11:59 pm - The high today in G.R. was 62°. That’s 3° cooler than the high temperature was on Christmas Day in 1982 (another year with a strong El Nino). BTW – four months exactly until Christmas Day. The lowest maximum temp. for G.R. on this date was 60 in 1940. Today ties for 7th coolest August high temperature EVER in G.R. (records go back to the late 1800s). The east buoy in Lake Superior was showing an air temp. of 48 at 8 pm.
The pic. here is a screen grab from the Grand Haven Steelheaders camera from late morning. When the pic. was taken, the temperature was 59 with a WNW wind at 18 mph. The lake is a little calmer than yesterday (waves are still 3.8 feet at the Port Sheldon buoy), but red flags are flying at all the State Park beaches this evening. Here’s radar – mainly just an isolated sprinkle now, with most of the sprinkles north of Cadillac. Statewide high temperatures: 66 was the warmest I saw at Flint, Detroit and Saginaw. The high was just 59 in Big Rapids, 58 at Cadillac, 54 in Newberry, 53 at the NWS office in Marquette and just 52 at Spincich Lake. Rainfall last 24 hours: 0.48″ E. Munising, 0.17″ S. Ste. Marie, 0.10″ Muskegon, 0.05″ G.R., 0.03″ Kalamazoo, just a trace so far at Holland. G.R. has now slipped into negative territory for the month of August. For August 1-25, G.R. is 0.7° cooler than average.
Here’s Michigan webcams and Lake Michigan water temps. Reeds Lake water temp. this evening is down to 70°. Here’s the satellite loop (daytime), showing a few breaks in the clouds, but a general overcast back past Milwaukee WI – so we’ll stay under the clouds tonight. The morning run of the NAM model shows highs of 71° tomorrow and 74° on Weds. with clouds starting to clear tomorrow PM (from southwest to northeast) and Thursday being mostly sunny. The morning run of he GFS would still give us a chance of a sprinkle thru midday tomorrow. The morning run of the GFS gives G.R. highs of 69° tomorrow (Wed.) and 73° on Thurs. The national satellite loop (daytime) shows it’s sunny today over most of the country. We have clouds in the Great Lakes, New England and some clouds in the SW desert areas of AZ into S. CA and SE NV.
The long-range outlook for the first week of Sept. is warmer than average for just about everybody east of the Rockies. I agree with this – Sept. should be a warmer than average month over most all of the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The pattern shift is good news for fire-fighters in the Pacific NW.
The BP gas refinery in Whiting, Indiana is coming back online – so gasoline prices should start to drop in 4-7 days, I’m told. Minimal Tropical Storm Erica and what’s left of Danny bringing beneficial rain to the Puerto Rico and the northern Caribbean. Erika forecast to stay east of the SE US., but it will be a close call, esp. for E. NC. Lots of smoky skies in the western half of the U.S. this AM. Floods in Turkey – 8 fatalities. EF2 tornado yesterday in The Netherlands. Honolulu recorded 3.6″ of rain Monday, more than 6x the normal monthly amount. Why is INDY like the planet Earth? They both have sprites. It should be a warmer than average Labor Day Weekend for much of the Great Lakes. I just checked the GFS for Seattle. Here’s the high temps. and (% chance of rain) starting Friday: 71° (57%), 69° (86%), 70° (72%), 69° (64%), 72° (52%). The pattern shift should be of great help to fire fighters in WA and to a lesser extent OR, ID, CA, MT. Moon and thunderhead at sunset over the Gulf of Mexico. What the moon looks like tonight (yeah, I know it’s cloudy). Dust storm moves into Phoenix. Here’s the dust storm coming into Chandler AZ. Estimated 8-10,000 lightning strikes over the Hawaiian Islands last night – that’s a lot for Hawaii. Lightning video from HI. Tropical Storm Ignacio forms, should become a hurricane and head toward Hawaii. Lightning hits tree – and you could have been zapped standing 75 feet from the trunk. Racing with the haboob.