2.78″ Rockford IL, 1.52″ Atlanta GA. A rare proton arc.
Today (Thurs.), we have the third and last Comstock Park Rotary summer BBQ fundraiser (my wife is a member). The grillers apprciate the cooler temperatures. Several blog readers usually stop down at the BBQs , so hopefully a few of you can grab a lunch or dinner. I’m there around Noon and you can join me if you like. We talk weather or whatever. I’ll try and have some moustaches, pencils and maybe a few pairs of sunglasses to give away. The three C.P. Rotary BBQs are on Thursdays in June, July and August. They’ll be serving food from 11:30 a.m. – 6:30 p.m. They have a big gazebo there with picnic tables, so you can stay dry in case we get a light shower at some point.
The Comstock Park Rotary (like all the service clubs) does a lot of good work in the community. Money from the BBQ goes to give a $1,000 scholarship to a graduating senior from Comstock Park High School and a $1,000 scholarship to a graduating senior from Kenowa Hills High School. So, if you’re in the Comstock Park or Kenowa school systems, you’ll be supporting a deserving local student. The C.P. Rotary built and are helping to maintain Grotto Park on the North Side of the Veterans Home on Monroe, NW and with the help of Amway Employees built the new playground in the York Creek Area.
The BBQ is at Dwight Lydell Park in “downtown” Comstock Park on West River Drive, just down the road from 5th/3rd Park, with an easy on and off to US 131. Along with the traditional chicken, they’ll have sausage and ribs. Dinners include two sides, roll and butter, and a drink. Half-chicken dinner is $9; Sausage is $8, a half an order of ribs is $11, and a whole order of ribs is $16.
Again, there’s a gazebo with tables, so you can get out of the sun or rain. For advance orders of 10 or more dinners, contact 616-299-4775 or email@example.com. If you’re in the Comstock Park area, we’ll deliver dinners to your business or home if you like.